Dr. Dominik Paprotny

2024–present    

WP3 leader in project "Compound extremes attribution of climate change: towards an operational service” at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Research Dept. Transformation Pathways.

2021–2024

Principal Investigator for project “Decomposition of flood losses by environmental and economic drivers” at PIK

2020–2021

Senior Associate, Climate Change Impact Modeller at MSCI, ESG Research, Climate Risk Center, Potsdam.

2019–2020

Postdoctoral researcher at GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Hydrology Section, for Climate KIC project “Improved assessment of pluvial, fluvial and coastal flood hazards and risks in European cities as a mean to build safer and resilient communities”

2014–2018

PhD candidate at Delft University of Technology, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, with participation in European research projects “Risk Analysis of Infrastructure Networks in Response to Extreme Weather” and “Bridging the Gap for Innovations in Disaster Resilience”

2017–2018

Trainee researcher at European Commission – Joint Research Centre, Disaster Risk Management Unit in Ispra, Italy

2013–2014

Researcher at University of Szczecin, Faculty of Geosciences, for EU-funded project “Satellite Monitoring of the Baltic Sea Environment”

2010–2012

Master degree in geography, specialisation marine geography, at University of Szczecin, Poland.

2007–2010

Bachelor degree in geography at University of Szczecin, Poland.

Preprints

6. Feyen L., Motta C., Barredo J., Bertassello L., Bisselink B., Curtale R., Dosio A., Dottori F., Formetta G., Forzieri G., García-León D., Gomez D., Masselot P., Paprotny D., Pisoni E., Szewczyk W., Vousdoukas M., Alfieri L., Batista e Silva F., Belis C., Bianchi A., Caudullo G., Cescatti A., Gasparrini A., Mentaschi L., Mulholland E., Naumann G., Tilloy A., Gosling S., Maes J., Soria A., Avila A., Mongelli I., Ciscar J. C. 2025. The unequal burden of rising climate risks across regions and societies in Europe. Nature, in review, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-6369925/v1

5. Devadas B., Paprotny D., Kreibich H., Steinhausen M., Oostwegel L. J. N., Endendijk T., Schoppa L., Domeneghetti A., Castellarin A., Dottori F., D'Angelo C., Mentaschi L., Kuiry S. N., Sairam N. 2025. Projecting future flood losses to commercial assets in Europe: the role of precautionary measures. Earth's Future, submitted, doi:10.22541/au.174405245.55645980/v1

4. Vousdoukas M. I., Paprotny D., Mentaschi L., Monioudi I.N., Feyen L. 2024. Coastal flood impacts and lost ecosystem services along Europe’s Outermost Regions and Overseas Countries and Territories. Nature Communications, in review, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-5158614/v1

3. Leszczyńska K., Alexanderson H., Clemmensen L., Giza A., Lorenz S., Moskalewicz D., Oliński P., Paprotny D., Rosentau A., Rutgersson A., Stattegger K., Szczuciński W., Terefenko P., Uścinowicz G., Uścinowicz S., Wolski T. 2024. A review of storms and marine coastal flooding in the Baltic Sea – insights from instrumental, historical and sedimentary record. Earth-Science Reviews, accepted in print, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105137

2. Paprotny D., Tilloy A., Treu S., Buch A., Vousdoukas M. I., Feyen L., Kreibich H., Merz B., Frieler K., Mengel M. 2024. Attribution of flood impacts shows strong benefits of adaptation in Europe. Science Advances, in review, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-5430941/v1

1. Buch A., Paprotny D., Rafiezadeh Shahi, K., Kreibich H., Sairam N. 2024. Modelling flood losses to microbusinesses in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions, accepted in print, doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-2340

Peer-reviewed journal papers

2025

34. Tilloy A., Paprotny D., Grimaldi S., Gomes G., Bianchi A., Lange S., Beck H., Mazzetti C., Feyen L. 2025. HERA: a high-resolution pan-European hydrological reanalysis (1951-2020). Earth System Science Data 17, 293–316, doi:10.5194/essd-17-293-2025

