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Publications of the land use modelling group

 

2017

  • Popp A., Calvin K., Fujimori S., Havlik P., Humpenöder F., Stehfest E., Bodirsky B., Dietrich J., Doelmann J., Gusti M., Hasegawa T., Kyle P., Obersteiner M., Tabeau A., Takahashi K., Valin H., Waldhoff S., Weindl I., Wise M., Kriegler E., Lotze-Campen H., Fricko O., Riahi K., van Vuuren D. (2016). Land use futures in the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways. Global Environmental Change, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002.
  • Porwollik V., Müller C., Elliott J., Chryssanthacopoulos J., Iizumi T., Ray D. K., Ruane A. C., Arneth A., Balkovič J., Ciais P., Deryng D., Folberth C., Izaurralde R. C., Jones C. D., Khabarov N., Lawrence P. J., Liu W., Pugh T. A. M., Reddy A., Sakurai G., Schmid E., Wang X., de Wit A., Wu X. (2016). Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations, European Journal of Agronomy, doi: 10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.
  • Rao S., Klimont Z., Smith S. J., Van Dingenen R., Dentener F., Bouwman L., Riahi K., Amann M., Bodirsky B. L., van Vuuren D. P., Aleluia Reis L., Calvin K., Drouet L., Fricko O., Fujimori S., Gernaat D., Havlik P., Harmsen M., Hasegawa T., Heyes C., Hilaire J., Luderer G., Masui T., Stehfest E., Strefler J., van der Sluis S., Tavoni M. (2016). Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways, Global Environmental Change, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012.
  • Riahi K., van Vuuren D. P., Kriegler E., Edmonds J., O'Neill B., Fujimori S., Bauer N., Calvin K., Dellink R., Fricko O., Lutz W., Popp A., Crespo Cuaresma J., Samir KC, Leimbach M., Jiang L., Kram T., Rao S., Emmerling J., Ebi K., Hasegawa T., Havlik P., Humpenöder F., Da Silva L. A., Smith S., Stehfest E., Bosetti V., Eom J., Gernaat D., Masui T., Rogelj J., Strefler J., Drouet L., Krey V., Luderer G., Harmsen M., Takahashi K., Baumstark L., Doelman J., Kainuma M., Klimont Z., Marangoni G., Lotze-Campen H., Obersteiner M., Tabeau A., Tavoni M. (2016). The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009.
  • Rosenzweig C., Arnell N., Ebi K., Lotze-Campen H., Raes F., Rapley C., Stafford Smith M., Cramer W., Frieler K., Reyer C., Schewe J., van Vuuren D., Warszawski L. (2017). Assessing Inter-Sectoral Climate Change Risks: The Role of ISI-MIP. Environmental Research Letters, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/010301.
  • Sándor R.,Barcza Z., Acutis M., Doro L., Hidy D., Köchy M., Minet J., Lellei-Kovács E., Ma S., Perego A., Rolinski S., Ruget F., Sanna M., Seddaiu G., Wu L., Bellocchi G. (2016). Multi-model simulation of soil temperature, soil water content and biomass in Euro-Mediterranean grasslands: Uncertainties and ensemble performance. European Journal of Agronomy, doi: 10.1016/j.eja.2016.06.006.
  • Verkerk J. P., Lindner M., Pérez-Sobab M., Paterson J. S., Helming J., Verburg P. H., Kuemmerle T., Lotze-Campen H., Moiseyev A., Müller D., Popp A., Schulp C. J. E., Stürck J., Tabeau A., Wolfslehner B., van der Zanden E. H. (2016). Identifying pathways to visions of future land use in Europe. Regional Environmental Change, doi: 10.1007/s10113-016-1055-7

