Publications

Transformation Pathways
Windisch, Michael G., Humpenöder, Florian, Merfort, Leon, Bauer, Nicolas, Luderer, Gunnar, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Heinke, Jens, Müller, Christoph, Abrahão, Gabriel Medeiros, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Popp, Alexander (2025): Hedging our bet on forest permanence for the economic viability of climate targets - Nature Communications
Ockenfels, Axel, Pahle, Michael (2025): Das Pariser Abkommen droht zu scheitern. Was jetzt? - Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik
Herkel, Sebastian, Billerbeck, Anna, Bürger, Veit, Epp, Julia, Hasse, Robin, Henger, Ralp, Köhler, Benjamin, Kost, Christoph, Thomsen, Jessica (2025): Wärmewende jetzt – Impulse aus der Wissenschaft - Ariadne-Report
Maury, O., Tittensor, D. P., Eddy, T. D., Allison, E. H., Bahri, T., Barrier, N., Campling, L., Cheung, W. W. L., Frieler, Katja, Fulton, E. A., Guillotreau, P., Heneghan, R. F., Lam, V. W. Y., Leclère, D., Lengaigne, M., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Novaglio, C., Ortega‐Cisneros, K., Rault, J., Schewe, Jacob, Shin, Y.‐J., Sloterdijk, H., Squires, D., Sumaila, U. R., Tidd, A. N., van Ruijven, B., Blanchard, J. (2025): The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): A New Scenario and Simulation Framework to Investigate the Future of the World Fisheries - Earth's Future
Zhao, Fang, Nie, Ning, Liu, Yang, Yi, Congrui, Guillaumot, Luca, Wada, Yoshihide, Burek, Peter, Smilovic, Mikhail, Frieler, Katja, Büchner, Matthias, Schewe, Jacob, Gosling, Simon N. (2025): Benefits of Calibrating a Global Hydrological Model for Regional Analyses of Flood and Drought Projections: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Basin - Water Resources Research
Kazaba, Paul K., Kulik, Lars, Beukou Choumbou, Ghislain B., Douhin Tiémoko, Christelle B., Oni, Funmilayo L., Kamgang, Serge A., Heinicke, Stefanie, Koné, Inza, Mucyo, Samedi Jean Pierre, Sop, Tenekwetche, Boesch, Christophe, Stephens, Colleen, Agbor, Anthony, Angedakin, Samuel, Bailey, Emma, Bessone, Mattia, Coupland, Charlotte, Deschner, Tobias, Dieguez, Paula, Granjon, Anne‐Céline, Harder, Briana, Head, Josephine, Hicks, Thurston Cleveland, Jones, Sorrel, Kadam, Parag, Kalan, Ammie K., Langergraber, Kevin E., Lapuente, Juan, Lee, Kevin C., Lynn, Laura K., Maldonado, Nuria, McCarthy, Maureen S., Meier, Amelia C., Ormsby, Lucy Jayne, Piel, Alex, Robbins, Martha M., Sciaky, Lilah, Sommer, Volker, Stewart, Fiona A., Widness, Jane, Wittig, Roman M., Wessling, Erin G., Arandjelovic, Mimi, Kühl, Hjalmar, van der Hoek, Yntze (2025): Chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes) Indicate Mammalian Abundance Across Broad Spatial Scales - Ecology and Evolution
Andreou, Andreas, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Filippidou, Faidra, Zisarou, Eleftheria, Avgerinopoulos, Georgios, Pietzcker, Robert C., Hasse, Robin, Rosemann, Ricarda (2025): Evaluating the impact of lifestyle changes: a scenario-based analysis for Europe’s residential buildings sector - Environmental Research Communications
