Publications

Working Group Landuse and Resilience
Frieler, Katja, Schauberger, Bernhard, Arneth, Almut, Balkovič, Juraj, Chryssanthacopoulos, James, Deryng, Delphine, Elliott, Joshua, Folberth, Christian, Khabarov, Nikolay, Müller, Christoph, Olin, Stefan, Pugh, Thomas A. M., Schaphoff, Sibyll, Schewe, Jacob, Schmid, Erwin, Warszawski, Lila, Levermann, Anders (2017): Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability - Earth's Future
Chang, J., Ciais, P., Wang, X., Piao, S., Asrar, G., Betts, R., Chevallier, F., Dury, M., François, L., Frieler, Katja, Garcia Cantu Ros, A., Henrot, A.-J., Hickler, T., Ito, A., Morfopoulos, C., Munhoven, G., Nishina, K., Ostberg, S., Pan, S., Rafique, R., Reyer, C., Rödenbeck, C., Schaphoff, Sibyll, Steinkamp, J., Tian, H., Viovy, N., Yang, J., Zeng, N., Zhao, F. (2017): Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models - Environmental Research Letters
Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., Müller, Christoph, Wicke, B., Faaij, A., Vuuren, D. P. van (2017): Greenhouse gas emission curves for advanced biofuel supply chains - Nature Climate Change
Weindl, Isabelle, Popp, Alexander, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Rolinski, Susanne, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Biewald, Anne, Humpenöder, Florian, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Stevanović, Miodrag (2017): Livestock and human use of land: Productivity trends and dietary choices as drivers of future land and carbon dynamics - Global and Planetary Change
Popp, Alexander, Calvin, K., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, Florian, Stehfest, E., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Doelmann, J. C., Gusti, M., Hasegawa, T., Kyle, P., Obersteiner, M, Tabeau, A., Takahashi, K., Valin, H., Waldhoff, S., Weindl, Isabelle, Wise, M., Kriegler, Elmar, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Fricko, O., Riahi, K., Vuuren, D. P. van (2017): Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways - Global Environmental Change
Zhao, C., Liu, B., Piao, S., Wang, X., Lobell, D. B., Huang, Y., Huang, M., Yao, Y., Bassu, S., Ciais, P., Durand, J.-L., Elliott, J., Ewert, F., Janssens, I. A., Li, T., Lin, E., Liu, Q., Martre, P., Müller, Christoph, Peng, S., Peñuelas, J., Ruane, A. C., Wallach, D., Wang, T., Wu, D., Liu, Z., Zhu, Y., Zhu, Z., Asseng, S. (2017): Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2017): Weniger Fleisch, mehr Gemüse und mehr Biomasse! [Leserbrief] - top agrar
Veldkamp, T. I. E., Wada, Y., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Döll, P., Gosling, S. N., Liu, J., Masaki, Y., Oki, T., Ostberg, Sebastian, Pokhrel, Y., Sato, Y., Kim, H., Ward, P. J. (2017): Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century - Nature Communications
Maiorano, A., Martre, P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Müller, Christoph, Rötter, R. P., Ruane, A. C., Semenov, M. A., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Alderman, P. D., Kassie, B. T., Biernath, C., Basso, B., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Rezaei, E. E., Gayler, S., Kersebaum, K. C., Kimball, B. A., Koehler, A.-K., Liu, B., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Ottman, M. J., Priesack, E., Reynolds, M., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Thorburn, P. J., Waha, Katharina, Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. (2017): Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles - Field Crops Research
Rao, S., Klimont, Z., Smith, S. J., Dingenen, R. van, Dentener, F., Bouwman, L., Riahi, K., Amann, M., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Vuuren, D. P. van, Reis, L. A., Calvin, K., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gernaat, D., Havlik, P., Harmsen, M., Hasegawa, T., Heyes, C., Hilaire, Jérôme, Luderer, Gunnar, Masui, T., Stehfest, E., Strefler, Jessica, Sluis, S. van der, Tavoni, M. (2017): Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways - Global Environmental Change