2016

  • Alexander P., Prestele R., Verburg P. H., Arneth A., Baranzelli C., e Silva F. B., Brown C., Butler A., Calvin K., Dendoncker N., Doelman J. C., Dunford R., Engström K., Eitelberg D., Fujimori S., Harrison P. A., Hasegawa T., Havlik P., Holzhauer S., Humpenöder F., Jacobs-Crisioni C., Jain A. K., Krisztin T., Kyle P., Lavalle C., Lenton T., Liu J., Meiyappan P., Popp A., Powell T., Sands R., Schaldach R., Stehfest E., Steinbuks J., Tabeau A., van Meijl H., Wise M. A., Rounsevell M. D. A. (2016).  Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections. Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/gcb.13447.
  • Cammarano D., Rötter R. P., Asseng S., Ewert F., Wallach D., Martre P., Hatfield J. L., Jones J. W., Rosenzweig C., Ruane A. C., Boote K. J., Thorburn P. J., Kersebaum K. C., Aggarwal P. K., Angulo C., Basso B., Bertuzzi P., Biernath C., Brisson N., Challinor A. J., Doltra J., Gayler S., Goldberg R., Heng L., Hooker J., Hunt L. A., Ingwersen J., Izaurralde R. C., Müller C., Naresh Kumar S., Nendel C., O’Leary G., Olesen J. E., Osborne T. M., Palosuo T., Priesack E., Ripoche D., Semenov M. A., Shcherbak I., Steduto P., Stöckle C. O., Stratonovitch P., Streck T., Supit I., Tao F., Travasso M., Waha K., White J. W., Wolf J. (2016). Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2. Field Crops Research, 198, 80-92, doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2016.08.015.
  • Deryng D., Elliott J., Folberth C., Müller C., Pugh T. A. M., Boote K. J., Conway D., Ruane A. C., Gerten D., Jones J. W., Khabarov N., Olin S., Schaphoff S., Schmid E., Yang H., Rosenzweig C. (2016). Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity, Nature Clim. Change, 6, 786-790, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2995.
  • Drastig K., Prochnow A., Libra J., Koch H., Rolinski S. (2016). Irrigation water demand of selected agricultural crops in Germany between 1902 and 2010. Science of The Total Environment, 569-570, 1299 - 1314, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.206.
  • Folberth C., Elliott J., Müller C., Balkovic J., Chryssanthacopoulos J., Izaurralde R. C., Jones C. D., Khabarov N., Liu W., Reddy A., Schmid E., Skalský R., Yang H., Arneth A., Ciais P., Deryng D., Lawrence P. J., Olin S., Pugh T. A. M., Ruane A. C., and Wang X. (2016). Uncertainties in global crop model frameworks: effects of cultivar distribution, crop management and soil handling on crop yield estimates. Biogeosciences Discuss., 1-30, doi: 10.5194/bg-2016-527.
  • Kipling R. P., Virkajärvi P., Breitsameter L., Curnel Y., De Swaef T., Gustavsson A.-M., Hennart S., Höglind M., Järvenranta K., Minet J., Nendel C., Persson T., Picon-Cochard C., Rolinski S., Sandars D. L., Scollan N. D., Sebek L., Seddaiu G., Topp C. F. E., Twardy S., Van Middelkoop J., Wu L., Bellocchi G. (2016). Key challenges and priorities for modelling European grasslands under climate change. Science of the Total Environment, 566 - 567, 851 - 864, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.05.144.
  • Kreidenweis U., Humpenöder F., Stevanovic M., Bodirsky B., Kriegler E., Lotze-Campen H., Popp A. (2016). Afforestation to mitigate climate change: impacts on food prices under consideration of albedo effects. Environmental Research Letters, 11, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/085001.
  • Kriegler E., Bauer N., Popp A., Humpenöder F., Leimbach M., Strefler J., Baumstark L., Bodirsky B. L., Hilaire J., Klein D., Mouratiadou I., Weindl I., Bertram C., Dietrich J.-P., Luderer G., Pehl M., Pietzcker R., Piontek F., Lotze-Campen H., Biewald A., Bonsch M., Giannousakis A., Kreidenweis U., Müller C., Rolinski S., Schultes A., Schwanitz J., Stevanovic M., Calvin K., Emmerling J., Fujimori S., Edenhofer O. (2016). Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015.
  • Leimbach M., Labriet M., Bonsch M., Dietrich J., Kanudia A., Mouratiado I., Popp A., Klein D. (2016). Robust strategies of climate change mitigation in interacting energy, economy and land use systems. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 8(5), 732 - 757, doi: 10.1108/IJCCSM-09-2015-0135.
  • Liu B., Asseng S., Müller C., Ewert F., Elliott J., Lobell D. B., Martre P., Ruane A. C., Wallach D., Jones J. W., Rosenzweig C., Aggarwal P. K., Alderman P. D., Anothai J., Basso B., Biernath C., Cammarano D., Challinor A., Deryng D., Sanctis G. D., Doltra J., Fereres E., Folberth C., Garcia-Vila M., Gayler S., Hoogenboom G., Hunt L. A., Izaurralde R. C., Jabloun M., Jones C. D., Kersebaum K. C., Kimball B. A., Koehler A.-K., Kumar S. N., Nendel C., O'leary G., Olesen J. E., Ottman M. J., Palosuo T., Prasad P. V. V., Priesack E., Pugh T. A. M., Reynolds M., Rezaei E. E., Rötter R. P., Schmid E., Semenov M. A., Shcherbak I., Stehfest E., Stöckle C. O., Stratonovitch P., Streck T., Supit I., Tao F., Thorburn P., Waha K., Wall G. W., Wang E., White J. W., Wolf J., Zhao Z., Zhu Y. (2016). Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods, Nature Clim. Change, 6, 1130-1136, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3115.
  • Maiorano A., Martre P., Asseng S., Ewert F., Müller C., Rötter R. P., Ruane A. C., Semenov M. A., Wallach D., Wang E., Alderman P. D., Kassie B. T., Biernath C., Basso B., Cammarano D., Challinor A. J., Doltra J., Dumont B., Rezaei E. E., Gayler S., Kersebaum K. C., Kimball B. A., Koehler A.-K., Liu B., O’Leary G. J., Olesen J. E., Ottman M. J., Priesack E., Reynolds M., Stratonovitch P., Streck T., Thorburn P. J., Waha K., Wall G. W., White J. W., Zhao Z., Zhu Y. (2016). Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles. Field Crops Research, doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2016.05.001.
  • Mouratiadou I., Biewald A., Pehl M., Bonsch M., Baumstark L., Klein D., Popp A., Luderer G., Kriegler E. (2016). The impact of climate change mitigation on water demand for energy and food: An integrated analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Environmental Science and Policy, 64, 48-58, doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2016.06.007.
  • Müller C., Elliott J., Chryssanthacopoulos J., Arneth A., Balkovic J., Ciais P., Deryng D., Folberth C., Glotter M., Hoek S., Iizumi T., Izaurralde R. C., Jones C., Khabarov N., Lawrence P., Liu W., Olin S., Pugh T. A. M., Ray D., Reddy A., Rosenzweig C., Ruane A. C., Sakurai G., Schmid E., Skalsky R., Song C. X., Wang X., de Wit A., Yang H. (2016). Global Gridded Crop Model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 1-39, doi: 10.5194/gmd-2016-207.
  • Müller C., Stehfest E., van Minnen J. G., Strengers B., von Bloh W., Beusen A. H. W., Schaphoff S., Kram T., Lucht W. (2016). Drivers and patterns of land biosphere carbon balance reversal. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 044002, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044002
  • Pugh T. A. M., Müller C., Elliott J., Deryng D., Folberth C., Olin S., Schmid E., Arneth A. (2016). Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change. Nat. Commun., 7, 12608, doi: 10.1038/ncomms12608
  • Pugh T. A. M., Müller C., Arneth A., Haverd V., and Smith B. (2016). Key knowledge and data gaps in modelling the influence of CO2 concentration on the terrestrial carbon sink. J Plant Physiol, 203, 3-15, doi: 10.1016/j.jplph.2016.05.001
  • Prestele R., Alexander P., Rounsevell M. D. A., Arneth A., Calvin K., Doelman J., Eitelberg D. A., Engström K., Fujimori S., Hasegawa T., Havlik P., Humpenöder F., Jain A. K., Krisztin T., Kyle P., Meiyappan P., Popp A., Sands R. D., Schaldach R., Schüngel J., Stehfest E., Tabeau A., van Meijl H., van Vliet J., Verburg P. H. (2016). Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison. Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/gcb.13337.
  • Robledo-Abad C., Althaus H.-J., Berndes G., Bolwig S., Corbera E., Creutzig F., Garcia- Ulloa J., Geddes A., Gregg J. S., Haberl H., Hanger S., Harper R. J., Hunsberger C., Larsen R. K., Lauk C., Leitner S., Lilliestam J., Lotze-Campen H., Muys B., Nordborg M., Ölund M., Orlowsky B., Popp A., Portugal-Pereira J., Reinhard J., Scheiffle L., Smith P. (2016). Bioenergy production and sustainable development: science base for policy-making remains limited.Global Change Biology - Bioenergy, doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12338.
  • Ruane A. C., Hudson N. I., Asseng S., Camarrano D., Ewert F., Martre P., Boote K. J., Thorburn P. J., Aggarwal P. K., Angulo C., Basso B., Bertuzzi P., Biernath C., Brisson N., Challinor A. J., Doltra J., Gayler S., Goldberg R., Grant R. F., Heng L., Hooker J., Hunt L. A., Ingwersen J., Izaurralde R. C., Kersebaum K. C., Kumar S. N., Müller C., Nendel C., O'Leary G., Olesen J. E., Osborne T. M., Palosuo T., Priesack E., Ripoche D., Rötter R. P., Semenov M. A., Shcherbak I., Steduto P., Stöckle C. O., Stratonovitch P., Streck T., Supit I., Tao F., Travasso M., Waha K., Wallach D., White J. W., Wolf J. (2016). Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability, Environmental Modelling & Software, 81, 86-101, doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.008.
  • Schauberger B., Rolinski S., and Müller C. (2016), A network-based approach for semi-quantitative knowledge mining and its application to yield variability. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 123001, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/123001.
  • Stevanović M., Popp A., Bodirsky B. L., Humpenöder F., Müller C., Weindl I., Dietrich J. P., Lotze-Campen H., Kreidenweis U., Rolinski S., Biewald A., and Wang X. (2016). Mitigation Strategies for Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Agriculture and Land-Use Change: Consequences for Food Prices, Environmental Science & Technology, doi: 10.1021/acs.est.6b04291.
  • Stevanović M., Popp A., Lotze-Campen H., Dietrich J. P., Müller C., Bonsch M., Schmitz C., Bodirsky B. L., Humpenöder F., and Weindl I. (2016). The impact of high-end climate change on agricultural welfare, Science Advances, 2, e1501452, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1501452.
  • Villoria N. B., Elliott J., Müller C., Shin J., Zhao L., and Song C. (2016). Rapid aggregation of global gridded crop model outputs to facilitate cross-disciplinary analysis of climate change impacts in agriculture. Environmental Modelling & Software, 75, 193-201, doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.016.
  • van Vuuren D. P., Stehfest E., Gernaat D. E. H. J., Doelman J. C., van den Berg M., Harmsen M., de Boer H. S., Bouwman L. F., Daioglou V., Edelenbosch O. Y., Girod B., Kram T., Lassaletta L., Lucas P. L., van Meijl H., Müller C, van Ruijven B. J., van der Sluis S., and Tabeau A. (2016). Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm. Global Environmental Change, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008.
  • Wang X., Biewald A., Dietrich J. P., Schmitz C., Lotze-Campen H., Humpenöder F., Bodirsky B. L., Popp A. (2016). Taking account of governance: Implications for land-use dynamics, food prices, and trade patterns. Ecological Economics 122, 12-24, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.018.
  • Zhao C., Piao S., Wang X., Huang Y., Ciais P., Elliott J., Huang M., Janssens I. A., Li T., Lian X., Liu Y., Müller C., Peng S., Wang T., Zeng Z., and Peñuelas J. (2016). Plausible rice yield losses under future climate warming, Nature Plants, 3, 16202, doi: 10.1038/nplants.2016.202.

