Models of prediction for Earth system's tipping points
The Earth has gone through abrupt transitions through its history, but the underlying mechanisms are still not fully understood, nor can current models simulate past abrupt transitions realistically. The TiPES project will focus on the urgent need to examine the tipping points at which subsystems of the Earth have changed, improve the modelling of abrupt transitions better, and provide an estimate of stability of desirable states. TiPES will therefore contribute to better prediction of possible future abrupt changes caused by anthropogenic global warming, clarify what crossing the tipping points means socioeconomically, and help policymakers plan strategies to create safe operating spaces for humanity.
