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Publications in Nature and Science
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Response to Comments on "A semi-empirical approach to
projecting future sea-level rise". Science, 317, 1866d.
Rahmstorf, S.,
et al. 2007: Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections.
Science, 316, 709.
-Powerpoint slides with key graphs from this paper
Rahmstorf, S., 2007:
A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise.
Science, 315, 368-370.
Rahmstorf, S., 2006: Testing climate reconstructions . Science,
312, 1872.
-Some comments on the Response by von Storch et al.
Braun, H., M. Christl,
S. Rahmstorf, A. Ganopolski, A. Mangini, C. Kubatzki, K. Roth,
and B. Kromer, 2005: Solar forcing of abrupt glacial climate change
in a coupled climate system model. Nature, 438, 208-211.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Thermohaline circulation: The current climate. Nature
421, 699.
Peterson
B. J. et al., 2002: Increasing river discharge to the Arctic Ocean.
Science 298, 2171-2173.
-News item by
Erik Stokstad for this paper
Rahmstorf,
S., 2002: Ocean circulation and climate during the past 120,000
years. Nature 419, 207-214.
Ganopolski,
A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: Simulation of rapid glacial climate
changes in a coupled climate model. Nature, 409, 153-158.
-News & Views by Didier Paillard for this paper
-Supplementary
movie
Rahmstorf,
S., 1999: Shifting seas in the greenhouse? Nature, 399, 523-524.
Ganopolski,
A., S. Rahmstorf, V. Petoukhov and M. Claussen, 1998: Simulation
of modern and glacial climates with a coupled global climate model.
Nature, 391, 351-356.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1997: Risk of sea-change in the Atlantic. Nature, 388,
825-826.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1995: Bifurcations of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation
in response to changes in the hydrological cycle. Nature,
378, 145-149.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: Rapid climate transitions in a coupled ocean-atmosphere
model. Nature, 372, 82-85.
Refereed Journals
Vermeer,
M. and S. Rahmstorf, Global sea level linked to global temperature.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the USA, 2009.
Hofmann,
M. and S. Rahmstorf, On the stability of the Atlantic meridional
overturning circulation. Proceedings of the National Academy
of Science of the USA, 2009.
Lenton,
T., H. Held, E. Kriegler, J. Hall, W. Lucht, S. Rahmstorf, and
H. J. Schellnhuber, 2008: Tipping elements in the Earth's climate
system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105,
1786-1793.
Brovkin,
V., A. Ganopolski, D. Archer, and S. Rahmstorf, 2007: Lowering
of glacial atmospheric CO2 in response to changes in oceanic circulation
and marine biogeochemistry. Paleoceanography, 22.
Levermann,
A., J. Mignot, S. Nawrath, and S. Rahmstorf, 2007: The role of
Northern sea ice cover for the weakening of the thermohaline circulation
under global warming. Journal Of Climate, 20, 4160-4171.
Zickfeld,
K., A. Levermann, M. G. Morgan, T. Kuhlbrodt, S. Rahmstorf, and
D. W. Keith, 2007: Expert judgements on the response of the Atlantic
meridional overturning circulation to climate change. Climatic
Change, 82, 235-265.
Kuhlbrodt,
T., A. Griesel, M. Montoya, A. Levermann, M. Hofmann, and S. Rahmstorf
(2007), On the driving processes of the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation , Rev. Geophys., 45, RG2001, doi:10.1029/2004RG000166.
Goelzer,
H., J. Mignot, A. Levermann, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006: Tropical
versus high latitude freshwater influence on the Atlantic circulation.
Climate Dynamics, 27, 715-725.
Schneider
von Deimling, T., A. Ganopolski, H. Held, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006:
How cold was the Last Glacial Maximum? Geophysical Research
Letters, 33, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026484.
Schneider
von Deimling, T., H. Held, A. Ganopolski, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006:
Climate sensitivity estimated from ensemble simulations of glacial
climate , Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0126-8.
