Impact details: growth decline

impact chain for tropical coastal areas / ocean warming (click nodes to view details):
selected case study results:
Case study reference
Spatial context
Impact description (case study)
Case study recommendations
Cantin, N. E., Cohen, A. L., Karnauskas, K. B., Tarrant, A. M., & McCorkle, D. C. (2010). Ocean warming slows coral growth in the central Red Sea. Science, 329(5989), 322-325. Red Sea Sea surface temperature (SST) across much of the tropics has increased by 0.4° to 1°C since the mid-1970s, with a parallel increase in the frequency and extent of coral bleaching and mortality. Steadily rising SSTs are already driving dramatic changes in the growth of an important reef-building coral in the central Red Sea. Three-dimensional computed tomography analyses of the massive coral Diploastrea heliopora reveal that skeletal growth of apparently healthy colonies has declined by 30% since 1998. The same corals responded to a short-lived warm event in 1941/1942, but recovered within 3 years as the ocean cooled. Combining our data with climate model simulations by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we predict that should the current warming trend continue, this coral could cease growing altogether by 2070. -

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