Publications

Publications are one of PIKs most important outputs. On this page you will find our latest work and further information
Rahmstorf, Stefan, Jendrkowiak, Jan, Gou, Ruijian, Cheng, Lijing, Ruiz‐Angulo, Angel, Björnsson, Halldór (2026): Multidecadal Atlantic “Warming Hole” Heat Content Variations Are Caused by Ocean Heat Transport, Not by Surface Fluxes - Geophysical Research Letters
Braun, Tobias, Vallejo Bernal, Sara Maria, Marwan, Norbert, Kurths, Jürgen, Quaas, Johannes, Díaz-Guilera, Albert, Gimeno, Luis, Mahecha, Miguel D. (2026): Atmospheric river trajectories organise along a global transport network - Earth System Dynamics
Best, Frank, Pahle, Michael, Sultani, Darius, Günther, Claudia, Herten, Malte, Richstein, Jörn, Edenhofer, Ottmar (2026): A Safety Valve for the EU ETS endgame: Containing Prices through Carbon Dioxide Removal - Ariadne-Dossier
Best, Frank, Pahle, Michael, Sultani, Darius, Günther, Claudia, Herten, Malte, Richstein, Jörn, Edenhofer, Ottmar (2026): Ein Sicherheitsventil für die Endphase des EU-Emissionshandelssystems: Preisstabilisierung durch die Entfernung von Kohlendioxid - Ariadne-Dossier Zusammenfassung
Kallenberg, Michiel, Paudel, Dilli, Ofori-Ampofo, Stella, Baja, Hikmy, van Bree, Ron, Potze, Aike, Poudel, Pratishtha, Saleh, Abdelrahman, Anderson, Weston, von Bloh, Malte, Castellano, Andres, Ennaji, Oumnia, Hamed, Raed, Laudien, Rahel, Lee, Donghoon, Luna, Inti, Meroni, Michele, Mumo Mutuku, Janet, Mkuhlani, Siyabusa, Richetti, Jonathan, Ruane, Alex C., Sahajpal, Ritvik, Shai, Guanyuan, Sitokonstantinou, Vasileios, de Souza Nóia Júnior, Rogério, Srivastava, Amit Kumar, Strong, Robert, Sweet, Lily-belle, Vojnovic, Petar, Athanasiadis, Ioannis N. (2026): CY-Bench: A comprehensive benchmark dataset for sub-national crop yield forecasting - Earth System Science Data
Teran, Jose P., Schlemm, Annika, Nyamweya, Chrispine Sangara, Nkwasa, Albert, Chawanda, Celray J., Frieler, Katja, Nyolei, Douglas, van Griensven, Ann (2026): Stakeholder-informed mapping of climate change impacts on the Water-Energy-Food-Environment nexus in the Lake Victoria basin - Environmental Research: Water
Virkki, Vili, Andersen, Lauren, te Wierik, Sofie, Gerten, Dieter, Porkka, Miina (2026): Regionally divergent drivers behind transgressions of the freshwater change planetary boundary - Nature Communications
Rockström, Johan, Martin, Maria A., Ganopolski, Andrey, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Feulner, Georg, Marwan, Norbert, Rahmstorf, Stefan (2026): We Are in the Anthropocene—Now What? - Earth's Future
Arndt, Konstantin, Berrill, Peter, Fuss, Sabine: Assessing the social acceptability of sufficiency measures in the residential sector - Journal of Industrial Ecology
Hampf, Anna, Weituschat, Chiara Sophia, Murken, Lisa, Rasolofo, Laingo Irintsoa, Gornott, Christoph: Climate change impacts on crop yields across Madagascar and household-informed adaptation strategies - Agricultural Systems
Wunderling, Nico, Sakschewski, Boris, Rockström, Johan, Flores, Bernardo M., Hirota, Marina, Staal, Arie (2026): Deforestation-induced drying lowers Amazon climate threshold - Nature
Rehfeld, Matthias, Bartels, Frederike, Brown, Tom, Heberl, Michael, Luderer, Gunnar, Preis, Valentin, Koch, Matthias, Mehlmann, Gert, Perau, Christian, Niessen, Stefan, Sörgel, Dominika, Tran, Dinh Du (2026): Rolle der Kopernikus Innovationen im Systemkontext
Breier, Jannes, Schwarz, Luana, Prawitz, Hannah, von Bloh, Werner, Müller, Christoph, Wirth, Stephen Björn, Bechthold, Max, Gerten, Dieter, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann: copan:LPJmL: A new hybrid modelling framework for dynamic land use and agricultural management - Geoscientific Model Development
Kaandorp, Chelsea, Wang-Erlandsson, Lan, Hattle, Andrew, Folke, Carl, Gelvez-Gomez, Francisco, Rocha, Juan, Hartman Davies, Oscar, Daily, Gretchen, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Flores-Santana, Cynthia, Galbraith, Eric, Goldin, Simon, Jobbágy, Esteban, Jørgensen, Peter Søgaard, König, Ariane, Lambin, Eric F., van der Leeuw, Sander, Milo, Ron, Ningrum, Dianty, Nyström, Magnus, Reyers, Belinda, Schill, Caroline, Senneby, Jakob, Taniguchi, Makoto, Österblom, Henrik: Opportunities to foreground human embeddedness in the Anthropocene biosphere - Cell Reports Sustainability