Auer, Cornelia, Bosello, Francesco, Bressan, Giacomo, Delpiazzo, Elisa, Monasterolo, Irene, Otto, Christian, Parrado, Ramiro, Reyer, Christopher P. O. (2025): Cascading socio-economic and financial impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war differ across sectors and regions - Communications Earth and Environment
Luderer, Gunnar, Bartels, Frederike, Brown, Tom, Luderer, Gunnar, Bartels, Frederike, Brown, Tom, Aulich, Clara, Benke, Falk, Fleiter, Tobias, Frank, Fabio, Ganal, Helen, Geis, Julian, Gerhardt, Norman, Gnann, Till, Gunnemann, Alyssa, Hasse, Robin, Herbst, Andrea, Herkel, Sebastian, Hoppe, Johanna, Kost, Christoph, Krail, Michael, Lindner, Michael, Neuwirth, Marius, Nolte, Hannah, Pietzcker, Robert C., Plötz, Patrick, Rehfeldt, Matthias, Schreyer, Felix, Seibold, Toni, Senkpiel, Charlotte, Sörgel, Dominika, Speth, Daniel, Steffen, Bjarne, Verpoort, Philipp (2025): Die Energiewende kosteneffizient gestalten: Szenarien zur Klimaneutralität 2045 - Ariadne-Report
Eddy, Tyler D., Heneghan, Ryan F., Bryndum‐Buchholz, Andrea, Fulton, Elizabeth A., Harrison, Cheryl S., Tittensor, Derek P., Lotze, Heike K., Ortega‐Cisneros, Kelly, Novaglio, Camilla, Bianchi, Daniele, Büchner, Matthias, Bulman, Catherine, Cheung, William W. L., Christensen, Villy, Coll, Marta, Everett, Jason D., Fierro‐Arcos, Denisse, Galbraith, Eric D., Gascuel, Didier, Guiet, Jerome, Mackinson, Steve, Maury, Olivier, Niiranen, Susa, Oliveros‐Ramos, Ricardo, Palacios‐Abrantes, Juliano, Piroddi, Chiara, du Pontavice, Hubert, Reum, Jonathan, Richardson, Anthony J., Schewe, Jacob, Shannon, Lynne, Shin, Yunne‐Jai, Steenbeek, Jeroen, Volkholz, Jan, Walker, Nicola D., Woodworth‐Jefcoats, Phoebe, Blanchard, Julia L. (2025): Global and Regional Marine Ecosystem Models Reveal Key Uncertainties in Climate Change Projections - Earth's Future
Paprotny, Dominik, 't Hart, Cornelis Marcel Pieter, Morales-Nápoles, Oswaldo (2025): Evolution of flood protection levels and flood vulnerability in Europe since 1950 estimated with vine-copula models - Natural Hazards
van Heerden, Rik, Edelenbosch, Oreane Y., Daioglou, Vassilis, Le Gallic, Thomas, Baptista, Luiz Bernardo, Di Bella, Alice, Colelli, Francesco Pietro, Emmerling, Johannes, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Hasse, Robin, Hoppe, Johanna, Kishimoto, Paul, Leblanc, Florian, Lefèvre, Julien, Luderer, Gunnar, Marangoni, Giacomo, Mastrucci, Alessio, Pettifor, Hazel, Pietzcker, Robert C., Rochedo, Pedro, van Ruijven, Bas, Schaeffer, Roberto, Wilson, Charlie, Yeh, Sonia, Zisarou, Eleftheria, van Vuuren, Detlef (2025): Demand-side policies can significantly reduce emissions from energy use in buildings and transport [Policy Brief] - Nature Energy
van Heerden, Rik, Edelenbosch, Oreane Y., Daioglou, Vassilis, Le Gallic, Thomas, Baptista, Luiz Bernardo, Di Bella, Alice, Colelli, Francesco Pietro, Emmerling, Johannes, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Hasse, Robin, Hoppe, Johanna, Kishimoto, Paul, Leblanc, Florian, Lefèvre, Julien, Luderer, Gunnar, Marangoni, Giacomo, Mastrucci, Alessio, Pettifor, Hazel, Pietzcker, Robert C., Rochedo, Pedro, van Ruijven, Bas, Schaeffer, Roberto, Wilson, Charlie, Yeh, Sonia, Zisarou, Eleftheria, van Vuuren, Detlef (2025): Demand-side strategies enable rapid and deep cuts in buildings and transport emissions to 2050 - Nature Energy
