Contact
14412 Potsdam
I was born in Russia in 1960. I received a graduate degree in physics from Moscow State University in 1983 and obtained my PhD in physical oceanography at the same university in 1988. I then worked as a research scientist in the Computing Centre of the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow developing numerical climate models and studying climate consequences of nuclear war ("nuclear winter"). In 1992 I moved to the International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA) in Austria, where I worked for two years in the field of integrated assessment and global climate change. Since 1994 I am at PIK.
Selected publications
Ganopolski, A. (2024) Toward generalized Milankovitch theory (GMT). Climate of the Past, 20, 151–185.
Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Edwards, N.R. and Rahmstorf, S. (2024). Surface buoyancy control of millennial-scale variations in the Atlantic meridional ocean circulation. Climate of the Past, 20(12), 2719-2739.
Timmermann, A., Yun, K.-S., Raia, P., Ruan, J., Mondanaro, A., Zeller, E., Zollikofer, C., Ponce de León, M., Lemmon, D., Willeit, M. and Ganopolski, A. (2022) Climate effects on archaic human habitats and species successions, Nature, 604, 495-501.
Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Calov, R., Brovkin, V. (2019). Mid-Pleistocene transition in glacial cycles explained by declining CO2 and regolith removal, Science Advances, 5: eaav7337.
Ganopolski, A., and Brovkin, V. (2017) Simulation of climate, ice sheets and CO2 evolution during the last four glacial cycles with an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. Climate of the Past, 13, 1695–1716.
Ganopolski, A., Winkelmann, R., Schellnhuber, H.J. (2016) Critical insolation-CO2 relation for diagnosing past and future glacial inception. Nature, 529, 200-203.
Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Calov, R., Robinson, A., Maslin, M. (2015) The role of CO2 decline for the onset of Northern Hemisphere glaciation. Quaternary Science Reviews, 119, 22-34.
Robinson, A., Calov, R. and Ganopolski, A. (2012) Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet, Nature Climate Change, 2, 429-432
Ganopolski, A. and Calov R. (2011) The role of orbital forcing, carbon dioxide and regolith in 100 kyr cycles. Climate of the Past, 7, 1415–1425
Ganopolski, A., R. Calov, and M. Claussen (2010) Simulation of the last glacial cycle with a coupled climate ice-sheet model of intermediate complexity. Climate of the Past, 6, 229-244.
Ganopolski, A. and Roche, D. (2009) On the nature of lead-lag relationships during glacial-interglacial climate transitions, Quaternary Science Reviews, 37/38, 3361-3378.
Archer, D., and A. Ganopolski (2005) A movable trigger: Fossil fuel CO2 and the onset of the next glaciation, Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 6, Q05003, doi:10.1029/2004GC000891.
Calov, R., and A. Ganopolski (2005) Multistability and hysteresis in the climate-cryosphere system under orbital forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L21717.
Haug G.H., A. Ganopolski, D.M. Sigman, A. Rosell-Mele, G.E.A. Swann, R. Tiedemann, S.L. Jaccard, J. Bollmann, M.A. Maslin, M.J. Leng, and G. Eglinton (2005) North Pacific seasonality and the glaciation of North America 2.7 million years ago. Nature, 433, 821-825.
Calov, R., A. Ganopolski, V. Petoukhov, M. Claussen, and R. Greve (2002) Large-scale instabilities of the Laurentide ice sheet simulated in a fully coupled climate-system model. Geophys. Rev. Lett., 29, 2216.
Ganopolski, A., and Rahmstorf, S. (2001) Simulation of rapid glacial climate changes in a coupled climate model. Nature, 409, 153-158
Claussen M., C. Kubatzki, V. Brovkin, A. Ganopolski, P. Hoelzmann, and H.J. Pachur (1999) Simulation of an abrupt change in Saharan vegetation in the mid-Holocene. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 2037-2040.
Rahmstorf, S., and A. Ganopolski (1999) Long-term global warming scenarios computed with an efficient coupled climate model. Climatic Change 43, 353-367.
Ganopolski, A., C. Kubatzki, M. Claussen, V. Brovkin, and V. Petoukhov (1998) The influence of vegetation-atmosphere-ocean interaction on climate during the mid-Holocene, Science, 280, 1916-1919.
Ganopolski, A., S. Rahmstorf, V. Petoukhov, and Claussen, M. (1998) Simulation of modern and glacial climates with a coupled global climate model. Nature, 391, 351-356
