Publications

Publications are one of PIKs most important outputs. On this page you will find our latest work and further information
Lindner, Michael, Geis, Julian, Luderer, Gunnar, Bartels, Frederike, Brown, Tom (2025): Auswirkungen einer Anpassung der Ausbauziele für erneuerbare Energien für das Jahr 2030 - Ariadne-Report
Guarin, Jose Rafael, Yang, Meijian, MacCarthy, Dilys S., Karl, Kevin, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Ruane, Alex C., Castellano, Andres, Freduah, Bright S., Wesley, Gershom O., Narh, Stephen, Mendez Leal, Elena, Rosenzweig, Cynthia: Modelling the productivity of opportunity crops across Africa under climate change in support of the Vision for Adapted Crops and Soils - Nature Plants
Huber, Veronika, Breitner-Busch, Susanne, Feldbusch, Hanna, Frieler, Katja, He, Cheng, Matthies-Wiesler, Franziska, Mengel, Matthias, Zhang, Siqi, Peters, Annette, Schneider, Alexandra: Improvements in life expectancy mask rising trends in heat-related excess mortality attributable to climate change - Nature Communications
Riechers, Keno, Morr, Andreas, Lehnertz, Klaus, Lind, Pedro G., Boers, Niklas, Witthaut, Dirk, Gorjão, Leonardo Rydin (2025): Discontinuous stochastic forcing in Greenland ice core data - Climate Dynamics
van der Spek, Mijndert, Bardow, André, Baum, Chad M., Bolongaro, Vittoria, Dufour-Décieux, Vincent, Esch, Carla, Fritz, Livia, Garcia, Susana, Hamann, Christiane, Hondeborg, Dianne, Kiani, Ali, Lück, Sarah, Patel, Shrey Kalpeshkumar, Peh, Shing Bo, Pisciotta, Maxwell, Psarras, Peter, Repke, Tim, Sáenz-Cavazos, Paola Alejandra, Schulte, Ingrid, Shu, David, Shu, Qingdian, Sovacool, Benjamin, Strefler, Jessica, Castaño, Sara Vallejo, Wang, Jin-Yu, Wessling, Matthias, Wilcox, Jennifer, Young, John, Minx, Jan C. (2025): An ecosystem of carbon dioxide removal reviews – part 1: direct air CO2 capture and storage - Energy & Environmental Science
Hermans, Tim H. J., Ben Hammouda, Chiheb, Treu, Simon, Tiggeloven, Timothy, Couasnon, Anaïs, Busecke, Julius J. M., van de Wal, Roderik S. W. (2025): Computing extreme storm surges in Europe using neural networks - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Ferreira, Gabriel Vinicius, da Cruz, Felipe Eduardo Lopes, Marghoti, Gabriel, de Prado, Thiago Lima, Lopes, Sergio Roberto, Marwan, Norbert, Kurths, Jürgen (2025): RecurrenceMicrostatesAnalysis.jl: A Julia library for analyzing dynamical systems with recurrence microstates - Chaos
Sun, Fenglan, Yi, Yuteng, Zhu, Wei, Kurths, Jürgen (2025): A communicability-driven expert influence model for large-scale group decision-making based on complex network theory - Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Liu, Hu, Wang, Lei, Chen, Deliang, Yao, Tandong, Bashir, Ahmad, Shrestha, Maheswor, Conradt, Tobias, Nepal, Santosh, Zhou, Jing, Li, Xiuping, Li, Ning, Liu, Ruishun, Xu, Baiqing (2025): Importance of melting water in the Third Pole transboundary fluvial floods - Science Bulletin
Rockström, Johan, Schlosser, Peter, Bhowmik, Avit K., Cremades, Roger, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Dyke, James G., Ebi, Kristie L., Heilemann, Adrian, Jacob, Daniela, Mirazo, Paula, Moreno Ramírez, Denise, Nakicenovic, Nebojsa, Otto, Ilona M., Prettenthaler, Franz, Ranganathan, Janet, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Warren, Rachel, Wu, Henry C.: Living beyond limits: Consequences of missing the decisive decade for preserving our planet’s life-supporting systems [Commentary] - One Earth
Edenhofer, Ottmar, Kriegler, Elmar, Luderer, Gunnar, Rockström, Johan (2025): The road (back) to Paris
Zhu, Junyou, He, Langzhou, Gao, Chao, Hou, Dongpeng, Su, Zhen, Yu, Philip S., Kurths, Jürgen, Hellmann, Frank (2025): SDMG: Smoothing Your Diffusion Models for Powerful Graph Representation Learning - Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
Flemyng, Ella, Norl-Storr, Anne, Macura, Biljana, Gartlehner, Gerald, Thomas, James, Meerpohl, Joerg J., Jordan, Zoe, Minx, Jan C., Eisele-Metzger, Angelika, Hamel, Candyce, Jemioło, Paweł, Porritt, Kylie, Grainger, Matthew (2025): Position statement on artificial intelligence (AI) use in evidence synthesis across Cochrane, the Campbell Collaboration, JBI and the Collaboration for Environmental Evidence 2025 [Editorial] - Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
Döring, Michelle, Brill, Markus, Heitzig, Jobst: The River Method - The 40th Annual AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
