Work in progress

In review and discussion

• ..., J.F. Donges, et al.,
  Resilience metrics need to better incorporate agency and diversity,
  in review (2023).
  
  
• S. Loriani, Y. Aksenov, D. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, A. Born, C.M. Chiessi, H. Dijkstra, J.F. Donges, S. Drijfhout, M.H. England, A.V. Fedorov, L. Jackson, K. Kornhuber, G. Messori, F. Pausata, S. Rynders, J.-B. Salée, B. Sinha, S. Sherwood, D. Swingedouw, T. Tharammal,
  Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations,
  Earth System Dynamics Discussions, subm. (2023).
  
  
• V. Benson, J.F. Donges, N. Boers, M. Hirota, A. Morr, A. Staal, J. Vollmer, N. Wunderling,
  Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances,
  in review (2023),
  preprint: arXiv:2310.16021 [physics.ao-ph].
  
  
• J.P. Everall, J.F. Donges, I.M Otto,
  The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority,
  Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
  preprint EGUSphere, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241.
  
  
• T. Möller*, A. (Ernest) Högner*, C.-F. Schleussner, S. Bien, N.H. Kitzmann, R.D. Lamboll, J. Rogelj, J.F. Donges, J. Rockström, N. Wunderling, Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks, in review (2023). *These authors share the first authorship.
  
  
• V. Junquera, M. Schlüter, J. Rocha, S. Levin, D. Rubenstein, N. Wunderling, J.-C. Castella, P. Meyfroidt, Crop booms as regime shifts, in review (2023).
  
  
• N. Wunderling, S. Perri, J. Rockström, M. Oppenheimer, A. Porporato, J.F. Donges, S.A. Levin, W. Barfuss, Concerted efforts of politics, society and science mitigate climate tipping risks in a coupled human-Earth system model, in review (2023).
  
  
• N.N., ..., N. Wunderling, et al., 10 New Insights on Climate Science 2023, in review (2023).
  
  
• A. Staal, J. Theeuwen, L. Wang-Erlandsson, N. Wunderling, S. Dekker, Targeted rainfall enhancement as an objective of reforestation, in review (2023).
  
  
• J. Rockström, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, M.A. Martin, L. Wang-Erlandsson, K. Richardson,
  The science on planetary boundaries as a guide to humanity's future on Earth,
  in review (2023).
  
  
• E.K. Smith*, N. Kitzmann*, M. Milkoreit*, R. Winkelmann*, A.-S. Crépin, C. Eder, N. Harring, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, T.M. Lenton, F. Mauelshagen, K. Minor, I.M. Otto, A. Rezai, J. Scheffran, I. Stadelmann-Steffen, R. van der Ploeg, N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges*,
  Criticality and critical agency in societal tipping processes towards sustainability,
  subm. (2023),
  * shared lead-authorship.
  
  
• E.K. Smith*/M. Wiedermann*, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R. Winkelmann,
  A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping - the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern,
  Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
  preprint EGUSphere,
  DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622,
  * shared lead-authorship.
  
  
• N. Wunderling, A. von der Heydt, Y. Aksenov, S. Barker, R. Bastiaansen, V. Brovkin, M. Brunetti, V. Couplet, T. Kleinen, C.H. Lear, J. Lohmann, R.M. Roman-Cuesta, S. Sinet, D. Swingedouw, R. Winkelmann, P. Anand, J. Barichivich, S. Bathiany, M. Baudena, J.T. Bruun, C.M. Chiessi, H.K. Coxall, D. Docquier, J.F. Donges, S.K.J. Falkena, A.K. Klose, D. Obura, J. Rocha, S. Rynders, N.J. Steinert, M. Willeit,
  Climate tipping points and interactions: A review,
  Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
  EGUsphere [preprint], DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1576.
  
  

• V. Spaiser, S. Juhola, S.M. Constantino, W. Guo, T. Watson, J. Sillmann, A. Craparo, A. Basel, J.T. Bruun, K. Krishnamurthy, J. Scheffran, P. Pinho, U.T. Okpara, J.F. Donges, A. Bhowmik, T. Yasseri, R. Safra de Campos, G.S. Cumming, H. Chenet, F. Krampe, J.F. Abrams,
  Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilisation,
  Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
  EGUsphere [preprint], DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1475.

• A.K. Klose, J.F. Donges, U. Feudel, R. Winkelmann,
  Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,
  Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
  preprint ESD Discussions: DOI: 10.5194/esd-2023-20.

• A. Klein, K. Unverzagt, R. Alba, J.F. Donges, T. Hertz, T. Krüger, E. Lindkvist, R. Martin, J. Niewöhner, H. Prawitz, M. Schlüter,  L. Schwarz, N. Wijermans,
  Situated Modelling: An interdisciplinary framework for knowing a world in transformation,
  subm. (2023).
  
  
• C. Mauritzen, S. Cornell, S. Eker, C. Smith, B. Callegari, D. Collste, J.F. Donges, P.M. Forster, D. Gerten, A. Gjermundsen, B. Kopainsky, C. Li, S. Mashhadi, W. Schoenberg, J. Sillmann, L. Wang-Erlandsson,
  Perspective: A research agenda towards building renewed trust in decision making tools for climate mitigation,
  in review.
  
  
• E.K. Smith, C. Eder, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, A. Katsandiou, M. Wiedermann, R. Winkelmann,
  Domino Effects in the Earth System - The role of wanted social tipping points,
  in review (2022),
  preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/d8scb,
  old preprint arXiv:1911.10063 [physics.soc-ph].
  
  
• A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges,
  Estimating nonlinear stability from time series data,
  in review (2021),
  preprint arXiv:2112.03260 [physics.data-an].
  
  
• F. Schunck, M. Wiedermann, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
  A dynamic network model of societal complexity and resilience inspired by Tainter's theory of collapse,
  in review (2021),
  preprint arXiv.org/abs/2102.06698 [physics.soc-ph].
  
  
• J.F. Donges*/B. Ewers*, J. Heitzig, S. Peterson,
  Divestment may burst the carbon bubble if investors' beliefs tip to anticipating strong future climate policy,
  preprint arxiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1902.07481,
  * Shared lead-authorship.