Work in progress

In review and discussion

• A. Klein, K. Unverzagt, R. Alba, J.F. Donges, T. Hertz, T. Krüger, E. Lindkvist, R. Martin, J. Niewöhner, H. Prawitz, M. Schlüter,  L. Schwarz, N. Wijermans,
  Situated Modelling: An interdisciplinary framework for knowing a world in transformation,
  subm. (2023).
  
  
• C. Mauritzen, S. Cornell, S. Eker, C. Smith, B. Callegari, D. Collste, J.F. Donges, P.M. Forster, D. Gerten, A. Gjermundsen, B. Kopainsky, C. Li, S. Mashhadi, W. Schoenberg, J. Sillmann, L. Wang-Erlandsson,
  Perspective: A research agenda towards building renewed trust in decision making tools for climate mitigation,
  in review.
  
  
• J. Garbe, M. Zeitz, U. Krebs-Kanzow, and R. Winkelmann,
  The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple
  The Cryosphere Discuss. [preprint], in review (2023),
  DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2022-249.
  
  
• C. Folke, J. Rockström, L. Kotzé, S. Milutinovic, F. Biermann, V. Brovkin, J.F. Donges, J. Ebbesson, D. French, J. Gupta, R.E. Kim, T.M. Lenton, D. Lenzi, N. Nakicenovic, B. Neumann, F. Schuppert, R. Winkelmann, K. Bosselmann, W. Lucht, D. Schlosberg, K. Richardson, W. Steffen,
  Planetary commons for the Anthropocene,
  in review (2022).
  
  
• Bauer, N., Keller, D. P., Garbe, J., Karstens, K., Piontek, F., von Bloh, W., Thiery, W., Zeitz, M., Mengel, M., Strefler, J., Thonicke, K., and Winkelmann, R.,
  Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5°C carbon budget over space and time,
  Environmental Research Letters, in review (2022).
  
  

• NN,
  Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters,
  in review (2022).

• B. Urruty*, E. A. Hill*, R. Reese*, J. Garbe, O. Gagliardini, G. Durand, F. Gillet-Chaulet, G. H. Gudmundsson, R. Winkelmann, M. Chekki, D. Chandler, and P. M. Langebroek
  The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part A: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry,
  The Cryosphere Discuss. [preprint], in review (2022).
  DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2022-104.
  
  
• R. Reese, J. Garbe, E. A. Hill, B. Urruty, K. A. Naughten, O. Gagliardini, G. Durand, F. Gillet-Chaulet, G. H. Gudmundsson, D. Chandler, P. M. Langebroek, and R. Winkelmann,
  The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines - Part B: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded,
  The Cryosphere Discuss. [preprint], in review (2022),
  DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2022-105.
  
  
• K. Richardson, W. Steffen, W. Lucht, J. Bendtsen, S.E. Cornell, J.F. Donges, M. Drüke,  I. Fetzer, W. von Bloh,  D. Nogues Bravo, G. Feulner, S. Fiedler, D. Gerten, T. Gleeson, G. Bala, M. Hoffmann, W. Huiskamp,  M. Kummu, C. Mohan, S. Petri, M. Porkka, S. Rahmstorf, S. Schaphoff, K. Thonicke, A. Tobian, V. Virkki, L. Wang-Erlandsson, L. Weber, J. Rockström,
  Increasing transgression of most planetary boundaries,
  subm. (2022).
  
  
• S. Perri, S. Levin, L. Hedin, N. Wunderling, A. Porporato,
  Socio-political feedback on the path to Net-Zero,
  in review (2022),
  preprint arXiv:2204.11101 [physics.soc-ph].
  
  
• T.M. Lenton, C. Xu, J.F. Abrams, A. Ghadiali, S. Loriani, B. Sakschewski, C. Zimm, K.L. Ebi, R.R. Dunn, J.-C. Svenning, M. Scheffer,
  Quantifying the human cost of global warming,
  in review (2022),
  preprint bioRXiv, DOI: 10.1101/2022.06.07.495131
  
  
• E.K. Smith*/M. Wiedermann*, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R. Winkelmann,
  Concern and anticipation of sea-level rise provide grounds for social tipping towards climate action,
  in review (2022),
  preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/nyquv,
  * shared lead-authorship.
  
  
• E.K. Smith, C. Eder, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, A. Katsandiou, M. Wiedermann, R. Winkelmann,
  Domino Effects in the Earth System - The role of wanted social tipping points,
  in review (2022),
  preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/d8scb,
  old preprint arXiv:1911.10063 [physics.soc-ph].
  
  
• J.M. Anderies, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, J. Heitzig, J. Rockström,
  Conceptualizing World-Earth System resilience: Exploring transformation pathways towards a safe and just operating space for humanity,
  in review (2022),
  preprint arXiv:2204.04471 [physics.soc-ph].
  
  
• T. Homer-Dixon, O. Renn, J. Rockström, J.F. Donges, S. Janzwood,
  A call for an international research program on the risk of a global polycrisis,
  subm. (2021).
  
  
• A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges,
  Estimating nonlinear stability from time series data,
  in review (2021),
  preprint arXiv:2112.03260 [physics.data-an].
  
  
• S. Bien, P. Schultz, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
  Resilience basins of complex systems: an application to prosumer impacts on power grids,
  in review (2021),
  preprint arXiv:2108.09474 [physics.soc-ph].
  
  
• F. Schunck, M. Wiedermann, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
  A dynamic network model of societal complexity and resilience inspired by Tainter's theory of collapse,
  in review (2021),
  preprint arXiv.org/abs/2102.06698 [physics.soc-ph].
  
  
• J.F. Donges*/B. Ewers*, J. Heitzig, S. Peterson,
  Divestment may burst the carbon bubble if investors' beliefs tip to anticipating strong future climate policy,
  in review,
  preprint arxiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1902.07481,
  * Shared lead-authorship.