Rahmstorf,
S., M. Crucifix, A. Ganopolski, H. Goosse, I. V. Kamenkovich,
R. Knutti, G. Lohmann, R. Marsh, L. A. Mysak, Z. Wang, and A.
J. Weaver, 2005: Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: a model
intercomparison. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23605,
doi:10.1029/2005GL023655.
Montoya,
M., A. Griesel, A. Levermann, J. Mignot, M. Hofmann, A. Ganopolski,
and S. Rahmstorf, 2005: The Earth System Model of Intermediate
Complexity CLIMBER-3a. Part I: description and performance for
present day conditions. Climate Dynamics.
Levermann,
A., A. Griesel, M. Hofmann, M. Montoya, and S. Rahmstorf, 2005:
Dynamic sea level changes following changes in the thermohaline
circulation. Climate Dynamics, 24, 347-354.
Rahmstorf,
S. and K. Zickfeld, 2005: Thermohaline circulation changes: a
question of risk assessment. Climatic Change, 68, 241-247.
Archer,
D., P. Martin, B. Buffett, V. Brovkin, S. Rahmstorf, and A. Ganopolski,
2004: The importance of ocean temperature to global biogeochemistry.
Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 222, 333-348.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2004: Cosmic rays, carbon dioxide and climate.
Eos, 85(4), 38, 41.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2004: Reply. Eos, 85(48), 511.
Zickfeld,
K., T. Slawig, and S. Rahmstorf, 2004. A low-order model for the
response of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to climate change.
Ocean Dynamics, 54, 8-26.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Timing of abrupt climate change: a precise clock.
Geophys. Res. Let., 30, 1510.
Rahmstorf,
S., and R.B. Alley, 2002: Stochastic resonance in glacial climate,
Eos, 83 Nr. 12, 129-135.
Ganopolski,
A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2002: Abrupt glacial climate changes due
to stochastic resonance. Phys. Rev. Let. 88(3), 038501.
Mogensen I.A.,
Johnsen S.J., Ganopolski A., and S. Rahmstorf, 2002: An investigation
of rapid warm transitions during MIS2 and MIS3 using Greenland
ice-core data and the CLIMBER-2 model . Annals of Glaciology
35, 398-402.
Titz, S., T.
Kuhlbrodt, S. Rahmstorf, and U. Feudel, 2002: On freshwater-dependent
bifurcations in box models of the interhemispheric thermohaline
circulation . Tellus, 54A, 89-98.
Morales
Maqueda, M. A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: Did Antarctic sea ice expansion
cause glacial CO2 decline? Geophys. Res. Let., 29, 111-113.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2001: A simple model of seasonal open-ocean convection. Part
I: Theory. Ocean Dyn., 52, 26-35.
Kuhlbrodt, T., S. Titz, U.
Feudel and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: A simple model of seasonal open
ocean convection. Part II: Labrador Sea stability and stochastic
forcing . Ocean Dyn., 52, 36-49.
Ganopolski, A., V. Petoukhov,
S. Rahmstorf, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen and C. Kubatzki, 2001: CLIMBER-2:
A climate system model of intermediate complexity. Part II: Model
sensitivity. Clim. Dyn., 17, 735-751
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: The thermohaline
ocean circulation - a system with dangerous thresholds? Climatic
Change, 46, 247-256.
Kubatzki, C., M. Montoya, S. Rahmstorf,
A. Ganopolski and M. Claussen, 2000: Comparison of a coupled global
model of intermediate complexity and AOGCM for the last interglacial.
Clim. Dyn., 16, 799-814.
Petoukhov,
V., A. Ganopolski, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, A. Eliseev, C. Kubatzki
and S. Rahmstorf, 2000: CLIMBER-2: A climate system model of intermediate
complexity. Clim. Dyn. 16, 1-17.
