Publications

Publications are one of PIKs most important outputs. On this page you will find our latest work and further information
Prütz, Ruben, Fuss, Sabine, Price, Jeff, Warren, Rachel, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Wu, Yazhen, Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Andrey, Wögerer, Michael, Krisztin, Tamás, Havlík, Petr, Kraxner, Florian, Frank, Stefan, Hasegawa, Tomoko, Doelman, Jonathan C, Daioglou, Vassilis, Humpenöder, Florian, Popp, Alexander, Rogelj, Joeri (2026): Climate refugia implications of warming and land-intensive mitigation under overshoot - Environmental Research Letters
Lohmann, Niki, Strahl, David, Högner, Annika Ernest, Huiskamp, Willem Nicholas, Boehm, Matthias, Wunderling, Nico (2026): Quantitative Comparison of Causal Inference Methods for Climate Tipping Points - Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Piggott, Thomas, Saadat, Pakeezah, Herrmann, Alina, Tetelbom Stein, Airton, Darzi, Andrea J., Haines, Andy, Bognanni, Antonio, Sousa-Pinto, Bernardo, Michels, Charlotte, Akl, Elie A., Poluzzi, Elisabetta, Senerth, Emily, Madrid, Eva, Barbic, Franca, de’Donato, Francesca, Nonino, Francesco, Vist, Gunn Elisabeth, Neumann, Ignacio, Bracchiglione, Javier, Bousquet, Jean, Meerpohl, Joerg J., Antó, Josep M., Scahill, Karolina A., Qiu, Kavin, Miersch, Klaas, Saif-Ur-Rahman, KM, Vasanthan Thinagaran, Lenny, Benton, Lorna, Schwingshackl, Lukas, Siedler, Madelin R., Bala, Malgorzata M., Metzendorf, Maria-Inti, Aloosh, Mehdi, Cinquini, Michela, Cumpston, Miranda, Skoetz, Nicole, Oloyede, Oyekola, Alonso-Coello, Pablo, Dahm, Philipp, Wang, Qi, Vieira, Rafael José, Morgan, Rebecca L., Murthy, Srinivas, Hofstede, Stefanie, Laot-Cabon, Sylvie, Thomander, Tuuli, Siebert, Uwe, Leontiadis, Grigorios I., Schünemann, Holger (2026): Integrating Planetary Health in Health Guidelines (GRADE Guidance 46) - Annals of Internal Medicine
Rahmstorf, Stefan, Jendrkowiak, Jan, Gou, Ruijian, Cheng, Lijing, Ruiz‐Angulo, Angel, Björnsson, Halldór (2026): Multidecadal Atlantic “Warming Hole” Heat Content Variations Are Caused by Ocean Heat Transport, Not by Surface Fluxes - Geophysical Research Letters
Braun, Tobias, Vallejo Bernal, Sara Maria, Marwan, Norbert, Kurths, Jürgen, Quaas, Johannes, Díaz-Guilera, Albert, Gimeno, Luis, Mahecha, Miguel D. (2026): Atmospheric river trajectories organise along a global transport network - Earth System Dynamics
Chen, Min, Wu, Kai, Pradhan, Prajal, Allen, Cameron, Nativi, Stefano, Hubacek, Klaus, Voinov, Alexey, Creutzig, Felix, Filatova, Tatiana, Boers, Niklas, Meadows, Michael, Ma, Peilong, Biermann, Frank, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Ludden, John, Paradiso, Maria, Batty, Michael, Guo, Huadong, Cao, Min, Hou, Peng, Lü, Guonian (2026): Steering open-source AI to accelerate the sustainable development goals [Comment] - Nature Communications
Best, Frank, Pahle, Michael, Sultani, Darius, Günther, Claudia, Herten, Malte, Richstein, Jörn, Edenhofer, Ottmar (2026): A Safety Valve for the EU ETS endgame: Containing Prices through Carbon Dioxide Removal - Ariadne-Dossier
