Topics
- Forest resilience
- Biosphere integrity
- Planetary Boundaries
- Water demand for bioenergy plantations
- Water stress
Models
- LPJmL
- POEM
Contact
14412 Potsdam
ORCID
Guest Researcher at Stockholm Resilience Centre
I mainly work with the dynamic global vegetation model LPJmL to study the effects of climate and land use change in the biosphere and how to mitigate them.
In our current project ReForMit, we for example study the resilience of forests as important ecosystems, not only for climate change mitigation, but also as hubs of biodiversity, important for moisture recycling, or with cultural value for us humans. This project is funded by FORMAS.
Key concepts in my work are the Planetary Boundaries as a way of quantifying the status of several important dimensions of the Earth System and the human appropriation of net primary production (HANPP), to assess the pressure we humans put on the biosphere.
Previously, I co-developed 2 biosphere integrity metrics (BioCol and EcoRisk) and applied them to assess the Planetary Boundary for functional biosphere integrity. This work was funded by the Global Challenges Foundation, together with Future Earth.
In my PhD I have investigated potentials and potential side effects of terrestrial negative emission technologies, with a focus on the water demand of bioenergy plantations. This work was funded by the DFG.
2025:
Braun, J.; Werner, C.; Gerten, D.; Stenzel, F.; Schaphoff, S. & Lucht, W.: Multiple planetary boundaries preclude biomass crops for carbon capture and storage outside of agricultural areas, Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, 6, 1-14, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02033-6
2024:
Wagner, S.; Stenzel, F.; Krüger, T. & de Wiljes, J.: Drivers of global irrigation expansion: the role of discrete global grid choice, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2024, 28, 5049-5068
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-5049-2024
Breier, J.; Ostberg, S.; Wirth, S. B.; Hötten, D.; Minoli, S.; Stenzel, F. & Müller, C.
lpjmlkit: A toolkit for operating LPJmL and model-specific data processing
Journal of Open Source Software, 2024, 9, 5447, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.05447
Wirth, S. B.; Braun, J.; Heinke, J.; Ostberg, S.; Rolinski, S.; Schaphoff, S.; Stenzel, F.; von Bloh, W. & Müller, C.:
Biological nitrogen fixation of natural and agricultural vegetation simulated with LPJmL 5.7.9, Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, 17, 7889-7914, 1-29, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7889-2024
Stenzel, F. and Ben Uri, L. and Braun, J. and Breier, J. and Erb, K.-H. and Gerten, D. and Haberl, H. and Matej, S. and Milo, R. and Ostberg, S. and Rockström, J. and Roux, N. and Schaphoff, S. and Lucht, W.: Mapping the Transgression of the Planetary Boundary for Functional Biosphere Integrity, 2024, in review at One Earth: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4998602
Gerten D., Braun J., Breier J., Lucht W., Tobian A., Stenzel F.: A Software Package for Assessing Terrestrial Planetary Boundaries, 2024, in review at One Earth: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4890102
Stenzel, F., Braun, J., Breier, J., Erb, K., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Matej, S., Ostberg, S., Schaphoff, S., and Lucht, W.: biospheremetrics v1.0.2: An R package to calculate two complementary terrestrial biosphere integrity indicators: human colonization of the biosphere (BioCol) and risk of ecosystem destabilization (EcoRisk), Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, 17, 3235-3258, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3235-2024
Keys, P. W.; Wang-Erlandsson, L.; Moore, M.-L.; Pranindita, A.; Stenzel, F.; Varis, O.; Warrier, R.; Wong, R. B.; D’Odorico, P. & Folke, C.: The dry sky: future scenarios for humanity’s modification of the atmospheric water cycle
Global Sustainability, 2024, 7, e11, https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2024.9
Rueda, O.; Mogollón, J. M.; Stenzel, F.; Tukker, A. & Scherer, L.
A protein transition can free up land to tap vast energy and negative emission potentials
One Earth, Elsevier, 2024, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.12.016
Nyasulu, M. K.; Fetzer, I.; Wang-Erlandsson, L.; Stenzel, F.; Gerten, D.; Rockström, J. & Falkenmark, M.: African rainforest moisture contribution to continental agricultural water consumption, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2024, 346, 109867, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109867
Beier, F. D.; Bodirsky, B. L.; Heinke, J.; Karstens, K.; Dietrich, J. P.; Müller, C.; Stenzel, F.; von Jeetze, P.; Popp, A. & Lotze-Campen, H.: Technical and Economic Irrigation Potentials within land and water boundaries
Water Resources Research, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031924
Gerten, D., Stenzel, F. 2023: Contributing Authors to Ingemarsson, M.L., Weinberg, J., Rudebeck, T., Wang-Erlandsson, L (Eds.): The Essential Drop to Reach Net-Zero: Unpacking Freshwater's Role in Climate Change Mitigation. SIWI, PIK, UNDP & GIZ GmbH.
2022:
Braun, J., Stenzel, F., Bodirsky, B., Jalava, M., & Gerten, D.: Dietary changes could compensate for potential yield reductions upon global river flow protection. Global Sustainability, 1-27 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2022.12
2021:
Stenzel, F., Dissertation: The implications of large-scale irrigated bioenergy plantations for future water use and water stress, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät, 2021. https://doi.org/10.18452/23396
Stenzel, F., Greve, P., Lucht, W., Tramberend, S., Wada, Y., Gerten, D.: Irrigation of biomass plantations may globally increase water stress more than climate change. Nat Commun 12, 1512 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21640-3
Stenzel, F., Gerten, D., and Hanasaki, N.: Global scenarios of irrigation water use for bioenergy production: a systematic review, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2021, 25, 1711-1726. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1711-2021
2019:
Stenzel, F., Gerten, D., Werner, C., Jägermeyr, J.: Freshwater requirements of large-scale bioenergy plantations for limiting global warming to 1.5 °C. Environ. Res. Lett. 14, 084001, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab2b4b
ReForMit - Understanding and securing the resilience of forest-based climate change mitigation
GCF -
IKI-IMPACT-RD1 - Climate change impacts on Small Island States and Least Developed Countries
CE-LAND+ - Global freshwater demand for irrigation of bioenergy plantations as negative emission technology to mitigate climate change
since 2022 Introduction to the Earth System: The Terrestrial Biosphere, Lecture|Seminar|Exercise,
University Potsdam - International Master Program: Climate, Earth, Water, Sustainability.
2021 Climate Change Land & Water Interactions, Seminar, Potsdam Summer School.
2020 Modeling of Earth system processes, 5-day block course, University Potsdam - Geoecology.
2018 Global aspects of socio-hydrologic modeling - Q-team, Grant application, concept design
and mentoring of semester student projects, bologna lab/Geography dept. HU Berlin.
since 2018 Co-supervision/Mentoring of several Bachelor and Master thesis projects, together
with Prof. Dr. Dieter Gerten and Prof. Dr. Tobias Krüger.
Live interview in hr "alle wetter!" about safe and just Earth system boundaries as an extension to Planetary Boundaries
Podcast Interview about Climate Tipping Points, Planetary Boundaries and Negative Emissions
https://deutschepodcasts.de/podcast/renews/rn13-uber-klimakipppunkte-planetare-grenzen-und-ne
Podcast Interview about recent paper: Irrigated biomass plantations might exert more water stress than climate change
https://www.ecoshock.org/2021/03/the-decade-after-tomorrow.html
Fact checker for the first German citizen’s assembly on climate change
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wgn96XeDAeo