33. Paprotny D., 't Hart C. M. P., Morales-Napoles O. 2025. Evolution of flood protection levels and flood vulnerability in Europe since 1950 estimated with vine-copula models. Natural Hazards, 121, 6155–6184, doi:10.1007/s11069-024-07039-5

2024

32. Paprotny D., Terefenko P., Śledziowski J. 2024. HANZE v2.1: an improved database of flood impacts in Europe from 1870 to 2020. Earth System Science Data, 16, 5145–5170, doi:10.5194/essd-16-5145-2024

31. Paprotny D., Rhein B., Vousdoukas M. I., Teferenko P., Dottori F., Śledziowski J., Treu S., Feyen L., Kreibich H. 2024. Merging modelled and reported flood impacts in Europe in a combined flood event catalogue for 1950-2020. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, 3983–4010, doi:10.5194/hess-28-3983-2024

30. Terefenko P., Giza A., Śledziowski J., Paprotny D., Bučas M., Kelpšaitė-Rimkienė, L. 2024. Classification of soft cliff dynamics using remote sensing and data mining methods. Science of the Total Environment, 947, 174743, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174743

29. Schoppa L., Barendrecht M., Paprotny D., Sairam N., Sieg T., Kreibich H. 2024. Projecting flood risk dynamics for effective long-term adaptation. Earth's Future, 12, e2022EF003258, doi:10.1029/2022EF00325

2023

28. Soriano E., Schröter K., Ullrich S., Paprotny D., Bagli S., Santillán Sánchez D., Cueto-Felgueroso L., Lompi M., Mediero L. 2023. Assessing the impact of climate change on fluvial flood losses in urban areas: a case study of Pamplona (Spain). Hydrological Sciences Journal, 68(13):1769–1793, doi:10.1080/02626667.2023.2246452

27. Monioudi I.N., Velegrakis A.F., Chatzistratis D., Vousdoukas M.I., Savva C., Wang D., Bove G., Mentaschi L., Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Chatzipavlis A. E., Hasiotis T., Manoutsoglou E. 2023. Climate change - induced hazards on touristic island beaches: Cyprus, Eastern Mediterranean. Frontiers in Marine Science 10:1188896, doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1188896

26. Paprotny D., Mengel M. 2023. Population, land use and economic exposure estimates for Europe at 100 m resolution from 1870 to 2020. Scientific Data 10:372, doi:10.1038/s41597-023-02282-0

25. Koot P., Mendoza-Lugo M. A., Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Ragno E., Worm D. T. H., 2023. PyBanshee version (1.0): A Python implementation of the MATLAB toolbox BANSHEE for Non-Parametric Bayesian Networks with updated features. SoftwareX 21:101279, doi:10.1016/j.softx.2022.101279

2022

24. Steinhausen M., Paprotny D., Dottori F., Sairam N., Mentaschi L., Alfieri L., Lüdtke S., Kreibich H., Schröter K. 2022. Drivers of future fluvial flood risk change for residential buildings in Europe. Global Environmental Change 76, 102559, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102559

2021

23. Paprotny D., Terefenko P., Giza A., Czapliński P., Vousdoukas M.I. 2021. Projecting losses of ecosystem services due to coastal erosion in Europe with remote sensing data. Science of the Total Environment, 760, 144310, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144310

22. Paprotny, D. 2021. Convergence between developed and developing countries: a centennial perspective. Social Indicators Research 153, 193-225, doi:10.1007/s11205-020-02488-4

21. Świecka, B., Terefenko, P., Paprotny, D. 2021. Transaction factors’ influence on the choice of payment by Polish consumers. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services 58:102264, doi:10.1016/j.jretconser.2020.102264

20. Paprotny D., Kreibich H., Morales Nápoles O., Wagenaar D., Castellarin A., Carisi F., Bertin X., Merz B., Schröter K. 2021. A probabilistic approach to estimating residential losses from different flood types. Natural Hazards 105(3):2569–2601, doi:10.1007/s11069-020-04413-x

