Summary Report No. 65


European Conference on Advances in Flood Research, Proceedings,

(Vol. 1 - Vol. 2)
A. Bronstert, Ch. Bismuth, L. Menzel (eds.) (November 2000)


In recent years rising water levels, floods, and landslides following heavy precipitation have occurred with increasing frequency in Germany, in other European countries, as well as in many countries in all other continents. In particular during the past 10 years, severe flooding has devastated several large river basins (e.g., the Mississippi, The Rhine and Meuse, the Oder/Odra, the Yangtze) and thousands of lives have been lost in many countries including Bangla Desh, Czech Republic, China, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Poland, Somalia, South Africa. Also localised flash floods occurred in many parts of the globe causing loss of life, large damage and despair. Whether these floods are triggered or worsened by human activities has been the subject of a great deal of debate. Possible anthropogenic activities leading to increased flood risk include river regulation measures, intensified land use and forestry, and emissions of greenhouse gases causing a change in the global climate.

Following concern expressed by several Member States in the 1990's, the EC directorate General of Research and Development (DG XII) has initiated and/or funded a variety of activities in order to improve the scientific basis and to intensify knowledge transfer into practice concerning flood forecasting, risk mitigation, and the impact analysis of environmental change effects. After more then half a decade of research in this field, this conference is aimed to present the results achieved and to highlight the scientific advances. Besides the presentations of the EUROTAS-project results, the contributions are grouped into the following sub-sessions: impact of land use and climate on flooding, flood management and assessment of flood risk, catchment modelling and management systems, and impact of river engineering on flooding conditions.

The conference organisers would like to thank the EC, DG XII for the opportunity given to host such a interesting conference, the German Science Foundation (DFG), the International Hydrological Programme of UNESCO (IHP), the International Association for Hydrological Sciences (IAHS), and the University of Potsdam for supporting the conference, and - last but not least - all participants for presenting their results from recent flood research projects all over the globe.


Complete document (19.8 MB)


Schellnhuber, H.-J.: Managing the Flood Century (Foreword)

Samuels, P. G.: A New Tool for Sustainable Flood Defence Planning – An Overview of the EUROTAS Research Project

Werner, M., van Haselen, C., Daamen, K., Krahe, P., Muerlebach, M.: River Engineering Measures in an Integrated Modelling Environment – A Generic Method Used in the EUROTAS Project

Bürger, G.: Expanded Downscaling for Generating Precipitation Scenarios

Menzel, L., Blongewicz, M.: LADEMO - A User Supported Model for the Development of Land Use Scenarios

Marco, J. B., Vašková, I.: A Stochastic Flow Model for QDF Analysis

Blongewicz, M.: The Development of the Integrated Catchment Modelling System Using ArcView GIS

Werner, M., Ververs, M., van Haselen, C., Pakes, U., Daamen, K., Muerlebach, M.: A Comparison of Methods for Generating Cross Sections for Flood Modelling Using Detailed Floodplain Elevation Models

Counsell, C., el Gammal, E., Samuels, P. G.: Demonstration of a Decision Support System for Assessing the Impacts of Engineering Works and Environmental Change on Flood Risk - The Thames Catchment Study

Krahe, P., Busch, N., Daamen, K., van Haselen, C., Herpertz, D., Hils, M., Werner, M: Assessment of Flood Risk for the River Saar With Respect to Environmental Changes - Results of a Case Study Within the EUROTAS Project

Crooks, S., Davies, H., Goodsell, G.: Rainfall – Runoff Modelling and the Impact of Land Use Change in the Thames Catchment

Varanou, E., Baltas, E., Mimikou, M. A.: Regional Effects of Climate and Land Use Change on the Water Resources and the Risk Associated with Flooding

Menzel, L., Bronstert, A., Bürger, G., Krysanova, V.: Environmental Change Scenarios and Flood Responses in the Elbe Catchment (Germany)

Borga, M., Frank, E., Ostan, A.: Uncertainty in Flood Hazard Assessment in a Mediterranean Area

Bronstert, A.: The Possible Impacts of Environmental Changes on Flood Formation: Relevant Processes and Model Requirements

Smithers, J. C., Schulze, R. E., Pike, A., Jewitt, G. P. W.: A Hydrological Perspective of the February 2000 Floods: A Case Study in the Sabie River Catchment

Beven, K., Cameron, D.: Assessing Uncertain Change in Flood Frequency Due to Climate Scenarios by Continuous Simulation

Caspary, H. J.: Increased Risk of River Flooding in Southwest Germany Caused by Changes of the Atmospheric Circulation Across Europe

Muzik, I.: Sensitivity of Hydrologic Systems to Climate Change

Lahmer, W., Pfützner, B., Becker, A.: Influences of Environmental Changes on Regional Flood Events

Schädler, B., Petrascheck, A., Aschwanden, H.: Extraordinary Floods in Spring 1999 in Switzerland: The Relevant Hydrological Processes

Fritsch, U., Katzenmaier, D., Bronstert, A: Land-use and Land-cover Scenarios for Flood Risk Analysis and River Basin Management

