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Dr. Marlene Kretschmer


E-Mail: kretschmer[at]

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Telegraphenberg A62
D-14473 Potsdam, Germany

Research Domain: Earth System Analysis (RD1)

Project: SacreX - Stability of Atmospheric Circulation and its Relation to Extreme Weather



PhD in Climate Physics at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research & Potsdam University (2018): 

Thesis: "Disentangling Causal Pathways of the Stratopsheric Polar Vortex - A Machine Learning Approach" 

Diploma (M.Sc.) in Mathematics at Humboldt University Berlin (2014): 

Thesis: "Serre´s conjecture on projective modules" 


---- 2018 ----

Kretschmer, M., J. Cohen, V. Matthias, J. Runge, D. Coumou (2018),The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America, npj Climate and Atmospheric Sciencedoi:10.1038/s41612-018-0054-4

Kretschmer, M., D. Coumou, L. Agel, M. Barlow, E. Tziperman, and J. Cohen (2018), More-persistent weak stratospheric polar vortex states linked to cold extremes, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0259.1

---- 2017----

Kretschmer, M., J. Runge, and D. Coumou (2017), Early prediction of extreme stratospheric polar vortex states based on causal precursors, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2017GL074696.

---- 2016 ---- 

Kretschmer, M., D. Coumou, J.F. Donges, J. Runge (2016), Using Causal Effect Networks to analyze different Arctic drivers of mid-latitude winter circulation, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0654.1


Mathias V. & M. Kretschmer, The influence of the stratosphere on mid-latitude cold-spells in winter 2017/18 (submitted to Monthly Weather Review)


Runge, J., P. Nowack, M. Kretschmer, S. Flaxman, D. Sejdinovic, Detecting causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets (in revision at Science Advances)

Runge, J., S. Bathiany, E. Bollt, G. Camps-Valls, D. Coumou, E. Deyle, C. Glymour, M. Kretschmer, M.D. Mahecha, E.H. van Nes, J. Peters, R. Quax, M. Reichstein, M. Scheffer, B. Schölkopf, P. Spirtes, G. Sugihara, J. Sun, K. Zhang, & J. Zscheischler, Inferring causation from time series with perspectives in Earth system sciences (in revision at Nature Communication)

Cohen, J., et al. Divergent consensus on the influence of Arctic Amplification on mid-latitude severe winter weather (in revision at Nature Climate Change)

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