SUNRISE RD1

Extreme events in a warming, unequal world: Linking drivers to impact for improved attribution, forecasting and regional responses

SUNRISE brings together 19 academic and non-academic partners from three continents with the scope of advancing the knowledge and practices of attribution science, impact assessment and operationalized forecasting of climate and weather extreme events at global scale. SUNRISE will challenge the state of the art by (i) producing new comprehensive data collections that can serve as references for future studies, (ii) enhancing the understanding of physical mechanisms and causal pathways to strengthen attribution analyses and model development, build operationalized seasonal forecasts and test their skill as early warning systems, (iii) developing novel impact-focused attribution frameworks that integrates climatic and non-climatic drivers across sectors, combines cutting-edge datasets with multivariate methods, and delivers spatially explicit tools for the attribution of compound events and impacts which might be ground-breaking to support adaptation in vulnerable regions, (iv) creating tools for climate justice analyses to inform risk assessment, adaptation planning, and policy support, and (v) delivering attribution services that will help operationalize attribution science. Moreover, SUNRISE will (vi) conduct on the ground surveys to better understand the needs for fair and just adaptation measures of local communities facing increasing danger due to climate change and weather extremes in Europe as much as in the Global South (South America and West Africa). SUNRISE will (vii) interact with local stakeholders, organize workshops and connect these activities with pilot projects to study and implement new adaptation measures with the active involvement of citizen science, civil societies and high-school level students. Thus, SUNRISE brings together physical and social sciences to tackle the great challenge of climate and weather extremes in a warming world and actively contribute to a fair and just mitigation, adaptation and policy measures in a practical way.

Duration

Oct 01, 2026 until Sep 30, 2029

Funding Agency

EU, Horizon Europe

Funding Call

HORIZON-CL5-2025-06

Contact

Giorgia Di Capua