Work in progress

In review and discussion

  • J. Rockström, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, M.A. Martin, L. Wang-Erlandsson, K. Richardson,
    The science on planetary boundaries as a guide to humanity's future on Earth,
    in review (2023).

  • E.K. Smith*, N. Kitzmann*, M. Milkoreit*, R. Winkelmann*, A.-S. Crépin, C. Eder, N. Harring, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, T.M. Lenton, F. Mauelshagen, K. Minor, I.M. Otto, A. Rezai, J. Scheffran, I. Stadelmann-Steffen, R. van der Ploeg, N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges*,
    Criticality and critical agency in societal tipping processes towards sustainability,
    subm. (2023),
    * shared lead-authorship.

  • E.K. Smith*/M. Wiedermann*, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R. Winkelmann,
    A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping - the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
    preprint EGUSphere,
    DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622,
    * shared lead-authorship.
  • N. Wunderling, A. von der Heydt, Y. Aksenov, S. Barker, R. Bastiaansen, V. Brovkin, M. Brunetti, V. Couplet, T. Kleinen, C.H. Lear, J. Lohmann, R.M. Roman-Cuesta, S. Sinet, D. Swingedouw, R. Winkelmann, P. Anand, J. Barichivich, S. Bathiany, M. Baudena, J.T. Bruun, C.M. Chiessi, H.K. Coxall, D. Docquier, J.F. Donges, S.K.J. Falkena, A.K. Klose, D. Obura, J. Rocha, S. Rynders, N.J. Steinert, M. Willeit,
    Climate tipping points and interactions: A review,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023).

  • V. Spaiser, S. Juhola, S.M. Constantino, W. Guo, T. Watson, J. Sillmann, A. Craparo, A. Basel, J.T. Bruun, K. Krishnamurthy, J. Scheffran, P. Pinho, U.T. Okpara, J.F. Donges, A. Bhowmik, T. Yasseri, R. Safra de Campos, G.S. Cumming, H. Chenet, F. Krampe, J.F. Abrams,
    Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilisation,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023).

  • A.K. Klose, J.F. Donges, U. Feudel, R. Winkelmann,
    Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,
    Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023).

  • A. Klein, K. Unverzagt, R. Alba, J.F. Donges, T. Hertz, T. Krüger, E. Lindkvist, R. Martin, J. Niewöhner, H. Prawitz, M. Schlüter,  L. Schwarz, N. Wijermans,
    Situated Modelling: An interdisciplinary framework for knowing a world in transformation,
    subm. (2023).

  • C. Mauritzen, S. Cornell, S. Eker, C. Smith, B. Callegari, D. Collste, J.F. Donges, P.M. Forster, D. Gerten, A. Gjermundsen, B. Kopainsky, C. Li, S. Mashhadi, W. Schoenberg, J. Sillmann, L. Wang-Erlandsson,
    Perspective: A research agenda towards building renewed trust in decision making tools for climate mitigation
    in review.

  • J. Garbe, M. Zeitz, U. Krebs-Kanzow, and R. Winkelmann,
    The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple
    The Cryosphere Discuss. [preprint], in review (2023),

  • C. Folke, J. Rockström, L. Kotzé, S. Milutinovic, F. Biermann, V. Brovkin, J.F. Donges, J. Ebbesson, D. French, J. Gupta, R.E. Kim, T.M. Lenton, D. Lenzi, N. Nakicenovic, B. Neumann, F. Schuppert, R. Winkelmann, K. Bosselmann, W. Lucht, D. Schlosberg, K. Richardson, W. Steffen,
    Planetary commons for the Anthropocene
    in review (2022).

  • B. Urruty*, E. A. Hill*, R. Reese*, J. Garbe, O. Gagliardini, G. Durand, F. Gillet-Chaulet, G. H. Gudmundsson, R. Winkelmann, M. Chekki, D. Chandler, and P. M. Langebroek
    The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part A: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry,
    The Cryosphere Discuss. [preprint], in review (2022).

  • E.K. Smith, C. Eder, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, A. Katsandiou, M. Wiedermann, R. Winkelmann,
    Domino Effects in the Earth System - The role of wanted social tipping points,
    in review (2022),
    preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/,
    old preprint arXiv:1911.10063 [physics.soc-ph].

  • T. Homer-Dixon, O. Renn, J. Rockström, J.F. Donges, S. Janzwood,
    A call for an international research program on the risk of a global polycrisis
    subm. (2021).

  • A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges,
    Estimating nonlinear stability from time series data
    in review (2021),
    preprint arXiv:2112.03260 [].

  • F. Schunck, M. Wiedermann, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
    A dynamic network model of societal complexity and resilience inspired by Tainter's theory of collapse,
    in review (2021),
    preprint [physics.soc-ph].

  • J.F. Donges*/B. Ewers*, J. Heitzig, S. Peterson,
    Divestment may burst the carbon bubble if investors' beliefs tip to anticipating strong future climate policy,
    in review,
    preprint arxiv:,
    * Shared lead-authorship.