Martre, P., Reynolds, M. P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Alderman, P. D., Cammarano, D., Maiorano, A., Ruane, A. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Fereres, E., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Koehler, A.-K., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Liu, B., Lobell, D. B., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Ripoche, D., Rötter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wang, E., Whitse, J. W., Wolf, J., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. (2017): The International Heat Stress Genotype Experiment for modeling wheat response to heat: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations - Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research
Pikaar, I., Matassa, S., Rabaey, K., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Popp, Alexander, Herrero, M., Verstraete, W. (2017): Microbes and the next Nitrogen revolution - Environmental Science & Technology
Meijl, H. van, Havlik, P., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Stehfest, E., Witzke, P., Perez Dominguez, I., Bodirsky, B., Dijk, M. van, Doelman, J., Fellmann, T., Humpenöder, Florian, Levin- Koopman, J., Müller, C., Popp, Alexander, Tabeau, A., Valin, H., Perez Dominguez, I., Fellmann, T. (2017): Challenges of Global Agriculture in a Climate Change Context by 2050 - AgCLIM50 - Challenges of Global Agriculture in a Climate Change Context by 2050 - AgCLIM50, JRC Science for Policy Report
Kummu, M., Fader, M., Gerten, Dieter, Guillaume, J. HA, Jalava, M., Jägermeyr, Jonas, Pfister, S., Porkka, M., Siebert, S., Varis, O. (2017): Bringing it all together: linking measures to secure nations’ food supply - Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
Ruane, A. C., Rosenzweig, C., Asseng, S., Boote, K. J., Elliott, J., Ewert, F., Jones, J. W., Martre, P., McDermid, S. P., Müller, Christoph, Snyder, A., Thorburn, P. J. (2017): An AgMIP framework for improved agricultural representation in integrated assessment models - Environmental Research Letters
Chen, M., Rafique, R., Asrar, G. R., Bond-Lamberty, B., Ciais, P., Zhao, Fang, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Ostberg, Sebastian, Chang, J., Ito, A., Yang, J., Zeng, N., Kalnay, E., West, T., Leng, G., Francois, L., Munhoven, G., Henrot, A., Tian, H., Pan, S., Nishina, K., Viovy, N., Morfopoulos, C., Betts, R., Schaphoff, Sibyll, Steinkamp, J., Hickler, T. (2017): Regional contribution to variability and trends of global gross primary productivity - Environmental Research Letters
Krause, A., Pugh, T. A. M., Bayer, A. D., Doelman, J. C., Humpenöder, Florian, Anthoni, P., Olin, S., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Popp, Alexander, Stehfest, E., Arneth, A. (2017): Global consequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators - Biogeosciences
Robledo-Abad, C., Althaus, H.-J., Berndes, G., Bolwig, S., Corbera, E., Creutzig, F., Garcia-Ulloa, J., Geddes, A., Gregg, J. S., Haberl, H., Hanger, S., Harper, R. J., Hunsberger, C., Larsen, R. K., Lauk, C., Leitner, S., Lilliestam, J., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Muys, B., Nordborg, M., Ölund, M., Orlowsky, B., Popp, Alexander, Portugal-Pereira, J., Reinhard, J., Scheiffle, Lena, Smith, P. (2017): Bioenergy production and sustainable development: science base for policymaking remains limited - Global Change Biology Bioenergy
Porwollik, Vera, Müller, Christoph, Elliott, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Iizumi, T., Ray, D. K., Ruane, A. C., Arneth, A., Balkovič, J., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Khabarov, N., Lawrence, P. J., Liu, W., Pugh, T. A. M., Reddy, A., Sakurai, G., Schmid, E., Wang, X., Wit, A. de, Wu, X. (2017): Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations - European Journal of Agronomy
Rosenzweig, C., Arnell, N. W., Ebi, K. L., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Raes, F., Rapley, C., Stafford Smith, M., Cramer, W., Frieler, Katja, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Schewe, Jacob, Vuuren, D. van, Warszawski, Lila (2017): Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of ISIMIP - Environmental Research Letters
