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Recent Publications of CCD Group Members




Recent PhD, BSc. and MSc. Thesis

Teaching at University of Potsdam

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Previous years: [ISI 2011-2012] [ISI 2013-2014] [ISI 2015-2016] [Popular Science]

Reviewed (ISI) Journal Articles


  • Lenk S, Rybski D, Heidrich O, Dawson RJ, Kropp JP (2016): Costs of sea dikes – regressions and uncertainty estimates. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, in press.
  • Rybski D, Reusser DE, Winz AL, Fichtner C, Sterzel T, Kropp JP (2016): Cities as Nuclei of Sustainability? Environment and Planning B, [DOI].
  • Walther C, Olonscheck M (2016): Analyzing heat exposure in two German cities by using meteorological data from both within and outside a city. Meteorological Applications, [DOI], (Meta-ID: 2391), in press.
  • Carl-Friedrich Schleussner CF, Lissner TK, Fischer EM, Wohland J, Perrette M, Golly A, Rogelji J, Childers K, Schewe J, Frieler K, Mengel M, Hare W, Schaeffer M (2016): Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, Earth Syst. Dynam. 7, 327–351 [DOI]
  • Hic C, Pradhan P, Rybski D, Kropp JP (2016): Food surplus and its climate burden. Environmental Science and Technology, 50(8), 4269–4277 , [DOI], (Meta-ID: 2322)
  • Boettle, M., D. Rybski, J. P. Kropp (2016): Quantifying the effect of sea level rise and flood defence - a point process perspective on coastal flood damage. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16:559–576,  [DOI], [press release]
  • Gudipudi R, Fluschnik T, Cantu Ros A, Walther C, Kropp JP (2016): City density and CO2 efficiency. Energy Policy, 91:352–361,  [DOI]
  • Zhou B, Lauwaet D, Hooyberghs H, de Ridder K, Kropp JP, Rybski D (2016): Assessing seasonality in the surface urban heat island of London. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 55(3):493–505,  [DOI]
  • Prahl BF, Rybski D, Boettle M, Kropp JP (2016): Damage functions for climate-related hazards: unification and uncertainty analysis Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1189-1203 (Meta-ID: xxxx)
  • Kok MTJ, Lüdeke MKB, Lucas PL, Sterzel T, Walther C, Janssen P, Sietz D, de Soysa I (2015): A new method for analysing patterns of vulnerability Regional Environmental Change, in press, (Meta-ID: 2038)
  • Pfannerstill M, Reusser D, Guse B, Moriasi D, Fohrer, N (2015): Temporal parameter sensitivity guided verification of process dynamics. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions , 12(2) 1729-1764, (MetaID: XXXX)
  • Halbe J, Reusser DE, Holtz G, Haasnoot M, Stosius A, Avenhaus W, Kwakkel JH (2015): Lessons for model use in transition research: A survey and comparison with other research areas. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 15: 194-210 (MetaID: XXXX)
  • Olonscheck M, Walther C, Lüdeke MKB, Kropp JP (2015): Feasibility of energy reduction targets under climate change: The case of the residential heating energy sector of the Netherlands. Energy, in press, (MetaID: 2214)
  • Guse B, Pfannerstill M, Strauch M, Reusser DE, Lüdtke S, Volk M, Gupta H, Fohrer N (2015): On characterizing the temporal dominance patterns of model parameters and processes. Hydrological Processes, [in press] (MetaID XXXX)
  • Tekken V. & Kropp JP (2015): Sustainable Water Management - Perspectives for Tourism Development in North-eastern Morocco. Tourism Management Perspectives, 16: 325–334, (MetaID: 2246)
  • Kinkeldey Ch, Schiewe J, Gerstmann H, Götze Ch, Kit O, Lüdeke MKB, Taubenböck H, Wurm M (2015): Evaluating the use of uncertainty visualization for exploratory analysis of land cover change: a qualitative expert user study. Computers & Geosciences 84, 46-53
  • Vitolo C, Elkhatib Y, Reusser D, Macleod CJA, Buytaert W (2015): Web technologies for environmental Big Data. Environmental Modelling & Software, 63: 185-198 (MetaID: XXXX).
  • Pradhan P, Fischer G, van Velthuizen H, Reusser DE, & Kropp JP (2015). Closing yield gaps: how sustainable can we be? PLoS ONE 10(6): e0129487, [online access], (MetaID: 2153)
  • Prahl BF, Rybski D, Burghoff O, Kropp JP (2015): Comparison of storm damage functions and their performance. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 769-788, (MetaID: 2083)



