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Publications

 


Forthcoming

Heinke, J.; Lannerstad, M.; Hoff, H.; Müller, C.; Herrero, M.; Havlik, P.; Gerten, D.; Peden, D.; Ran, Y.; Notenbaert, A.; Rockström, J. (in prep.): Consumptive water use in global livestock production. - Environmental Research Letters.

Weindl, I.; Bodirsky, B.; Popp, A.; Rolinski, S.; Biewald, A.; Bonsch, M.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Müller, C.; Dietrich, J. P.; Humpenöder, F.; Stevanović, M.; Heinke, J.; Schaphoff, S. (submitted): Livestock and the water challenge of future food supply: Change diets or produce differently? - Global Environmental Change


2015

Jägermeyr, J.; Gerten, D.; Heinke, J.; Schaphoff, S.; Kummu, M.; and Lucht, W. (2015): Water savings potentials of irrigation systems: global simulation of processes and linkages. - Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 19, 3073–3091

Frieler, K.; Levermann, A.; Elliott, J.; Heinke, J.; Arneth, A.; Bierkens, M. F. P.; Ciais, P.; Clark, D. B.; Deryng, D.; Döll, P.; Falloon, P.; Fekete, B.; Folberth, C.; Friend, A. D.; Gellhorn, C.; Gosling, S. N.; Haddeland, I.; Khabarov, N.; Lomas, M.; Masaki, Y.; Nishina, K.; Neumann, K.; Oki, T.; Pavlick, R.; Ruane, A. C.; Schmid, E.; Schmitz, C.; Stacke, T.; Stehfest, E.; Tang, Q.; Wisser, D.; Huber, V.; Piontek, F.; Warszawski, L.; Schewe, J.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Schellnhuber, H. J. (2015): A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. - Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 447-460, 2015

Elliott, J.; Müller, C.; Deryng, D.; Chryssanthacopoulos, J.; Boote, K. J.; Büchner, M.; Foster, I.; Glotter, M.; Heinke, J.; Iizumi, T.; Izaurralde, R. C.; Mueller, N. D.; Ray, D. K.; Rosenzweig, C.; Ruane, A. C.; Sheffield, J. (2015): The Global Gridded Crop Model intercomparison: data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0). -  Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 261-277, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-261-2015

Steffen, W.; Richardson, K.; Rockström, J.; Cornell, S.; Fetzer, I.; Bennett, E. M.; Biggs, R.; Carpenter, S. R.; de Vries, W.; de Wit, C. A.; Folke, C.; Gerten, D.; Heinke, J.; Mace, G. M.; Persson, L. M.; Ramanathan, V.; Reyers, B.; Sörlin, S. (2015): Planetary Boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet. - Science, 347, doi:10.1126/science.1259855

Bonsch, M.; Popp, A.; Biewald, A.; Rolinski, S.; Schmitz, C.; Hoegner, K.; Heinke, J.; Ostberg, S.; Dietrich, J. P.; Bodirsky, B.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Stevanovic, M.; Humpenöder, F.; Weindl, I. (2015): Environmental flow provision: implications for agricultural water and land-use at the global scale. - Global Environmental Change, 30, 113–132, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.10.015


2014

Zemp, D. C.; Schleussner, C.-F.; Barbosa, H. M. J.; van der Ent, R. J.; Donges, J. F.; Heinke, J.; Sampaio, G.; Rammig, A. (2014): On the importance of cascading moisture recycling in South America. - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14, 13337-13359, doi:10.5194/acp-14-13337-2014

Esnault, L.; Gleeson, T.; Wada, Y.; Flanary, E.; Bierkens, M. F. P.; van Beek, L. P. H.; Heinke, J.; Gerten, D. (2014): Linking groundwater use and stress to specific crops using the groundwater footprint in the Central Valley and High Plains aquifer systems, USA. - Water Resources Research, 50(6), 4953–4973, doi:10.1002/2013WR014792

Müller, C.; Waha, K.; Bondeau, A.; Heinke, J. (2014): Hotspots of climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for adaptation and development. - Global Change Biology, 20(8), 2505–2517, doi:10.1111/gcb.12586 

