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Publications in Nature and Science
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Response to Comments on "A semi-empirical approach to
projecting future sea-level rise". Science, 317, 1866d.
Rahmstorf, S.,
et al. 2007: Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections.
Science, 316, 709.
-Powerpoint slides with key graphs from this paper
Rahmstorf, S., 2007:
A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise.
Science, 315, 368-370.
Rahmstorf, S., 2006: Testing climate reconstructions . Science,
312, 1872.
-Some comments on the Response by von Storch et al.
Braun, H., M. Christl,
S. Rahmstorf, A. Ganopolski, A. Mangini, C. Kubatzki, K. Roth,
and B. Kromer, 2005: Solar forcing of abrupt glacial climate change
in a coupled climate system model. Nature, 438, 208-211.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Thermohaline circulation: The current climate. Nature
421, 699.
Peterson
B. J. et al., 2002: Increasing river discharge to the Arctic Ocean.
Science 298, 2171-2173.
-News item by
Erik Stokstad for this paper
Rahmstorf,
S., 2002: Ocean circulation and climate during the past 120,000
years. Nature 419, 207-214.
Ganopolski,
A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: Simulation of rapid glacial climate
changes in a coupled climate model. Nature, 409, 153-158.
-News & Views by Didier Paillard for this paper
-Supplementary
movie
Rahmstorf,
S., 1999: Shifting seas in the greenhouse? Nature, 399, 523-524.
Ganopolski,
A., S. Rahmstorf, V. Petoukhov and M. Claussen, 1998: Simulation
of modern and glacial climates with a coupled global climate model.
Nature, 391, 351-356.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1997: Risk of sea-change in the Atlantic. Nature, 388,
825-826.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1995: Bifurcations of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation
in response to changes in the hydrological cycle. Nature,
378, 145-149.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: Rapid climate transitions in a coupled ocean-atmosphere
model. Nature, 372, 82-85.
Refereed Journals
Messner,
D., H. J. Schellnhuber, S. Rahmstorf, and D. Klingenfeld, 2010:
The budget approach: A framework for a global transformation toward
a low-carbon economy. Journal of Renewable and Sustainable
Energy, 2, 031003.
Feulner, G. and
S. Rahmstorf, 2010: On the effect of a new grand minimum of solar
activity on the future climate on Earth. Geophysical Research
Letters, 37 (L05707): 5 pp.
Vermeer,
M. and S. Rahmstorf, 2009: Global sea level linked to global temperature.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the USA, 106,
21527-21532.
Hofmann,
M. and S. Rahmstorf, 2009: On the stability of the Atlantic meridional
overturning circulation. Proceedings of the National Academy
of Science of the USA.
Kuhlbrodt,
T. et al, 2009: An Integrated Assessment of Changes in the Thermohaline
Circulation. Climatic Change, 96, 489-537.
Goelzer, H., A. Levermann, and S. Rahmstorf, 2009:
Two-way coupling of an ENSO model to the global climate model
CLIMBER-3 alpha. Ocean Modelling, 29, 94-101.
Lenton,
T., H. Held, E. Kriegler, J. Hall, W. Lucht, S. Rahmstorf, and
H. J. Schellnhuber, 2008: Tipping elements in the Earth's climate
system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105,
1786-1793.
Brovkin,
V., A. Ganopolski, D. Archer, and S. Rahmstorf, 2007: Lowering
of glacial atmospheric CO2 in response to changes in oceanic circulation
and marine biogeochemistry. Paleoceanography, 22.
Levermann,
A., J. Mignot, S. Nawrath, and S. Rahmstorf, 2007: The role of
Northern sea ice cover for the weakening of the thermohaline circulation
under global warming. Journal Of Climate, 20, 4160-4171.
Zickfeld,
K., A. Levermann, M. G. Morgan, T. Kuhlbrodt, S. Rahmstorf, and
D. W. Keith, 2007: Expert judgements on the response of the Atlantic
meridional overturning circulation to climate change. Climatic
Change, 82, 235-265.
Kuhlbrodt,
T., A. Griesel, M. Montoya, A. Levermann, M. Hofmann, and S. Rahmstorf
(2007), On the driving processes of the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation , Rev. Geophys., 45, RG2001, doi:10.1029/2004RG000166.
