Publications

Publications are one of PIKs most important outputs. On this page you will find our latest work and further information
Weng, Wei, Fu, Ping, Hung, Ho Tin, Tseng, Kai-Chih, Wang, Li-Pen, Hsu, Yun-Man, Lo, Min-Hui, Costa, Luís, Dubreuil, Vincent (2026): Hydrological regimes and drainage systems of aerial rivers across South America - Nature Communications
Prado, Thiago L., Ramos, Antônio M. T., Kurths, Jürgen, Lopes, Sergio R., Macau, Elbert E. N. (2026): Detecting causality in coupled systems using recurrence analysis and maximum entropy principle - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Pineda Schwarz, Diegopablo, Didovets, Iulii, Fallah, Bijan H., Hattermann, Fred Fokko, Saddique, Qaisar, Wesch, Stefanie (2026): Climate Country Risk Profile: Kazakhstan
Levermann, Anders (2026): Klima im freien Fall - Spektrum der Wissenschaft
Subedi, Daya Raj, Kandel, Giri Prasad, Liu, Qijing, Bhuju, Dinesh Raj, Shrestha, Rajendra Prasad, Pradhan, Prajal (2026): How locals’ views on ecosystem (dis)services vary: Socio-demographic insights from a Himalayan protected area - Sustainable Horizons
Dorndorf, Tabea, Hagemann, Nikolas, Merfort, Anne, Fuss, Sabine, Strefler, Jessica (2026): Techno-economics and value judgments of modeling biochar production for carbon removal in climate change mitigation scenarios - Energy Research and Social Science
Morales-Rueda, Fernando, Nyasulu, Maganizo Kruger, Fischer, Harry W., Fetzer, Ingo, Tabik, Siham, Alcaraz-Segura, Domingo, Castro, Jorge (2026): AI-driven forest restoration: A governance framework for people and nature - Environmental Science and Policy
Ulpiani, Giulia, Rodriguez Mendez, Quirina, Todeschi, Valeria, Hernandez Moral, Gema, Vetters, Nadja, Pittalis, Marco, Fuss, Sabine, Gevers Deynoot, Christiaan, Creutzig, Felix (2026): Cities need robust carbon dioxide removal strategies to meet net-zero targets [Policy Brief] - Nature Climate Change
Wolff, Erich, Hamel, Perrine, Lechner, Alex M., Irvine, Kim, Frantzeskaki, Niki, Diep, Loan, Tavenisa, Luisa, Welch, Ashley, Cajilig, Pamela Gloria, Sen, Monalisa, Pottinger-Glass, Chloe, Mannetti, Lelani, Tan, Claudia, Bill-Weilandt, Alina, Edros Ahmad Shaikh, Shaikh Fairul, Shaad, Kashif, Oke, Cathy, Mengote-Quah, Dixi, Dzyuban, Yuliya (2026): Monitoring nature-based solutions is key for compliance, co-creation and practice improvement - Nature Sustainability
Du, Ruiying, Wang, Xiaoxi, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Lin, Bin, Zhuang, Minghao, Chen, David Meng-Chuen, Popp, Alexander, Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2026): Environmental and resource-use implications of agricultural productivity and trade dynamics in China under future socioeconomic pathways - Cell Reports Sustainability
Müller, Christoph, Dentener, Frank, Vanuytrecht, Eline, Robinson, Elizabeth J.Z., van den Berg, Maurits, Toreti, Andrea, Maetens, Willem, Dasgupta, Shouro, Lager, Frida, Catarino, Rui: Climate risks for the European food system and policy preparedness - Global Food Security
Gao, Xiangyun, Sun, Xiaotian, Wu, Tao, An, Sufang, An, Feng, Leng, Siyang, Wei, Hongyu, Zhang, Yupeng, Marwan, Norbert, Kurths, Jürgen: Reconstruction of interpretable causal network dynamics from time series data - Physics Reports
Semenchenko, Ekaterina, Lindner, Michael, Prochaska, Paul, Hellmann, Frank: The cost of events in temporally-resolved energy system models: a stochastic programming approach - Energy Systems
de Moraes, Ana Luiza, Cruziniani, Fátima E., Gabrick, Enrique C., Batista, Antonio M., Caldas, Iberê L., Kurths, Jürgen: Multistability, chaos, and transient dynamics in an avian influenza mathematical model - European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Xu, Song, Xiao, Cunde, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Romanovsky, Vladimir E., Zhang, Zhao, Duan, Jianping, Su, Bo, Zhang, Tong (2026): Northern permafrost represents a limit on the northward shift of climatically feasible agricultural frontiers under future warming - Communications Earth and Environment