2015

  • Ahammad, H., Heyhoe, E,. Nelson, G., Sands, R., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., van der Mensbrugghe, D., Blanc, E,. Havlik, P., Valin, H., Kyle, P., d'Croz, D. M., van Meijl, H., Schmitz, C., Lotze-Campen, H., von Lampe, M., Tabeau, A. (2015). The role of international trade under a changing climate: Insights from global economic modelling. Climate Change and Food Systems: Global assessments and implications for food security and trade. Elbehri, A. (editor). Food Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, 2015. 293-315.
  • Asseng S., Ewert F., Martre P., Rotter R. P., Lobell D. B., Cammarano D., Kimball B. A., Ottman M. J., Wall G. W., White J. W., Reynolds M. P., Alderman P. D., Prasad P. V. V., Aggarwal P. K., Anothai J., Basso B., Biernath C., Challinor A. J., De Sanctis G., Doltra J., Fereres E., Garcia-Vila M., Gayler S., Hoogenboom G., Hunt L. A., Izaurralde R. C., Jabloun M., Jones C. D., Kersebaum K. C., Koehler A. K., Müller C., Naresh Kumar S., Nendel C., O'Leary G., Olesen J. E., Palosuo T., Priesack E., Eyshi Rezaei E., Ruane A. C., Semenov M. A., Shcherbak I., Stockle C., Stratonovitch P., Streck T., Supit I., Tao F., Thorburn P. J., Waha K., Wang E., Wallach D., Wolf J., Zhao Z., and Zhu Y. (2015). Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Clim. Change, 5, 143-147, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2470.
  • Asseng S, Ewert F, Martre P, Rosenzweig C, Jones J, Hatfield J, Ruane A, Boote K, Thorburn P, Rötter R, Cammarano D, Basso B, Aggarwal P, Angulo C, Bertuzzi P, Biernath C, Challinor A, Doltra J, Gayler S, Goldberg R, Grant R, Heng L, Hooker J, Hunt T, Ingwersen J, Izaurralde C, Kersebaum C, Müller C, Kumar SN, Nendel C, O’Leary G, Olesen J, Osborne T, Palosuo T, Priesack E, Ripoche D, Semenov M, Shcherbak I, Steduto P, Stöckle C, Stratonovitch P, Streck T, Supit I, Tao F, Travasso M, Waha K, Wallach D, White J, Williams J, and Wolf J. 2015, Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations, Open Data journal for Agicultural Research, 1, 1-5, doi: 10.18174/odjar.v1i1.14746.
  • Biewald A, Lotze-Campen H, Otto I, Brinckmann N, Bodirsky B, Weindl I, Popp A, Schellnhuber HJ (2015): The impact of climate change on costs of food and people exposed to hunger at subnational scale. PIK-Report No.128. Background paper to the World Bank Report "Shock Waves: Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty".
  • Biewald, A., Kowarsch, M., Lotze-Campen, H., Gerten D. (2015): Ethical aspects in the economic modeling of water policy options. Global Environmental Change. 30, 80-91.
  • Bodirsky B and Popp A (2015) Sustainability: Australia at the crossroads. Nature 527,40–41
  • Bodirsky B., Rolinski S., Biewald A., Weindl I., Popp A., Lotze-Campen H. (2015) Food Demand Projections for the 21st Century. PLoS ONE 10 (11) DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0139201
  • Bonsch M., Humpenoeder F., Popp A., Bodirsky B., Dietrich JP, Rolinski S, Biewald A., Lotze-Campen H., Weind I., Gerten D., Stevanovic M. (2015): Trade-offs between land and water requirements for large-scale bioenergy production. Global Change Biology – Bioenergy. Online available: doi:10.1111/gcbb.12226.
  • Bonsch, M., Popp, A., Biewald A., Rolinski, S., Schmitz, C., Hoegner, K., Heinke, J. Ostberg, S., Dietrich, J. P., Bodirsky, B., Lotze-Campen, H., Stevanovic, M., Humpenöder, F., Weindl, I. (2015) Environmental flow provision: implications for agricultural water and land-use at the global scale. Global Environmental Change. 30, 113–132.
  • van Bussel LGJ, Stehfest E, Siebert S, Müller C, and Ewert F. 2015, Simulation of the phenological development of wheat and maize at the global scale, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 1018-1029, doi: 10.1111/geb.12351.
  • Creutzig, F., Ravindranath, N.H., Berndes, G., Bolwig, S., Bright, R., Cherubini, F., Chum, H., Corbera, E., Delucchi, M., Faaij, A., Fargione J., Haberl H., Heath G., Lucon O., Plevin R. Popp A., Robledo-Abad C., Rose S., Smith P., Stromman A., Suh S., Masera O.  (2015). Bioenergy and climate change mitigation: an assessment. Global Change Biology – Bioenergy 7(5): 916-944.
  • Elliott J, Müller C, Deryng D, Chryssanthacopoulos J, Boote KJ, Büchner M, Foster I, Glotter M, Heinke J, Iizumi T, Izaurralde RC, Mueller ND, Ray DK, Rosenzweig C, Ruane AC, Sheffield J (2015): The Global Gridded Crop Model intercomparison: data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0). Geosci. Model Dev. 8, 261-277, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-261-2015 [available online].
  • Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arnett, A., Bierkens, M. F. P., Ciais, P., Clark, D. B., Deryng, D., Döll, P., Falloun, P., Fekete, B., Folberth, C., Friend, A., Gellhorn, C., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Lomas, M., Masaki, Y., Nishina, K., Neumann, K., Oki, T., Pavlik, R., Ruane, A. C., Schmid, E., Schmitz, C., Stacke, T., Stehfest, E., Tang, Q., Huber, V., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L., Schewe, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2015): A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: Land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth System Dynamics. 6, 447-460.
  • Humpenöder F, Popp A, Stevanovic M, Müller C, Bodirsky BL, Bonsch M, Dietrich JP, Lotze-Campen H, Weindl I, Biewald A, and Rolinski S. 2015, Land-Use and Carbon Cycle Responses to Moderate Climate Change: Implications for Land-Based Mitigation?, Environmental Science & Technology, 49, 6731-6739, doi: 10.1021/es506201r.
  • Kollas C, Kersebaum KC, Nendel C, Manevski K, Müller C, Palosuo T, Armas-Herrera CM, Beaudoin N, Bindi M, Charfeddine M, Conradt T, Constantin J, Eitzinger J, Ewert F, Ferrise R, Gaiser T, Cortazar-Atauri IGd, Giglio L, Hlavinka P, Hoffmann H, Hoffmann MP, Launay M, Manderscheid R, Mary B, Mirschel W, Moriondo M, Olesen JE, Öztürk I, Pacholski A, Ripoche-Wachter D, Roggero PP, Roncossek S, Rötter RP, Ruget F, Sharif B, Trnka M, Ventrella D, Waha K, Wegehenkel M, Weigel H-J, and Wu L. 2015, Crop rotation modelling—A European model intercomparison, European Journal of Agronomy, 70, 98-111, doi: 10.1016/j.eja.2015.06.007. [available online].
  • Lotze-Campen, H., von Witzke, H., Noleppa, S., Schwarz, G. (2015): Science for food, climate protection and welfare: An economic analysis of plant breeding research in Germany. Agricultural Systems. 136, 79-84.
  • Makowski D, Asseng S, Ewert F, Bassu S, Durand JL, Li T, Martre P, Adam M, Aggarwal PK, Angulo C, Baron C, Basso B, Bertuzzi P, Biernath C, Boogaard H, Boote KJ, Bouman B, Bregaglio S, Brisson N, Buis S, Cammarano D, Challinor AJ, Confalonieri R, Conijn JG, Corbeels M, Deryng D, De Sanctis G, Doltra J, Fumoto T, Gaydon D, Gayler S, Goldberg R, Grant RF, Grassini P, Hatfield JL, Hasegawa T, Heng L, Hoek S, Hooker J, Hunt LA, Ingwersen J, Izaurralde RC, Jongschaap REE, Jones JW, Kemanian RA, Kersebaum KC, Kim SH, Lizaso J, Marcaida Iii M, Müller C, Nakagawa H, Naresh Kumar S, Nendel C, O’Leary GJ, Olesen JE, Oriol P, Osborne TM, Palosuo T, Pravia MV, Priesack E, Ripoche D, Rosenzweig C, Ruane AC, Ruget F, Sau F, Semenov MA, Shcherbak I, Singh B, Singh U, Soo HK, Steduto P, Stöckle C, Stratonovitch P, Streck T, Supit I, Tang L, Tao F, Teixeira EI, Thorburn P, Timlin D, Travasso M, Rötter RP, Waha K, Wallach D, White JW, Wilkens P, Williams JR, Wolf J, Yin X, Yoshida H, Zhang Z, and Zhu Y. 2015, A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 214–215, 483-493, doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.013.
  • Martre P, Wallach D, Asseng S, Ewert F, Jones JW, Rötter RP, Boote KJ, Ruane AC, Thorburn PJ, Cammarano D, Hatfield JL, Rosenzweig C, Aggarwal Pk, Angulo C, Basso B, Bertuzzi P, Biernath C, Brisson N, Challinor AJ, Doltra J, Gayler S, Goldberg R, Grant RF, Heng L, Hooker J, Hunt LA, Ingwersen J, Izaurralde RC, Kersebaum KC, Müller C, Kumar SN, Nendel C, o'Leary G, Olesen JE, Osborne TM, Palosuo T, Priesack E, Ripoche D, Semenov MA, Shcherbak I, Steduto P, Stöckle CO, Stratonovitch P, Streck T, Supit I, Tao F, Travasso M, Waha K, White JW, and Wolf J. (2015): Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: Many models are better than one, Global Change Biology, 21, 2, 911-925, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12768.
  • Müller C, Elliott J, Chryssanthacopoulos J, Deryng D, Folberth C, Pugh TAM, and Schmid E. 2015, Implications of climate mitigation for future agricultural production, Environmental Research Letters, 10, 125004, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125004.
  • Otto, I., Biewald, A., Coumou, D., Feulner, G., Köhler, C., Nocke, T., Blok, A., Gröber, A., Selchow, S. ,  Tyfield, D., Volkmer, I. , Schellnhuber, H.J., Beck U. (2015): Socio-economic data for global environmental change research. Nature Climate Change. 5, 503–506.
  • Schmitz C, Kreidenweis U, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Krause M, Dietrich JP, Müller C (2015): Agricultural trade and tropical deforestation: Interactions and related policy options. Regional Environmental Change, 15, 8, 1757-1772, doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0700-2.
  • Stürck J, Levers C, van der Zanden EH, Schulp CJE, Verkerk PJ, Kuemmerle T, Helming J, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Schrammeijer E, Verburg PH. (2015) Simulating and delineating future land change trajectories
    across Europe. Regional Environmental Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10113-015-0876-0
  • Pirttioja N, Carter TR, Fronzek S, Bindi M, Hoffmann H, Palosuo T, Ruiz-Ramos M, Tao F, Trnka M, Acutis M, Asseng S, Baranowski P, Basso B, Bodin P, Buis S, Cammarano D, Deligios P, Destain MF, Dumont B, Ewert F, Ferrise R, François L, Gaiser T, Hlavinka P, Jacquemin I, Kersebaum KC, Kollas C, Krzyszczak J, Lorite IJ, Minet J, Minguez MI, Montesino M, Moriondo M, Müller C, Nendel C, Öztürk I, Perego A, Rodríguez A, Ruane AC, Ruget F, Sanna M, Semenov MA, Slawinski C, Stratonovitch P, Supit I, Waha K, Wang E, Wu L, Zhao Z, and Rötter RP. 2015, Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces, Climate Research, 65, 87-105, doi: 10.3354/cr01322
  • Weindl I, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Müller C, Havlík P, Herrero M, Schmitz C, and Rolinski S. 2015, Livestock in a changing climate: production system transitions as an adaptation strategy for agriculture, Environmental Research Letters, 10, 094021, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094021
  • Wiebe K, Lotze-Campen H, Sands R, Tabeau A, van der Mensbrugghe D, Biewald A, Bodirsky B, Islam S, Kavallari A, Mason-D’Croz D, Müller C, Popp A, Robertson R, Robinson S, van Meijl H, and Willenbockel D. 2015, Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050 under a range of plausible socioeconomic and emissions scenarios, Environmental Research Letters, 10, 085010, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/085010.