Ortega‐Cisneros, Kelly, Fierros‐Arcos, Denisse, Lindmark, Max, Novaglio, Camilla, Woodworth‐Jefcoats, Phoebe, Eddy, Tyler D., Coll, Marta, Fulton, Elizabeth, Oliveros‐Ramos, Ricardo, Reum, Jonathan, Shin, Yunne‐Jai, Bulman, Cathy, Capitani, Leonardo, Datta, Samik, Murphy, Kieran, Rogers, Alice, Shannon, Lynne, Whitehouse, George A., Adekoya, Ezekiel, Dias, Beatriz S., Fuster‐Alonso, Alba, Hansen, Cecilie, Husson, Bérengère, McGregor, Vidette, Morell, Alaia, Morzaria Luna, Hem‐Nalini, Ouled‐Cheikh, Jazel, Ruzicka, James, Steenbeek, Jeroen, Stollberg, Ilaria, Subramaniam, Roshni C., Tulloch, Vivitskaia, Bryndum‐Buchholz, Andrea, Harrison, Cheryl S., Heneghan, Ryan, Maury, Olivier, Pozo Buil, Mercedes, Schewe, Jacob, Tittensor, Derek P., Townsend, Howard, Blanchard, Julia L. (2025): An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems - Earth's Future
van der Zwaan, Bob, Fattahi, Amir, Dalla Longa, Francesco, Dekker, Mark, van Vuuren, Detlef, Pietzcker, Robert C., Rodrigues, Renato, Schreyer, Felix, Huppmann, Daniel, Emmerling, Johannes, Pfenninger, Stefan, Lombardi, Francesco, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Kannavou, Maria, Fotiou, Theofano, Tolios, Giannis, Usher, Will (2025): Electricity- and hydrogen-driven energy system sector-coupling in net-zero CO2 emission pathways - Nature Communications
Pahle, Michael, Quemin, Simon, Osorio, Sebastian, Günther, Claudia, Pietzcker, Robert C. (2025): The emerging endgame: The EU ETS on the road towards climate neutrality - Resource and Energy Economics
Bosch, Tim, Thornton, Fanny, Vinke, Kira (2025): Climate Change Is Affecting Geopolitics – Not Just the Other Way Around - DGAP Memo
Tilloy, Aloïs, Paprotny, Dominik, Grimaldi, Stefania, Gomes, Goncalo, Bianchi, Alessandra, Lange, Stefan, Beck, Hylke, Mazzetti, Cinzia, Feyen, Luc (2025): HERA: a high-resolution pan-European hydrological reanalysis (1951–2020) - Earth System Science Data
Sauer, Inga, Walsh, Brian, Frieler, Katja, Bresch, David N., Otto, Christian (2025): Understanding the distributional effects of recurrent floods in the Philippines - iScience
Wang, Xiaoxi, Cai, Hao, Xuan, Jiaqi, Du, Ruiying, Lin, Bin, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Stevanović, Miodrag, Collignon, Quitterie, Yuan, Changzhen, Yu, Lu, Crawford, Michael, Beier, Felicitas, Xu, Meng, Chen, Hui, Springmann, Marco, Leip, Debbora, Chen, David Meng-Chuen, Humpenöder, Florian, von Jeetze, Patrick José, Fan, Shenggen, Sörgel, Björn, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Müller, Christoph, Popp, Alexander, Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2025): Bundled measures for China’s food system transformation reveal social and environmental co-benefits - Nature Food
Odenweller, Adrian, Ueckerdt, Falko (2025): The green hydrogen ambition and implementation gap - Nature Energy
Chen, David Meng-Chuen, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Wang, Xiaoxi, Xuan, Jiaqi, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Popp, Alexander, Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2025): Future food prices will become less sensitive to agricultural market prices and mitigation costs - Nature Food
