How would a new grand minimum of solar activity affect the future climate?
We have investigated the effect of a future Grand Minimum of solar activity similar to the Maunder Minimum in the 17th century on the future climate on Earth. We find only a slight temperature offset of no more than -0.3 degrees Celsius compared to the warming of about 4 degrees due to human greenhouse-gas emissions:
The results are published in:
Feulner G., Rahmstorf S., 2010: On the Effect of a New Grand Minimum of Solar Activity on the Future Climate on Earth, Geophysical Research Letters, 37 (March 2010), L05707.
This paper has been chosen as Research Highlight in the following journals:
- Nature, 464 (Number 7289, 1 April 2010), 652, doi:10.1038/464652a
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 91 (Number 15, 13 April 2010), 140
Media coverage (incomplete):
- International: New Scientist: here, Reuters, ABC Science, BusinessWeek, The Economic Times, Science & Vie, ABC Science (again), Tribune de Genève
- National: Süddeutsche Zeitung, Focus, Handelsblatt, Münchner Merkur, Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung, Spiegel Online Handelsblatt Klima-Orakel spektrumdirekt
Blog coverage (incomplete):