Dr. Tobias Conradt

Senior Scientist
For many years engaged with simulations of spatially differentiated runoff scenarios and the respective eco-hydrological model SWIM; principal experiences in Central Europe (Elbe River) and China (Yongding River). Current focus of activities: Forecasting estimation of agricultural yields, especially with multiple regression models from recent weather data. Respectively calibrated models allow for estimation of climate change caused yield losses if climate scenario data are used as input.

Department

Working Group

Contact

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
T +49 (0)331 288 2666
Tobias.Conradt[at]pik-potsdam.de
P.O. Box 60 12 03
14412 Potsdam

ORCID

As single or lead author:

Simulation of natural water availability with the eco-hydrological model SWIM
Chapter 4 in: Sustainable Water and Agricultural Land Use in the Guanting Basin under Limited Water Resources (2017)
edited by F. Wechsung, S. Kaden, M. Venohr, J. Hofmann, J. Meisel and Zhenci Xu
Schweizerbart Science Publishers, Stuttgart, Germany. ISBN: 978-3510653256

Extending and improving regionalized winter wheat and silage maize yield regression models for Germany: Enhancing the predictive skill by panel definition through cluster analysis.
together with C. Gornott and F. Wechsung
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 216 (2016), S. 68–81
Online accessible via: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.10.003

Vergleich der Extremhochwässer 2002 und 2013 im deutschen Teil des Elbegebiets und deren Abflusssimulation durch SWIM-live.
together with M. Roers, K. Schröter, F. Elmer, P. Hoffmann, H. Koch, F. F. Hattermann & F. Wechsung
Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung 57 (2013), pp. 241–245
Online accessible via: http://dx.doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2013,5_4

Three perceptions of the evapotranspiration landscape: comparing spatial patterns from a distributed hydrological model, remotely sensed surface temperatures, and sub-basin water balances.
together with F. Wechsung and A. Bronstert
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 17 (2013), pp. 2947–2966
Online accessible via http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2947-2013

Spatially differentiated management-revised discharge scenarios for an integrated analysis of multi-realisation climate and land use scenarios for the Elbe River basin.
together with H. Koch, F.F. Hattermann, and F. Wechsung
Regional Environmental Change 12 (2012), pp. 633--648
Online accessible via: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-012-0279-4

Precipitation or evapotranspiration? Bayesian analysis of potential error sources in the simulation of sub-basin discharges in the Czech Elbe River basin
together with H. Koch, F.F. Hattermann, and F. Wechsung
Regional Environmental Change 12 (2012), S. 649--661
Online accessible via: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-012-0280-y

Several contributions about soil, land use and surface water (in German)

together with J. Hoymann, H. Koch, C. Rachimow, and S. R. Schmidt
In: Elbe-Atlas des globalen Wandels (2011), ed. by. F. Wechsung, H. Koch, and P. Gräfe
Weißensee Verlag, Berlin. ISBN: 978-3-89998-200-8

Impacts of global change on water-related sectors and society in a trans-boundary central European river basin
Part 2: from eco-hydrology to water demand management

together with M. Kaltofen, M. Hentschel, F.F. Hattermann, and F. Wechsung
Advances in Geosciences 11 (2007), pp. 93--99: Large-scale hydrological modelling and the European Union water policies, ed. by K.-E. Lindenschmidt
Online accessible via http://www.adv-geosci.net/11/93/2007

Measured effects of new lake surfaces on regional precipitation
together with Z.W. Kundzewicz, F. Hattermann, and F. Wechsung
Hydrological Sciences Journal 52 (5) (2007), pp. 936--955

Observed precipitation changes triggered by new lakes in Lusatia
In: Kundzewicz & Hattermann (eds) (2006): Natural Systems and Global Change, pp. 35--48. ISBN: 83-89-887-58-4

As co-author:

Y. Yin, L. Wang, Z. Wang, Q. Tang, S. Piao, D. Chen, J. Xia, T. Conradt, J. Liu, Y. Wada, X. Cai, Z. Xie, Q. Duan, X. Li, J. Zhou, and J. Zhang
Quantifying Water Scarcity in northern China within the context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion.
Earth's Future (2020) – In press.
Online accessible via https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001492

Z. Pan, X. Jiao, T. Conradt, X. Ding, and H. Wang
Performance Evaluation of Groundwater Overdraft Recovery Units in North and Coastal China Based on DEA Models.
Journal of Coastal Research 94 (2019), pp. 1–5
Online accessible via https://doi.org/10.2112/SI94-001.1

M. Roers, P. Gottschalk, T. Conradt, C. Rachimow, and F. Wechsung
SWIM-live 1.0 – Tagesaktuelle Simulation des Wasserhaushalts und der landwirtschaftlichen Pflanzenentwicklung im Elbegebiet.
Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung 57 (2013), pp. 225–240
Online accessible via: http://dx.doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2013,5_3

S. Prange, K. Vohland, T. Conradt, and F. F. Hattermann
Klimabedingte Veränderungen der Abflussdynamik von ausgewählten deutschen Fließgewässern und ihre naturschutzfachliche Bedeutung.
In: Schutzgebiete Deutschlands im Klimawandel – Risiken und Handlungsoptionen, ed. by K. Vohland, F. Badek, K. Böhning-Gaese, G. Ellwanger, J. Hanspach, P. L. Ibisch, S. Klotz, S. Kreft, I. Kühn, E. Schröder, S. Trautmann & W. Cramer.
Vol. 129 of Naturschutz und Biologische Vielfalt, pp. 55–69. Bundesamt für Naturschutz, Bonn - Bad Godesberg.
ISBN 978-3-7843-4029-6

F.F. Hattermann, H. Gömann, T. Conradt, M. Kaltofen, P. Kreins, and F. Wechsung:
Impacts of global change on water-related sectors and society in a trans-boundary central European river basin
Part 1: Project framework and impacts on agriculture

Advances in Geosciences 11 (2007), pp. 85--92: Large-scale hydrological modelling and the European Union water policies, ed. by K.-E. Lindenschmidt
Online accessible via http://www.adv-geosci.net/11/85/2007/

Fred F. Hattermann, Tobias Conradt, Axel Bronstert:
Berechnung großskaliger Verdunstung unter den Bedingungen des globalen Wandels
In: Konrad Miegel, Hans-B. Kleeberg (Hrsg.): Verdunstung. Beiträge zum Seminar Verdunstung am 10./11. Oktober 2007 an der Universität Potsdam.
Forum für Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung 21.07 (2007), pp. 231--245. ISBN: 978-3-940173-05-8

Currently coordinating PIK contributions to the compound research projects OptAKlim, SALBES and CROSSDRO.<