You are here: Home Research Climate Impacts & Vulnerabilities Research Research Areas and Flagships Global Impact Assessments PRIMAP NewsItems Climate Action Tracker Update: Analysis of current greenhouse gas emission trends

Climate Action Tracker Update: Analysis of current greenhouse gas emission trends

(Released November, 2013) With currently implemented government policies, greenhouse gas emissions are projected to lead to a warming of 3.7˚C, about 0.6˚C higher than that under the Copenhagen pledges. Under present policies there is about a one in three chance of exceeding 4˚C by 2100.
Instead of developing domestic policies to meet ambitious international reduction pledges, recent policy development in some countries point to a weakening of action, widening the 2020 emissions gap. The recent degradation of the pledges has led to the highest 2020 emissions level implied by international reduction pledges the Climate Action Tracker (CAT) has ever assesse.

Due to the degradation of the pledges - including some governments dropping the high end of the ambition ranges of their pledges for 2020 - this report indicates that current policies and actions may meet the lowest-ambition 2020 pledges. Emissions are likely to be far above 2020 levels consistent with pathways that would limit warming to 1.5-2°C. Beyond 2020, policies are inconsistent with the emissions reductions required for 1.5-2°C pathways. There is a growing disconnect between current policies and 2020 pledges, and the longer-term reductions needed for 1.5-2°C.

The full report can be found on the Climate Action Tracker website.

Document Actions