Sun, Fenglan, Yang, Xinwei, Zhu, Wei, Guan, Zhi-Hong, Kurths, Jürgen: Impulsive optimal control of hybrid systems based on adaptive dynamic programming - Applied Mathematics and Computation
Rafiezadeh Shahi, Kasra, Caesar, Levke, Persello, Claudio, Rockström, Johan, Sakschewski, Boris (2026): Toward Actionable Planetary Boundary Intelligence [Commentary] - One Earth
Springmann, Marco, Sawyer, Alexia, Westengen, Ola T., Popp, Alexander, Herrero, Mario, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Minten, Bart, Onyeaka, Helen, Cavatassi, Romina, Rao, Nitya, de Silva, Sanjiv, Smith, Lindsey, Popkin, Barry M., Popkin, Taillie (2026): What will it take? Voices on just and feasible food systems [Voices] - One Earth
Billing, Maik, Forrest, Matthew, Bowring, Simon P. K., Oberhagemann, Luke, Neidermeier, Alex N., Hetzer, Jessica, von Bloh, Werner, Müller, Christoph, Rolinski, Susanne, Hickler, Thomas, Thonicke, Kirsten (2026): Future Projections of Burned Area in Europe Highlight the Importance of Human Action - Global Change Biology
de Jonge-Anderson, Iain, Johnson, Gareth, Merfort, Anne, Strefler, Jessica, Harris, Catrin, Roberts, Jen (2026): Research brief: ensuring feasible CO2 geological storage projections in climate mitigation pathways
Rostami, Masoud, Fallah, Bijan H., Fazel-Rastgar, Farahnaz, Hamidi, Mehdi, Hariri, Saeed, Guo, Junxin, Fu, Li-Yun (2026): Towards a theoretical understanding of Arctic amplification dynamics - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Camps-Valls, Gustau, Carrassi, Alberto, de Melo Viríssimo, Francisco, Debeire, Kevin, Fernández-Torres, Miguel-Ángel, Hess, Philipp, Heuer, Helge, Mankovich, Nathan, Montero, David, Rodrigo-Bonet, Esther, Serva, Federico, Sitokonstantinou, Vasileios, White, Alistair, Cohrs, Kai-Hendrik, Wider, Jonathan, Reimers, Christian, Bountos, Nikolaos Ioannis, Papoutsis, Ioannis, Gentine, Pierre, Eyring, Veronika (2026): Bridging the weather and climate divide with artificial intelligence - Nature Communications
Schaphoff, Sibyll, Hötten, David, Müller, Christoph, Gerten, Dieter, Ostberg, Sebastian, von Bloh, Werner (2026): Implementing methane dynamics into the LPJmL6 model - Geoscientific Model Development
Hutt, Axel, Pelster, Axel, Uhl, Christian, Kurths, Jürgen (2026): In memoriam Hermann Haken: synergetics and self-organisation in complex systems [Editorial] - European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Zhai, Shidong, Li, Haolin, Sun, Fenglan, Kurths, Jürgen (2026): Coevolution of epidemic spreading and opinion dynamics in a two-layer network with media influence - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Fazel-Rastgar, Farahnaz, Khansalari, Sakineh, Mthembu, S. H., Rostami, Masoud (2026): Rare snowfall in Southern Namibia: synoptic dynamics of cold-air intrusion and climate hazard processes in arid regions - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Rimmert, Marlene, Schwarz, Luana, Janssen, Carolin, Alvarado Amaro, Aeon, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann (2026): Accelerating the transition to regenerative agriculture: A participatory modeling framework for analyzing social tipping elements and their interactions in the food and land use system - GAIA – Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society
Reußwig, Fritz, Kahlenborn, Walter, Lass, Wiebke, Walther, Carsten, Peter, Martin, Thiel, Susan, Voss, Maike, Schmid, Nicolas, John, Beatrice (2026): High-end climate change risks for Germany: Adaptive capacity between incrementalism and transformative adaptation - GAIA – Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society
Wen, Qin, Liu, Zhengyu, Wang, Tao, Ji, Chengwei, Liu, Jian, Cheng, Hai, Yan, Mi, Ning, Liang, Jing, Zhaowei, Liu, Heng, Lei, Jing, Lu, Jiuyou, Creutzig, Felix, Yin, Qiuzhen (2026): Contrasting marine and terrestrial responses of South Asian summer monsoon system caused by hemispheric insolation - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)