Publications

Planetary Boundaries, Tipping Elements & Global Commons
Qin, Bo-Wei, Sheng, Wenbo, Qian, Xuzhe, Kurths, Jürgen, Hastings, Alan, Lai, Ying−Cheng, Lin, Wei (2025): Reordered hierarchical complexity in ecosystems with delayed interactions - PNAS Nexus
Heck, L., Gelbrecht, Maximilian, Schaub, M. T., Boers, Niklas (2025): Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations - Chaos
Arnscheidt, Constantin W., Beard, S. J., Hobson, Tom, Ingram, Paul, Kemp, Luke, Mani, Lara, Marcoci, Alexandru, Mbeva, Kennedy, Ó hÉigeartaigh, Seán S., Sandberg, Anders, Sundaram, Lalitha S., Wunderling, Nico (2025): Systemic contributions to global catastrophic risk - Global Sustainability
Radhakrishnan, Rohit, Pavithran, Induja, Livina, Valerie, Kurths, Jürgen, Sujith, R. I. (2025): Early warnings are too late when parameters change rapidly - Scientific Reports
Gerten, Dieter, Braun, Johanna, Breier, Jannes, Lucht, Wolfgang, Tobian, Arne, Stenzel, Fabian (2025): A software package for assessing terrestrial planetary boundaries - One Earth
Högner, Annika Ernest, Di Capua, Giorgia, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Donner, Reik V., Feulner, Georg, Wunderling, Nico (2025): Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements - Environmental Research Letters
Bosikun, Kehinde, Jamali, Tayeb, Ghanbarian, Behzad, Kurths, Jürgen (2025): Complex network analysis of extreme temperature events in the Contiguous United States - Atmospheric Research
Chandler, David M., Langebroek, Petra M., Reese, Ronja, Albrecht, Torsten, Garbe, Julius, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2025): Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800,000 years warns of future ice loss - Communications Earth and Environment
Bdolach, T., Kurths, Jürgen, Yanchuk, Serhiy (2025): Tipping in an adaptive climate network model - Chaos
Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2025): Kippdynamiken im Erdsystem - Physik: Erkenntnisse und Perspektiven
Zheng, Yayun, Hu, Yufei, Boers, Niklas, Duan, Jinqiao, Kurths, Jürgen (2025): Impact of precipitation on the resilience of tropical forests to non-Gaussian Lévy fluctuations - Applied Mathematical Modelling
Rodriguez Mendez, Quirina, Creutzig, Felix, Fuss, Sabine (2025): Deep uncertainty in carbon dioxide removal portfolios - Environmental Research Letters
Bathiany, Sebastian, Bastiaansen, Robbin, Bastos, Ana, Blaschke, Lana, Lever, Jelle, Loriani, Sina, De Keersmaecker, Wanda, Dorigo, Wouter, Milenković, Milutin, Senf, Cornelius, Smith, Taylor, Verbesselt, Jan, Boers, Niklas (2025): Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook - Surveys in Geophysics
Hebden, Sophie, van der Wel, Narelle, Liddy, Hannah, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Wood, Richard, Rast, Michael (2025): Special Issue: International Space Science Institute (ISSI) Workshop on Tipping Elements in the Earth’s Climate System [Guest Editorial] - Surveys in Geophysics
Loriani, Sina, Bartsch, Annett, Calamita, E., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Hebden, S., Hirota, M., Landolfi, A., Nagler, T., Sakschewski, Boris, Staal, A., Verbesselt, J., Winkelmann, Ricarda, Wood, R., Wunderling, Nico (2025): Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs? - Surveys in Geophysics
Sudharsan, S., Pal, Tapas Kumar, Ghosh, Dibakar, Kurths, Jürgen (2025): Extreme events in two coupled chaotic oscillators - Physical Review E
Braun, Johanna, Werner, Constanze, Gerten, Dieter, Stenzel, Fabian, Schaphoff, Sibyll, Lucht, Wolfgang (2025): Multiple planetary boundaries preclude biomass crops for carbon capture and storage outside of agricultural areas - Communications Earth and Environment
Everall, Jordan, Tschofenig, Fabian, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Otto, Ilona M. (2025): The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority - Earth System Dynamics
Enache, Elias, Kozak, Oleksandr, Wunderling, Nico, Vollmer, Jürgen (2025): Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations - Chaos
Kılkış, Şiir, Bjørn, Anders, Bai, Xuemei, Liu, Jianguo, Whiteman, Gail, Crona, Beatrice, Andersen, Lauren, Hasan, Syezlin, Vijay, Varsha, Sabag, Oscar (2025): City–company collaboration towards aligned science-based target setting - Nature Sustainability
Roman Cuesta, Rosa Maria, Dentener, Frank, Galmarini, Stefano, Milkoreit, Manjana, Armstrong Mckay, David, De Groeve, Tom, Dennis, Donovan, Janssens-Maenhout, Greet, Loriani, Sina, Ruiz Moreno, Ana (2025): Earth System Tipping Points are a threat to Europe - Science for Policy Brief
Lu, Fuzhi, Lu, Huayu, Gu, Yao, Lin, Pengyu, Lu, Zhengyao, Zhang, Qiong, Zhang, Hongyan, Yang, Fan, Dong, Xiaoyi, Yi, Shuangwen, Chen, Deliang, Pausata, Francesco S. R., Ben-Yami, Maya, Mecking, Jennifer V. (2025): Tipping point-induced abrupt shifts in East Asian hydroclimate since the Last Glacial Maximum - Nature Communications
McKay, David I. Armstrong, Buxton, Joshua E., Loriani, Sina, Wunderling, Nico, Abis, Beniamino , Abrams, Jesse F., Aksenov,, Yevgeny, Nava, Beatriz Arellano, Brunetti, Maura, Chiessi, Cristiano M., Dakos, Vasilis, Dennis, Donovan, Duke, Norman C., England, Matthew H., Flores, Bernardo M., Garbe, Julius, Gunn, Kathryn, Hessen, Dag O., Von der Heydt, Anna, Kääb, Andreas, Kéfi, Sonia, Langebroek, Petra M., Lucarini, Valerio, Messori, Gabriele, Millman, Helen, Nitzbon, Jan, Parry, Isobel, Pichon, Benoît, Marie-Aude, Pradal, Sakschewski, Boris, Sanabria-Fernández, José A., Schwinger, Jörg, Sinet, Sacha, Spears, Bryan M., Staver, A. Carla, Steinert, Norman Julius, Sudakow, Ivan, Tharammal, Thejna (2025): Status of Earth system tipping points: What’s new? - The Global Tipping Points Report 2025
Lenton, Timothy M., Milkoreit, Manjana, Willcock, Simon, Abrams, Jesse F., McKay, David I. Armstrong, Buxton, Joshua E., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Loriani, Sina, Wunderling, Nico, Alkemade, Floor, Barrett, Mike, Constantino, Sara, Powell, Tom, Smith, Steven R., Boulton, Chris A., Dennis, Donovan, Dijjkstra, Henk, Pearce-Kelly, Paul, Pinho, Patricia, Roman-Cuesta, Rosa M. (2025): Global Tipping Points Report 2025
Jose, Jerry, Gires, Auguste, Roustan, Yelva, Schnorenberger, Ernani, Tchiguirinskaia, Ioulia, Schertzer, Daniel (2024): Multifractal analysis of wind turbine power and rainfall from an operational wind farm – Part 1: Wind turbine power and the associated biases - Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Bathiany, Sebastian, Nian, Da, Drüke, Markus, Boers, Niklas (2024): Resilience Indicators for Tropical Rainforests in a Dynamic Vegetation Model - Global Change Biology