WP 1: Mitigation and Energy Transition Risks

The REMIND-MAgPIE model helps to identify and assess geopolitical risks in the context of global transition path scenarios. Task 1.1 examines variables influencing geopolitical risks and the effects of orderly versus disorderly mitigation measures on fragmentation and imbalances. Tasks 1.2 and 1.3 model the financial, trade, and geopolitical impacts of climate protection measures and transition scenarios, focusing on international relations, public finances, and regional/global risks.

This work package explores how domestic political and economic factors, such as job losses and reduced economic rents in traditional energy industries, can destabilize the energy transition and hinder global climate efforts. It aims to align international climate assistance with partner countries' realities, developing tailored strategies to minimize resistance, support low-emission transitions, and ensure a just and inclusive energy transition.