Best, Frank, Pahle, Michael, Sultani, Darius, Günther, Claudia, Herten, Malte, Richstein, Jörn, Edenhofer, Ottmar (2026): Ein Sicherheitsventil für die Endphase des EU-Emissionshandelssystems: Preisstabilisierung durch die Entfernung von Kohlendioxid - Ariadne-Dossier Zusammenfassung
Kallenberg, Michiel, Paudel, Dilli, Ofori-Ampofo, Stella, Baja, Hikmy, van Bree, Ron, Potze, Aike, Poudel, Pratishtha, Saleh, Abdelrahman, Anderson, Weston, von Bloh, Malte, Castellano, Andres, Ennaji, Oumnia, Hamed, Raed, Laudien, Rahel, Lee, Donghoon, Luna, Inti, Meroni, Michele, Mumo Mutuku, Janet, Mkuhlani, Siyabusa, Richetti, Jonathan, Ruane, Alex C., Sahajpal, Ritvik, Shai, Guanyuan, Sitokonstantinou, Vasileios, de Souza Nóia Júnior, Rogério, Srivastava, Amit Kumar, Strong, Robert, Sweet, Lily-belle, Vojnovic, Petar, Athanasiadis, Ioannis N. (2026): CY-Bench: A comprehensive benchmark dataset for sub-national crop yield forecasting - Earth System Science Data
Forster, Piers M., Walsh, Tristram, Smith, Chris, Lamb, William F., Lamboll, Robin, Cassou, Christophe, Hauser, Mathias, Hausfather, Zeke, Lee, June-Yi, Palmer, Matthew D., von Schuckmann, Karina, Slangen, Aimée B. A., Szopa, Sophie, Trewin, Blair, Yun, Jeongeun, Gillett, Nathan P., Jenkins, Stuart, Matthews, H. Damon, Raghavan, Krishnan, Ribes, Aurélien, Rogelj, Joeri, Rosen, Debbie, Zhang, Xuebin, Allen, Myles, Andrew, Robbie M., Atkinson, Chris, Betts, Richard A., Bombelli, Antonio, Burgess, Samantha N., Cheng, Lijing, Claxton, Helen E., Friedlingstein, Pierre, Frölicher, Thomas L., Domingues, Catia M., Gasser, Thomas, Gregory, Catherine H., Hoesly, Rachel M., Huppmann, Daniel, Ishii, Masayoshi, Kadow, Christopher, Karwat, Alexia, Kennedy, John, Killick, Rachel E., Kovilakam, Mahesh V. M., Krummel, Paul B., Lan, Xin, Lamarque, Jean-François, Liné, Aurélien, Martín-Míguez, Belén, Monselesan, Didier P., Morice, Colin, Mühle, Jens, Mussak, Pino, Peters, Glen P., Pirani, Anna, Pongratz, Julia, Rigby, Matthew, Rohde, Robert, Savita, Abhishek, Seneviratne, Sonia I., Smith, Steven J., Taha, Ghassan, Tassone, Caterina, Thorne, Peter, Wells, Christopher, Western, Luke M., van der Werf, Guido R., Wijffels, Susan E., Zecchetto, Marco, Zhong, Junting, Zhang, Xiao-Ye, Masson-Delmotte, Valérie, Zhai, Panmao (2026): Indicators of Global Climate Change 2025:annual update of key indicators of the stateof the climate system and human influence - Earth System Science Data
Eudaric, Jeremy, de Ruiter, Marleen C., Sairam, Nivedita, Camero, Andrés, Rafiezadeh Shahi, Kasra, Smith, Mark W., Zhu, Xiao Xiang, Kreibich, Heidi (2026): Geospatial mapping of malaria risk in flood-prone zones of Sub-Saharan Africa - Scientific Reports
Teran, Jose P., Schlemm, Annika, Nyamweya, Chrispine Sangara, Nkwasa, Albert, Chawanda, Celray J., Frieler, Katja, Nyolei, Douglas, van Griensven, Ann (2026): Stakeholder-informed mapping of climate change impacts on the Water-Energy-Food-Environment nexus in the Lake Victoria basin - Environmental Research: Water
Virkki, Vili, Andersen, Lauren, te Wierik, Sofie, Gerten, Dieter, Porkka, Miina (2026): Regionally divergent drivers behind transgressions of the freshwater change planetary boundary - Nature Communications
Rockström, Johan, Martin, Maria A., Ganopolski, Andrey, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Feulner, Georg, Marwan, Norbert, Rahmstorf, Stefan (2026): We Are in the Anthropocene—Now What? - Earth's Future