2020

19. Ganguli P., Paprotny D., Hasan M., Güntner A., Merz B. 2020. Projected changes in compound flood hazard from riverine and coastal floods in Northwestern Europe. Earth’s Future 8(11):e2020EF001752, doi:10.1029/2020EF001752

18. Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Worm D.T.H., Ragno E. 2020. BANSHEE–A Matlab Toolbox for Non-Parametric Bayesian Networks. SoftwareX 12, 100588, doi:10.1016/j.softx.2020.100588

17. Paprotny D., Kreibich H., Morales Nápoles O., Castellarin A., Carisi F., Schröter K. 2020. Exposure and vulnerability estimation for modelling flood losses to commercial assets in Europe. Science of the Total Environment 737:140011, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140011

16. Terefenko P., Giza A., Paprotny D., Walczakiewicz S. 2020. Characteristic of Winter Storm Xavier and its Impacts on Coastal Morphology: Results of a Case Study on the Polish Coast. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue 95, 684–688, doi:10.2112/SI95-133.1

15. Paprotny D., Vousdoukas M.I., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N., Feyen L. 2020. Pan-European hydrodynamic models and their ability to identify compound floods. Natural Hazards, 101(3), 933–957, doi:10.1007/s11069-020-03902-3

14. Paprotny D., Kreibich H., Morales Nápoles O., Terefenko P., Schröter K. 2020. Estimating exposure of residential assets to natural hazards in Europe using open data. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 20:323–343, doi:10.5194/nhess-20-323-2020

2019

13. Terefenko P., Paprotny D., Giza A., Morales Nápoles O., Kubicki A., Walczakiewicz S. 2019. Monitoring cliff erosion with LiDAR surveys and Bayesian Network-based data analysis. Remote Sensing 11(7):843, doi:10.3390/rs11070843

12. Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Vousdoukas M.I., Jonkman S.N., Nikulin G. 2019. Accuracy of pan-European coastal flood mapping. Journal of Flood Risk Management 12(2):e12459, doi:10.1111/jfr3.12459

2018

11. Paprotny D., Sebastian A., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N. 2018. Trends in flood losses in Europe over the past 150 years. Nature Communications 9:1985, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-04253-1

10. Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N. 2018. HANZE: a pan-European database of exposure to natural hazards and damaging historical floods since 1870. Earth System Science Data 10:565–581, doi:10.5194/essd-10-565-2018

9. Terefenko P., Giza A., Paprotny D., Kubicki A., Winowski M. 2018. Cliff retreat induced by series of storms at Międzyzdroje (Poland). Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue 85:181–185, doi:10.2112/SI85-037.1

2017

8. Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N. 2017. Efficient pan-European river flood hazard modelling through a combination of statistical and physical models. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 17:1267–1283, doi:10.5194/nhess-17-1267-2017

7. Morales Nápoles O., Paprotny D., Worm D., Abspoel-Bukman L., Courage W. 2017. Characterization of precipitation through copulas and expert judgement for risk assessment of infrastructure. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering 3(4):04017012, doi:10.1061/AJRUA6.0000914

6. Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O. 2017. Estimating extreme river discharges in Europe through a Bayesian Network. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21:2615–2636, doi:10.5194/hess-21-2615-2017

5. Paprotny D., Terefenko P. 2017. New estimates of potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal floods in Poland. Natural Hazards 85(2):1249–1277, doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2619-z

2016

4. Paprotny D. 2016. Measuring Central and Eastern Europe’s socio-economic development using time lags. Social Indicators Research 127(3):939–957, doi:10.1007/s11205-015-0991-9

3. Huibregtse J.N., Morales-Nápoles O., Hellebrandt L., Paprotny D., de Wit M.S. 2016. Climate change in asset management of infrastructure: A risk-based methodology applied to disruption of traffic on road networks due to the flooding of tunnels. European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research 16(1):98–113.

