Dr. rer. nat. Christoph Menz

Senior Scientist

I am a researcher working in the Hydroclimatic Risks group of Research Department II: Climate Resilience. I am studying the various regional impacts of climate change including water availability, hydroclimatic extremes, agriculture, animal husbandry, plant pests and diseases, and phenology of vine.

In my research, I am analyzing ensembles of regional and global climate simulations and develop machine learning-based impact models. Additionally, I operate the models CCLM and ICON at PIK. I developed the empirical statistical downscaling model STARS3.0 used in the CORDEX-Reklies ensemble for Germany. My past research focuses on climate change impacts in Europe, Central, South, and East Asia.

I am currently leading the Clim4Vitis and ProgRAMM projects @ PIK.


Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
P.O. Box 60 12 03
14412 Potsdam


  • Statistical analysis of regional and global climate model ensembles
  • Analysis of climatic and hydrological extremes
  • Regional climate model simulations with CCLM
  • Climate model simulations with ICON
  • Machine learning algorithms
  • Empirical-statistical downscaling
  • Bias adjustment methods

C. von Buttlar, C. Menz, Ackern im veränderten Klima, Agrarzeitung. (2021).

L. Leolini, H. Fraga, C. Yang, A. C. Malheiro, J. Moutinho-Pereira, L.-T. Dinis, C. Menz, T. Kartschall, M. Moriondo, S. Costafreda-Aumedes, C. Dibari, N. Bartoloni, M. Bindi, D. Molitor, J. Junk, M. Beyer, S. Figueiredo, J. A. Santos, Viticulture and Climate Change in Europe, White Paper. (2021).

C. Yang, C. Menz, H. Fraga, S. Costafreda-Aumedes, L. Leolini, M. C. Ramos, D. Molitor, C. van Leeuwen, J. A. Santos., Assessing the grapevine crop water stress indicator over the flowering-veraison phase and the potential yield lose rate in important European wine regions. Agricultural Water Management. (2021). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107349

C. Yang, C. Menz, H. Fraga, S. Reis, N. Machado, A. C. Malheiro, J. A. Santos, Simultaneous Calibration of Grapevine Phenology and Yield with a Soil–Plant–Atmosphere System Model Using the Frequentist Method. Agronomy. 11,. (2021). https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11081659

J. A. Santos, C. Yang, H. Fraga, A. C. Malheiro, J. Moutinho-Pereira, L.-T. Dinis, C. Correia, M. Moriondo, M. Bindi, L. Leolini, C. Dibari, S. Costafreda-Aumedes, N. Bartoloni, T. Kartschall, C. Menz, D. Molitor, J. Junk, M. Beyer, H. R. Schultz, Long-term adaptation of European viticulture to climate change: an overview from the H2020 Clim4Vitis action. IVES Tehcnical Reviews - Vine and Wine. (2021). https://doi.org/10.20870/IVES-TR.2021.4644

J. A. Santos, C. Yang, H. Fraga, A. C. Malheiro, J. Moutinho-Pereira, L.-T. Dinis, C. Correia, M. Moriondo, M. Bindi, L. Leolini, C. Dibari, S. Costafreda-Aumedes, N. Bartoloni, T. Kartschall, C. Menz, D. Molitor, J. Junk, M. Beyer, H. R. Schultz, Short-term adaptation of European viticulture to climate change: an overview from the H2020 Clim4Vitis action, IVES Tehcnical Reviews - Vine and Wine. (2021). https://doi.org/10.20870/IVES-TR.2021.4637.

I. Didovets, A. Lobanova, V. Krysanova, C. Menz, Z. Babagalieva, A. Nurbatsina, N. Gavrilenko, V. Khamidov, A. Umirbekov, S. Qodirov, D. Muhyyew, F. F. Hattermann, Central Asian rivers under climate change: Impacts assessment in eight representative catchments, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. 34 (2021) 100779. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100779.

A. Lobanova, I. Didovets, C. Menz, A. Umirbekov, Z. Babagalieva, F. Hattermann, V. Krysanova, Rapid assessment of climate risks for irrigated agriculture in two river basins in the Aral Sea Basin, Agricultural Water Management. 243 (2021) 106381. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwdfdfdsfdsafsdfdsfdsafdsa at.2020.106381.

L. Leolini, S. Costafreda-Aumedes, J. C. A. dos Santos, C. Menz, H. Fraga, D. Molitor, P. Merante, J. Junk, T. Kartschall, A. Destrac-Irvine, C. van Leeuwen, A. N. C. Malheiro, J. Eiras-Dias, J. Silvestre, C. Dibari, M. Bindi, M. Moriondo, Phenological Model Intercomparison for Estimating Grapevine Budbreak Date (Vitis vinifera L.) in Europe, Applied Sciences. 10 (2020). https://doi.org/10.3390/app10113800.

J. A. Santos, H. Fraga, A. C. Malheiro, J. Moutinho-Pereira, L.-T. Dinis, C. Correia, M. Moriondo, L. Leolini, C. Dibari, S. Costafreda-Aumedes, T. Kartschall, C. Menz, D. Molitor, J. Junk, M. Beyer, H. R. Schultz, A Review of the Potential Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Options for European Viticulture, Applied Sciences. 10 (2020). https://doi.org/10.3390/app10093092.

S. Hempel, C. Menz, S. Pinto, E. Galán, D. Janke, F. Estellés, T. Müschner-Siemens, X. Wang, J. Heinicke, G. Zhang, B. Amon, A. del Prado, T. Amon, Heat stress risk in European dairy cattle husbandry under different climate change scenarios – uncertainties and potential impacts, Earth System Dynamics. 10 (2019) 859–884. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-859-2019.