England,
M. H. E. and S. Rahmstorf, 1999: Sensitivity of ocean model ventilation
time-scales to subgrid-scale mixing in ocean models. J. Phys.
Oceanogr., 29, 2802-2827.
Claussen,
M., V. Brovkin, A. Ganopolski, C. Kubatzki, V. Petoukhov and S.
Rahmstorf, 1999: A new model for climate system analysis: Outline
of the model and application to paleoclimate simulations.
Environm. Modeling a. Assessm., 4, 209-216.
Rahmstorf,
S. and A. Ganopolski, 1999: Long-term global warming scenarios
computed with an efficient coupled climate model. Climatic
Change, 43, 353-367.
Rahmstorf,
S. and A. Ganopolski, 1999: Simple theoretical model may explain
apparent climate instability. J. Clim., 12, 1349-1352.
Rahmstorf, S., 1998: Influence
of Mediterranean outflow on climate. Eos 79 (24), 281-282.
Rahmstorf,
S. and M. H. England, 1997: The influence of southern hemisphere
winds on North Atlantic deep water flow. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,
27, 2040-2054.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1996: On the freshwater forcing and transport of the Atlantic
thermohaline circulation. Clim. Dyn., 12, 799-811.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1996: Comment on "Instability of the thermohaline circulation
with respect to mixed boundary conditions". J. Phys. Oceanogr.,
26, 1099-1105.
Rahmstorf,
S. and J. Willebrand, 1995: The role of temperature feedback in
stabilizing the thermohaline circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,
25, 787-805.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1995: Climate drift in an OGCM coupled to a simple, perfectly
matched atmosphere. Clim. Dyn., 11, 447-458.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1995: Multiple convection patterns and thermohaline flow in
an idealised OGCM. J. Clim., 8, 3028-3039.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1992: Modelling ocean temperatures and mixed-layer depths
in the Tasman Sea off the South Island, New Zealand. N. Z.
J. Mar. and Freshwater Res., 26, 37-51.
Rahmstorf,
S. 1991: A zonal-averaged model of the ocean's response to climatic
change. J. Geophys. Res., 96 (C4), 6951-6963.
Rahmstorf, S., 1989: Improving the accuracy of
wind speed observations from ships. Deep Sea Research, 36, 1267-1276.
Rose, B., S. Rahmstorf, H. Dehnen, 1988: Propagation
of self-gravitating density waves in the deDonder gauge on a gravitational
background field. Gen. Relativity Grav., 20, 1193-1201.
Book chapters
Messner, D. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: Tipping points
in the earth system and their implications for world politics
and economy. In Global Trends 2010, T. Debiel, Editor. S. Fischer
Verlag: Frankfurt am Main. p. 63-80.
Messner, D. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: Kipp-Punkte
im Erdsystem und ihre Auswirkungen auf Weltpolitik und Wirtschaft.
In Globale Trends 2010, T. Debiel, Editor. S. Fischer Verlag:
Frankfurt am Main. p. 261-280.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: Die globale Erwärmung.
In: Jahrhundertproblem Klimawandel, S. Böhler, Editor. Wochenschau
Verlag: Schwalbach. p. 17-42.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2008: Anthropogenic Climate Change: Revisiting the Facts.
In: Global Warming: Looking Beyond Kyoto., E. Zedillo, Ed., Brookings
Institution Press, Washington, pp. 34-53.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Der Anstieg des Meeresspiegels. In Der UN-Weltklimareport,
M. Müller, U. Fuentes, and H. Kohl, Editors. Kiepenheuer
und Witsch: Köln. p. 190-194.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2006: Thermohaline Ocean Circulation. In: Encyclopedia of
Quaternary Sciences, Edited by S. A. Elias. Elsevier, Amsterdam.
Rahmstorf, S., 2006: Global climate change: What
can we learn from the past? in Multilevel Governance of Global
Environmental Change, edited by G. Winter, pp. 67-76, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge.