Currently under review


  • Zhou B, Rybski D, Kropp JP (2016): Urban form and heat. submitted to: Scientific Reports
  • Costa L, Kropp JP (2016): Investments in knowledge and planning activities for climate change adaptation in developing countries. Climate Policy Journal.
  • Kornhuber K, Reusser DE, Costa L, Kropp JP, Schellnhuber HJ, Rybski D (2016): Exploring the Environmental Kuznets Curve of Human Development and CO2 Emissions, submitted to PNAS.
  • Olonscheck M, Walther C (2016): Methods to assess local heat exposure - A comparison of approaches for precincts of the German city of Karlsruhe, submitted to: Urban Climate.
  • Gudipudi, R (2016): Benchmarking the Socioeconomic Outcomes of Cities given their Environmental
    Burden & Citizen's Perceptions about Quality of Life: Revealing the need for sustainable development. PLOS ONE, submitted.
  • Cantu Ros A, Fluschnik T, Kropp JP (2015): Variance based stationary control of regime shifts: bistability and oscillations, submitted to: Phys Rev. X.



Books, Book Chapters

    Hrebícek, J.; Schimak, G.; Kubásek, M.; Rizzoli, A.E. (Eds.)(2013): Environmental Software Systems. Fostering Information Sharing. IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology Volume 413, Springer

      • Wrobel M, Bisaro A, Reusser D, Kropp JP: Novel Approaches for Web-Based Access to Climate Change Adaptation Information - MEDIATION Adaptation Platform and ci:grasp-2. p. 489-499

    Vohland, K.; Badeck, F. et al. (Hrsg.) (2013): Schutzgebiete Deutschlands im Klimawandel - Risiken und Handlungsoptionen. Naturschutz und Biologische Vielfalt Heft 129, Bundesamt für Naturschutz, Bonn - Bad Godesberg

        • Vohland K., Badeck F, Wrobel M: Klimawandel in Schutzgebieten. p 31-45



        sunil Nautiyal S, Rao KS, Kaechele H, Raju KV, Schaldach R (2013): Knowledge Systems of Societies for Adaptation and Mitigation of Impacts of Climate Change, Springer, Heidelberg.

        • Kropp JP (2013): Accepting Climate Change Challenges: gambling with the future or path-finding for long-term sustainability?

        Sapio B, Giaoutzi M (2013): Recent Developments in Foresight. Springer, Heidelberg.

        • Lüdeke MKB (2013): Bridging Qualitative and Quantitative Methods in Foresight, p. 53-65, [DOI], (MetaID: 1732).


        Schmidt-Thomé, P, Klein J (2013): Climate change adaptation in practice: From strategy development to implementation, Wiley, Chichester.
        • Boettle M, Rybski D, Kropp JP (2013): Adaptation to sea level rise: Calculating costs and benefits for the case study Kalundborg, Denmark, p. 25-34, (MetaID: 1721).
        • Boettle M, Schmidt-Thomé P, Rybski D (2013): Coastal protection and multi-criteria decision analysis: Didactically processed examples, p. 35-49, (MetaID: 1722).


        greiving Schmidt-Thomé P, Greiving S (2013): European climate vulnerabilities and adaptation: A spatial planning perspective, Wiley, Chichester.

        • Holsten A, Walther C, Rothmeier O, Kropp JP (2013): Integrated Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Change: The case study of North-Rhine Westphalia, (MetaID: 1728).
        • Walther C, Holsten A, Kropp JP (2013): Identifying a typology of climate change in Europe, (MetaID: 1730).
        • Lindner C, Holsten A (2013): Climate change exposure assessment of European regions, (MetaID: 1729).
        null Menoni S & Margottini C (2011): Inside Risk: A Strategy for Sustainable Risk Mitigation, Springer, Berlin, 364pp.