Wunderling, Nico, Sakschewski, Boris, Rockström, Johan, Flores, Bernardo M., Hirota, Marina, Staal, Arie (2026): Deforestation-induced drying lowers Amazon climate threshold - Nature
Rehfeld, Matthias, Bartels, Frederike, Brown, Tom, Heberl, Michael, Luderer, Gunnar, Preis, Valentin, Koch, Matthias, Mehlmann, Gert, Perau, Christian, Niessen, Stefan, Sörgel, Dominika, Tran, Dinh Du (2026): Rolle der Kopernikus Innovationen im Systemkontext
Bohnet, Marc-Philipp, Fliegel, Philip, Schoenauer, Anne, van Mierlo, Cosima, Zioga, Maria, Hagen, Achim (2026): Integrating political economy and financial markets in qualitative scenario analysis to elicit EU decarbonization pathways - Earth System Governance
Mannone, Maria, Anand, Mahathi, Fazio, Peppino, Swikir, Abdalla (2026): Density matrix-based dynamics for quantum robotic swarms - Robotics and Autonomous Systems
Kriit, Hedi K., Chen-Xu, José, Semenza, Jan C., Heiliger, Hannah, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, van Daalen, Kim R., Achebak, Hicham, Alari, Anna, Alcayna, Tilly, Ball, Emily, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Callaghan, Max, van Cauwenberghe, Monique, Charnley, Gina E. C., Courtenay, Orin, Cirach, Marta, Garcia-Corral, Paulina, Cross, Troy J., Dasgupta, Shouro, Dickson, Zachary P., Eckelman, Matthew J., Erfort, Cornelius, Fransson, Peter, Farooq, Zia, Gasparyan, Olga, Hamilton, Ian, Hesselman, Marlies, Hänninen, Risto, Hsu, Shih-Che, Janoš, Tomáš, Jatkar, Harshavardhan, Jay, Ollie, Kennard, Harry, Khanna, Kajal, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Lowe, Rachel, Lührsen, Daniela, Maia, Carla, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, San José Plana, Adria, Repke, Tim, Roa-Contreras, Jorge A., Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Scamman, Daniel, Shartova, Natalia, Sherman, Jodi D., Sirotkina, Elena, Singh, Pratik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Springmann, Marco, Stucki, Lara, Tartarini, Federico, Triñanes, Joaquin, Walawender, Maria, Romanello, Marina, Antó, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, Tonne, Cathryn, Rocklöv, Joacim (2026): The 2026 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: narrowing window for decisive health action - The Lancet Public Health
Bachorz, Clara, Dürrwächter, Jakob, Gong, Chen Chris, Odenweller, Adrian, Pehl, Michaja, Schreyer, Felix, Verpoort, Philipp, Luderer, Gunnar, Ueckerdt, Falko (2026): Averting the steel carbon lock-in through strategic green investments - Nature Climate Change
Bachorz, Clara, Dürrwächter, Jakob, Gong, Chen Chris, Odenweller, Adrian, Pehl, Michaja, Schreyer, Felix, Verpoort, Philipp, Luderer, Gunnar, Ueckerdt, Falko (2026): The window to avoid locking in decades of steel emissions is closing fast [Policy Brief] - Nature Climate Change
Gerten, Dieter (2026): Die Überschreitung planetarer Grenzen und die Landwirtschaft - Warnsignal Klima: Die Landwirtschaft
Hunecke, Claudia, Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2026): Globale Produktion und Klimawandel. Kann die künftige Menschheit ausreichend ernährt werden? - Warnsignal Klima: Die Landwirtschaft