K. Bülow, H. Huebener, K. Keuler, C. Menz, S. Pfeifer, H. Ramthun, A. Spekat, C. Steger, C. Teichmann, K. Warrach-Sagi, User tailored results of a regional climate model ensemble to plan adaption to the changing climate in Germany, Advances in Science and Research. 16 (2019) 241–249. https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-241-2019.

P. Hoffmann, C. Menz, A. Spekat, Bias adjustment for threshold-based climate indicators, Advances in Science and Research. 15 (2018) 107–116. https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-15-107-2018.

S. Huang, M. Wortmann, D. Duethmann, C. Menz, F. Shi, C. Zhao, B. Su, V. Krysanova, Adaptation strategies of agriculture and water management to climate change in the Upper Tarim River basin, NW China, Agricultural Water Management. 203 (2018) 207–224. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.03.004.

M. Wortmann, T. Bolch, C. Menz, J. Tong, V. Krysanova, Comparison and Correction of High-Mountain Precipitation Data Based on Glacio-Hydrological Modeling in the Tarim River Headwaters (High Asia), Journal of Hydrometeorology. 19 (2018) 777–801. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0106.1.

S. Hempel, M. König, C. Menz, D. Janke, B. Amon, T. M. Banhazi, F. Estellés, T. Amon, Uncertainty in the measurement of indoor temperature and humidity in naturally ventilated dairy buildings as influenced by measurement technique and data variability, Biosystems Engineering. 166 (2018) 58–75. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2017.11.004.

H. Hübener, K. Bülow, C. Fooken, B. Früh, P. Hoffmann, S. Höpp, K. Keuler, C. Menz, V. Mohr, K. Radtke, M. Woldt, ReKliEs-De Ergebnisbericht, FG Atmosphärische Prozesse, 2018.

H. Hübener, A. Spekat, K. Bülow, B. Früh, K. Keuler, C. Menz, K. Radtke, H. Ramthun, T. Rathmann, C. Steger, F. Toussaint, K. Warrach-Sagi, ReKliEs-De Nutzerhandbuch, World Data Center for Climate (WDCC) at DKRZ, 2017. https://doi.org/10.2312/WDCC/ReKliEsDe_Nutzerhandbuch.

D. Duethmann, C. Menz, T. Jiang, S. Vorogushyn, Projections for headwater catchments of the Tarim River reveal glacier retreat and decreasing surface water availability but uncertainties are large, Environmental Research Letters. 11 (2016) 54024. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054024.

C. Rumbaur, N. Thevs, M. Disse, M. Ahlheim, A. Brieden, B. Cyffka, D. Duethmann, T. Feike, O. Frör, P. Gärtner, Ü. Halik, J. Hill, M. Hinnenthal, P. Keilholz, B. Kleinschmit, V. Krysanova, M. Kuba, S. Mader, C. Menz, H. Othmanli, S. Pelz, M. Schroeder, T. F. Siew, V. Stender, K. Stahr, F. M. Thomas, M. Welp, M. Wortmann, X. Zhao, X. Chen, T. Jiang, J. Luo, H. Yimit, R. Yu, X. Zhang, C. Zhao, Sustainable management of river oases along the Tarim River (SuMaRiO) in Northwest China under conditions of climate change, Earth System Dynamics. 6 (2015) 83–107. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-83-2015.

H. Tao, K. Fraedrich, C. Menz, J. Zhai, Trends in extreme temperature indices in the Poyang Lake Basin, China, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 28 (2014) 1543–1553. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-014-0863-x.

D. Wang, C. Menz, T. Simon, C. Simmer, C. Ohlwein, Regional dynamical downscaling with CCLM over East Asia, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics. 121 (2013) 39–53. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-013-0250-z.

T. Fischer, C. Menz, B. Su, T. Scholten, Simulated and projected climate extremes in the Zhujiang River Basin, South China, using the regional climate model COSMO-CLM, International Journal of Climatology. 33 (2013) 2988–3001. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3643.

E.-M. Ilgenfritz, C. Menz, M. Müller-Preussker, A. Schiller, A. Sternbeck, SU(3) Landau gauge gluon and ghost propagators using the logarithmic lattice gluon field definition, Phys. Rev. D. 83 (2011-03) 54506. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.83.054506.

Ongoing projects

  • Climate change impacts for European viticulture: towards an integrated approach (Clim4Vitis)
  • Optimierung von Anbaustrategien und -verfahren zur Klimaanpassung/Analyse und Bewertung auf Landschaftsebene unter besonderer Berücksichtigung von Interaktionen mit dem Pflanzenschutz, der Produktivität, der Fruchtartenverteilungen und den THG-Emissionen (OptAKlim)
  • Proaktive Pflanzengesundheitliche Risikoanalyse durch Modellierung und Monitoring: Anpassung an langfristige Risiken durch klimasensitive Schadorganismen (ProgRAMM)

Completed projects

  • Climate projections and climate risk assessment, funded by CAREG/Worldbank (CAREC 2)
  • Sustainable water and agricultural land use in the Guanting watershed under limited water resources (GUANTING)
  • Oasis Platform for Climate and Catastrophe Risk Assessment - Asia (IKI OASIS)
  • Optimized animal-specific barn climatization facing temperature rise and increased climate variability (OptiBarn)
  • Regionale Klimaprojektionen Ensemble für Deutschland (ReKliEs-De)
  • Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River / China (SuMaRiO)