2014

    • Bassu S, Brisson N, Durand J-L, Boote K, Lizaso J, Jones JW, Rosenzweig C, Ruane AC, Adam M, Baron C, Basso B, Biernath C, Boogaard H, Conijn S, Corbeels M, Deryng D, De Sanctis G, Gayler S, Grassini P, Hatfield J, Hoek S, Izaurralde C, Jongschaap R, Kemanian AR, Kersebaum KC, Kumar NS, Makowski D, Müller C, Nendel C, Priesack E, Pravia MV, Soo HK, Sau F, Shcherbak I, Tao F, Teixeira E, Timlin D, Waha K, (2014). Do various maize crop models give the same responses to climate change factors?  Global Change Biology, 20, 7, 2301-2320, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12520 [available online]
    • Batlle Bayer L, van den Hurk BJJM, Müller C, van Minnen J (2014): The impact of land-use change on the sensitivity of terrestrial productivity to precipitation variability: A modelling approach. Earth System Dynamics Discussion, 5, 585-616, doi: 10.5194/esdd-5-585-2014. [available online]
    • Bennett EM, Carpenter SR, Gordon L, Ramankutty N, Balvanera P, Campbell B, Cramer W, Foley J, Folke C, Karlberg L, Lui J, Lotze-Campen H, Mueller N, Peterson GD, Polasky S, Rockstrom J, Scholes RJ, Spirenburg M (2014): Resilient thinking for a more sustainable agriculture. Solutions. 5,5, 65-75.
    • Biewald A, Rolinski S, Lotze-Campen H, Schmitz C, Dietrich JP (2014): Valuing the impact of trade on local blue water. Ecological Economics. 101. [ISI]
    • Bodirsky B, Popp A, Lotze-Campen H, Dietrich J, Rolinski S, Weindl I, Schmitz C, Müller C, Bonsch M, Humpenöder F, Biewald A, Stefanovic M (2014): Reactive nitrogen requirements to feed the world in 2050 and potentials to mitigate nitrogen pollution. Nature Communications, 5, 3858, doi: 10.1038/ncomms4858. [available online] [ISI]
    • Bodirsky BL, Müller C (2014). Robust Relationship between Yields and Nitrogen Inputs Indicates Three Ways to Reduce Nitrogen Pollution. Environmental Research Letters 9 (11): 111005. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/111005 [available online]
    • Bonsch M., Humpenoeder F., Popp A., Bodirsky B., Dietrich JP, Rolinski S, Biewald A., Lotze-Campen H., Weind I., Gerten D., Stevanovic M. (2014): Trade-offs between land and water requirements for large-scale bioenergy production. Global Change Biology – Bioenergy. Online available: doi:10.1111/gcbb.12226
    • Burdack, D.; Biewald, A.; Lotze-Campen, H.: Cap-and-trade of water rights. A sustainable way out of Australia's rural water problems? GAiA. Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society. 23, 4, 318-326
    • Creutzig, F., Ravindranath, N.H., Berndes, G., Bolwig, S., Bright, R., Cherubini, F., Chum, H., Corbera, E., Delucchi, M., Faaij, A., Fargione J., Haberl H., Heath G., Lucon O., Plevin R. Popp A., Robledo-Abad C., Rose S., Smith P., Stromman A., Suh S., Masera O.  (2014). Bioenergy and climate change mitigation: an assessment. Global Change Biology – Bioenergy. Online available: doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12205
    • Dietrich JP, Schmitz C, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Müller C (2014): Forecasting technological change in agriculture - An endogenous implementation in a global land use model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 81, 236–249. [ISI]
    • Elliott J, Deryng D, Müller C, Frieler K, Konzmann M, Gerten D, Glotter M, Flörke M, Wada Y, Best N, Eisner S, Fekete B, Folberth C, Foster I, Gosling SN, Haddeland I, Khabarov N, Ludwig F, Masaki Y, Olin S, Rosenzweig C, Ruane AC, Satoh Y, Schmid E, Stacke T, Tang Q, Wisser D (2014): Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change, PNAS, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222474110. [ISI]