Kriegler, Elmar, Bauer, Nicolas, Popp, Alexander, Humpenöder, Florian, Leimbach, Marian, Strefler, Jessica, Baumstark, Lavinia, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Hilaire, Jérôme, Klein, David, Mouratiadou, Ioanna, Weindl, Isabelle, Bertram, Christoph, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Luderer, Gunnar, Pehl, Michaja, Pietzcker, Robert C., Piontek, Franziska, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Biewald, Anne, Bonsch, Markus, Giannousakis, Anastasis, Kreidenweis, Ulrich, Müller, Christoph, Rolinski, Susanne, Schultes, Anselm, Schwanitz, Jana, Stevanović, Miodrag, Calvin, Katherine, Emmerling, Johannes, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Edenhofer, Ottmar (2017): Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century - Global Environmental Change
Blanchard, J. L., Watson, R. A., Fulton, E. A., Cottrell, R. S., Nash, K. L., Bryndum-Buchholz, A., Büchner, Matthias, Carozza, D. A., Cheung, W. W. L., Elliott, J., Davidson, L. N. K., Dulvy, N. K., Dunne, J. P., Eddy, T. D., Galbraith, E., Lotze, H. K., Maury, O., Müller, Christoph, Tittensor, D. P., Jennings, S. (2017): Linked sustainability challenges and trade-offs among fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture - Nature Ecology & Evolution
Zhao, Fang, Veldkamp, T., Frieler, Katja, Schewe, Jacob, Ostberg, Sebastian, Willner, Sven, Schauberger, Bernhard, Gosling, S., Müller Schmied, H., Portmann, F., Leng, G., Huang, M., Liu, X., Tang, Q., Hanasaki, N., Biemans, H., Gerten, Dieter, Satoh, Y., Pokhrel, Y., Stacke, T., Ciais, P., Ducharne, A., Guimberteau, M., Wada, Y., Kim, H., Yamazaki, D. (2017): The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models - Environmental Research Letters
Schauberger, Bernhard, Archontoulis, S., Arneth, A., Balkovič, J., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C., Khabarov, N., Müller, Christoph, Pugh, T. A. M., Rolinski, Susanne, Schaphoff, Sibyll, Schmid, E., Wang, X., Schlenker, W., Frieler, Katja (2017): Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models - Nature Communications
Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2017): Ökonomische Effekte von Klimawirkungen und Emissionsvermeidung in der Landwirtschaft - Ökonomische Effekte von Klimawirkungen und Emissionsvermeidung in der Landwirtschaft
Stöber, S., Chepkoech, W., Neubert, S., Kurgat, B., Bett, H., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Leal Filho, W., Belay, S., Kalangu, J., Menas, W., Munishi, P., Musiyiwa, K. (2017): Adaptation Pathways for African Indigenous Vegetables’ Value Chains - Climate Change Adaptation in Africa, Climate Change Management
Stevanović, Miodrag, Popp, Alexander, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Müller, Christoph, Bonsch, Markus, Schmitz, Christoph, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Humpenöder, Florian, Weindl, Isabelle (2016): The impact of high-end climate change on agricultural welfare - Science Advances
Cammarano, D., Rötter, R. P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Wallach, D., Martre, P., Hatfield, J. L., Jones, J. W., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Kersebaum, K. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Brisson, N., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Heng, L., Hooker, J. E., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Müller, Christoph, Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T. M., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Travasso, M., Waha, Katharina, White, J. W., Wolf, J. (2016): Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2 - Field Crops Research
Özkan, S., Vitali, A., Lacetera, N., Amon, B., Bannink, A., Bartley, D. J., Blanco-Penedo, I., de Haas, Y., Dufrasne, I., Elliott, J., Eory, V., Fox, N. J., Garnsworthy, P. C., Gengler, N., Hammami, H., Kyriazakis, I., Leclère, D., Lessire, F., Macleod, M., Robinson, T. P., Ruete, A., Sandars, D. L., Shrestha, S., Stott, A. W., Twardy, S., Vanrobays, M.-L., Vosough Ahmadii, B., Weindl, Isabelle, Wheelhouse, N., Williams, A. G., Wilson, A. J., Østergaard, S., Kipling, R. P. (2016): Challenges and priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens in the context of climate change - Environmental Research