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AMPERE special issue on climate stabilisation published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Overview papers

  • Kriegler et al. (2015): Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison studies on the economics of climate stabilization. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:1–7. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.012. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Riahi et al. (2015) Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:8–23. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Kriegler et al. (2015) Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:24–44. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.021. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Kriegler et al. (2015) Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:45–61. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020. View article on the journal website (open access).

Cross cut papers

  • Bertram et al. (2015) Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:62–72. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.001. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Bauer et al. (2015) CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:243–256. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Eom et al. (2015) The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:73–88. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Schwanitz et al. (2015) The implications of initiating immediate climate change mitigation — A potential for co-benefits? Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:166–177. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.01.003. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Schaeffer et al. (2015) Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:257–268. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.013. View article on the journal website (open access).

Model-specific papers

  • Johnson et al. (2015) Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:89–102. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.028. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Iyer et al. (2015) Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:103–118. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.025. View article as PDF.
  • Criqui et al. (2015) Mitigation strategies and energy technology learning: An assessment with the POLES model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:119–136. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.005. View article as PDF.
  • Bibas et al. (2015) Energy efficiency policies and the timing of action: An assessment of climate mitigation costs. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:137–152. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.003. View article as PDF.
  • Bollen et al. (2015) The value of air pollution co-benefits of climate policies: Analysis with a global sector-trade CGE model called WorldScan. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:178–191. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.008. View article as PDF.
  • Sano et al. (2015) Assessments of GHG emission reduction scenarios of different levels and different short-term pledges through macro- and sectoral decomposition analyses. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:153–165. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.002. View article as PDF.
  • Arroyo-Currás et al. (2015) Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:192–203. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.002. View article on the journal website (open access).
  • Paroussos et al. (2015) Assessment of carbon leakage through the industry channel: The EU perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:204–219. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.011. View article as PDF.
  • Otto et al. (2015) Impact of fragmented emission reduction regimes on the energy market and on CO2 emissions related to land use: A case study with China and the European Union as first movers. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:220–229. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.01.015. View article as PDF.
  • Marcucci et al. (2015) Induced technological change in moderate and fragmented climate change mitigation regimes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A:230–242. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.027. View article as PDF.

AMPERE Rejoinder to review by Rich Rosen

  • Kriegler et al. (2015) A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 99, 273-276. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.011. View article as PDF.

AMPERE papers on EU decarbonisation in Energy Strategy Reviews

  • Capros et al. (2014): European decarbonisation pathways under alternative technological and policy choices: A multi-model analysis. Energy Strategy Reviews 2, Issue 3-4: 231-245. doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2013.12.007. View article as PDF.
  • Capros et al. (2014): Description of models and scenarios used to assess European decarbonisation pathways. Energy Strategy Reviews 2, Issue 3-4: 220-230. doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2013.12.008. View article as PDF.

AMPERE paper on model evaluation in Environmental Modelling & Software

  • Schwanitz (2013): Evaluating integrated assessment models of global climate change. Environmental and Modelling Software 50: 120-131. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.09.005. View article as PDF.

Paper on climate policy and fossil fuel subsidies in Energy Policy

  • Schwanitz et al. (2014): Long-term climate policy implications of phasing out fossil fuel subsidies. Energy Policy 67: 882-894. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.12.015. View article as PDF.

Paper on decarbonization and decomposition analysis in Energy Economics

  • Marcucci, Fragkos (2015) Drivers of regional decarbonization through 2100: A multi-model decomposition analysis. Energy Economics 51: 111–124. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2015.06.009. View article as PDF.

Paper on non-CO2 radiative forcing in Climatic Change

  • Harmsen et al. (2015) How well do integrated assessment models represent non-CO2 radiative forcing? Climatic Change 133, Issue 4: 565–582. doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1485-0. View article on the journal website (open access).

Paper on climate metrics in Climatic Change

  • Harmsen et al. (2016) How climate metrics affect global mitigation strategies and costs: a multi-model study. Climatic Change 136, Issue 2: 203–216. doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1603-7. View article as a PDF.

Paper on the impact of Earth system feedbacks in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A

  • Lowe & Bernie (2018) The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response.

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