    • Erb K., Niedertscheider M., Dietrich J.P., Schmitz C., Verburg P.H., Jepsen M.R., Haberl H. (2014) "Conceptual and Empirical Approaches to Mapping and Quantifying Land-Use Intensity" Ester Boserup’s Legacy on Sustainability - Human-Environment Interactions, Springer Netherlands, pages 61-86, doi: 10.1007/978-94-017-8678-2_5
    • Graef F, Sieber S, Mutabazi K, Asch F, Biesalski HK, Bitegeko J, Bokelmann W, Bruentrup M, Dietrich O, Elly N, Fasse A, Germer JU, Grote U, Herrmann L, Herrmann R, Hoffmann H, Kahimba FC, Kaufmann B, Kersebaum KC, Kilembe C, Kimaro A, Kinabo J, König B, König H, Lana M, Levy C, Lyimo-Macha J, Makoko B, Mazoko G, Mbaga SH, Mbogoro W, Milling H, Mtambo K, Müller J, Müller C, Müller K, Nkonja E, Reif C, Ringler C, Ruvuga S, Schaefer M, Sikira A, Silayo V, Stahr K, Swai E, Tumbo S, Uckert G (2014): Framework for participatory food security research in rural food value chains, Global Food Security, 3, 8-15, doi: 10.1016/j.gfs.2014.01.001. [available online][open access]
    • Hardenbicker, P., S. Rolinski, M. Weitere, and H. Fischer (2014): Contrasting long-term trends and shifts in phytoplankton dynamics in two large rivers. International Review of Hydrobiology, 99, 4, 326 - 334, doi:10.1002/iroh.201301680.
    • Huber V, Neher I, Bodirsky BL, Höfner K, Schellnhuber S (2014): Will the World Run out of Land? A Kaya-Type Decomposition to Study Past Trends of Cropland Expansion. Environmental Research Letters 9(2).

    • Huber, V., Schellhuber, H. J., Arnell, N. W., Frieler, K., Friend, A. D., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Parry, M., Piontek, F., Rosenzweig, C., Schewe, J., Warszawski, L. (2014): Climate impact research: Beyond patchwork. Earth System Dynamics Discussions. 5, 721-746.
    • Humpenöder F, Popp A, Dietrich J, Klein D, Lotze-Campen H, Bonsch M, Bodirsky B, Weindl I, Stevanovic M, Müller C (2014): Investigating afforestation and bioenergy CCS as climate change mitigation strategies. Environmental Research Letters, 9 064029 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064029 [available online]
    • Klein D, Luderer G, Kriegler E, Strefler J, Bauer N, Leimbach M, Popp A , Dietrich J P, Humpenöder F, Lotze-Campen H, Edenhofer O (2014): The value of bioenergy in low stabilization scenarios: an assessment using ReMIND-MAgPIE. Climatic Change. 123: 705-718
    • Klein D, Humpenöder F, Bauer N, Dietrich J, Popp ABodirsky B, Bonsch M, and Lotze-Campen H. (2014). The Global Economic Long-Term Potential of Modern Biomass in a Climate-Constrained World. Environmental Research Letters 9 (7): 074017
    • Kyle P, Müller C, Calvin K, Thomson A (2014): Meeting the Radiative Forcing Targets of the Representative Concentration Pathways with Agricultural Climate Impacts. Earth's Future, 2, 83-98.
    • von Lampe M, Willenbockel D, Blanc E, Cai Y, Calvin K, Fujimori Y, Hasegawa T, Havlík P, Kyle P,  Lotze-Campen H, Mason d’Croz D, Nelson GD, Sands RD, Schmitz C, Tabeau A, Valin H, van der Mensbrugghe D, van Meijl H (2014): Why Do Global Long-term Scenarios for Agriculture Differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison. Agricultural Economics, 45,1, 3-20. [ISI]
    • Lotze-Campen H, von Lampe M, Kyle P, Fujimori S, Havlík P, v. Meijl H, Hasegawa T, Popp A, Schmitz C, Tabeau A, Valin H, Willenbockel D, Wise M (2014): Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison. Agricultural Economics, 45,1, 103-116. [ISI]
    • Müller C, Elliott J, Levermann A (2014): Food security: Fertilizing hidden hunger. Nature Climate Change, 4, 540-541, doi:10.1038/nclimate2290. [available online]
    • Müller C, Robertson R (2014): Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling. Agricultural Economics, 45, 1, 37-50. [ISI]
    • Müller C, Waha K, Bondeau A, Heinke J (2014): Hotspots of climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for adaptation and development. Global Change Biology, early view, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12586 [available online]
    • Nelson GC, Valin H, Sands RD, Havlik P, Ahammad H, Deryng D, Elliott J, Fujimori S, Heyhoe E, Kyle P, von Lampe M, Lotze-Campen H, Mason d'Croz D, van Meijl H, van der Mensbrugghe D, Müller C, Popp A, Robertson R, Robinson S, Schmid E, Schmitz C, Tabeau A, Willenbockel D (2014): Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. PNAS, 111, 9 3274-3279, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222465110. [ISI]
    • Nelson GC, van der Mensbrugghe D, Hasegawa T, Takahashi K, Sands R, Kyle P, Calvin K, Havlik P, Valin H, Mason d'Croz D, Kavallari A, Tabeau A, Schmitz C, Lotze-Campen H, Müller C, von Lampe M (2014): Agriculture and Climate Change in Global Scenarios: Why Don't the Models Agree. Agricultural Economics. 45,1, 85-101. [ISI]
    • Van Oijen, M., J. Balkovič, C. Beer, D. Cameron, P. Ciais, W. Cramer, T. Kato, M. Kuhnert, R. Martin, R. Myneni, A. Rammig, S. Rolinski, J.-F. Soussana, K. Thonicke, M. Van der Velde, and L. Xu (2014): Impact of droughts on the carbon cycle in European vegetation: a probabilistic risk analysis using six vegetation models. Biogeosciences, 11, 6357 - 6375, doi:10.5194/bg-11-6357-2014.
    • Piontek F, Müller C, Pugh T, Clark D, Deryng D, Elliott J, Colón-González F, Flörke M, Folberth C, Fransseni W, Frieler K, Friend AD, Gosling S, Hemming D, Khabarov N, Kim H, Lomas M, Masaki Y, Mengel M, Morse A, Neumann K, Nishina K, Ostberg S, Pavlick R, Ruane A, Schewe J, Schmid E, Stacke T, Tang Q, Tessler Z, Tompkins A, Warszawski L, Wisser D, and Schellnhuber H. (2014): Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222471110. [ISI]

