Publications

Tipping Elements
Bathiany, Sebastian, Bastiaansen, Robbin, Bastos, Ana, Blaschke, Lana, Lever, Jelle, Loriani, Sina, De Keersmaecker, Wanda, Dorigo, Wouter, Milenković, Milutin, Senf, Cornelius, Smith, Taylor, Verbesselt, Jan, Boers, Niklas (2025): Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook - Surveys in Geophysics
Hebden, Sophie, van der Wel, Narelle, Liddy, Hannah, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Wood, Richard, Rast, Michael (2025): Special Issue: International Space Science Institute (ISSI) Workshop on Tipping Elements in the Earth’s Climate System [Guest Editorial] - Surveys in Geophysics
Loriani, Sina, Bartsch, Annett, Calamita, E., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Hebden, S., Hirota, M., Landolfi, A., Nagler, T., Sakschewski, Boris, Staal, A., Verbesselt, J., Winkelmann, Ricarda, Wood, R., Wunderling, Nico (2025): Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs? - Surveys in Geophysics
Sudharsan, S., Pal, Tapas Kumar, Ghosh, Dibakar, Kurths, Jürgen (2025): Extreme events in two coupled chaotic oscillators - Physical Review E
Everall, Jordan, Tschofenig, Fabian, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Otto, Ilona M. (2025): The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority - Earth System Dynamics
Enache, Elias, Kozak, Oleksandr, Wunderling, Nico, Vollmer, Jürgen (2025): Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations - Chaos
Roman Cuesta, Rosa Maria, Dentener, Frank, Galmarini, Stefano, Milkoreit, Manjana, Armstrong Mckay, David, De Groeve, Tom, Dennis, Donovan, Janssens-Maenhout, Greet, Loriani, Sina, Ruiz Moreno, Ana (2025): Earth System Tipping Points are a threat to Europe - Science for Policy Brief
Lu, Fuzhi, Lu, Huayu, Gu, Yao, Lin, Pengyu, Lu, Zhengyao, Zhang, Qiong, Zhang, Hongyan, Yang, Fan, Dong, Xiaoyi, Yi, Shuangwen, Chen, Deliang, Pausata, Francesco S. R., Ben-Yami, Maya, Mecking, Jennifer V. (2025): Tipping point-induced abrupt shifts in East Asian hydroclimate since the Last Glacial Maximum - Nature Communications
McKay, David I. Armstrong, Buxton, Joshua E., Loriani, Sina, Wunderling, Nico, Abis, Beniamino , Abrams, Jesse F., Aksenov,, Yevgeny, Nava, Beatriz Arellano, Brunetti, Maura, Chiessi, Cristiano M., Dakos, Vasilis, Dennis, Donovan, Duke, Norman C., England, Matthew H., Flores, Bernardo M., Garbe, Julius, Gunn, Kathryn, Hessen, Dag O., Von der Heydt, Anna, Kääb, Andreas, Kéfi, Sonia, Langebroek, Petra M., Lucarini, Valerio, Messori, Gabriele, Millman, Helen, Nitzbon, Jan, Parry, Isobel, Pichon, Benoît, Marie-Aude, Pradal, Sakschewski, Boris, Sanabria-Fernández, José A., Schwinger, Jörg, Sinet, Sacha, Spears, Bryan M., Staver, A. Carla, Steinert, Norman Julius, Sudakow, Ivan, Tharammal, Thejna (2025): Status of Earth system tipping points: What’s new? - The Global Tipping Points Report 2025
Lenton, Timothy M., Milkoreit, Manjana, Willcock, Simon, Abrams, Jesse F., McKay, David I. Armstrong, Buxton, Joshua E., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Loriani, Sina, Wunderling, Nico, Alkemade, Floor, Barrett, Mike, Constantino, Sara, Powell, Tom, Smith, Steven R., Boulton, Chris A., Dennis, Donovan, Dijjkstra, Henk, Pearce-Kelly, Paul, Pinho, Patricia, Roman-Cuesta, Rosa M. (2025): Global Tipping Points Report 2025
Jose, Jerry, Gires, Auguste, Roustan, Yelva, Schnorenberger, Ernani, Tchiguirinskaia, Ioulia, Schertzer, Daniel (2024): Multifractal analysis of wind turbine power and rainfall from an operational wind farm – Part 1: Wind turbine power and the associated biases - Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Bathiany, Sebastian, Nian, Da, Drüke, Markus, Boers, Niklas (2024): Resilience Indicators for Tropical Rainforests in a Dynamic Vegetation Model - Global Change Biology
Ripple, William J, Wolf, Christopher, Gregg, Jillian W, Rockström, Johan, Mann, Michael E, Oreskes, Naomi, Lenton, Timothy M, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Newsome, Thomas M, Xu, Chi, Svenning, Jens-Christian, Pereira, Cássio Cardoso, Law, Beverly E, Crowther, Thomas W (2024): The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth - BioScience
Morr, Andreas, Boers, Niklas, Ashwin, Peter (2024): Internal Noise Interference to Warnings of Tipping Points in Generic Multidimensional Dynamical Systems - SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems
Akabane, T. K., Chiessi, C. M., Hirota, M., Bouimetarhan, I., Prange, M., Mulitza, S., Bertassoli Jr, D. J., Häggi, C., Staal, A., Lohmann, G., Boers, Niklas, Daniau, A. L., Oliveira, R. S., Campos, M. C., Shi, X., De Oliveira, P. E. (2024): Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests - Nature Geoscience
Rosser, Jonathan P., Winkelmann, Ricarda, Wunderling, Nico (2024): Polar ice sheets are decisive contributors to uncertainty in climate tipping projections - Communications Earth and Environment
Rockström, Johan, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Fetzer, Ingo, Martin, Maria A., Wang-Erlandsson, Lan, Richardson, Katherine (2024): Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Wang, Yu, Cao, Jinde, Kurths, Jürgen, Yanchuk, Serhiy (2024): Universal bifurcation scenarios in delay-differential equations with one delay - Journal of Differential Equations
Nian, Da, Bathiany, Sebastian, Sakschewski, Boris, Drüke, Markus, Blaschke, Lana, Ben-Yami, Maya, von Bloh, Werner, Boers, Niklas (2024): Rainfall seasonality dominates critical precipitation threshold for the Amazon forest in the LPJmL vegetation model - Science of the Total Environment
Li, Qianze, He, Wenping, Xie, Xiaoqiang, Mei, Ying, Sun, Hui, Boers, Niklas (2024): Early warning signal of abrupt change in sea level pressure based on changing spectral exponent - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
Spaiser, Viktoria, Juhola, Sirkku, Constantino, Sara M., Guo, Weisi, Watson, Tabitha, Sillmann, Jana, Craparo, Alessandro, Basel, Ashleigh, Bruun, John T., Krishnamurthy, Krishna, Scheffran, Jürgen, Pinho, Patricia, Okpara, Uche T., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Bhowmik, Avit, Yasseri, Taha, Safra de Campos, Ricardo, Cumming, Graeme S., Chenet, Hugues, Krampe, Florian, Abrams, Jesse F., Dyke, James G., Rynders, Stefanie, Aksenov, Yevgeny, Spears, Bryan M. (2024): Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization - Earth System Dynamics
Cai, Fenying, Liu, Cai-Hong, Yang, Song, Deng, Kai-Qiang, Kurths, Jürgen (2024): Linkage Between European and East Asian Heatwaves on Synoptic Scales - Journal of Tropical Meteorology
Klose, Ann Kristin, Coulon, V., Pattyn, F., Winkelmann, Ricarda (2024): The long–term sea–level commitment from Antarctica - The Cryosphere