I am an Earth system modeler, working on the link between biosphere/land-surface and atmosphere. In my PhD I coupled the state-of-the-art DGVM LPJmL to the Earth system model CM2Mc and investigated with that model fire-induced hysteresis and tipping in the Amazon rainforest. This new comprehensive and fast Earth system model (POEM) is currently being developed into a simulator of planetary boundaries (PBsim) and used for investigating further tipping points and the global carbon cycle.
During my PhD I worked within the International Research Training Group (IRTG 1740) "Dynamical Phenomena in Complex Networks". At PIK I am member of the Ecosystems in Transitions (EsT) and the Earth System Model Development Group (DESM) groups in RD1.
My current project of developing POEM into the planetary boundary simulator is funded by the VolkswagenStiftung. An overarching goal of the project is to mobilize the existing PIK expertise from subfields such as marine biology, ocean physics, terrestrial biogeochemistry, functional ecology, and atmospheric circulation and dynamics, in order to foster a more complete and in-depth investigation of planetary boundaries and their interactions.
Department
Working Group
Contact
14412 Potsdam
ORCID
- How do Earth-system components under anthropogenic pressure influence the state of the
Earth system as a whole? - Are there limits and thresholds where certain combinations of processes drive the Earth
system into altered states of operation when compared to historic precedence? - What are limits to change that can be established as planetary boundaries to maintain and
safeguard the functional integrity of the Earth’s ecosphere, humanity’s one and only habitat? - Is there any danger of runaway effects or developments, state transitions or tipping cascades
developing if certain thresholds of change are transgressed? - Which kinds of interventions into humanity’s influence on the Earth system can steer it
toward a dynamically stabilized Anthropocene amenable to sustainable development?
Hess, P., Drüke, M., Petri, S., Felix M. Strnad & Niklas Boers .Physically constrained generative adversarial networks for improving precipitation fields from Earth system models. Nat Mach Intell 4, 828–839 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-022-00540-1
Drüke, Markus, Werner von Bloh, Boris Sakschewski, Nico Wunderling, Stefan Petri, Manoel Cardoso, Henrique MJ Barbosa, and Kirsten Thonicke. "Climate-induced hysteresis of the tropical forest in a fire-enabled Earth system model." The European Physical Journal Special Topics (2021): 1-10. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1140%2Fepjs%2Fs11734-021-00157-2
Drüke, M., von Bloh, W., Petri, S., Sakschewski, B., Schaphoff, S., Forkel, M., Huiskamp, W., Feulner, G., and Thonicke, K.: CM2Mc-LPJmL v1.0: biophysical coupling of a process-based dynamic vegetation model with managed land to a general circulation model, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 4117–4141, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4117-2021, 2021.
B. Sakschewski, W. von Bloh, Markus Drüke, A. Sörensson, R.Ruscica, F. Langerwisch, M. Billing, S. Bereswill, M. Hirota, R. Oliveira, J. Heinke, K. Thonicke (2020): Variable tree rooting strategies improve tropical productivity and evapotranspiration in a dynamic global vegetation model. in review at Biogeosciences, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2020-97
Drüke, M., Forkel, M., Von Bloh, W., Sakschewski, B., Cardoso, M., Bustamante, M., ... & Thonicke, K. (2019). Improving the LPJmL4-SPITFIRE vegetation–fire model for South America using satellite data. Geoscientific Model Development, 12(12), 5029-5054.
Forkel, M., Drüke, M., Thurner, M., Dorigo, W., Schaphoff, S., Thonicke, K., ... & Carvalhais, N. (2019). Constraining modelled global vegetation dynamics and carbon turnover using multiple satellite observations. Scientific reports, 9(1), 1-12.