Arvesen, Anders, Humpenöder, Florian, Navarrete Gutiérrez, Tomás, Gibon, Thomas, Baustert, Paul, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Stadler, Konstantin, Iordan, Cristina Maria, Luderer, Gunnar, Popp, Alexander, Cherubini, Francesco (2025): Advancing life cycle assessment of bioenergy crops with global land use models - Environmental Research Communications
Dombrowsky, Ines, Iacobuţă, Gabriela Ileana, Daioglou, Vassilis, Keppler, Dorothee, Sörgel, Björn, Weindl, Isabelle, Kriegler, Elmar (2025): Policy mixes for sustainable development pathways: representation in integrated assessment models - Environmental Research Letters
Blanchard, Julia L., Novaglio, Camilla, Maury, Olivier, Harrison, Cheryl S., Petrik, Colleen M., Fierro‐Arcos, Denisse, Ortega‐Cisneros, Kelly, Bryndum‐Buchholz, Andrea, Eddy, Tyler D., Heneghan, Ryan, Roberts, Kelsey, Schewe, Jacob, Bianchi, Daniele, Guiet, Jerome, Daniel van Denderen, P., Palacios‐Abrantes, Juliano, Liu, Xiao, Stock, Charles A., Rousseau, Yannick, Büchner, Matthias, Adekoya, Ezekiel O., Bulman, Cathy, Cheung, William, Christensen, Villy, Coll, Marta, Capitani, Leonardo, Datta, Samik, Fulton, Elizabeth A., Fuster, Alba, Garza, Victoria, Lengaigne, Matthieu, Lindmark, Max, Murphy, Kieran, Ouled‐Cheikh, Jazel, Prasad, Sowdamini S., Oliveros‐Ramos, Ricardo, Reum, Jonathan C., Rynne, Nina, Scherrer, Kim J. N., Shin, Yunne‐Jai, Steenbeek, Jeroen, Woodworth‐Jefcoats, Phoebe, Wu, Yan‐Lun, Tittensor, Derek P. (2024): Detecting, Attributing, and Projecting Global Marine Ecosystem and Fisheries Change: FishMIP 2.0 - Earth's Future
Richstein, Jörn C., Anatolitis, Vasilios, Blömer, Robin, Bunnenberg, Lennart, Dürrwächter, Jakob, Eckstein, Johannes, Ehrhart, Karl-Martin, Friedrichsen, Nele, Köveker, Till, Lehmann, Sascha, Lösch, Oliver, Matthes, Felix Christian, Neuhoff, Karsten, Niemölller, Paula, Riemer, Matia, Ueckerdt, Falko, Wachsmuth, Jakob, Wang, Runxi, Winkler, Jenny (2024): Catalyzing the transition to a climate-neutral industry with carbon contracts for difference [Commentary] - Joule
Swaminathan, Ranjini, Schewe, Jacob, Walton, Jeremy, Zimmermann, Klaus, Jones, Colin, Betts, Richard A., Burton, Chantelle, Jones, Chris D., Mengel, Matthias, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Turner, Andrew G., Weigel, Katja (2024): Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity - Earth's Future
Verpoort, Philipp, Ueckerdt, Falko, Beck, Yvonne, Bietenholz, Diego, Dertinger, Andrea, Fleiter, Tobias, Grimm, Anna, Luderer, Gunnar, Neuwirth, Marius, Odenweller, Adrian, Sach, Thobias, Schimmel, Matthias, Sievers, Luisa (2024): Transformation der energieintensiven Industrie - Wettbewerbsfähigkeit durch strukturelle Anpassung und grüne Importe - Ariadne-Report
Sarmiento, Luis, Emmerling, Johannes, Pietzcker, Robert C., Daioglou, Vassilis, Dalla Longa, Francesco, Dekker, Mark M., Drouet, Laurent, Fattahi, Amir, Fragkos, Panagiotis, Henke, Hauke T. J., Fricko, Oliver, Göke, Leonard, Krey, Volker, Lochner, Ellie, Luderer, Gunnar, Macaluso, Nick, O'Keefe, Kowan T. V., Kennedy, Kathleen M., Iyer, Gokul, Rodrigues, Renato, Stewart, Eric, Usher, William, van der Zwaan, Bob, van Vuuren, Detlef, Zisarou, Eleftheria, Zakeri, Behnam (2024): Comparing net zero pathways across the Atlantic A model inter-comparison exercise between the Energy Modeling Forum 37 and the European Climate and Energy Modeling Forum - Energy and Climate Change