van Vuuren, Detlef, Abduallah, Ambiyah, Agarwal, Sanchit, Aleluia Reis, Lara, Awais, Muhammad, Di Bella, Alice, Bosetti, Valentina, Brutschin, Elina, Campo Lombato, Edoardo, Charalampidis, Ioannis, Chaudhury, Saswata, Chen, Wenying, Crassier, Constance, Cró Maycock, Stephen, Dafnomilis, Ioannis, Dekker, Mark, Fragkiadakis, Dimitris, Gkampura, Eleni-Christina, Garg, Amit, He, Chenmin, Hooijschuur, Elena, Maheshwari, Jyoti, Manzoor, Talha, Mathur, Ritu, Missbach, Leonard, Pachauri, Shonali, Pelz, Setu, Phuong, Hoang, Rathmann, Régis, Riahi, Keywan, Rocchi, Paola, Schaeffer, Roberto, Schmidt Tagomori, Isabela, Steckel, Jan Christoph, Solf, Stephanie, Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Saritha, Thanh Tu, Tran, Nguyen, Vu, Vrontisi, Zoi, Yang, Lei, Zhang, Shu, Zinkeviciute, Gintare (2025): Holding the course in a shifting world: Annual Net-Zero Report 2025
Grant, Neil, Forner, Claudio, Geffray, Marie-Charlotte, Hare, Bill, Khan, Zarrar, Welder, Lara, Tsekeris, Dimitris, Gong, Chen Chris, Lécuyer, Fabrice, Müßel, Jarusch, Luderer, Gunnar (2025): Rescuing 1.5ºC: New evidence on highest possible ambition to deliver the Paris Agreement
Gloy, Nele, Chemura, Abel, Tchindjang, Mesmin, Gornott, Christoph (2025): Mapping climate change impacts on cocoa-agroforestry systems in Cameroon to mitigate future deforestation - Agronomy for Sustainable Development
Zantout, Karim, Balkovic, Juraj, Billing, Maik, Folberth, Christian, Gosling, Simon N., Hank, Tobias, Hantson, Stijn, Iizumi, Toshichika, Ito, Akihiko, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Jain, Atul K., Khabarov, Nikolay, Kou-Giesbrecht, Sian, Li, Fang, Li, Mengxue, Lin, Tzu-Shun, Liu, Wenfeng, Müller, Christoph, Okada, Masashi, Ostberg, Sebastian, Otta, Kedar, Rabin, Sam, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Scheer, Clemens, Schneider, Julia M., Zabel, Florian, Frieler, Katja, Schewe, Jacob (2025): Shifting dominant periods in extreme climate impacts under global warming - Nature Communications
Huang, Wenzhong, Xu, Rongbin, Yang, Zhengyu, Otto, Christian, Hales, Simon, Hundessa, Samuel, Ye, Tingting, Chua, Paul L. C., Ritchie, Elizabeth A., Coelho, Micheline S. Z. S., Yu, Pei, Tantrakarnapa, Kraichat, Saldiva, Paulo H. N., Zhang, Yiwen, Xu, Zhihu, Zhou, Shuang, Lavigne, Eric, Seposo, Xerxes Tesoro, Kliengchuay, Wissanupong, Guo, Yue Leon, Kim, Ho, Yu, Wenhua, Liu, Yanming, Ju, Ke, Wu, Yao, Wen, Bo, Li, Shanshan, Guo, Yuming (2025): Cause specific mortality risks associated with tropical cyclones in multiple countries and territories: two stage, time series study - BMJ: British Medical Journal
Olhoff, Anne, Lamb, William F., Kuramochi, Takeshi, Rogeli, Joeri, den Elzen, Michel, Christensen, John, Fransen, Taryn, Pathak, Minal, Tong, Dan (2025): Emissions Gap Report 2025: Off target – Continued collective inaction puts global temperature goal at risk
van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Bekkers, Vera, Beier, Felicitas, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Oliveira, Thais Diniz, Gerwien, Laura, Gibson, Matthew, Herrero, Mario, Hijbeek, Renske, Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Popp, Alexander, Rolinski, Susanne, Sundiang, Marina, Weindl, Isabelle, Simon, Wolfram J. (2025): Integrating circularity into the 2025 EAT–Lancet framework: a global modelling analysis - The Lancet Planetary Health
Mishra, Abhijeet, Sulser, Timothy B., Sherwin, Gabriel, Cenacchi, Nicola, Dunston, Shahnila, Headey, Derek, Herrero, Mario, Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Wiebe, Keith (2025): Affordability and nutritional challenges for the future of EAT diets: an economic modelling analysis - The Lancet Planetary Health
Sundiang, Marina, Diniz Oliveira, Thais, Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Gibson, Matthew, Beier, Felicitas, Benavidez, Lauren, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Bos, Astrid, Chepeliev, Maksym, Chen, David Meng-Chuen, de Lange, Thijs, Doelman, Jonathan, Dunston, Shahnila, Frank, Stefan, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Hasegawa, Tomoko, Havlik, Petr, Hristov, Jordan, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Kozicka, Marta, Kuiper, Marijke, Kyle, Page, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Luchtenbelt, Hermen, Mishra, Abhijeet, Müller, Christoph, Nelson, Gerald, Palazzo, Amanda, Pérez Domínguez, Ignacio, Popp, Alexander, Sands, Ronald, Springmann, Marco, Stehfest, Elke, Sulser, Timothy, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Tassinari, Gianmaria, Thom, Ferike, Thornton, Philip, Tsuchiya, Kazuaki, van Zeist, Willem-Jan, van Meijl, Hans, van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, Van Vuuren, Detlef, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Weindl, Isabelle, Wiebe, Keith, Zhao, Xin, Herrero, Mario (2025): Bundling measures for food systems transformation: a global, multimodel assessment - The Lancet Planetary Health
Thom, Ferike, Beier, Felicitas, Gibson, Matthew, Sundiang, Marina, Chen, David Meng-Chuen, de Lange, Thijs, Luchtenbelt, Hermen, Tassinari, Gianmaria, Mishra, Abhijeet, Diniz Oliveira, Thais (2025): Between code and conscience: early-career researcher reflections on agroeconomic modelling and international research collaboration [Viewpoint] - The Lancet Planetary Health