Schewe, J.; Heinke, J.; Gerten, D.; Haddeland, I.; Arnell, N. W.; Clark, D.; Dankers, R.; Eisner, S.; Fekete, B.; Colón-González, F. J.; Gosling, S.; Kim, H.; Liu, X.; Masaki, Y.; Portmann, F. T.; Satoh, Y.; Stacke, T.; Tang, Q.; Wada, Y.; Wisser, D.; Albrecht, T.; Frieler, K.; Piontek, F.; Warszawski, L.; Kabat, P. (2014): Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111 (9), 3245-3250, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222460110

Haddeland, I.; Heinke, J.; Biemans, H.; Eisner, S.; Flörke, M.; Hanasaki, N.; Konzmann, M.; Ludwig, F.; Masaki, Y.; Schewe, J.; Stacke, T.; Tessler, Z.; Wada, Y.; Wisser D. (2014): Global water resources affected by human interventions and climate change - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111 (9), 3251-3256, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222475110

Dankers, R.; Arnell, N.; Clark, D. B.; Falloon, P. D.; Fekete, B. M.; Gosling, S. N.; Heinke, J.; Kim, H.; Masaki, Y.; Satoh, Y.; Stacke, T.; Wada, Y.; Wisser, D. (2014): First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111 (9), 3257-3261, doi:10.1073/pnas.1302078110

Rockström, J.; Falkenmark, M.; Folke, C.; Lannerstad, M.; Barron, J.; Enfors, E.; Gordon, L.; Heinke, J.; Hoff, H.; Pahl-Wostl, C. (2014): Water resilience for human prosperity. - Cambridge : Cambridge University Press

Kummu, M.; Gerten, D.; Heinke, J.; Konzmann, M.; Varis, O. (2014): Climate-driven interannual variability of water scarcity in food production potential: a global analysis. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 447-461, doi:10.5194/hess-18-447-2014

 

2013

Heinke, J.; Ostberg, S.; Schaphoff, S.; Frieler, K.; Müller, C.; Gerten, D.; Meinshausen, M.; Lucht, W. (2013): A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming. - Geoscientific Model Development, 6, 1689-1703, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-1689-2013

Gerten, D.; Lucht, W.; Ostberg, S.; Heinke, J.; Kowarsch, M.; Kreft, H.; Kundzewicz, Z. W.; Rastgooy, J.; Warren, R.; Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013): Asynchronous exposure to global warming: freshwater resources and terrestrial ecosystems. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 034032

Schaphoff, S.; Ursula Heyder, U.; Ostberg, S.; Gerten, D.; Heinke, J.; Lucht, W. (2013): Contribution of permafrost soils to the global carbon budget. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014026

Ran, Y.; Deutsch, L.; Lannerstad, M.; Heinke, J. (2013): Rapidly intensified beef production in Uruguay: Impacts on water-related ecosystem services. - Aquatic Procedia, 1, 77-87, doi:10.1016/j.aqpro.2013.07.00

Hagemann, S.; Chen, C.; Clark, D. B.; Folwell, S.; Gosling, S. N.; Haddeland, I.; Hanasaki, N.; Heinke, J.; Ludwig, F.Voß, F.Wiltshire, A. J. (2012): Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 129-144, 2013, doi:10.5194/esd-4-129-2013

 

2012

Waha, K.; Müller, C.; Bondeau, A.; Dietrich, J. P.; Kurukulasuriya, P.; Heinke, J.; Lotze-Campen, H. (2012): Adaptation to climate change through the choice of cropping system and sowing date in sub-Saharan Africa. - Global Environmental Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.001

Konzmann, M., Gerten, D., Heinke, J. (2012 (In press)): Climate impacts on global irrigation requirements under 19 GCMs, simulated with a vegetation and hydrology model. - Hydrological Sciences Journal - Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques

Füssel, H.-M., Heinke, J., Popp, A., Gerten, D. (2012): Climate Change and Water Supply. - In: Edenhofer, O., Wallacher, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Reder, M., Knopf, B., Müller, J. (Eds.), Climate Change, Justice and Sustainability. Dordrecht : Springer, 19-32

