Activities & Knowledge Transfer

Below a list of activities that were organized in Peru as part of the B-EPICC project

Building Climate Capacities for – and with - Peru, 1st of November 2022

PIK’s Brazil East Africa Peru India Climate Capacity (B-EPICC) project has hosted a ministerial delegation from Peru. The project has worked in, and with, Peru since 2018, where it is concerned with co-producing high-quality and user-oriented research and policy outcomes in a country facing the twin threats of severe flooding and drought, worsened by a changing climate.

© Andrea Kambergs

Funded by the International Climate Initiative (IKI) and concerned with research-led climate capacity building, the B-EPICC project hosted a delegation from a number of Peruvian ministries on 01 November 2022 during their visit to Germany for inter-ministerial exchanges of both countries.

As noted on the day by Peruvian Minister for the Environment, Mr Wilbert Rozas, it is vital that research and policy spheres work hand in hand – with the ultimate goal of supporting people in a changing climate.

Peru has been a partner country to the B-EPICC project since its inception in 2018 and the project has vital links there with the national Ministry for the Environment (MINAM), the National Water Authority (ANA), the National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology (SENAMHI), the International Organization (IOM), and individual researchers and policy makers. Peru is highly vulnerable to climate change impacts ranging from drought to flooding. The El Niño phenomenon occurs regularly, which impacts on extreme rainfall, as well as the agricultural and water sectors, and which ultimately affects communities, including by generating push factors contributing to human migration. In recent years, the B-EPICC project and its researchers have contributed to more reliable long-term El Niño forecasting, developed a novel high-resolution gridded precipitation data set for hydrological modelling of Peruvian (and Ecuadorian) watersheds (RAIN4PE), which is applied by water management actors in-country, and made major inroads in evidencing how climate change affects human migration and displacement in Peru, a topic only beginning to get policy attention there.

On 1st November delegates from the Peruvian Ministry of Environment, Ministry of Agrarian Development and Irrigation, and the General Directorate of Policies and Regulation in Construction and Sanitation together with GIZ and KfW visited the B-EPICC project to discuss further science-policy collaboration ahead of an inter-ministerial exchange with the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development.

B-EPICC Project Training Workshop 2022: Strengthening Resilience Against Climate Change in Peru, 16th to 18th August 2022

Funded by the International Climate Initiative (IKI) and based at PIK’s Future Lab on Social Metabolism and Impacts, the B-EPICC project visited Lima, Peru from 11th to 19th August 2022, with the core purpose of providing a training workshop to local stakeholders around the extensive co-produced research that had been generated through the project since its commencement in 2018. Peru has been a partner country to the project since its inception and the project has vital links with the national Ministry for the Environment (MINAM), the National Water Authority (ANA), the National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology (SENAMHI), the International Organization for Migration (IOM), and individual researchers and policy makers. Peru is highly vulnerable to climate change impacts, influenced by the regularly recurring El Niño phenomenon, which impacts agricultural systems and water resources, and which ultimately affects communities by generating push factors contributing to human migration. In recent years, the B-EPICC project and its researchers have contributed to more reliable long-term El Niño forecasting, developed a novel high-resolution gridded precipitation data set for hydrological modelling of Peruvian (and Ecuadorian) watersheds (RAIN4PE), and made major inroads in evidencing how climate change affects human migration and displacement in Peru, as well as how to respond to this. The training workshop was conducted to share and debate with stakeholders and collaborators methodologies and tools developed through the project, as well as their application, not least in an effort to collaboratively work on further refining these and their usefulness. The event was opened by B-EPICC project lead, Dr. Fanny Thornton; the Head of the Development Cooperation Section at the German Embassy in Lima, Mr. Florian Theus; and Deputy Minister of Strategic Development of Natural Resources of the Minister of the Environment of Peru, Yamina Silva Vidal, Ph.D.

Below you can find PDF versions of the presentations that were held during the Training Workshop.


