Work in progress

In review and discussion

  • M. Bechthold, W. Barfuss, A. Butz, J. Breier, S.M. Constantino, J. Heitzig, L. Schwarz, S.N. Vardag, J.F. Donges,
    Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model,
    EGUSphere unter https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924 (2024).
  • B.Grudde,
    The human climate: towards an Earth system-based understanding of human climate adaptation,
    in review (2024).

  • L. Nicola, J. Garbe, A. K. Klose, R. Winkelmann, R. Reese,
    Constraining the onset of future irreversible retreat of Thwaites Glacier
    ,
    in review (2024).

  • R. Winkelmann, J. Garbe, J. Donges, T. Albrecht,
    Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under Global Warming,
    in review (2024).

  • Enache, E., Kozak, O., Wunderling, N., & Vollmer, J. (2024),
    Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations,
    in review (2024),
    arXiv preprint arXiv:2401.07712.

  • Rosser, J., Winkelmann, R., & Wunderling, N.,
    Cryosphere tipping elements decisive for tipping risks and cascading effects in the Earth system,
    in review (2024),
    preprint Research Square, DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3787862/v1.

  • S. Loriani, A. Bartsch, E. Calamita, J. F. Donges, S. Hebden, M. Hirota, A. Landolfi, T. Nagler, B. Sakschewski, A. Staal, J. Verbesselt, R. Winkelmann, R. Wood, N. Wunderling,
    Monitoring the multiple stages of climate tipping systems from space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables meet the needs?
    ,
    in review (2024).

  • ..., J.F. Donges, et al.,
    Resilience metrics need to better incorporate agency and diversity,
    in review (2023).

  • S. Loriani, Y. Aksenov, D. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, A. Born, C.M. Chiessi, H. Dijkstra, J.F. Donges, S. Drijfhout, M.H. England, A.V. Fedorov, L. Jackson, K. Kornhuber, G. Messori, F. Pausata, S. Rynders, J.-B. Salée, B. Sinha, S. Sherwood, D. Swingedouw, T. Tharammal,
    Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations,
    EGUsphere [preprint], Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
    DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589.

  • J.P. Everall, J.F. Donges, I.M Otto,
    The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
    preprint EGUSphere, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241.

  • T. Möller*, A. (Ernest) Högner*, C.-F. Schleussner, S. Bien, N.H. Kitzmann, R.D. Lamboll, J. Rogelj, J.F. Donges, J. Rockström, N. Wunderling, Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks, in review (2023). *These authors share the first authorship.

  • V. Junquera, M. Schlüter, J. Rocha, S. Levin, D. Rubenstein, N. Wunderling, J.-C. Castella, P. Meyfroidt, Crop booms as regime shifts, in review (2023).

  • N. Wunderling, S. Perri, J. Rockström, M. Oppenheimer, A. Porporato, J.F. Donges, S.A. Levin, W. Barfuss, Concerted efforts of politics, society and science mitigate climate tipping risks in a coupled human-Earth system model, in review (2023).

  • J. Rockström, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, M.A. Martin, L. Wang-Erlandsson, K. Richardson,
    The science on planetary boundaries as a guide to humanity's future on Earth,
    in review (2023).

  • E.K. Smith*, N. Kitzmann*, M. Milkoreit*, R. Winkelmann*, A.-S. Crépin, C. Eder, N. Harring, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, T.M. Lenton, F. Mauelshagen, K. Minor, I.M. Otto, A. Rezai, J. Scheffran, I. Stadelmann-Steffen, R. van der Ploeg, N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges*,
    Criticality and critical agency in societal tipping processes towards sustainability,
    subm. (2023),
    * shared lead-authorship.

  • E.K. Smith*/M. Wiedermann*, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R. Winkelmann,
    A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping - the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
    preprint EGUSphere,
    DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622,
    * shared lead-authorship.

  • V. Spaiser, S. Juhola, S.M. Constantino, W. Guo, T. Watson, J. Sillmann, A. Craparo, A. Basel, J.T. Bruun, K. Krishnamurthy, J. Scheffran, P. Pinho, U.T. Okpara, J.F. Donges, A. Bhowmik, T. Yasseri, R. Safra de Campos, G.S. Cumming, H. Chenet, F. Krampe, J.F. Abrams,
    Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilisation,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
    EGUsphere [preprint], DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1475.

  • A.K. Klose, J.F. Donges, U. Feudel, R. Winkelmann,
    Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
    preprint ESD Discussions: DOI: 10.5194/esd-2023-20.

  • A. Klein, K. Unverzagt, R. Alba, J.F. Donges, T. Hertz, T. Krüger, E. Lindkvist, R. Martin, J. Niewöhner, H. Prawitz, M. Schlüter,  L. Schwarz, N. Wijermans,
    Situated Modelling: An interdisciplinary framework for knowing a world in transformation,
    subm. (2023).

  • C. Mauritzen, S. Cornell, S. Eker, C. Smith, B. Callegari, D. Collste, J.F. Donges, P.M. Forster, D. Gerten, A. Gjermundsen, B. Kopainsky, C. Li, S. Mashhadi, W. Schoenberg, J. Sillmann, L. Wang-Erlandsson,
    Perspective: A research agenda towards building renewed trust in decision making tools for climate mitigation
    ,
    in review.

  • E.K. Smith, C. Eder, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, A. Katsandiou, M. Wiedermann, R. Winkelmann,
    Domino Effects in the Earth System - The role of wanted social tipping points,
    in review (2022),
    preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/d8scb,
    old preprint arXiv:1911.10063 [physics.soc-ph].


  • A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges,
    Estimating nonlinear stability from time series data
    ,
    in review (2021),
    preprint arXiv:2112.03260 [physics.data-an].


  • J.F. Donges*/B. Ewers*, J. Heitzig, S. Peterson,
    Divestment may burst the carbon bubble if investors' beliefs tip to anticipating strong future climate policy,

    preprint arxiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1902.07481,
    * Shared lead-authorship.
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