2014

2. Paprotny D., Andrzejewski P., Terefenko P., Furmańczyk K. 2014. Application of empirical wave run-up formulas to the Polish Baltic Sea coast. PLoS ONE 9(8): e105437, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0105437

1. Furmańczyk K., Andrzejewski P., Benedyczak R., Bugajny N., Cieszyński Ł., Dudzińska-Nowak J., Giza A., Paprotny D., Terefenko P., Zawiślak T. 2014. Recording of selected effects and hazards caused by current and expected storm events in the Baltic Sea coastal zone. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue 70:338–342, doi:10.2112/SI70-057.1

Editorials

1. Terefenko P., Lubczonek J., Paprotny D. 2021. Editorial on Special Issue “Remote Sensing Applications in Coastal Environment”. Remote Sensing 13:4734, doi:10.3390/rs13234734

Reports

3. Ward P.J., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Alberton M., Wouter Botzen W.J., Fatica S., Feyen L., Klein R.J.T., Muis S., Mysiak J., Paprotny D., Sillmann J., van Ginkel K. 2024. Large-scale flooding, in: European Environment Agency, European Climate Risk Assessment, EEA Report 01/2024. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, doi:10.2800/204249

2. Secondary co-author of: European Commission. 2023. The EU Blue Economy Report 2023. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, doi:10.2771/7151

1. Secondary co-author of: European Commission. 2021. The EU Blue Economy Report 2021. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, doi:10.2771/8217

Conference papers

8. Paprotny D., Schröter K., Bagli S., Castellarin A., Essenfelder A. H., Mazzoli P., Mediero L., Morales Nápoles O., Mysiak J., Kreibich H. 2021. Assessing direct flood damages using open data in diverse urban environments. 4^th European Conference on Flood Risk Management, Budapest, Hungary, doi:10.3311/FloodRisk2020.9.1

7. Terefenko P., Paprotny D., Kubicki A., Giza A., Winowski M. 2017. Analiza wpływu orkanów Barbara i Aleks na morfologię wybrzeża klifowego wyspy Wolin. In: Kostrzewski A., Winowski M. (Eds.). Geoekosystem Wybrzeży Morskich. Poznań-Biała Góra, 177–189.

6. Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Nikulin G. 2016. Extreme sea levels under present and future climate: a pan-European database. E3S Web of Conferences 7, 02001, doi:10.1051/e3sconf/20160702001

5. Paprotny D., Morales-Nápoles O. 2015. A Bayesian Network for extreme river discharges in Europe. In: Podofillini, L., Sudret, B., Stojadinović, B., Zio, E. and Kröger, W. (Eds.) Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems, CRC Press/Balkema, 4303–4311

4. Paprotny D. 2014. Poziom rozwoju Polski w relacji do państw zachodnich. Wiadomości Statystyczne, 59(3):48–65

3. Paprotny D. 2013. Kartowanie ryzyka powodziowego w kontekście rozwiązań europejskich na przykładzie Wybrzeża Trzebiatowskiego. In: Borówka R. K., Cedro A., Kavetskyy I. (Eds.). Współczesne problemy badań geograficznych. Uniwersytet Szczeciński, Wydział Nauk o Ziemi, Szczecin, 291–302

2. Paprotny D. 2012. Zastosowanie GIS w siłach zbrojnych. In: Rydzewski T., Smutek J. (Eds.). Biuletyn Instytutu Geografii Społeczno-Ekonomicznej i Gospodarki Przestrzennej Uniwersytetu im. Adama Mickiewicza w Poznaniu. Seria Rozwój Regionalny i Polityka Regionalna nr 20, Poznań, 149–162

1. Paprotny D. 2012. Modelowanie powodzi w programie SOBEK na przykładzie Wybrzeża Trzebiatowskiego. In: Furmańczyk K. (Ed.), Zintegrowane Zarządzenie Obszarami Przybrzeżnymi – stan obecny i perspektywy 4. Zagrożenia i systemy ostrzegania. Instytut Nauk o Morzu US, Szczecin, 149–161

German Research Foundation (DFG), “Decomposition of flood losses by environmental and economic drivers”, project no. 449175973, 36 months, VII 2021–VI 2024.

European Commission, Horizon Europe, “Compound extremes attribution of climate change: towards an operational service (COMPASS)”, 36 months, I 2024-XII 2026.