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Climate Action Tracker Update: Little progress - Countries still heading for over 3ºC warming

06/10/2010 - Despite recent developments, actions pledged globally to date on reductions of greenhouse gas emissions give virtually no chance to limit global mean temperature increase to below two degrees Celsius.
Climate Action Tracker Update: Little progress - Countries still heading for over 3ºC warming

Global emissions scenarios. Grey line: business-as-usual; red Action Tracker line: reduction pledges by UN-states to date; 450 ppm pathway: ~ 50% chance of staying below 2°C; 350 ppm: > 75% chance of staying below 2°C. Source: CAT, 2010.

China's latest commitment to get 15% of its energy from non-fossil fuel energy sources in 2020 improves the outlook for China's emissions, but does not fundamentally change the picture.

Kazakhstan's new pledge of a 15% reduction by 2020 from 1992 levels, or in effect 10% from 1990, means Kazakhstan will actually start reducing emissions. However, their proposed short-term target lies above expected emissions.

The current pledges and loopholes gives a virtual certainty of exceeding 1.5°C, with global warming very likely exceeding 2°C and a more than 50% chance of exceeding 3°C by 2100.

Click here for full press release by Climate Action Tracker: http://www.climateactiontracker.org/pr_2010_06_10_en.pdf

 


Further information on ´Climate Action Tracker´

The web-based based climate policy assessment system ´Climate Action Tracker´
was developed by Ecofys, Climate Analytics and the Potsdam Institute for Climate
Impact Research (PIK)
. It provides regularly updated information on each
country’s proposed commitments and actions and how these contribute to total
greenhouse gas emission reductions globally. It has been online since November
2009.
You can find the Climate Action Tracker at http://www.climateactiontracker.org

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