    • Popp A, Humpenoder F, Weindl I, Bodirsky BL, Bonsch M, Lotze-Campen H, Müller C, Biewald A, Rolinski S, Stevanovic M, and Dietrich JP. 2014, Land-use protection for climate change mitigation, Nature Clim. Change, 4, 1095-1098, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2444 [available online].
    • Popp A, Rose S K, Calvin K, van Vuuren D P, Dietrich J P, Wise M, Stehfest E, Humpenöder F, Page K, van Vliet J, Bauer N, Lotze-Campen H, Klein D, Kriegler E (2014): Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options. Climatic Change. 123: 495-509
    • Robinson S., van Meijl H., Willenbockel D., Valin H., Fujimori S., Masui T., Sands R., Wise M., Calvin K., Havlik P., d'Croz D.M., Tabeau A., Kavallari A., Schmitz C., Dietrich J.P., von Lampe M. (2014) "Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system", Agricultural Economics, Volume 45, Issue 1, pages 21–35, doi: 10.1111/agec.12087
    • Rolinski, S., A. Rammig, A. Walz, K. Thonicke, W. von Bloh, and M. van Oijen (2014): A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to extreme events: The ecosystem perspective. Biogeosciences Discussions, 11, 10167 - 10202, doi:10.5194/bgd-11-10167-2014, under review in Biogeosciences.
    • Rose S, Kriegler E, Bibas R, Calvin K, Popp A, van Vuuren D, Weyant J (2014): Bioenergy in energy transformation and climate management. Climatic Change. 123. 477-493

    • Rosenzweig C, Elliott J, Deryng D, Ruane AC, Müller C, Arneth A, Boote KJ, Folberth C, Glotter M, Khabarov N, Neumann K, Piontek F, Pugh TAM, Schmid E, Stehfest E, Yang H, and Jones JW. (2014): Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222463110. [ISI]

    • Sakschewski B, von Bloh W, Huber V, Müller C, Bondeau A (2014): Feeding 10 billion people under climate change: How large is the production gap of current agricultural systems? Ecological Modelling, 288, 103-111, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.05.019. [available online]
    • Schmitz C, van Meijl H, Kyle P, Nelson GC, Fujimori S, Gurgel A, Havlik P, Heyhoe E, Mason d'Croz D, Popp A, Sands R, Tabeau A, van der Mensbrugghe D, von Lampe M, Wise M, Blanc E, Hasegawa T, Kavallari A Valin H (2014): Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison. Agricultural Economics, 45,1, 69-84. [ISI]
    • Schürkmann, A., A. Biewald and S. Rolinski (2014): A Global Approach to Estimating the Benefit-Cost Ratio of Water Supply Measures in the Agricultural Sector. In J.J. Bogardi, A. Bhaduri, J. Leentvaar, and S. Marx (eds), The Global Water System in the Anthropocene, Springer, Bonn, Germany, 73 - 87, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-07548-8_6.
    • Valin, H., R.D. Sands, D. van der Mensbrugghe, G.C. Nelson, H. Ahammad, E. Blanc, B.L. Bodirsky, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlík, E. Heyhoe, P. Kyle, D. Mason-D’Croz, S. Paltsev, S. Rolinski, A. Tabeau, H. van Meijl, M. von Lampe, and D. Willenbockel (2014): The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models. Agricultural Economics, 45, 1, 51 - 67, doi:10.1111/agec.12089.

    2013

    • Asseng S, Ewert F, Rosenzweig C, Jones JW, Hatfield JL, Ruane AC, Boote KJ, Thorburn PJ, Rotter RP, Cammarano D, Brisson N, Basso B, Martre P, Aggarwal PK, Angulo C, Bertuzzi P, Biernath C, Challinor AJ, Doltra J, Gayler S, Goldberg R, Grant R, Heng L, Hooker J, Hunt LA, Ingwersen J, Izaurralde RC, Kersebaum KC, Müller C, Naresh Kumar S, Nendel C, O'Leary G, Olesen JE, Osborne TM, Palosuo T, Priesack E, Ripoche D, Semenov MA, Shcherbak I, Steduto P, Stockle C, Stratonovitch P, Streck T, Supit I, Tao F, Travasso M, Waha K, Wallach D, White JW, Williams JR, Wolf J (2013). Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change, Nature Clim. Change, 3, 827-832, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1916 [ISI]
    • Dass P, Müller C, Brovkin V, Cramer W (2013): Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of mid to high latitudes? Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., 4, 317-354, doi: 10.5194/esdd-4-317-2013. [ISI]
    • Smith P, Haberl H, Popp A, Erb K, Lauk C, Harper R, Tubiello F, De Siqueira Pinto A, Jafari M, Sohi S, et al. (2013). How much land based greenhouse gas mitigation can be achieved without compromising food security and environmental goals? Global Change Biology 19 (8): 2285-2302
    • Humpenöder F, Schaldach R, Cikovani Y, Schebek L, (2013): Effects of land-use change on the carbon balance of 1st generation biofuels: An analysis for the European Union combining spatial modeling and LCA. Biomass and Bioenergy 56, 166–178.

    • Heinke J, Ostberg S, Schaphoff S, Frieler K, Müller C, Gerten D, Meinshausen M, Lucht W (2013): A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming. Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 5, 1689-1703, doi:10.5194/10.5194/gmd-6-1689-2013. [ISI]
    • Müller C (2013): African lessons on climate change risks for agriculture. Annual Reviews of Nutrition. 33, 395-411, doi: 10.1146/annurev-nutr-071812-161121 [ISI]
    • Dietrich JP, Popp A, Lotze-Campen H (2013): Reducing the loss of information and gaining accuracy with clustering methods in a global land-use model. Ecological Modelling, 263, 233-243. [ISI]
    • Schmitz C, Lotze-Campen H, Gerten D, Dietrich JP, Bodirsky B, Biewald A, Popp A (2013): Blue water scarcity and the economic impacts of future agricultural trade and demand.  Water Resources Research, 49, 6. [ISI]
    • Dietrich JP, Schmitz C, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Müller C (2013): Forecasting technological change in agriculture - An endogenous implementation in a global land use model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Forecasting technological change in agriculture.
    • Waha K, Müller C, Bondeau A, Dietrich JP, Kurukulasuriya P, Heinke J, Lotze-Campen H (2013): Adaptation to climate change through the choice of cropping system and sowing date in sub-Saharan Africa. Global Environmental Change. 23, 1, 130-143. http://edoc.gfz-potsdam.de/pik/display.epl?mode=doc&id=5630. [ISI]
    • Waha K, Müller C, Rolinski S (2013): Separating the effects of temperature and precipitation change on maize yields in sub-Saharan Africa. Global and Planetary Change, 106,1-12, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.02.009 [ISI]
    • Dirnböck T, Bezák P, Dullinger S, Haberl H, Lotze-Campen H, Mirtl M, Peterseil J, Redpath S, Singh SJ, Travis J, Wijdeven SMJ (2013): The Relevance of ‘Critical Scales’ For LTSER. In Singh SJ, Haberl H, Chertow M, Mirtl M, Schmid M (eds.): Long term socio-ecological research: Studies in society-nature interactions across spatial and temporal scales. Springer (Long Term Socio-Ecological Research).