Goelzer,
H., J. Mignot, A. Levermann, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006: Tropical
versus high latitude freshwater influence on the Atlantic circulation.
Climate Dynamics, 27, 715-725.
Schneider
von Deimling, T., A. Ganopolski, H. Held, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006:
How cold was the Last Glacial Maximum? Geophysical Research
Letters, 33, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026484.
Schneider
von Deimling, T., H. Held, A. Ganopolski, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006:
Climate sensitivity estimated from ensemble simulations of glacial
climate , Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0126-8.
Rahmstorf,
S., M. Crucifix, A. Ganopolski, H. Goosse, I. V. Kamenkovich,
R. Knutti, G. Lohmann, R. Marsh, L. A. Mysak, Z. Wang, and A.
J. Weaver, 2005: Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: a model
intercomparison. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23605,
doi:10.1029/2005GL023655.
Montoya,
M., A. Griesel, A. Levermann, J. Mignot, M. Hofmann, A. Ganopolski,
and S. Rahmstorf, 2005: The Earth System Model of Intermediate
Complexity CLIMBER-3a. Part I: description and performance for
present day conditions. Climate Dynamics.
Levermann,
A., A. Griesel, M. Hofmann, M. Montoya, and S. Rahmstorf, 2005:
Dynamic sea level changes following changes in the thermohaline
circulation. Climate Dynamics, 24, 347-354.
Rahmstorf,
S. and K. Zickfeld, 2005: Thermohaline circulation changes: a
question of risk assessment. Climatic Change, 68, 241-247.
Archer,
D., P. Martin, B. Buffett, V. Brovkin, S. Rahmstorf, and A. Ganopolski,
2004: The importance of ocean temperature to global biogeochemistry.
Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 222, 333-348.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2004: Cosmic rays, carbon dioxide and climate.
Eos, 85(4), 38, 41.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2004: Reply. Eos, 85(48), 511.
Zickfeld,
K., T. Slawig, and S. Rahmstorf, 2004. A low-order model for the
response of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to climate change.
Ocean Dynamics, 54, 8-26.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Timing of abrupt climate change: a precise clock.
Geophys. Res. Let., 30, 1510.
Rahmstorf,
S., and R.B. Alley, 2002: Stochastic resonance in glacial climate,
Eos, 83 Nr. 12, 129-135.
Ganopolski,
A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2002: Abrupt glacial climate changes due
to stochastic resonance. Phys. Rev. Let. 88(3), 038501.
Mogensen I.A.,
Johnsen S.J., Ganopolski A., and S. Rahmstorf, 2002: An investigation
of rapid warm transitions during MIS2 and MIS3 using Greenland
ice-core data and the CLIMBER-2 model . Annals of Glaciology
35, 398-402.
Titz, S., T.
Kuhlbrodt, S. Rahmstorf, and U. Feudel, 2002: On freshwater-dependent
bifurcations in box models of the interhemispheric thermohaline
circulation . Tellus, 54A, 89-98.
Morales
Maqueda, M. A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: Did Antarctic sea ice expansion
cause glacial CO2 decline? Geophys. Res. Let., 29, 111-113.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2001: A simple model of seasonal open-ocean convection. Part
I: Theory. Ocean Dyn., 52, 26-35.
Kuhlbrodt, T., S. Titz, U.
Feudel and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: A simple model of seasonal open
ocean convection. Part II: Labrador Sea stability and stochastic
forcing . Ocean Dyn., 52, 36-49.
Ganopolski, A., V. Petoukhov,
S. Rahmstorf, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen and C. Kubatzki, 2001: CLIMBER-2:
A climate system model of intermediate complexity. Part II: Model
sensitivity. Clim. Dyn., 17, 735-751
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: The thermohaline
ocean circulation - a system with dangerous thresholds? Climatic
Change, 46, 247-256.
Kubatzki, C., M. Montoya, S. Rahmstorf,
A. Ganopolski and M. Claussen, 2000: Comparison of a coupled global
model of intermediate complexity and AOGCM for the last interglacial.
