MACSUR - RD1

Climate change risk assessment for European agriculture and food security

FACCE MACSUR focuses on modelling European agriculture with climate change for food security. The work is organized in three themes on crop, livestock and trade modeling. The partnership consists of 73 partners from 16 countries all over Europe. The overarching challenge is to develop a pan-European capability in the development, use and interpretation of models to perform risk assessments of the impacts of climate change on European agriculture. To address this the following challenges must be met: 1. Identify and address a range of issues between models in different themes to enable their closer integration including issues of scale and data processing. 2. Train a new generation of scientists to work across models which contribute to greater integration of models.

This challenge can be described as focusing on the creation of integrated modelers as opposed to integrated models. 3. Determine the contribution that can be made to reducing uncertainty over the impacts of climate change on European food security by adopting integrated models of crop production, animal production and trade.

PIK will respond to current research demands from policy and society, but it will also contribute to shaping a future research agenda on climate risks,agricultural adaptation, and food security. PIK contributions to JPI work packages: TradeM, WP1: contribute to an inventory of existing models and data; provide interaction with AgMIP; organization of annual workshops related to AgMIP activities (costs in "Material&Supply") TradeM, WP2: improve MAgPIE land use model for climate impact analysis on agriculture in Europe and other world regions CropM, WP1: improve LPJmL crop model for climate impact analysis on crop production in Europe and other world regions; contribute to crop model intercomparison (wheat, maize, rice) related to AgMIP; organization of annual workshops related to AgMIP activities (costs in "Material&Supply") CropM, WP3: contribute methodological aspects and modelling experience on scaling and model linking LivestockM, WP2: contribute to model intercomparison related to livestock and grassland (AgMIP); organization of annual workshops related to AgMIP activities (costs in "Material&Supply") LivestockM, WP4: improve LPJmL grass model for climate impact analysis on livestock production in European regions

Duration

Jul 01, 2012 until Jun 30, 2015

Funding Agency

BMBF, PTJ

Funding Call

EU-Joint Programming Initiative: Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Change. Knowledge Hub: Economics and trade

Contact

Dieter Gerten

Project Website