El Niño


  • Dr. Josef Ludescher (PIK) 

Long-term El Niño Forecasting

  • Dr. Juan Bazo (Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre)

Local Preparedness and Anticipatory Actions for El Niño Forecasts in Peru and Ecuador

Climate Services in Hydrology and Water




  • Mr. Harold Omar Llauca Soto (SENAMHI)

Experiencias y retos en la modelación hidrológica a escala nacional para toma de decisiones en el marco de los servicios climáticos

  • Mr. Gastón Pantoja Tapia (ANA)

Disponibilidad Hídrica en la Unidad Hidrográfica Supe

  • Mr. Carlos Antonio Fernández Palomino (PIK)

Generación del producto grillado de precipitación para Perú y Ecuador (RAIN4PE) y aplicación en el modelamiento hidrológico de las cuencas del Perú

Distribución de los componentes del balance hídrico actual y futuro en el Perú considerando las proyecciones climáticas del CMIP6

Climate Services in Biodiversity and Forests
  • Ms. Sarah Bereswill (PIK)
Modelling Forests and Biodiversity in Peru and South America

Training Session:
  • Prof. Elena Surovyatkina (PIK)

A New Approach Pushing the Limits of Numerical Weather Prediction

  • Prof. Elena Surovyatkina (PIK)

Chaos in the Atmosphere: How to Deal with this Issue?

Visualization ClimateImpactsOnline
  • Dr. Thomas Nocke (PIK), Ms. Mechthild Becker (PIK) 

Training Climate Migration

Training Sessions:

  • Dr. Fanny Thornton (PIK)

Linking Climate Change with Human Mobility-
The Big Picture

  • Ms. Daniela Soberon (Municipality Lima)
Línea de base de migrantes por consecuencia del cambio climático en Lima Metropolitana

Climate Migration Risk Report Peru, 10th of February, 2021

IOM and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research have partnered to produce this report, which provides a systematic review of the available evidence on the environment, climate change and migration nexus in Peru.

The study puts into perspective various climate risks and hazards that affect communities in the country’s main topographical zones: the coast, the highlands, and the rainforest or jungle. The report sheds light on the complex interaction between climate and other factors driving migration in the country.

Findings show that people across Peru are vulnerable and exposed to a wide range of hazards, and these hazards are key drivers of migration in the country. Hydrometeorological hazards resulting in excessive amounts of water (in such forms as torrential rainfalls and floods) – or the lack thereof (in the form of, for example, drought or glacier retreat) – are particularly salient to migration. Climate change has intensified these hazards and will continue to do so, possibly resulting in unparalleled impacts on migration. Three such “no-analog threats” are (a) extensive and rapid deglaciation resulting in water stress and glacial lake outburst flood risks; (b) more frequent extreme El Niño events on top of rising sea levels; and (c) practically year-round extreme heat stress in tandem with rainforest degradation or dieback risks in the Amazon basin.

The report discusses the necessity to understand climate migration patterns and improve planning and policies in the short term to the mid-term, in view of these several “no-analog threats” that could occur towards the end of the century.

The report and an accompanying policy brief are available in English and Spanish.

Full study: English version / Spanish version.

Policy brief: English version / Spanish version.

Please find the suggested citation format on EPICC Publications page.