Clim. Dyn., 16, 799-814.
Petoukhov,
V., A. Ganopolski, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, A. Eliseev, C. Kubatzki
and S. Rahmstorf, 2000: CLIMBER-2: A climate system model of intermediate
complexity. Clim. Dyn. 16, 1-17.
England,
M. H. E. and S. Rahmstorf, 1999: Sensitivity of ocean model ventilation
time-scales to subgrid-scale mixing in ocean models. J. Phys.
Oceanogr., 29, 2802-2827.
Claussen,
M., V. Brovkin, A. Ganopolski, C. Kubatzki, V. Petoukhov and S.
Rahmstorf, 1999: A new model for climate system analysis: Outline
of the model and application to paleoclimate simulations.
Environm. Modeling a. Assessm., 4, 209-216.
Rahmstorf,
S. and A. Ganopolski, 1999: Long-term global warming scenarios
computed with an efficient coupled climate model. Climatic
Change, 43, 353-367.
Rahmstorf,
S. and A. Ganopolski, 1999: Simple theoretical model may explain
apparent climate instability. J. Clim., 12, 1349-1352.
Rahmstorf, S., 1998: Influence
of Mediterranean outflow on climate. Eos 79 (24), 281-282.
Rahmstorf,
S. and M. H. England, 1997: The influence of southern hemisphere
winds on North Atlantic deep water flow. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,
27, 2040-2054.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1996: On the freshwater forcing and transport of the Atlantic
thermohaline circulation. Clim. Dyn., 12, 799-811.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1996: Comment on "Instability of the thermohaline circulation
with respect to mixed boundary conditions". J. Phys. Oceanogr.,
26, 1099-1105.
Rahmstorf,
S. and J. Willebrand, 1995: The role of temperature feedback in
stabilizing the thermohaline circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,
25, 787-805.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1995: Climate drift in an OGCM coupled to a simple, perfectly
matched atmosphere. Clim. Dyn., 11, 447-458.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1995: Multiple convection patterns and thermohaline flow in
an idealised OGCM. J. Clim., 8, 3028-3039.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1992: Modelling ocean temperatures and mixed-layer depths
in the Tasman Sea off the South Island, New Zealand. N. Z.
J. Mar. and Freshwater Res., 26, 37-51.
Rahmstorf,
S. 1991: A zonal-averaged model of the ocean's response to climatic
change. J. Geophys. Res., 96 (C4), 6951-6963.
Rahmstorf, S., 1989: Improving the accuracy of
wind speed observations from ships. Deep Sea Research, 36, 1267-1276.
Rose, B., S. Rahmstorf, H. Dehnen, 1988: Propagation
of self-gravitating density waves in the deDonder gauge on a gravitational
background field. Gen. Relativity Grav., 20, 1193-1201.
Book chapters
Rahmstorf, S., et al., 2010: Scientific understanding
of climate change and consequences for a global deal. In Global
Sustainability - A Nobel Cause, H.J. Schellnhuber, et al., Editors.
Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. p. 67-80.
Messner, D. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: Tipping points in the earth
system and their implications for world politics and economy.
In Global Trends 2010, T. Debiel, Editor. S. Fischer Verlag: Frankfurt
am Main. p. 63-80.
Messner, D. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: Kipp-Punkte
im Erdsystem und ihre Auswirkungen auf Weltpolitik und Wirtschaft.
In Globale Trends 2010, T. Debiel, Editor. S. Fischer Verlag:
Frankfurt am Main. p. 261-280.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: Die globale Erwärmung.
In: Jahrhundertproblem Klimawandel, S. Böhler, Editor. Wochenschau
Verlag: Schwalbach. p. 17-42.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2008: Anthropogenic Climate Change: Revisiting the Facts.
In: Global Warming: Looking Beyond Kyoto., E. Zedillo, Ed., Brookings
Institution Press, Washington, pp. 34-53.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Der Anstieg des Meeresspiegels. In Der UN-Weltklimareport,
M. Müller, U. Fuentes, and H. Kohl, Editors. Kiepenheuer
und Witsch: Köln. p. 190-194.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2006: Thermohaline Ocean Circulation. In: Encyclopedia of
Quaternary Sciences, Edited by S. A. Elias. Elsevier, Amsterdam.
