Noah Kögel has been a phd candidate in the working group "Welfare and Policy Design" (Research Department 5) since January 2023. His doctoral studies focus on the household transition to low-carbon residential heating, including policy incentives and distributional analyses. He uses causal inference, numerical microeconomic simulation models and partial market analyses.
Within the FEIRE project from 2022 to 2025, he focused on the rental housing market and analyzed investment incentives and hurdles on landlords and tenants. The project was funded by the federal ministry of research, technology and space and a cooperation of PIK with the Humboldt University and the German owners' association Haus & Grund. The project identified reasons why investments in retrofitting often fail to be implemented and developed policy proposals that counteract and achieve emission savings. The core element has been the development of a panel of German residential property owners that can flexibly be used for surveying preferences and investment incentives.
Alongside his studies, he worked in different roles at the science-policy interface, e.g., as Policy Analyst in the PIK Policy Unit within the Ariadne project.
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14412 Potsdam
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Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
University of Potsdam
Noah moved from North Rhine-Westphalia to Potsdam in 2017 to study economics and political science (“Politik und Wirtschaft”, B.Sc.) at the University of Potsdam. His bachelor's thesis focused on the German wealth inequality and the design of an economically efficient inheritance taxation. In 2020, he then moved to the Free University of Berlin to study Economics (M.Sc.) in more depth. In his master's thesis, Noah applied econometric methods to estimate the influence of climate change on the technological development of an economy. Alongside his studies, he gained his first scientific experience as a student assistant; among others for the chair of Public Economics at the University of Potsdam and in the research department 4 "Complexity Science" of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK).
Peer-reviewed Publications
Wenz, L.; Carr, R.D.; Kögel, N.; Kotz, M.; Kalkuhl, M. (2023): DOSE -- Global data set of reported sub-national economic output. Nature Scientific Data 10.425.
Kistinger, D.; Kögel, N.; Koch, N.; Kalkuhl, M. (2026): The electoral impact of housing climate policy: Evidence
from Germany. Environmental and Research Economics 89.51. IZA Discussion Paper No. 17596 (outdated). Link to pre-proof version.
Working Paper (Published)
Kalkuhl, M.; Kellner, M.; Kögel, N.; Stern, L. (2024): Pareto-improving climate policy with heterogeneous abatement costs in the housing sector. CEPA Discussion Paper No. 82.
Working Paper (Unpublished)
Kögel, N.; Knopp, F.; Kellner, M.; Flinner, S.; Kalkuhl, M.: When to Go Green? Intertemporal heating investments with heterogeneous households and market frictions.
Bergmann, T.; Kögel, N.: Comparing Climate Policies for Durable Goods: A Life-Cycle Cost Approach to Policy Equivalence.
Kögel, N.; Gerstmeier, F.; Kellner, M.: Salience, acceptance and incentive effect of carbon prices and its sharing rule on the landlord-tenant market.
FEIRE project
Cooperation between PIK, Humboldt University Berlin and Haus & Grund Deutschland e.V., funded by the federal ministry of research, technology and space. For more details see FEIRE homepage, 2022 to 2025.
Ariadne project
Within the Ariadne project, Noah supported the Policy Unit as Analyst in 2025, funded by the federal ministry of research, technology and space. He predominantly worked on topics relating to the transition to low-carbon residential heating (working package 8). For more details see Ariadne homepage, 2025.
WPKS project
In 2025, Noah supported the WPKS as referent, funded by the federal ministry of research, technology and space. For more details see WPKS homepage, 2025
Transformation im Gebäudesektor: Ansätze für eine gesellschaftlich tragfähige Umsetzung. transforming economics (Bertelsmann Stiftung). 21.02.2025.
