Kilian Kuhla is a postdoctoral researcher in Research Department 3 – Transformation Pathways at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). His work focuses on climate impact and socio-economic system modeling, particularly the risks that climate extremes and geopolitical shocks pose to global food security and trade. With a background in physics, he develops and applies agent-based models to simulate disruptions in agricultural and economic trade networks. He also works on the effectiveness of climate insurance schemes. Kilian co-supervises Master’s and PhD students and has contributed to national, European, and US-American research initiatives. His current project – funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) – aims to assess inter- and intra-regional food inequalities as well as short-term systemic risks to the world food system in the 21st century.
He is member of the working group Event-based Modeling of Economic Impacts of Climate Change. and a co-developer of the agent-based agricultural market model Agrimate. Furthermore, he has partner projects with Numerical analysis of global economic impacts and he co-developed loss-propagation model Acclimate.
Department
Working Group
Contact
14412 Potsdam
ORCID
- since 2022
- Postdoctoral researcher
- at Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research
- 2021 - 2022
- Research assistant
- with Dr. Christian Otto
- at Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research
- 2017 - 2022
- PhD student
- with Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann
- at Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research
- 2017 - 2021
- PhD scholarship
- awarded by Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes
- 2016 - 2017
- Research assistant
- with Dr. Katja Frieler
- at Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research
- 2010-2016
- Studies of physics
- at Technical University of Berlin, Germany
2025
9. K. Kuhla, P. Kubiczek, C. Otto.
Understanding agricultural market dynamics in times of crisis: The dynamic agent-based network model Agrimate
Ecological Economics 231 (2025). 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108546
2024
8. K. Kuhla, M.J. Puma, C. Otto.
International cooperation was key to stabilize wheat prices after the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Communications Earth Environment 5, 481 (2024). 10.1038/s43247-024-01638-7
2023
7. R. Middelanis, S. N. Willner, K. Kuhla, L. Quante, C. Otto, A. Levermann.
Stressed economies respond more strongly to climate extremes
Environmental Research Letters 18 (2023). 10.1088/1748-9326/acec5e
6. K. Kuhla, S. N. Willner, C. Otto, A. Levermann.
Resilience of international trade to typhoon-related supply disruptions
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 151 (2023). 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104663
5. C. Otto*, K. Kuhla*, T. Geiger, J. Schewe, K. Frieler * with equal contribution.
Better insurance could effectively mitigate the increase in economic growth losses from U.S. hurricanes under global warming
Science Advances 9 (2023). 10.1126/sciadv.add6616
2021
4. R. Middelanis, S.N. Willner, C. Otto, K. Kuhla, L. Quante, A. Levermann.
Wave-like global economic ripple response to Hurricane Sandy
Environmental Research Letters 16 (2021). 10.1088/1748-9326/ac39c0
3. K. Kuhla, S.N. Willner, C. Otto, T. Geiger, A. Levermann.
Ripple resonance amplifies economic welfare loss from weather extremes
Environmental Research Letters 16 (2021). 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2932
2. K. Kuhla, S.N. Willner, C. Otto, L. Wenz, A. Levermann.
Future heat stress to reduce people's purchasing power
PLoS ONE 16(6) (2021). 10.1371/journal.pone.0251210
2020
1. L. Wenz, A. Levermann, S.N. Willner, C. Otto, K. Kuhla
Brexit no-trade-deal scenario: short-term consumer benefit at the expense of long-term economic development
PLoS ONE 15 (2020). 10.1371/journal.pone.0237500
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Doctoral Dissertation
K. Kuhla
Impact, distribution, and adaptation – how weather extremes threaten the economic network
[University Potsdam] (2022). 10.25932/publishup-55266
K. Kuhla, M.J. Puma, J. Jägermeyr, C. Otto.
Climate change-driven shifts of global and regional food security risks throughout the 21st century
Under Review in Nature Climate Change 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7348033/v1