Rahmstorf, S., 2006: Global climate change: What
can we learn from the past? in Multilevel Governance of Global
Environmental Change, edited by G. Winter, pp. 67-76, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge.
Rahmstorf,
S. and F. Sirocko, 2004:Modes of Oceanic and Atmospheric Circulation
During the Quaternary, in Earth System Analysis for Sustainability.
Berlin. p. 129-142.
Rahmstorf,
S. and T.F. Stocker, 2004: Thermohaline Circulation: Past Changes
and Future Surprises? In: A Planet Under Pressure - Global
Change and the Earth System, W. Steffen, Editor. Springer: Berlin.
p. 240-241.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Abrupt climate change. In Weather catastrophes and
climate change - Is there still hope for us? , Munich Re, Editor.
pg-verlag: Munich. p. 70-75.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Abrupte Klimawechsel. In Wetterkatastrophen und
Klimawandel - Sind wir noch zu retten?, Münchner Rückversicherung,
Editor. pg-verlag: München. p. 70-75.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: The climate skeptics. In Weather catastrophes and
climate change - Is there still hope for us? , Munich Re, Editor.
pg-verlag: Munich. p. 76-83.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Die Klimaskeptiker. In Wetterkatastrophen und Klimawandel
- Sind wir noch zu retten?, Münchner Rückversicherung,
Editor. pg-verlag: München. p. 76-83.
Rahmstorf, S., 2003: Thermohaline circulation changes.
In McGraw Hill Yearbook of Science and Technology, edited by E.
Geller, McGraw Hill, New York, pp. 425-427.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Abrupt Climate
Change. In Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences, edited by J. Steele,
S. Thorpe, and K. Turekian, Academic Press, London, pp.
1-6.
Ganopolski, A. and S. Rahmstorf,
2001: Stability and variability of the thermohaline circulation
in the past and future: a study with a coupled model of intermediate
complexity. In The Oceans and Rapid Climate Change: Past,
Present and Future, edited by D. Seidov, M. Maslin and B. J. Haupt,
AGU, Washington, pp. 261-275.
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: Ocean
currents and climate change. In Climate Impact Research: Why,
How and When?, edited by B. Parthier and D. Simon, Akademie Verlag,
Berlin, pp. 37-45.
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: Anthropogenic
climate change: the risk of unpleasant surprises. In Flexible
mechanisms for an efficient climate policy, edited by K. L. Brockmann
and M. Stronzik, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, pp. 7-11.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999: Rapid transitions
of the thermohaline ocean circulation - a modelling perspective.
In Reconstructing ocean history: A window into the future, edited
by F. Abrantes and A.C. Mix, Kluwer Academic / Plenum Publishers,
pp. 139-149.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999:
Decadal variability of the thermohaline circulation. In Beyond
El Niño: Decadal and interdecadal climate variability,
edited by A. Navarra, Springer, pp. 309-332.
Rahmstorf, S., 1998: The ocean in the climate system.
In From urban air pollution to extra-solar planets, ERCA Vol.
3, edited by C. Boutron, Les Editions de Physique, Les Ulis.
Rahmstorf, S., J. Marotzke and J. Willebrand, 1996:
Stability of the thermohaline circulation. In The warm water sphere
of the North Atlantic ocean, edited by W. Krauss, Borntraeger,
Stuttgart, pp. 129-158.
Books
Reports
Popular Science
Rahmstorf,
S., 2010: Es gibt keinen IPCC-Skandal. The European, 28.02.2010.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2010: IPCC errors: facts and spin. The Guardian,
15.02.2010.
Schneider von Deimling, T. and S. Rahmstorf, 2009:
Die Wetter-Zurücksage. forschung(4/2009).
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: The
BBC should report climate change facts rather than political spin.
Guardian online, 19 Oct 2009.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Klimawandel - einige Fakten.
Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte, 47, pp. 7-13.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Die Vorboten ernst nehmen.
Politische Ökologie, 106-107, pp. 16-20.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Der Anstieg des Meeresspiegels.