    2012

    • Müller C, Lotze-Campen H (2012): Integrating the complexity of global change pressures on land and water. Global Food Security, 1, 88-93, doi: 10.1016/j.gfs.2012.11.001.
    • Bodirsky BL,  Popp A, Weindl I, Dietrich JP,  Rolinski S, Scheiffele L, Schmitz C, Lotze-Campen H (2013): N2O emissions of the global agricultural nitrogen cycle - current state and future scenarios. Biogeosciences 9 (10) (October 31): 4169–4197. doi:10.5194/bg-9-4169-2012 (under Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License). [ISI]
    • Eppink F, Mäs S, Popp A, Werntze A, Seppelt R (2012): Land Management and Ecosystem Services - How Collaborative Research Programmes Can Support Better Policies. GAIA 21/1: 55 – 63
    • Domptail S,  Popp A, Nuppenau E-A, (2012), Land tax: towards a multifunctional institutional tool for land reform and rangeland conservation. International Journal of Global Environmental Issues 12 (1): 36-55

    • Creutzig F, Stechow C v, Klein D, Hunsberger C, Bauer N, Popp A, Edenhofer O (2012): Can Bioenergy Assessments Deliver? Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy 1(2): 65-82.
    • Creutzig F, Popp A, Plevin R, Luderer G, Minx J,  Edenhofer  O (2012): Reconciling top-down and bottom-up modeling on future bioenergy deployment. Nature Climate Change 2, 320–327

    • Leimbach M, Popp A, Lotze-Campen H, Bauer N, Dietrich JP, Klein D. (2012): Integrated assessment models - the interplay of climate change, agriculture, and land use in a policy tool. In: Dinar, A., Mendelsohn, R. (eds.): Handbook on Climate Change in Agriculture. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK.
    • Edenhofer O, Wallacher J, Lotze-Campen H, Reder M, Knopf B, Müller J (eds): Climate Change, Justice and Sustainability - Linking Climate and Development Policy. 2012.
      http://www.springer.com/earth+sciences+and+geography/earth+system+sciences/book/978-94-007-4539-1
    • Popp A, Lotze-Campen H (2012): Klimaschutz an der Fleischtheke. Die globale Erwärmung und die Rolle der Landwirtschaft. In: W. Bartmann (Ed.): Not für die Welt. pp. 148-155. 2012.
    • Krause M, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Dietrich JP, Bonsch M (2012): Conservation of undisturbed natural forests and economic impacts on agriculture, Land Use Policy 30, 344-354, 2013.
      http://authors.elsevier.com/offprints/JLUP1152/db25facffca7ff734d97e9897fec48f1 [ISI]
    • Dietrich JP, Schmitz C, Müller C, Fader M, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A (2012): Measuring agricultural land-use intensity - A global analysis using a model-assisted approach. Ecological Modelling, Volume 232, 10 May 2012, Pages 109-118, ISSN 0304-3800, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.03.002.
      (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380012001093) [ISI]
    • Rounsevell MDA, Pedroli B, Erb K, Gramberger M, Gravsholt Busck A, Haberl H, Kristensen S, Kuemmerle T, Lavorel S, Lindner M, Lotze-Campen H, Metzger MJ, Murray-Rust D, Popp A, Pérez-Soba M, Reenberg A, Vadineanu A, Verburg PH, Wolfslehner B (2012): Challenges for land system science. Land Use Policy 29,4, 899-910, doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.01.007 [ISI]
    • Schmitz C, Biewald A, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Dietrich JP, Bodirsky B, Krause M, Weindl I (2012): Trading more Food - Implications for Land Use, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and the Food System. Global Environmental Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.09.013 [ISI]
    • Waha K, van Bussel LGJ, Müller C, Bondeau A (2012): Climate-driven simulation of global crop sowing dates. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21,2, pp. 247-259, doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00678.x. available here [ISI]

    2011

    • Dietrich JP (2011): Efficient treatment of cross-scale interactions in a land-use model. Dissertation, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät I, published 01 Nov 2011. URL: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-100196406 .
    • Biewald A (2011): Give Virtual Water a Chance! An attempt to rehabilitate the concept. GAIA 20/3, 168-170. URL: http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/oekom/gaia/2011/00000020/00000003/art00006 [ISI]
    • Haberl H, Erb KH, Krausmann F, Bondeau A, Lauk C, Müller C, Plutzar C, Steinberger JK (2011): The sensitivity of global bioenergy potentials in 2050 to climate change: A material flow analysis perspective. Biomass & Bioenergy, 35, 12, pp. 4753-4769, doi: 10.1016/j.biombioe.2011.04.035 [ISI]
    • Popp A, Lotze-Campen H, Leimbach M, Knopf B, Beringer T, Bauer N, Bodirsky B (2011): On sustainability of bio-energy production: integrating co-emissions from agricultural intensification. Biomass and Bioenergy 35: 4770-4780. nulldoi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2010.06.014 [ISI]
    • Popp A, Krause M, Dietrich JP, Lotze-Campen H, Beringer T, Leimbach M (2011): Additional CO2 emissions from land use change - forest conservation as a precondition for sustainable bioenergy production. Ecological Economics (in press) [ISI]
    • Lotze-Campen H (2011): Improved data for integrated modeling of global environmental change. Environ. Res. Lett. 6 (2011) 041002 [ISI]
    • Neumann K, Stehfest E, Verburg PH, Siebert S, Müller C, Veldkamp T (2011): Exploring global irrigation patterns: A multilevel modelling approach. Agricultural Systems 104, 9, pp. 703-713, doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2011.08.004 [ISI]
    • van Bussel LGJ, Müller C, van Keulen H, Ewert F, Leffelaar PA (2011): The Effect of Temporal Aggregation of Weather Input Data on Crop Growth Models’ Results. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151, 5, pp. 607-619, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.01.007
    • Franck S, von Bloh W, Müller C, Bondeau A, Sakschewski B (2011): Harvesting the sun: new estimations of the maximum population of the planet Earth. Ecological Modelling, 222, 12, pp. 2019-2026, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.03.030. [ISI]

    • Müller C (2011): Harvesting from uncertainties. Nature Climate Change, 1(5), pp. 253–254, doi: 10.1038/nclimate1179. [ISI]
    • Popp A, Dietrich JP, Lotze-Campen H, Klein D, Bauer N, Krause M, Beringer T, Gerten D, Edenhofer O (2011): The economic potential of bioenergy for climate change mitigation with special attention given to implications for the land system.  Environ. Res. Lett. 6 (2011) 034017 [ISI]
    • Leimbach M, Popp A, Lotze-Campen H, Bauer N, Dietrich JP, Klein D (2011): Integrated assessment models - the interplay of climate change, agriculture, and land use in a policy tool. In: Dinar A, Mendelsohn R (eds.): Handbook on Climate Change in Agriculture. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK.
    • Eberhardt G , Odening M, Lotze-Campen H, Erlach B, Rolinski S, Rothe P, Wirth B (2011): Rentabilität der Hydrothermalen Carbonisierung unter besonderer Berücksichtigung von Transportkosten. Berichte über Landwirtschaft 89(3), BMELV.
    • Yadav SS, Redden R, Hatfield JS, Lotze-Campen H, Hall A (eds.) (2011): Crop adaptation to climate change. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford.
    • Burdack D, Baldwin C, Lotze-Campen H, von Witzke H, Biewald A (2011): The Impacts of Water Management Policies on Agricultural Production in Australia - An Economic Analysis. 55th Annual Conference of the Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    • Müller C, Cramer W, Hare WL, Lotze-Campen H (2011): Climate change risks for African agriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 108(11), pp. 4313-4315, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1015078108. [ISI]

