Prof. Dr. Alexandre Köberle

Scientist
Guest
Köberle

Dr Alexandre Köberle's research focuses on long-term scenarios of socio-environmental change, with special focus on nexus approaches to explore transitions to alternative sustainable development futures. His interdisciplinary work uses mathematical models to develop plausible scenarios useful for stakeholders to not only enable the transition but also to identify risks and opportunities for improved human welfare and environmental sustainability. He is particularly interested in transformative systems approaches exploring nexuses across sectors and disciplines such as nature-food-finance or climate-land-energy-water and emerging trade-offs and synergies with sustainable and inclusive development objectives.

At PIK, Alex is part of the MAgPIE team within the Land Use Transition Lab and works on several projects examining food systems and land use transitions, how they are affected by climate change impacts, and how land dynamics link to energy systems and the broader economy, with a focus on implications for the financial sector. He focuses on regional-to-global scales to examine the roles of national and sub-national actors in global transitions. He leads the development of MAgPIE-Brazil, a version of MAgPIE specially calibrated for Brazil. He is Principal Investigator of the Brazil Study for the Food Systems Economics Commission (FSEC) examining sustainability transitions in Brazilian agriculture through modelled scenarios and trends analysis. He also leads the collaboration with Conservation International applying MAgPIE to develop scenarios for the deployment of Action Tracks of the Exponential Roadmap Natural Climate Solutions.

Alex published close to 60 articles in peer-reviewed journals, over 20 of which in high-impact journals like Nature, Nature Climate Change, Nature Food, Nature Communications and One Earth. He is a Lead Author in the IPCC 7th Assessment Report (WG3). He was Lead Author in AR6 WG3 and a Lead Author in the 6th UNEP Global Environmental Outlook reports.

Department

Climate Resilience

Working Group

Land Biosphere Dynamics

Lab

Land Use Transition

Contact

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
P.O. Box 60 12 03
14412 Potsdam

ORCID

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0328-4750

- Insituto Dom Luiz, Department of Earth Sciences and Energy, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Portugal

- Centre for Climate Finance and Investment (CCFI), Imperial College Business School, United Kingdom

- NOVA School of Business and Economics, Portugal

Peer-reviewed (top 10)

https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=7bgJ8tEAAAAJ&hl=en

1.     Köberle, A.C. Food security in climate mitigation scenarios. Nature Food 3, 98–99 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00443-1

2.     Köberle A.C., Shrimali G., Mittal S., Jundal A., Donovan C. Financial risks to coal value chain from a cost-conscious shift to renewables in India. (2022) Environ. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca036

3.     Grant N., Gambhir A., Mittal S., Greig C., Köberle A.C. (2022) Enhancing the realism of decarbonisation scenarios with practicable regional constraints on CO2 storage capacity. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2022.103766

4.     KÖBERLE AC, Vandyck T., Guivarch C., Macaluso N., Bosetti V., Gambhir A., Tavoni M., Rogelj R. The Cost of Mitigation Revisited. Nature Climate Change. (2021). 11 (12), 1035-1045

5.     KÖBERLE AC, Daioglou V, Rochedo P, Lucena AFP, Szklo A, Fujimori S, Brunelle T, Kato E, Kitous A, van Vuuren DP, Schaeffer R. Can global models provide insights into regional mitigation strategies? A diagnostic model comparison study of bioenergy in Brazil. (2022). Climatic Change. 170 (1), 1-31

6.     KÖBERLE, A., et al. (2020). Brazil emissions trajectories in a 2oC world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02856-6

7.     Daioglou V, Muratori M, Lamers P, Fujimori S, Kitous A, Köberle AC, Bauer N, Junginger M, Kato E, Leblanc F, Mima S, Wise M, van Vuuren DPet al., (2020), Implications of climate change mitigation strategies on international bioenergy trade, Climatic Change, Vol: 163, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02877-1

8.     Realmonte G, Hawkes A, Gambhir A, Tavoni M, Glynn J, Köberle A, Drouet L, (2019), An inter-model assessment of the role of direct air capture in deep mitigation pathways, Nature Communications, Vol: 10, ISSN: 2041-1723. Nature Communications. http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/71525

9.     Köberle, AC. (2019). The value of BECCS in IAMs. A Review. Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40518-019-00142-3

10.  Rochedo, P.R.R., KÖBERLE, A., Schaeffer, R., et al., (2018). The threat of political bargaining to climate mitigation in Brazil. Nat. Clim. Chg. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0213-y

Reports

RD2 - Climate Resilience