Launch of the report on the 10th of February, 2021

The launch of the  report in February 2021 attracted 185 registrations from 15 countries. Participants came from diverse public and non-state organizations, including civil society, as well as donors. The importance of the report for current policy developments in Peru and beyond was emphasized in introductory remarks by Kira Vinke, EPICC project lead at PIK; Stefan Herzberg, the German Ambassador in Peru; Luisa Elena Guinand Quintero, Vice Minister of Strategic Development of Natural Resources, Peruvian Ministry of the Environment (MINAM); Johan Rockström, Director of PIK; and Jorge Baca, Head of Mission IOM Peru. Jonas Bergmann, EPICC researcher and lead author of the report, presented main findings and answered questions from the audience. A high-level panel discussion followed on progress and research needs on climate migration in Peru to support the National Adaptation Plan (NAP) and the Plan of Action to Prevent and Address Forced Migration Caused by the Effects of Climate Change. The roundtable counted with the expertise of Silvia Cristina Rodríguez Valladares, Director of Adaptation to Climate Change and Desertification at MINAM; Sylvia Cáceres Pizarro, General Director of Population, Development and Volunteering at the Peruvian Ministry of Women and Vulnerable Populations (MIMP); Carol Zavaleta, researcher at the Intercultural Citizenship and Indigenous Health Unit of the Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia (UPCH); Andrea Milan, Data Coordinator at IOM, and Jonas Bergmann. It was moderated by Pablo Escribano, IOM’s Regional Thematic Specialist on Migration, Environment and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean.

The participants in the event highlighted the policy relevance of the PIK-IOM report for Peru and beyond. The identified evidence is valuable for integration in the Peruvian NAP (National Adaptation Plan) and its Plan of Action to Prevent and Address Forced Migration Caused by the Effects of Climate Change, among others. PIK and IOM are continuing to work with partners in relevant Peruvian ministries to feed their findings into these two policies, whose finalization is projected in 2021.

Further links 

  • 04.03.21 - Conversemos sobre Migración: Diálogo con Especialistas en Temas Migratorios (IOM)
    Jonas Bergmann participated in an interview session organized by IOM South America discussing the link between climate change and migration. Mr. Bergmann presented findings of his recent report "Assessing the Evidence: Climate Change and Migration in Peru" published jointly with the IOM. The interview is available in the Spanish language and can be accessed by following this link.

Second Meeting with the Peruvian Advisory Board held online, 11th of November 2020

During these difficult times of global pandemic coupled with economic and political uncertainties, Peru continues to develop strategic responses to the biggest threat of the 21st century – climate change. The country seeks to develop policies and formulate decisions for effective climate change adaptation, based on the best available scientific evidence. Under this agenda, the Second Meeting the Peruvian Advisory Board and scientists of the East Africa Peru India Climate Capacities Project (EPICC) took place on the 11th of November, 2020. The meeting gathered over 20 participants from leading national organizations involved in planning and management of climate adaptation in Peru, such as the Ministry of Environment (MINAM), National Service for Meteorology and Hydrology in Peru (SENAMHI) and National Water Authority (ANA), as well as international organizations such as the International Organization for Migration (IOM), German Development Agency (GIZ), CARE and MeteoSwiss.

The objective of the meeting was to put into practice EPICC’s latest research results guided by the Advisory Board and other experts from Peru and furthermore to continue the collaborative work in times of the pandemic and beyond, i.e. climate and climate impact research as well as climate services for the relevant Peruvian institutions. These objectives encompass all the five EPICC Work packages (Capacity Development & Knowledge Transfer, incl. Data Visualization, Climate, Hydrology, Agriculture and Migration) and the respective stakeholders in various institutions on the ground.

EPICC researchers presented the data and information that has been generated since 2018 together with Peruvian scientists and operational users from governmental and non-governmental organizations, across the different fields of specialization such as climate, agriculture, hydrology, migration, visualization and capacity development.

Based on the insights and recommendations derived from the meeting, EPICC will continue to develop and exchange relevant and evidence-based knowledge jointly between international and national scientists and local institutions and ministries in Peru, for further improved climate change adaptation policies, strategies and plans at the national and regional level.

EPICC Training Webinar on Climate Change and Migration for Peruvian Ministries, 21.07.2020

Peru is currently breaking new grounds with the development of an Action Plan on Climate Migration, as envisaged in its Climate Change Framework Law. PIK PhD student Jonas Bergmann has supported the development scientifically, in cooperation with the International Organization for Migration (IOM), most recently by providing a second training webinar for ministerial staff in Peru.