Rahmstorf,
S. and F. Sirocko, 2004:Modes of Oceanic and Atmospheric Circulation
During the Quaternary, in Earth System Analysis for Sustainability.
Berlin. p. 129-142.
Rahmstorf,
S. and T.F. Stocker, 2004: Thermohaline Circulation: Past Changes
and Future Surprises? In: A Planet Under Pressure - Global
Change and the Earth System, W. Steffen, Editor. Springer: Berlin.
p. 240-241.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Abrupt climate change. In Weather catastrophes and
climate change - Is there still hope for us? , Munich Re, Editor.
pg-verlag: Munich. p. 70-75.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Abrupte Klimawechsel. In Wetterkatastrophen und
Klimawandel - Sind wir noch zu retten?, Münchner Rückversicherung,
Editor. pg-verlag: München. p. 70-75.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: The climate skeptics. In Weather catastrophes and
climate change - Is there still hope for us? , Munich Re, Editor.
pg-verlag: Munich. p. 76-83.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Die Klimaskeptiker. In Wetterkatastrophen und Klimawandel
- Sind wir noch zu retten?, Münchner Rückversicherung,
Editor. pg-verlag: München. p. 76-83.
Rahmstorf, S., 2003: Thermohaline circulation changes.
In McGraw Hill Yearbook of Science and Technology, edited by E.
Geller, McGraw Hill, New York, pp. 425-427.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Abrupt Climate
Change. In Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences, edited by J. Steele,
S. Thorpe, and K. Turekian, Academic Press, London, pp.
1-6.
Ganopolski, A. and S. Rahmstorf,
2001: Stability and variability of the thermohaline circulation
in the past and future: a study with a coupled model of intermediate
complexity. In The Oceans and Rapid Climate Change: Past,
Present and Future, edited by D. Seidov, M. Maslin and B. J. Haupt,
AGU, Washington, pp. 261-275.
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: Ocean
currents and climate change. In Climate Impact Research: Why,
How and When?, edited by B. Parthier and D. Simon, Akademie Verlag,
Berlin, pp. 37-45.
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: Anthropogenic
climate change: the risk of unpleasant surprises. In Flexible
mechanisms for an efficient climate policy, edited by K. L. Brockmann
and M. Stronzik, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, pp. 7-11.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999: Rapid transitions
of the thermohaline ocean circulation - a modelling perspective.
In Reconstructing ocean history: A window into the future, edited
by F. Abrantes and A.C. Mix, Kluwer Academic / Plenum Publishers,
pp. 139-149.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999:
Decadal variability of the thermohaline circulation. In Beyond
El Niño: Decadal and interdecadal climate variability,
edited by A. Navarra, Springer, pp. 309-332.
Rahmstorf, S., 1998: The ocean in the climate system.
In From urban air pollution to extra-solar planets, ERCA Vol.
3, edited by C. Boutron, Les Editions de Physique, Les Ulis.
Rahmstorf, S., J. Marotzke and J. Willebrand, 1996:
Stability of the thermohaline circulation. In The warm water sphere
of the North Atlantic ocean, edited by W. Krauss, Borntraeger,
Stuttgart, pp. 129-158.
Books
Reports
Popular Science
Schneider von Deimling, T. and S. Rahmstorf, 2009:
Die Wetter-Zurücksage. forschung(4/2009).
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: The
BBC should report climate change facts rather than political spin.
Guardian online, 19 Oct 2009.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Klimawandel - einige Fakten.
Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte, 47, pp. 7-13.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Die Vorboten ernst nehmen.
Politische Ökologie, 106-107, pp. 16-20.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Der Anstieg des Meeresspiegels.
In: Der UN-Weltklimareport, M. Müller, U. Fuentes, and H.
Kohl, Eds., Kiepenheuer und Witsch, 190-194.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Alles nur Klimahysterie? Universitas 9/2007, pp.