    2010

    • Fader M, Rost S, Müller C, Bondeau A, Gerten D (2010): Virtual water content of temperate cereals and maize: Present and potential future patterns. Journal of Hydrology. Special Issue of the Global Green and Blue Water Initiative, 384, pp. 218-231, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.12.011
    • Neumann K, Verburg P, Stehfest E, Müller C (2010): The yield gap of global grain production: A spatial analysis. Agricultural Systems,103,5, pp. 316-326, doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2010.02.004.
    • Domptail S,  Popp A, Nuppenau EA (2010) Land tax: towards a multifunctional institutional tool for land reform and rangeland conservation. International Journal of Environmental Policy and Decision Making (accepted).
    • Popp A, Lotze-Campen H, Bodirsky B (2010): Food consumption, diet shifts and associated non-CO2 greenhouse gases from agricultural production. Global Environmental Change 20: 451–462. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.02.001 [ISI]
    • Dietrich JP, Schmitz C, Müller C, Fader M, Lotze-Campen M, Popp A (2010) Measuring agricultural land-use intensity. Paper presented at HAWEPA 2010 workshop in Halle, Germany, June 28-29, 2010.
    • Knopf B, Edenhofer O, Flachsland C, Kok MTJ, Lotze-Campen H, Luderer G, Popp A, van Vuuren DP (2010): Managing the low-carbon transition - From model results to policies. The Energy Journal, Volume 31 (Special Issue 1: The Economics of Low Stabilization).[ISI]
    • Weindl I, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Bodirsky B, Rolinski S (2010) Impacts of livstock feeding technologies on greenhouse gas emissions. Contributed paper at the IATRC Public Trade Policy Research and Analysis Symposium Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security‘ Universität Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany, June 27-29, 2010
    • Schmitz C, Dietrich JP, Lotze-Campen H, Müller C, Popp A (2010) Implementing endogenous technological change in a global land-use model. Selected reviewed paper presented at the GTAP 13. Annual Conference in Penang, Malysia, June 9-11, 2010. GTAP Resource #3283. 24p.
    • Gumpenberger M, Vohland K, Heyder U, Poulter B, Macey K, Rammig A, Popp A, Cramer W (2010) Predicting pan-tropical climate change induced forest stock gains and losses - implications for REDD. Environmental Research Letters 5 014013
    • Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Beringer T, Müller C, Bondeau A, Rost S, Lucht W (2010): Scenarios of global bioenergy production: The trade-offs between agricultural expansion, intensification and trade. Ecological Modelling 221: 2188-2196, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.10.002 (available online: 13 Nov 2009) [ISI]

    2009

    • Lotze-Campen H, Schellnhuber HJ (2009): Climate impacts and adaptation options in agriculture: what we know and what we don't know. Journal für Verbraucherschutz und Lebensmittelsicherheit (Journal for Consumer Protection and Food Safety) 4: 145-150. DOI 10.1007/s00003-009-0473-6 [ISI]
    • Popp A, Vogel M, Blaum N, Jeltsch F (2009) Scaling up eco-hydrological processes - Role of surface water flow in water-limited landscapes. J. Geophys. Res.,  114, G04013, doi:10.1029/2008JG000910.
    • Bustamante MMC, Melillo J, Connor DJ, Hardy H, Lambin E, Lotze-Campen H, Ravindranath NH, Searchinger TD, Tschirley J, Watson H (2009): What are the Final Land Limits. Chapter 16 in Howarth RW, Bringezu S (eds.): Biofuels: Environmental Consequences and Interactions with Changing Land Use. Proceedings of the Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment (SCOPE) International Biofuels Project Rapid Assessment, 22-25 September 2008, Gummersbach, Germany. Download at http://cip.cornell.edu/biofuels/.
    • Popp A, Blaum N, Jeltsch F (2009) Ecohydrological feedback mechanisms in arid rangelands: Simulating the impacts of topography and landuse. Basic and Applied Ecology, 10: 319-329. doi:10.1016/j.baae.2008.06.002. [available online]
    • Popp A, Domptail S, Blaum N, Jeltsch F (2009) Land use experience does qualify for adaptation to climate change. Ecological Modelling, 220(5): 694-702. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.11.015. [available online]
    • Müller C (2009): Climate Change Impacts on Sub-Saharan Africa - An overview and analysis of Scenarios and Models. Discussion Paper, German Development Institute, Bonn, Germany.[available online]
    • Pitman AJ, de Noblet-Ducoudré N, Cruz FT, Davin EL, Bonan GB, Brovkin V, Claussen M, Delire C, Gayler V, van den Hurk BJJM, Lawrence PJ, van der Molen MK, Müller C, Reick CH, Seneviratne SI, Strengers BJ, Voldoire A (2009): Land use and climate via the LUCID intercomparison study: implications for experimental design in AR5. Geophysical Reserach Letters, 36, L14814, doi:10.1029/2009GL039076.
    • Krause M, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A (2009): Spatially-explicit scenarios on global cropland expansion and available forest land in an integrated modelling framework. Selected reviewed paper presented at the 27th International Association of Agricultural Economists Conference in Beijing, China, August 16-22, 2009. International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE), Milwaukee, USA. AgEcon. 22p. [available online]
    • Herrero M, Thornton PK, Rosegrant M, Havlik P, Msangi S, Fritz S, Lotze-Campen H, Notenbaert A, Popp A, Eickhout B, Müller C, Van de Steeg J, Gerten D, Sulserm T, Ringler C, Wood S, Freeman HA (2009): Incorporating livestock in global integrated assessments of land use and agro-ecosystems services. In: Van Ittersum MK, Wolf J, Van Laar HH (Eds), 2009. Proceedings of the Conference on Integrated Assessment of Agriculture and Sustainable Development: Setting the Agenda for Science and Policy (AgSAP 2009). Egmond aan Zee, The Netherlands, 10-12 March 2009. Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, 560 pp, pages 148-149.
    • Bodirsky B, Crassous-Doerfler R, van Essen H, Hourcade JC, Kampman B, Lotze-Campen H, Markowska A, Monjon S, Neuhoff K, Noleppa S, Popp A, del Río González P, Spielmans S, Strohschein J,  Waisman H (2009): How can each sector contribute to 2C? RECIPE Background Paper.
    • Edenhofer O, Carraro C, Hourcade JC, Neuhoff K, Luderer G, Flachsland C, JakobM, Popp A, Steckel J, Strohschein J, Bauer N, Brunner S, Leimbach M, Lotze-Campen H, Bosetti V, de Cian E, Tavoni E, Sassi O, Waisman H, Crassous-Doerfler R, Monjon S, Dröge S, van Essen H, del Río P, Türk A (2009): RECIPE - The Economics of Decarbonization. Synthesis Report.
    • Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Dietrich JP, Krause M (2009) Competition for land between food, bioenergy and conservation. . Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). Background note for the World Development Report 2010. Contribution to the World Development Report 2010: Development and Climate Change. The World Bank, Washington, DC
    • Müller C, Bondeau A, Popp A, Waha K, Fader M (2009) Climate change impacts on agricultural yields. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). Background note for the World Development Report 2010. Contribution to the World Development Report 2010: Development and Climate Change. The World Bank, Washington, DC
    • Krause M, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A (2009): Global cropland conversion in a spatially-explicit scenario on available land in an integrated modelling framework. Selected reviewed paper presented at the GTAP Twelfth Annual Conference in Santiago, Chile, June 10-12, 2009. GTAP Resource #4526. 26p. [available online]

    2008

    • Lotze-Campen H, Müller C, Bondeau A, Rost S, Popp A, Lucht W (2008): Global food demand, productivity growth, and the scarcity of land and water resources: a spatially explicit mathematical programming approach. Agricultural Economics, 39(3): 325-338. doi: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2008.00336.x. [available online]
    • Lotze-Campen H, Reusswig F, Stoll-Kleemann S (2008): Integrated Socio-Ecological Monitoring of Biodiversity Change - Building upon the World Network of Biosphere Reserves. GAIA 17/S1: 107-115. [ISI]
    • Lotze-Campen H (2008): The role of modelling tools in Integrated Sustainability Assessment (ISA). International Journal for Innovation and Sustainable Development 317(1/2): 70-92.
    • Domptail S, Popp A and Nuppenau E (2008) Management objectives and practices of commercial farmers in southern Namibia: between rangeland health and income generation. Kontoleon A., Pascual U., Smale M. (Eds): 'Agrobiodiversity Conservation and Economic Development'. Routledge. [available online]
    • Edenhofer O, Luderer G, Flachsland C, Füssel H, Popp A, Knopf B, Feulner G,  Held H (2008): A Global Contract on Climate Change. Policy paper for the conference "A Global Contract Based on Climate Justice: The Need for a New Approach Concerning International Relations" in Brussels, 11 November 2008. 76 pp.

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