        • Delmonaco G, Atun F, Ceudech A, Deeming H, de Roo A, Lumbroso D, Galderisi A, Kallache M, Kropp JP, Kundak S, Molinari D, Tweed F, Wade S, Walker G, Dandoulaki M, Barredo J (2011): Europe at Risk, Chapt. 2, p. 23-91.
        • Kropp JP, Walker  G, Menoni S, Kallache M, Deeming H, d1e Roo A, Atun F, Kundak S (2011): Risk Futures in Europe.  Chapt 5, p. 187-244.
        • Galderisi A, Kropp JP, Ceudech A, Kallache M (2011): From Global to Local and From Local to Global: Exemples of Event Scenarios. Chapt. 6, p. 245-286.
        • Menoni S, Margottini C, Galderisi A, Delmonaco G, Ferrara F, Kropp JP, Esteban JF, Lopez J, Pugliano A, Mejri O, Plebani P (2011): Shift in Thinking, Chapt. 7,  p. 282-327.


        Kropp JP, Schellnhuber HJ (2011): In Extremis: Disruptive Events, Trends, and Correlations in Hydrology and Climate. Springer, Heidelberg, Berlin, 380pp.
        • Kallache M, Rust HW, Lange H, Kropp JP (2011): Extreme Value Analysis considering Trends. Chapt. 8, p. 167-183.
        • Rust HW, Kallache M, Schellnhuber HJ, Kropp JP: Flood Level Confidence Intervals,  Chapt. 3, p. 61-88.
        • Rybski D, Neumann J: A review on the Pettitt Test, Chapt. 10, p. 202-213.
        • Rybski D, Bunde A, Havlin S, Kantelhardt JW, Koscielny-Bunde E: Detrended fluctuation studies of long-term persistence and multifractality of precipitation and river runoff records Chapt. 11, p. 216-248.
        resilient-cits Zimmermann K.O. (Ed.) (2011): Resilient Cities - Cities and Adaptation to Climate Change, Dordrecht: Springer
        • Kit O, Lüdeke M, Reckien D: Assessment of climate change-induced vulnerability to floods in Hyderabad/India using remote sensing data, pp 35-44.
        • Grothmann T: Governance Recommendations for Adaptation in European Urban Regions: Results from Five Case Studies and a European Expert Survey. 167-175 p.
        • Reckien D, Wildenberg M, Deb K: Understanding Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Options in Indian Megacities, pp 15-34.
        advancedmethods Kropp JP, Scheffran J (2007): Advanced Methods for Decision Making and Risk Management in Sustainability Science. Nova Science Publ., New York
        selforganisingmaps Kropp JP, Schellnhuber HJ (2008): Prototyping of Broad-Scale Climate and Ecosystem Classes by Means of Self-Organising Maps. in: P. Agarwal & A. Skupin (Eds.) Self-Organising Maps: Applications in Geographic Information Sciences, 216pp., Wiley & Sons, New York

        Lucas P, Hilderink H, Kok M, Lüdeke MKB (2011): Long-term Development and the Millennium Development Goals In: A Changing Environment for Human Security: New Agendas for Research, Policy, and Action eds.: O'Brian K, Wolf J, Sygna L. London: Earthscan, [in press].

        Reports, Studies, Policy Documents



        Contributions to popular scientific journals & books

        • Kropp JP (2010): Flüchtlingsströme der Zukunft. in: Bundeswehr aktuell, Nr. 38 / 2010, S. 6
        Zum Magazin "Bundeswehr aktuell" Nr. 38 (PDF, 3 MB)
        • Rybski D, Costa L (2010): Welche Kosten verursacht der Klimawandel? in: EUCC - Die Küstenunion Deutschland e.V. (Hrsg.): Meer & Küste - Deutsche Ostsee, Nr. 2 / 2010, S. 31

        Zum Magazin "Meer & Küste"


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