Dr. Jérôme Hilaire

Post-doctoral researcher

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
P.O. Box 60 12 03
D-14412 Potsdam, Germany

Phone: +49-331-288-20758

Email: jerome [dot] hilaire [at] pik-potsdam.de

Research interests

  • Informing financial actors about transition risks and opportunities (TCFD)
  • Climate mitigation and policies
  • Fossil fuel resources and markets
  • Renewable energy resources and technologies
  • Air pollution and health impacts
  • Climate knowledge synthesis
  • Data science and machine learning tools for climate science




  1. Steckel, J. C., Hilaire, J., Jakob, M., and Edenhofer, O. Coal and carbonization in Sub-Sahara Africa Accepted in Nature Climate Change (2019)
  2. van Soest, H. L., van Vuuren, D. P., Hilaire, J., Minx, J. C., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., Krey, V., Popp, A., Riahi, K. and Luderer, G. Sustainable Development Goals: Analysing Interactions with Integrated Assessment Models Accepted in Global Transitions (2019)
  3. Rauner, S., Hilaire, J., Klein, D., Strefler, J. and Luderer, G. Co-benefits of ratcheting up the INDCs for air pollution health damages Accepted in Climatic Change (2019)


  1. Hilaire, J., Minx, J., Callaghan, M. W., Edmonds, J., Luderer, G., Nemet, G. F., Rogelj, J. and Zamora Dominguez, M. Negative emissions and International Climate Goals: learning from and about the scenario literature Climatic Change (2019) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-019-02516-4
  2. Gidden, M. J., Riahi, K., Smith, S. J., ... Hilaire, J., ... and Takahashi, K. Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized regional and country-level emissions trajectories through the end of the century Geoscientific Model Development (2019) https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1443-2019
  3. Harmsen, M. J. H. M., Fricko, O., Hilaire, J., ... and Smith, S. J. Taking some heat off the NDCs? The limited potential of short-lived climate forcers’ mitigation Climatic Change (2019) https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02436-3
  4. Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., Bodirsky, B. L., Durand-Lasserve, O., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gernaat, D., Hanaoka, T., Hilaire, J. ... and Wada K. The role of methane in future climate strategies: Mitigation potentials and climate impacts Climatic Change (2019) https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02437-2
  5. Creutzig, F., Breyer, C., Hilaire, J., Minx, J. and Peters, G. Energy system implications of negative emission technologies Energy & Environmental Science (2019) https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2019/ee/c8ee03682a


  1. Lenzi, D., Lamb, W. F., Hilaire, J., Kowarsch, M. and Minx, J. Don't deploy negative emissions without ethical analysis Nature (2018) https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-06695-5
  2. Kriegler, E., Bertram, C., Kuramochi, T., ..., Hilaire, J., ... and Edenhofer, O. Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals Environmental Research Letters (2018) http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/13/i=7/a=074022
  3. Minx, J., Lamb, W. F., Callaghan, M. W., Fuss, S., Hilaire, ... and Zamora Dominguez, M. Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis Environmental Research Letters (2018) http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aabf9b
  4. Fuss, S., Lamb, W. F., Callaghan, M. W., Hilaire, J., ... and Minx, J. Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects Environmental Research Letters (2018) http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aabf9f
  5. Nemet, G. F., Callaghan, M. W., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Hartmann, J., Hilaire, J., ... and Smith P. Negative emissions—Part 3: Innovation and upscaling Environmental Research Letters (2018) http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aabff4
  6. Bauer, N., McGlade, C., Hilaire, J. and Ekins, P. Divestment prevails over the green paradox when anticipating strong future climate policies Nature Climate Change (2018) https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-017-0053-1


  1. Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Emmerling, J., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Hilaire, J., ... and van Vuuren, D.P. Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives Global Environmental Change (2017) www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016301224
  2. Kriegler, E, Bauer, N., Popp, A., Humpenöder, F., Leimbach, M., Strefler, J., Baumstark, L., Bodirsky, B.L., Hilaire, J., ... and Edenhofer, O. Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century Global Environmental Change (2017) www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300711
  3. Rao, S., Klimont, Z., Smith, S.J., Van Dingenen, R., Dentener, F., ..., Hilaire, J. et al Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways Global Environmental Change (2017) www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300723


  1. Bauer, N., Hilaire, J., Brecha, R.J., Edmonds, J., Jiang, K., Kriegler, E., Rogner, H.H. and Sferra, F. Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework Energy (2016) www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544216307058
  2. Edenhofer, O., Flachsland, C., Hilaire, J. and Jakob, M. Den Klimawandel stoppen. Es gibt nicht zu wenig, sondern zu viel fossile Ressourcen - sie müssen in der Erde bleiben. (2016) Patenge, M., Beck, R., Luber, M. (eds.): Schöpfung bewahren - Theologie und Kirche als Implusgeber für eine nachhaltige Entwicklung, Verlag Friedrich Pustet, 30-34.


  1. Jakob, M. and Hilaire, J. Using Importers’ Windfall Savings from Oil Subsidy Reform to Enhance International Cooperation on Climate Policies. Climatic Change (2015) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-015-1406-2
  2. Hilaire, J., N. Bauer and R.J. Brecha. Boom or bust? Mapping out the known unknowns of global shale gas production potential. Energy Economics, In Press, Accepted Manuscript (2015) http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988315001097
  3. Jakob, M. and Hilaire, J. Unburnable fossil-fuel reserves. Nature, 517, 150-152 (2015) http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v517/n7533/full/517150a.html
  4. Arroyo-Currás, T. et al. Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 192–203, (2015) http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162513002606


  1. McJeon, H. et al. Limited impact on decadal-scale climate change from increased use of natural gas. Nature, 514, 482–485