Katzenmaier, D., Fritsch, U., Bronstert, A.: Influences of Land-use and Land-cover Changes on Storm-runoff Generation

Weiler, M., Scherrer, S., Thoma, C., Fackel, P., Naef, F.: The Potential to Influence Runoff Processes by Changes in Land Use

Lindström, G., Löfvenius, M. O.: Soil Frost and Runoff at Svartberget, Northern Sweden

Buchtele, J., Buchtelova, M., Herrmann, A.: Increase of Large Floods in Central Europe Due to Change in Vegetation Cover: Results of Rainfall-runoff Simulations

Vetere-Arellano, A. L., Samuels, P. G., Webster, P.: Runoff Processes in Permeable Catchments

Plate, E. J.: Flood Risk and Flood Management

Krasovskaia, I., Gottschalk, L., Sælthun, N. R., Berg, H.: Perception of Flood Risk Among Decision-makers and Riparian Population

Merz, B., Thieken, A., Gocht, M.: Probabilistic Risk Assessment as a Planning Tool for Flood Design

Borga, M., Creutin, J. D.: Recent Advances in Radar-based Flash Flood Monitoring and Forecasting

Pivot, J.-M., Josien, E., Testut, M., Martin, P., Gendreau, N.: Flood Hazard Change and Farmland Vulnerability

Jasper, K., Gurtz, J., Lang, H., Kaufmann, P., Binder, P.: Flood Forecast by Coupling Meteorological and Hydrological Models at Regional Scale

Høydal, Ø. A., Berg, H., Haddeland, I., Petterson, L. E., Voksø, A., Øydvin, E.: Procedures and Guidelines for Flood Inundation Maps in Norway

Calver, A., Lamb, R., Crewett, J.: Generalised Flood Frequency Estimation Using Continuous Simulation

Schumann, A. H., Pfützner, B.: A GIS- Based Methodology for Flood Risk Assessments by Regional Flood Frequency Analysis

Neumüller, J., Böhm, H. R.: Transnational Conception for River Flood Prevention Through Spatial Planning Oderregio

Schultz, G. A., Quirmbach, M.: Flood Management in an Urban Environment with Respect to Water Quantity and Water Quality

Butts, M. B.: Coupling of Catchment Modelling and Meteorological Information in Flow Forecasting

Todini, E.: A Holistic Approach to Flood Management

Langsholt, E.: Quantifying Uncertainty in Runoff Forecasts: Application to an Hbv-model Based Forecasting and Flood Warning Routine

Bárdossy, A.: Fuzzy Rule Based Flood Forecasting

Stüber, M., Gemmar, P., Greving, M.: Machine Supported Development of Fuzzy - Flood Forecast Systems

Hankin, B. G., Beven, K. J.: A Fuzzy-weighted Finite-volume Flow Model of Flooding on the River Thames in a Fuzzy Possiblistic Framework

de Roo, A., Odijk, M., Schmuck, G., Price, D., Somma, F., van der Knijff, J., Stam, M., Bates. P.: Using the Lisflood Model to Simulate Floods in the Oder and the Meuse Catchment

Angioni, S., Cinus, S., Rinaldi, F. M., Calvo, R. W.: A Decision Support System for Interventions Planning Aimed at Flood Damages Prevention

Gerlinger, K., Demuth, N.: Operational Flood Forecasting for the Moselle River Basin

Collins, D. N.: Rainfall-induced Floods in Alpine Glacierised Basins in Warm Summers

Blazkova, S., Beven, K.: Prediction Limits of Flood Frequency Curves on Catchments within the Elbe River Basin

Galloway, jr., G. E.: Transboundary Flood Management: The Case of the Red River of the North United States and Canada

Kundzewicz, Z. W.: The Odra Flood of Summer 1997 in Perspective

Lammersen, R., van de Langemheen, H., Buiteveld, H.: Impact of River Training and Retention Measures on Flood Conditions in the Rhine Basin

Felgentreff, C.: Impact of the 1997 Odra Flood on Flood Protection in Brandenburg (Frg): The Dyke Broke, but the Local People’s Trust in Technical Solutions Remained Unbroken

Naef, F., Kull, D., Thoma, C.: How Do Floodplains Influence the Discharge of Extreme Floods?

Høydal, Ø. A., Haddeland, I., Engen, I.K.: The Effects of Flood Protection Works on Discharge and Water Stage

Oberle, P., Theobald, S., Evdakov, O., Nestmann, F.: GIS-supported Flood Modelling by the Example of the River Neckar

Disse, M., Henneboel, S.: Assessment of Flooding Risk on the Lower Saar River by Using 2-dimensional Hydrodynamic Calculations

Lindström, G., Bergström, S.: Floods in Regulated Rivers and Physical Planning - Analysis of Recent Events in Sweden

Helms, M., Ihringer, J., Merkel, U., Büchele, B.: Assessment of the Impact of Diking Measures on the Flow Situation Along the Elbe River