Impacts of Global Change on the Water Cycle in the Elbe Region - Risks and Options

River Elbe


GLOWA-Elbe Book 2008 (english)

GLOWA-Elbe Book 2005 (german)

| Overview | Aim | Research question | Subproject | Milestones

Research question

Integrative Methodological Approach GLOWA-Elbe (IMA)
The Integrative Methodological Approach (IMA), which was developed in the first phase of the GLOWA-Elbe project, plays a central role in structuring the research content, in the temporal organisation and in assuring the convergence and consistency of the different working areas. It is a methodological formalism of systems analysis, which allows target-oriented scenario analyses through involvement of users and other persons affected (Wenzel 1999, 2001, Messner 001, Horsch et al. 2001). IMA includes definitions and categories for the formulation of problems and lays down an order for the steps to be taken in the scenario analysis. At the same time IMA represents an application- and practice oriented research philosophy to evaluate action strategies under the uncertanties of global change. There are four research steps: (1)"Scenarios", (2)"Definition of indicators and criteria", (3)"Impact analysis" and (4)"Evaluation".

The aims of GLOWA Elbe II will be realised in four research phases (A – D) using the Integrative Methodological Approach (IMA). Each phase has a time limit, so that results can be shared between the different projects and work packages in a pre-defined time framework.

Procedure of IMA in GLOWA-Elbe II

Research phases:
Phase A
Phase B
Phase C
Phase D

Integration in diferent research phases

Application of IMA in the project's organisation can be described as follows: subproject I and subproject V together ensure that the production and analysis of the individual results and the progress of the project as a whole take place in a consistent way. Subproject II guarantees the spatial-temporal consistency of all working steps with regard to modelling the impacts of Global Change and forms the basis for research phases C and D. The two "areas of conflict", surface water availability and surface water quality, lie between these parts of the project; there are many possibilities for these two areas to interact thanks to the slimmer, simpler conception (compared to the first phase of the project).

The milestones for the project as a whole relate explicitly to phases A to D. For each of the subprojects of GLOWA-Elbe there are milestones denoted by three figures: a Roman numeral (I – V) denotes the subproject, a letter denotes the research phase and an Arabic numeral is the number of the milestone in relation to the subproject and research phase. So, for instance, milestone III-C2 stands for the second milestone in research phase C for subproject III. Descriptions of the milestones and how they are linked to other milestones can be found through clicking on the tables. By organising the milestones in relation to the research phases we ensure that the timeframe for delivering partial results from work packages as input for other work packages and the integration of results remain transparent and easily accessible to all project scientists.



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