In: Der UN-Weltklimareport, M. Müller, U. Fuentes, and H.
Kohl, Eds., Kiepenheuer und Witsch, 190-194.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Alles nur Klimahysterie? Universitas 9/2007, pp.
895-913.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Six degrees: Our future on
a hotter planet. Nature, 448, pp. 136-136.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Die Wahrheit zum Klima. Frankfurter
Allgemeine Zeitung, 10.4.2007.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Al Gore's "Unbequeme
Wahrheit": Fachlich korrekt? Tagesspiegel, 21.3.2007.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: The IPCC sea level numbers.
RealClimate.org, 27.3.2007.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2005: Kampf um zwei Grad Celsius. tageszeitung, 18.11.2005.
Rahmstorf,
S. Bahnfahrt nach Dresden , in: Im Klimawandel angekommen.
Was nun? (ed. D. Lehmann), pp. 15-18 (Projekte-Verlag, Halle,
2005).
Rahmstorf,
S. and U. Neu, 2004: Klimawandel und CO2: haben die "Skeptiker"
recht?
Scott,
E. C., .... [S. Rahmstorf] et al. 2004. The Morphology of Steve.
Annals of Improbable Research, July/August. pp. 24-29.
Solanki,
S., A. Ohmura, J. Beer, C. Fröhlich, M. Latif, S. Rahmstorf,
C. Schönwiese, U. Neu, 2003: Sonne spielt nur eine untergeordnete
Rolle. Chemische Rundschau, Juli 2003.
Rahmstorf, S., 2003: Golfstrom. In: Öko Lexikon,
edited by U.E. Simonis, Verlag C.H. Beck, pp. 94-95.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Flutkatastrophe - befinden wir uns im Klimawandel?
In: Brockhaus Jahrbuch 2002, Brockhaus Verlag, pp. 140-143.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Rote Karte für die Leugner , Bild der Wissenschaft
1/2003, pp. 56-61.
Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Klimawandel - ein Fall für
Physiker, Portal (1-2), 26.
Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Warum das Eiszeitklima Kapriolen
schlug, Spektrum der Wissenschaft (Dossier 1/2002), 48-49.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Ozeane und marine Zirkulationssysteme.
In: Brockhaus Weltatlas, edited by J. Radtke, Brockhaus Verlag,
Leipzig, pp. 18-19.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Der globale Klimawandel und
die Rolle des Menschen. In: Brockhaus Weltatlas, edited by J.
Radtke, Brockhaus Verlag, Leipzig, pp. 24-25.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2001: Warum das Eiszeitklima Kapriolen schlug , Spektrum
der Wissenschaft (September), 12-13.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Treibhauseffekt und Klimawandel.
Schriftenreihe der Ernst-Abbe-Stiftung, Heft 22. Ernst-Abbe-Stiftung,
Jena, 16 pp.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999:
Die Welt fährt Achterbahn. Süddeutsche Zeitung,
3. Juli.
Rahmstorf, S. and M. Claussen, 1998: Eiszeitsimulation
im Computer . Spektrum der Wissenschaft (Mai 1998), 16-22.
Rahmstorf, S., 1997: An Atlantic Conveyor - Refinement
of a Good Idea. Ocean Challenge, 7 (3), 26-27.
Rahmstorf, S., 1997: Ice-cold in
Paris. New Scientist (8 February), 26-30.
Rahmstorf, S., 1993: Science and politics in the
greenhouse. New Scientist, 46-47.
Newsletters
Schneider
von Deimling, T., H. Held, A. Ganopolski and S. Rahmstorf, 2008:
Are paleo-proxy data helpful for constraining future climate change?
PAGES News, 16(2), 20-21.
Montoya,
M, V. Brovkin, S. Rahmstorf and M. Claussen, 2002: Paleoperspectives
on global sustainability. Global Change Newsletter 52, 16-19.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: An energy-balance boundary condition for ocean climate
models. Ocean Modelling, 102, 9-11.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: Multiple equilibria of an OGCM caused by different convection
patterns. Ocean Modelling, 103, 2-3.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1993: A fast and complete convection scheme for ocean models .
Ocean Modelling, 101, 9-11.