895-913.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Six degrees: Our future on
a hotter planet. Nature, 448, pp. 136-136.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Die Wahrheit zum Klima. Frankfurter
Allgemeine Zeitung, 10.4.2007.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Al Gore's "Unbequeme
Wahrheit": Fachlich korrekt? Tagesspiegel, 21.3.2007.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: The IPCC sea level numbers.
RealClimate.org, 27.3.2007.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2005: Kampf um zwei Grad Celsius. tageszeitung, 18.11.2005.
Rahmstorf,
S. Bahnfahrt nach Dresden , in: Im Klimawandel angekommen.
Was nun? (ed. D. Lehmann), pp. 15-18 (Projekte-Verlag, Halle,
2005).
Rahmstorf,
S. and U. Neu, 2004: Klimawandel und CO2: haben die "Skeptiker"
recht?
Scott,
E. C., .... [S. Rahmstorf] et al. 2004. The Morphology of Steve.
Annals of Improbable Research, July/August. pp. 24-29.
Solanki,
S., A. Ohmura, J. Beer, C. Fröhlich, M. Latif, S. Rahmstorf,
C. Schönwiese, U. Neu, 2003: Sonne spielt nur eine untergeordnete
Rolle. Chemische Rundschau, Juli 2003.
Rahmstorf, S., 2003: Golfstrom. In: Öko Lexikon,
edited by U.E. Simonis, Verlag C.H. Beck, pp. 94-95.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Flutkatastrophe - befinden wir uns im Klimawandel?
In: Brockhaus Jahrbuch 2002, Brockhaus Verlag, pp. 140-143.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Rote Karte für die Leugner , Bild der Wissenschaft
1/2003, pp. 56-61.
Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Klimawandel - ein Fall für
Physiker, Portal (1-2), 26.
Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Warum das Eiszeitklima Kapriolen
schlug, Spektrum der Wissenschaft (Dossier 1/2002), 48-49.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Ozeane und marine Zirkulationssysteme.
In: Brockhaus Weltatlas, edited by J. Radtke, Brockhaus Verlag,
Leipzig, pp. 18-19.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Der globale Klimawandel und
die Rolle des Menschen. In: Brockhaus Weltatlas, edited by J.
Radtke, Brockhaus Verlag, Leipzig, pp. 24-25.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2001: Warum das Eiszeitklima Kapriolen schlug , Spektrum
der Wissenschaft (September), 12-13.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Treibhauseffekt und Klimawandel.
Schriftenreihe der Ernst-Abbe-Stiftung, Heft 22. Ernst-Abbe-Stiftung,
Jena, 16 pp.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999:
Die Welt fährt Achterbahn. Süddeutsche Zeitung,
3. Juli.
Rahmstorf, S. and M. Claussen, 1998: Eiszeitsimulation
im Computer . Spektrum der Wissenschaft (Mai 1998), 16-22.
Rahmstorf, S., 1997: An Atlantic Conveyor - Refinement
of a Good Idea. Ocean Challenge, 7 (3), 26-27.
Rahmstorf, S., 1997: Ice-cold in
Paris. New Scientist (8 February), 26-30.
Rahmstorf, S., 1993: Science and politics in the
greenhouse. New Scientist, 46-47.
Newsletters
Schneider
von Deimling, T., H. Held, A. Ganopolski and S. Rahmstorf, 2008:
Are paleo-proxy data helpful for constraining future climate change?
PAGES News, 16(2), 20-21.
Montoya,
M, V. Brovkin, S. Rahmstorf and M. Claussen, 2002: Paleoperspectives
on global sustainability. Global Change Newsletter 52, 16-19.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: An energy-balance boundary condition for ocean climate
models. Ocean Modelling, 102, 9-11.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: Multiple equilibria of an OGCM caused by different convection
patterns. Ocean Modelling, 103, 2-3.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1993: A fast and complete convection scheme for ocean models .
Ocean Modelling, 101, 9-11.