South Asia

South Asia, home to a large and growing population, is particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. More frequent extreme weather events, shifting monsoon patterns, and rising temperatures are placing significant pressure on agriculture, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Robust scientific evidence on these impacts, along with effective adaptation and sustainable transition strategies, can guide better decisions and investments. This knowledge supports governments, the private sector, academia, and civil society in strengthening resilience across the region.

Our work in South Asia

Agroecology and natural farming offer great potential to achieve multiple goals—strengthening climate resilience, enhancing livelihoods, and reducing farmers’ dependence on external inputs. Our research examines how these approaches contribute to building climate resilience while improving food security and advancing broader sustainability objectives.

We also evaluate integrated agriculture and nutrition interventions that empower women and promote healthier diets in rural communities. By linking field studies with modeling and impact assessments, our work provides a strong scientific basis for evidence‑based policymaking that supports sustainable and equitable agricultural transitions across the region.

To better understand climate risks and water management challenges, we use the eco‑hydrological model SWIM. It has been applied to the Ganges River basin, including the Himalayan headwaters and parts of India, to quantify flood risks under changing climate conditions and to explore potential insurance mechanisms for downstream areas in Bangladesh. Another application focuses on the Godavari River, one of India’s major watersheds, where the model helps assess reservoir management and adaptation strategies to cope with climate change.

  • Gädeke, A., Wortmann, M., Menz, C., Saiful Islam, A. K. M., Masood, M., Krysanova, V., Lange, S., Hattermann, F. F. (2022): Climate impact emergence and flood peak synchronization projections in the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghan basins under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios. - Environmental Research Letters, 17, 9, 094036.
  • Javed, M., Didovets, I., Böhner, J., Hasson, S. u. (2023): Attributing historical streamflow changes in the Jhelum River basin to climate change. - Climatic Change, 176, 149. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03628-8
  • Kumari, C., Shukla, R., Gornott, C. (2025 online): Understanding spatiotemporal changes of crop species diversity for India. - Environmental and Sustainability Indicators, 28, 100947. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2025.100947
  • Maskell, G. M., Shukla, R., Murken, L., Nguyen, T. T., Weituschat, C. S., Gornott, C. (2025): Do the Ends Represent the Means? Assessing Adaptive Capacity Determinants against Proactive and Reactive Adaptive Actions in Vietnam’s Coffee Growing Region. - Weather, Climate, and Society, 17, 4, 817-832. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-25-0035.1
  • Singh V, Stevanović M, Bodirsky B, L, Mishra A, Ghosh R, K, Popp A, Lotze-Campen H, (2025): A comparison of the effects of local and EAT-Lancet dietary recommendations on selected economic and environmental outcomes in India, - Food Policy 134 102898
  • Singh V, Stevanovic M, Jha C, Beier F, Ghosh R, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A (2023) Assessing policy options for sustainable water use in India’s cereal production system. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acf9b