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Dr. Marlene Kretschmer


E-Mail: kretschmer[at]

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Telegraphenberg A62
D-14473 Potsdam, Germany

Research Domain: Earth System Analysis (RD1)

Project: SacreX - Stability of Atmospheric Circulation and its Relation to Extreme Weather



PhD in Climate Physics at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research & Potsdam University (2018): 

Thesis: "Disentangling Causal Pathways of the Stratopsheric Polar Vortex - A Machine Learning Approach" 

Diploma (M.Sc.) in Mathematics at Humboldt University Berlin (2014): 

Thesis: "Serre´s conjecture on projective modules" 


---- 2020 ----

Di Capua, G., M. Kretschmer, R. V. Donner, B. van den Hurk, R. Vellore, R. Krishnan, D. Coumou (2020), Tropical and mid-latitude teleconnections interacting with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a theory-guided causal effect network approach, Earth System Dynamics, doi: 10.5194/esd-11-17-2020

---- 2019 ----

Runge, J., Nowack, P.,  Kretschmer, M.,  Flaxman, S., Sejdinovic, D. (2019),  Detecting causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets, Science Advances, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aau4996

Di Capua, G., M. Kretschmer, J. Runge, A. Alessandri, R. V. Donner, B. van den Hurk, R. Vellore, R. Krishnan, D. Coumou (2019), Long-Lead Statistical Forecasts of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Based on Causal Precursors, Weather and Forecasting, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0002.1

Runge, J., S. Bathiany, E. Bollt, G. Camps-Valls, D. Coumou, E. Deyle, C. Glymour, M. Kretschmer, M.D. Mahecha, E.H. van Nes, J. Peters, R. Quax, M. Reichstein, M. Scheffer, B. Schölkopf, P. Spirtes, G. Sugihara, J. Sun, K. Zhang, & J. Zscheischler, Inferring causation from time series with perspectives in Earth system sciences (2019), Nature Communication, doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10105-3

Cohen, J., et al. (incl. Kretschmer, M.) (2019), Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0662-y

---- 2018 ----

Kretschmer, M., J. Cohen, V. Matthias, J. Runge, D. Coumou (2018),The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America, npj Climate and Atmospheric Sciencedoi:10.1038/s41612-018-0054-4

Kretschmer, M., D. Coumou, L. Agel, M. Barlow, E. Tziperman, and J. Cohen (2018), More-persistent weak stratospheric polar vortex states linked to cold extremes, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0259.1

---- 2017----

Kretschmer, M., J. Runge, and D. Coumou (2017), Early prediction of extreme stratospheric polar vortex states based on causal precursors, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2017GL074696.

---- 2016 ---- 

Kretschmer, M., D. Coumou, J.F. Donges, J. Runge (2016), Using Causal Effect Networks to analyze different Arctic drivers of mid-latitude winter circulation, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0654.1

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