Bohnet, Marc-Philipp, Fliegel, Philip, Schoenauer, Anne, van Mierlo, Cosima, Zioga, Maria, Hagen, Achim (2026): Integrating political economy and financial markets in qualitative scenario analysis to elicit EU decarbonization pathways - Earth System Governance
Mannone, Maria, Anand, Mahathi, Fazio, Peppino, Swikir, Abdalla (2026): Density matrix-based dynamics for quantum robotic swarms - Robotics and Autonomous Systems
Kriit, Hedi K., Chen-Xu, José, Semenza, Jan C., Heiliger, Hannah, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, van Daalen, Kim R., Achebak, Hicham, Alari, Anna, Alcayna, Tilly, Ball, Emily, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Callaghan, Max, van Cauwenberghe, Monique, Charnley, Gina E. C., Courtenay, Orin, Cirach, Marta, Garcia-Corral, Paulina, Cross, Troy J., Dasgupta, Shouro, Dickson, Zachary P., Eckelman, Matthew J., Erfort, Cornelius, Fransson, Peter, Farooq, Zia, Gasparyan, Olga, Hamilton, Ian, Hesselman, Marlies, Hänninen, Risto, Hsu, Shih-Che, Janoš, Tomáš, Jatkar, Harshavardhan, Jay, Ollie, Kennard, Harry, Khanna, Kajal, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Lowe, Rachel, Lührsen, Daniela, Maia, Carla, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, San José Plana, Adria, Repke, Tim, Roa-Contreras, Jorge A., Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Scamman, Daniel, Shartova, Natalia, Sherman, Jodi D., Sirotkina, Elena, Singh, Pratik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Springmann, Marco, Stucki, Lara, Tartarini, Federico, Triñanes, Joaquin, Walawender, Maria, Romanello, Marina, Antó, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, Tonne, Cathryn, Rocklöv, Joacim (2026): The 2026 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: narrowing window for decisive health action - The Lancet Public Health
Bachorz, Clara, Dürrwächter, Jakob, Gong, Chen Chris, Odenweller, Adrian, Pehl, Michaja, Schreyer, Felix, Verpoort, Philipp, Luderer, Gunnar, Ueckerdt, Falko (2026): Averting the steel carbon lock-in through strategic green investments - Nature Climate Change
Bachorz, Clara, Dürrwächter, Jakob, Gong, Chen Chris, Odenweller, Adrian, Pehl, Michaja, Schreyer, Felix, Verpoort, Philipp, Luderer, Gunnar, Ueckerdt, Falko (2026): The window to avoid locking in decades of steel emissions is closing fast [Policy Brief] - Nature Climate Change
Gerten, Dieter (2026): Die Überschreitung planetarer Grenzen und die Landwirtschaft - Warnsignal Klima: Die Landwirtschaft
Hunecke, Claudia, Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2026): Globale Produktion und Klimawandel. Kann die künftige Menschheit ausreichend ernährt werden? - Warnsignal Klima: Die Landwirtschaft
Ganti, Gaurav, Pelz, Setu, Klönne, Uta, Gidden, Matthew J., Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Nicholls, Zebedee (2026): Fair carbon removal obligations under climate response uncertainty - Climate Policy
Fry, Jacob, Bone, Angie, Hoogland, Matthew, Pichler, Peter-Paul, Webber, Tristan, Yokomizo, Hiroyuki (2026): Energy efficiency and decarbonisation pathways for Australian public hospitals - Journal of Industrial Ecology
Xu, Song, Xiao, Cunde, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Romanovsky, Vladimir E., Zhang, Zhao, Duan, Jianping, Su, Bo, Zhang, Tong: Northern permafrost represents a limit on the northward shift of climatically feasible agricultural frontiers under future warming - Communications Earth and Environment
Momanyi, Denis, Lagat, Job K., Han, Jiqin, Marchant, Robert A., Ogendi, George M., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Sieber, Stefan: From complementarities to constraints: stratified adoption pathways and equity in Kenyan smallholder systems − A Bayesian‑Ising diagnostic - Climate Risk Management