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Data-based analysis of climate decisions

The WG Data-based analysis of climate decisions investigates how we – individually and as a society – respond to a changing climatic environment and extreme weather events.

We employ econometric and other mathematical data-analysis and modeling techniques with the aim of gaining insights into climate-related decision-making in the past and in the future. Specifically, we study how different economic, private and public actors responded to past weather extremes and explore a range of sustainable adaptation strategies for the future. To this end, we combine historical and projected climate data with socio-economic observations, indicators and development pathways. Previously, we have e.g. studied how temperature shocks affect economic productivity and electricity consumption or how the impacts of extreme weather events can cause ripple effects in the global trade and food supply networks (see publications).

We cooperate with scientists at UC Berkeley, Columbia University, University of Sydney, Leiden University and the MCC in Berlin and contribute to the IMPACT-EE project (Impact of Intensified Weather Extremes on Europe's economy). 


Dr. Leonie Wenz (head; mathematician)

Kelsey Barton-Henry (Ph.D. candidate; economist & data scientist)

Timothé Beaufils (Ph.D. candidate; engineer & economist)

Maximilian Kotz (Ph.D. candidate; physicist)

Annika Stechemesser (Ph.D. candidate; mathematician)

Anne Gossing (intern; mathematician)

Selected publications

F. Ueckerdt, K. Frieler, S. Lange, L. Wenz, G. Luderer, A. Levermann
The economically optimal warming limit of the planet
Earth System Dynamics 10 (2019).

M. Kalkuhl & L. Wenz
The impact of climate conditions on economic production. Evidence from a global panel of regions
EconStor Preprints 178288, ZBW - German National Library of Economics (2018).

C. Otto, S. N. Willner, L. Wenz , K. Frieler, A. Levermann
Modeling loss-propagation in the global supply network: The dynamic agent-based model acclimate
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 83 (2017). DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2017.08.001.

L. Wenz, A. Levermann, M. Auffhammer
North-South polarization of European electricity consumption under future warming
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114 (2017). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1704339114.

L. Wenz & A. Levermann
Enhanced economic connectivity to foster heat stress-related losses
Science Advances 2 (2016). DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1501026.

C. Bren d'Amour, L. Wenz, M. Kalkuhl, J.C. Steckel, F. Creutzig
Teleconnected food supply shocks
Environmental Research Letters 11 (2016). DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035007.

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