Gudmundsson, L., Tallaksen, L. M., Stahl, K., Clark, D. B., Dumont, E., Hagemann, S., Bertrand, N., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Hanasaki, N., Voß, F., Koirala, S. (2012): Comparing large-scale hydrological model simulations to observed runoff percentiles in Europe. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 13, 2, 604-620

Haddeland, I., Heinke, J., Voß, F., Eisner, S., Chen, C., Hagemann, S., Ludwig, F. (2012): Effects of climate model radiation, humidity and wind estimates on hydrological simulations. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16, 2, 305-318

 

2011

Haddeland, I., Clark, D. B., Franssen, W., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Arnell, N. W., Bertrand, N., Best, M., Folwell, S., Gerten, D., Gomes, S., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hanasaki, N., Harding, R., Heinke, J., Kabat, P., Koirala, S., Oki, T., Polcher, J., Stacke, T., Viterbo, P., Weedon, G. P., Yeh, P. (2011): Multimodel estimate of the terrestrial global water balance: setup and first results. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 5, 869-884

Hagemann, S., Chen, C., Härter, J. O., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Piani, C. (2011): Impact of a statistical bias correction on the projected hydrological changes obtained from three GCMs and two hydrology models. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 4, 556-578

Yeh, S., Berndes, G., Mishra, G. S., Wani, S. P., Neto, A. E., Suh, S., Karlberg, L., Heinke, J., Garg, K. K. (2011): Evaluation of water use for bioenergy at different scales. - Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, 5, 4, 361-374

Fader, M., Gerten, D., Thammer, M., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Cramer, W. (2011): Internal and external green-blue agricultural water footprints of nations, and related water and land savings through trade. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15, 5, 1641-1660

Biemans, H., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Ludwig, F., Hutjes, R. W. A., Heinke, J., von Bloh, W., Gerten, D. (2011): Impact of reservoirs on river discharge and irrigation water supply during the 20th century. - Water Resources Research, 47, W03509

Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Hoff, H., Biemanns, H., Fader, M., Waha, K. (2011): Global water availability and requirements for future food production. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 885-899

 

2010

Rammig, A., Jupp, T., Thonicke, K., Tietjen, B., Heinke, J., Ostberg, S., Lucht, W., Cramer, W., Cox, P. (2010): Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback. - New Phytologist, 184, 3, 694-706

Poulter, B., Aragão, L., Heyder, U., Gumpenberger, M., Heinke, J., Langerwisch, F., Rammig, A., Thonicke, K., Cramer, W. (2010): Net biome production of the Amazon basin in the 21st Century. - Global Change Biology, 16, 7, 2062-2075

Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Ciais, P., Seneviratne, S. I., Sheffield, J., Goulden, M. L., Bonan, G., Cescatti, A., Chen, J., de Jeu, R., Dolman, A. J., Eugster, W., Gerten, D., Gianelle, D., Gobron, N., Heinke, J., Kimball, J., Law, B. E., Montagnani, L., Mu, Q., Mueller, B., Oleson, K., Papale, D., Richardson, A. D., Roupsard, O., Running, S., Tomelleri, E., Viovy, N., Weber, U., Williams, C., Wood, E., Zaehle, S., Zhang, K. (2010): Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply. - Nature, 467, 7318, 951-954

Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Hoff, H. (2010): Estimating green-blue water availability and needs for global food production In: (Ed.) The Global Dimension of Change in River Basins (Bonn 2010), (The Global Dimension of Change in River Basins (Bonn 2010)).

Füssel, H.-M., Heinke, J., Popp, A. (2010): Klimawandel und Wasserversorgung. - In: Edenhofer, O., Wallacher, J., Reder, M., Lotze-Campen, H. (Eds.), Global aber gerecht. München : Beck, 30-38

 

2009

Gerten, D., Heinke, J. (2009): Geht uns das Wasser aus? Globale Wasservorräte und -knappheiten heute und in der Zukunft. - Universitas, 64, 757, 665-675

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