Dr. Dominik Paprotny

Postdoctoral Researcher

Dominik Paprotny is the principal investigator in DFG-funded project "Decomposition of flood losses by environmental and economic drivers" (2021-2024). The project aims to re-evaluate recorded fluvial and coastal flood losses that have occurred since 1950 in order to attribute them, on one hand, to change in climate forcing and, on the other, to the evolving social and economic conditions. It will result in new mesoscale vulnerability models and a wealth of high-resolution data on European flood hazard, exposure and impacts.


Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
P.O. Box 60 12 03
14412 Potsdam



Principal Investigator for project “Decomposition of flood losses by environmental and economic drivers” at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Research Dept. Transformation Pathways.


Senior Associate, Climate Change Impact Modeller at MSCI, ESG Research, Climate Risk Center, Potsdam.


Postdoctoral researcher at GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Hydrology Section, for Climate KIC project “Improved assessment of pluvial, fluvial and coastal flood hazards and risks in European cities as a mean to build safer and resilient communities”


PhD candidate at Delft University of Technology, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, with participation in European research projects “Risk Analysis of Infrastructure Networks in Response to Extreme Weather” and “Bridging the Gap for Innovations in Disaster Resilience”


Trainee researcher at European Commission – Joint Research Centre, Disaster Risk Management Unit in Ispra, Italy


Researcher at University of Szczecin, Faculty of Geosciences, for EU-funded project “Satellite Monitoring of the Baltic Sea Environment”


Master degree in geography, specialisation marine geography, at University of Szczecin, Poland.


Bachelor degree in geography at University of Szczecin, Poland.

Journal papers

Steinhausen M., Paprotny D., Dottori F., Sairam N., Mentaschi L., Alfieri L., Lüdtke S., Kreibich H., Schröter K. 2022. Drivers of future fluvial flood risk change for residential buildings in Europe. Global Environmental Change 76, 102559, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102559

Paprotny D., Terefenko P., Giza A., Czapliński P., Vousdoukas M.I. 2021. Projecting losses of ecosystem services due to coastal erosion in Europe with remote sensing data. Science of the Total Environment, 760, 144310, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144310

Paprotny, D. 2021. Convergence between developed and developing countries: a centennial perspective. Social Indicators Research 153, 193-225, doi:10.1007/s11205-020-02488-4

Świecka, B., Terefenko, P., Paprotny, D. 2021. Transaction factors’ influence on the choice of payment by Polish consumers. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services 58:102264, doi:10.1016/j.jretconser.2020.102264

Paprotny D., Kreibich H., Morales Nápoles O., Wagenaar D., Castellarin A., Carisi F., Bertin X., Merz B., Schröter K. 2021. A probabilistic approach to estimating residential losses from different flood types. Natural Hazards 105(3):2569–2601, doi:10.1007/s11069-020-04413-x

Ganguli P., Paprotny D., Hasan M., Güntner A., Merz B. 2020. Projected changes in compound flood hazard from riverine and coastal floods in Northwestern Europe. Earth’s Future 8(11):e2020EF001752, doi:10.1029/2020EF001752

Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Worm D.T.H., Ragno E. 2020. BANSHEE–A Matlab Toolbox for Non-Parametric Bayesian Networks. SoftwareX 12, 100588, doi:10.1016/j.softx.2020.100588

Paprotny D., Kreibich H., Morales Nápoles O., Castellarin A., Carisi F., Schröter K. 2020. Exposure and vulnerability estimation for modelling flood losses to commercial assets in Europe. Science of the Total Environment 737:140011, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140011

Terefenko P., Giza A., Paprotny D., Walczakiewicz S. 2020. Characteristic of Winter Storm Xavier and its Impacts on Coastal Morphology: Results of a Case Study on the Polish Coast. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue 95, 684–688, doi:10.2112/SI95-133.1

Paprotny D., Vousdoukas M.I., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N., Feyen L. 2020. Pan-European hydrodynamic models and their ability to identify compound floods. Natural Hazards, 101(3), 933–957, doi:10.1007/s11069-020-03902-3

Paprotny D., Kreibich H., Morales Nápoles O., Terefenko P., Schröter K. 2020. Estimating exposure of residential assets to natural hazards in Europe using open data. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 20:323–343, doi:10.5194/nhess-20-323-2020

Terefenko P., Paprotny D., Giza A., Morales Nápoles O., Kubicki A., Walczakiewicz S. 2019. Monitoring cliff erosion with LiDAR surveys and Bayesian Network-based data analysis. Remote Sensing 11(7):843, doi:10.3390/rs11070843.

Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Vousdoukas M.I., Jonkman S.N., Nikulin G. 2019. Accuracy of pan-European coastal flood mapping. Journal of Flood Risk Management 12(2):e12459, doi:10.1111/jfr3.12459.

Paprotny D., Sebastian A., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N. 2018. Trends in flood losses in Europe over the past 150 years. Nature Communications 9:1985, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-04253-1.

Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N. 2018. HANZE: a pan-European database of exposure to natural hazards and damaging historical floods since 1870. Earth System Science Data 10:565–581, doi:10.5194/essd-10-565-2018.

Terefenko P., Giza A., Paprotny D., Kubicki A., Winowski M. 2018. Cliff retreat induced by series of storms at Międzyzdroje (Poland). Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue 85:181–185, doi:10.2112/SI85-037.1.

Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N. 2017. Efficient pan-European river flood hazard modelling through a combination of statistical and physical models. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 17:1267–1283, doi:10.5194/nhess-17-1267-2017.

Morales Nápoles O., Paprotny D., Worm D., Abspoel-Bukman L., Courage W. 2017. Characterization of precipitation through copulas and expert judgement for risk assessment of infrastructure. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering 3(4):04017012, doi:10.1061/AJRUA6.0000914.

Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O. 2017. Estimating extreme river discharges in Europe through a Bayesian Network. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21:2615–2636, doi:10.5194/hess-21-2615-2017.

Paprotny D., Terefenko P. 2017. New estimates of potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal floods in Poland. Natural Hazards 85(2):1249–1277, doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2619-z.

Paprotny D. 2016. Measuring Central and Eastern Europe’s socio-economic development using time lags. Social Indicators Research 127(3):939–957, doi:10.1007/s11205-015-0991-9.

Huibregtse J.N., Morales-Nápoles O., Hellebrandt L., Paprotny D., de Wit M.S. 2016. Climate change in asset management of infrastructure: A risk-based methodology applied to disruption of traffic on road networks due to the flooding of tunnels. European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research 16(1):98–113.

Paprotny D., Andrzejewski P., Terefenko P., Furmańczyk K. 2014. Application of empirical wave run-up formulas to the Polish Baltic Sea coast. PLoS ONE 9(8): e105437, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0105437.

Furmańczyk K., Andrzejewski P., Benedyczak R., Bugajny N., Cieszyński Ł., Dudzińska-Nowak J., Giza A., Paprotny D., Terefenko P., Zawiślak T. 2014. Recording of selected effects and hazards caused by current and expected storm events in the Baltic Sea coastal zone. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue 70:338–342, doi:10.2112/SI70-057.1.

Conference papers

Paprotny D., Schröter K., Bagli S., Castellarin A., Essenfelder A. H., Mazzoli P., Mediero L., Morales Nápoles O., Mysiak J., Kreibich H. 2021. Assessing direct flood damages using open data in diverse urban environments. 4th European Conference on Flood Risk Management, Budapest, Hungary, doi:10.3311/FloodRisk2020.9.1

Paprotny D., Morales Nápoles O., Nikulin G. 2016. Extreme sea levels under present and future climate: a pan-European database. E3S Web of Conferences 7, 02001, doi:10.1051/e3sconf/20160702001.

Paprotny D., Morales-Nápoles O. 2015. A Bayesian Network for extreme river discharges in Europe. In: Podofillini, L., Sudret, B., Stojadinović, B., Zio, E. and Kröger, W. (Eds.) Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems, CRC Press/Balkema, 4303–4311.


Paprotny D. 2014. Trends in storm surge probability of occurrence along the Polish Baltic Sea coast. Pre-print, available at https://arxiv.org/abs/1410.2547.

Papers in Polish language

Terefenko P., Paprotny D., Kubicki A., Giza A., Winowski M. 2017. Analiza wpływu orkanów Barbara i Aleks na morfologię wybrzeża klifowego wyspy Wolin. In: Kostrzewski A., Winowski M. (Eds.). Geoekosystem Wybrzeży Morskich. Poznań-Biała Góra, 177–189.

Paprotny D. 2014. Poziom rozwoju Polski w relacji do państw zachodnich. Wiadomości Statystyczne, 59(3):48–65.

Paprotny D. 2013. Kartowanie ryzyka powodziowego w kontekście rozwiązań europejskich na przykładzie Wybrzeża Trzebiatowskiego. In: Borówka R. K., Cedro A., Kavetskyy I. (Eds.). Współczesne problemy badań geograficznych. Uniwersytet Szczeciński, Wydział Nauk o Ziemi, Szczecin, 291–302.

Paprotny D. 2012. Zastosowanie GIS w siłach zbrojnych. In: Rydzewski T., Smutek J. (Eds.). Biuletyn Instytutu Geografii Społeczno-Ekonomicznej i Gospodarki Przestrzennej Uniwersytetu im. Adama Mickiewicza w Poznaniu. Seria Rozwój Regionalny i Polityka Regionalna nr 20, Poznań, 149–162.

Paprotny D. 2012. Modelowanie powodzi w programie SOBEK na przykładzie Wybrzeża Trzebiatowskiego. In: Furmańczyk K. (Ed.), Zintegrowane Zarządzenie Obszarami Przybrzeżnymi – stan obecny i perspektywy 4. Zagrożenia i systemy ostrzegania. Instytut Nauk o Morzu US, Szczecin, 149–161.