On Tuesday 21.07.2020, EPICC PhD student Jonas Bergmann from the FutureLab Social Metabolism and Impacts at PIK conducted the second national training on climate change and migration in Peru, in cooperation with IOM specialist Pablo Escribano

40 staff members of three Peruvian ministries (Ministry of the Environment (MINAM), of Women and Vulnerable Populations (MIMP), and of Culture (MINCUL)) participated in the interactive webinar, including MINAM’s Director of Climate Adaptation, Silvia Cristina Rodríguez Valladares, who is also a member of the Peruvian Advisory Board of the EPICC project. The presenters discussed relevant theoretical concepts as well as nuances of definitions found in international, regional, and national laws and policies on the topic. Drawing on the systematic review report “Assessing the Evidence: Climate Change and Migration in Peru”, which PIK and IOM will jointly publish this year, the speakers situated these discussions in concrete evidence on the climate-migration nexus in the Peruvian context.

The training is part of the ongoing consulting provided by Bergmann and Escribano for Peru's Action Plan on Climate Migration and its National Adaptation Plan (NAP). The presentation ended with inputs on how to create coherence between existing legislation and these two instruments, followed by a lively discussion with participants on next steps in the development of these frameworks.

Supporting the development and implementation of the National Adaptation Plan (NAP) in Peru, latest news from May 2020

In April 2020 the Ministry of Environment (MINAM) of Peru initiated a participatory process to prepare the National Adaptation Plan (NAP) within the Climate Change Framework Law. The EPICC project, that closely collaborates with MINAM and SENAMHI (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú) since 2018, was invited to contribute scientific evidence on climate risks in Peru to the development of this strategic document. The Peruvian NAP is envisioned to become the national instrument to strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate change in order to sustain the well-being of livelihoods for the present and future generations.

Following several meetings and discussions with MINAM and SENAMHI, the EPICC project has identified several entry points to contribute to the development and implementation of the NAP. Hydrology and Agriculture, two of the five thematic areas (besides Health, Forests and Fisheries) addressed within NAP, lie at the center of the project. Another focus areas of EPICC is Climate Migration, which received increasing attention in the NAP development. Thus, EPICC is ready to support the NAP in climate risk analysis and climate risk mapping as well as the translation of scientific results for policy making.

After the consultations it was agreed by MINAM, SENAMHI and PIK to continue the dialogue. While a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between SENAMHI and PIK is developed, the exchange with MINAM is intensified through EPICC’s contribution to the Action Plan on Climate Migration that is also part of the Climate Change Framework Law in Peru.

The EPICC project will continue multilateral exchange within the partner countries with the goal to increase their adaptive capacity to climate change and make the results applicable in the context of national policy plans, strategies and decisions. EPICC’s experience participating in the elaboration process of Peruvian NAP has shown that the dialogue with local partners is crucial to support the interdisciplinary and cross-sectoral research of the project, so that the results can be integrated at the national policy level in the country-specific sectors and areas in need for climate information.

Find further information (Spanish) on the NAP development in Peru:

MINAM Press Release (26.04.20): MINAM launches participatory process for the NAP creation

MINAM Press Release (11.05.20): MINAM continues participatory meetings to prepare the NAP

EPICC Training on Climate Services and Capabilities: data, models, forecasts and scenarios in Lima, Peru, 18.-22.11.2019  

The EPICC project together with the WMO Regional Training Center in Peru held a climate services and capacities training from 18 – 22 November at Peru’s National Weather and Hydrological Services (SENAMHI) and the La Molina National Agricultural University (UNALM) in Lima. The training followed the climate services concept of the WMO Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS), with EPICC being a contributing project to this framework.

This training equally addressed scientists and operational managers in the climate, water and agricultural sectors and their needs for climate information. It introduced the latest scientific results, knowledge and tools on seasonal (and ENSO) forecasting, climate scenarios and hydrological and agricultural impact models, as well as visualizations of climate data and information.

About 120 participants from universities, research institutes, ministries, authorities and other institutions participated in the different workshops, some of which were supported by external experts who presented and discussed online and via pre-recorded videos. The training also involved hand-on sessions with participants getting to use EPICC tools on their computers.

The training will be continued through collaborations between EPICC its Peruvian partners, some of which have been newly established during the training. There is also strong demand for additional training for additional audiences and with a specific focus on certain aspects of climate impacts, adaptation and mitigation, which will be addressed over the coming months.

Please find the press release from SENAMHI (in Spanish) here.

Find a Spanish contribution in the IKI Newsletter from Peru (Boletin IKI Perú).   

EPICC Workshop in Peru - 15th of November 2019

The East Africa Peru India Climate Capacities (EPICC) project held its Second Stakeholder Workshop in Peru on 15th of November 2019. The event was conducted in close collaboration with the National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology of Peru (SENAMHI), which also kindly provided the venue. The full-day workshop attracted about 45 participants, many high level policy-makers, and successfully created an environment for exchange and collaboration.

The project team would like to thank in special the presence and the enriching opening words provided by: Gabriela Rosas, Director of Meteorology and Environmental Evaluation at SENAMHI, Silvia Cristina Rodríguez Valladares, Director of Climate Change Adaptation at the Ministry of Environment of Peru (MINAM), Paul Garaycochea, Head of the Development Cooperation Section at the German Embassy in Lima, Ingmar Obermann, Director of the Program for Modernization and Strengthening in Water Supply and Sanitation in Peru of the German Development Cooperation (GIZ) and Rogelio Quintero, International Organization for Migration (IOM) Perú Programme Coordinator.

Among the topics discussed during the workshop, water management and the forecast of El Niño received special attention given the recent extreme weather events in the country. Dr. Josef Ludescher, climate researcher at the EPICC project, presented his methodology to forecast the weather phenomenon El Niño one year in advance. His presentation provoked in-depth discussions on how to translate the available scientific knowledge into capacity to adapt to the climate impacts. These impacts in Peru are also clear in the publication that the EPICC project is preparing together with the IOM in their publication series “Assessing the Evidence: Migration, Environment and Climate Change” (to be published for Peru in 2020). The publication was presented by Jonas Bergman, the EPICC PhD student on human migration in Peru, and it demonstrate the evidence of climate change induced migration in Peru, specially related to displacement caused by extreme events at the coast, and water scarcity in the mountainous regions following glacial melting. Other topics focused on seasonal forecasts for climate services, presented by the EPICC partner Dr. Lydia Gates from the German Meteorological Service (Deutscher Wetteridenst – DWD) and agricultural adaptation to climate change, presented by Rahel Laudien from PIK.

EPICC is helping the partner-countries to build climate adaptation capacities by supporting relevant research and by connecting top-scientist in the topics of Climate, Agriculture, Hydrology and Migration with policy makers and implementers.

Find a Spanish contribution in the IKI Newsletter from Peru (Boletin IKI Perú).

First Advisory Board Meeting in Lima, Peru, 14th of November 2019

The EPICC project held its first Peruvian Advisory Board Meeting on the 14th of November at the auditorium of Peru’s National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (SENAMHI). The Advisory Board in Peru counts with representatives from the Environmental Ministry of Peru, SENAMHI, International Organization for Migration (IOM), German Corporation for International Cooperation (GIZ-Peru), La Molina National Agricultural University (UNALM) and CARE Peru

The Peruvian Advisory Board is an essential component in the capacity building activities proposed by the EPICC project. It has the function of advising the project and its different research topics so that the scientific results from EPICC can be better applied in the Peruvian context. It has also the function of connecting the project and its researchers with local policy-makers and local stakeholders.

The connections and possibilities of cooperation that were established during the meeting will be developed during the following months and the Peruvian Advisory Board is expected to have its next meeting in the second half of 2020.

We thank SENAMHI very much for hosting this meeting.


EPICC Training on Climate Change & Human Mobility in Peru, Germany, 30.09.-01.10.2019

During the two-day training workshop, on 30.09.19 and 01.10.2019, EPICC PhD student Jonas Bergmann helped to convene the first national workshop on climate change and human mobility in Peru, informing participants from national institutions on the existing scientific evidence in the country and the need for an integrated strategy.

The training called “Primer Taller de Migración, Medio Ambiente y Cambio Climático” (1st Workshop on Migration, Environment and Climate Change) attracted more than 30 practitioners from government and civil society institutions in Peru who were trained by EPICC's PhD student on the linkages of climate change and human mobility in the country. The workshop was organized in cooperation with the International Organization for Migration (IOM), the Peruvian Ministry of the Environment (MINAM), the German and French Embassies, and the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (KAS). In the training, Jonas Bergmann gave insights into a research report that assesses the evidence on the climate-mobility nexus in Peru. He discussed larger socioeconomic as well as climate trends in the country, provided a deeper dive into the influence of climate risks on mobility patterns, and analyzed the normative realm in the country. The presentation fed into various follow-up sessions attempting to advance the policy approach to the issue.

In November 2019, together with EPICC colleagues, he met a team of MINAM staff from their Directorate-General for Climate Change and Desertification to discuss the topic further. During the EPICC Workshop in November 2019 and the Advisory Board Meeting, more presentations on the topic followed. The lively exchange culminated in a MINAM request for Jonas Bergmann's support and contributions in preparing the Peruvian National "Action Plan to Prevent and Combat Forced Migration Caused by the Effects of Climate Change" („plan de acción para atender la migración forzosa causada por los efectos del cambio climático“). Since then, Jonas Bergmann has been one of the key contributors to the development of the Action Plan, together with the International Organization for Migration (IOM).

EPICC Training on Hydrological Modeling in Iquitos, Peru, 05-06.06.2019

The EPICC hydrology team in Peru, led by Dr. Fred F. Hattermann and Carlos A. Fernández Palomino, presented the EPICC project in Iquitos, Peru, in June 2019. During their short-term research stay in Iquitos, the hydrological working group talked about the advances of hydrological modeling of the Upper Amazon river basin and performed a training course under the title "Hydrologic modeling using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)". A total number of 20 participants from local scientific and governmental institutes benefited from the training.

EPICC thanks their Peruvian partners and local researchers for their participation. With best thanks to the participating experts from SENAMHI (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú), ANA (Autoridad Nacional del Agua), SEHINAV (Servicio de Hidrografía y Navegación de la Amazonía), IIAP (Instituto de Investigaciones de la Amazonía Peruana), COER (Centro de Operaciones de Emergencia Regional) and Aquamodel Consulting.

Kick-Off Workshop in Peru - 9th and 10th of October 2018

In October 2018, the EPICC Kick-Off Workshop in Peru took place in Lima and was kindly hosted by the National Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Peru (SENAMHI). Nine scientists from the PIK/EPICC Team exchanged ideas with 47 scientists and other stakeholders from Peru to discuss the project goals, to identify the users need for climate services and to jointly develop relevant research questions.

The workshop was organized by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) in close cooperation with SENAMHI.

Starting from the EPICC workpackages, the workshop established science-stakeholder partnerships and collaborations with the Ministry of Environment (MINAM), SENAMHI, the National Water Authority (ANA) and a number of universities and other national and international institutions. EPICC will contribute to the implementation of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and to early warning and climate risk management. With that EPICC will also continue the capacity building of the Swiss Climandes climate services project, including a training workshop to be held jointly with the WMO Regional Training Center in 2019. The climate workpackage of EPICC will include seasonal forecasts, ENSO predictions and climate scenarios. The hydrology and water resources workpackage will focus on the Peruvian Amazon basin. The agriculture workpackage will concentrate on monitoring modeling and yield estimates for key crops in Peru such as maize, potatoes, rice and coffee and on agricultural insurance schemes.


Long-term El Niño Forecasting