Hydroclimatic Risks

 


Working Group Leader:

phone: +49 (0)331 288 2649
email: hattermann@pik-potsdam.de

Deputy Working Group Leader:
phone: +49 (0)331 288 2628
 

Summary:

The quantification of climate risks at the regional scale will be improved and provided for end-user oriented applications. This includes new modelling methodologies for extremes, quantification of uncertainties along the impact modelling chain, and development of useful climate service solutions. Systematic model intercomparisons will be coordinated for the hydrological and forest sectors in the framework of ISIMIP. These scientific results are expected to be of high interest for the public and private sectors and they are being continuously made available for subsequent impact and adaptation studies.  Cross-sectoral regional impact assessments will be conducted to analyze sectoral feedbacks and conflicts, to support adaptation planning, and to improve societal resilience with respect to agriculture, water resources, forestry, biodiversity, migration, health, and tourism. The entire water-energy-food-climate nexus will be modelled in Europe, Africa, Latin America, and Asia to promote solutions for sustainable development. The results on e.g. hydropower generation, water availability, and crop yields, will be used as input for national-level economic assessments.


Research Questions:

  • How to achieve regional energy, food and water security under climate change?
  • How to improve robustness of impact assessments?
  • What are human dimensions of climate change in most effected regions?
  • What are possible chances for a regional carbon free development?

Team members:

Tobias Conradt, Iulii Didovets, Carlos Fernández, Samuel Fournet, Anne Gädecke, Bijan Fallah Hassanabadi, Ylva Hauf, Thomas Kartschall, Hagen Koch, Valentina Krysanova, Stefan Liersch, Anastasia Lobanova, Christoph Menz, Tobias Pilz, María del Rocío Rivas López, Frank Wechsung, Michel Wortmann


Projects:

  • CCH CP2: Climate Change and Health in Sub-Saharan Africa - CP2. Provision of climate and bio-physical forcing data for health impact projections, funded by DFG, 01.01.2020-31.12.2022, contact: Fred Hattermann, Katja Frieler
  • CIREG: Climate Information to support integrated Renewable Electricity Generation (CIREG) / Klimainformationen zur integrierten Nutzung erneuerbarer Energien in Westafrika, funded by BMBF PT DLR, 01.02.2018-31.01.2021, contact: Stefan Liersch
  • CROSSDRO: Cross-sectoral impact assessment of droughts in complex European basins
    Verbundprojekt AXIS: Sektorübergreifende Wirkungsanalyse von Trockenperioden in komplexen europäischen Flusseinzugsgebieten (CROSSDRO) – Teilprojekt 1: Dürrerisikoabschätzungen unter Klimawandelszenarien, funded by BMBF PT DLR, 01.09.2019-31.08.2022, contact: Tobias Contradt
  • Clim4Vitis: Climate change impacts for European viticulture: towards an integrated approach, funded by EU H2020, 01.09.2018-28.02.2022, contact: Thomas Kartschall
  • EPICC-RD2: Klimakapazitätsbildung: Risikovorhersage und -Minimierung, funded by BMUB, 01.01.2018-31.08.2021, contact: Fred Hattermann
  • Green Vision Central Asia: bridging science and capacity building for climate security, funded by Auswärtiges Amt, 01.07.2020-30.06.2024, contact: Anastasia Lobanova
  • Konferenz Klimawandel & Wasser: Klimawandel und Wasser - Anpassung an die Folgen des Klimawandels, funded by BMU, 04.05.2020-25.03.2021, contact: Fred Hattermann
  • MECCA: Targeting Mental Models of Climate Change Risk to facilitate Climate Action
    Verbundprojekt AXIS: Erfassung, Entwicklung und Nutzung mentaler Klimarisikomodelle zur Unterstützung von Klimaschutzmaßnahmen (MECCA) - Teilprojekt 1: Entwicklung, Simulation und Analyse von Szenarien zur Abschätzung und Reduzierung von Klimarisiken, funded by BMBF PT DLR, 01.09.2019-31.08.2022, contact: Stefan Liersch
  • OptAKlim: Optimierung von Anbaustrategien und -verfahren zur Klimaanpassung – Analyse und Bewertung auf Landschaftsebene unter besonderer Berücksichtigung von Interaktionen mit dem Pflanzenschutz, der Produktivität, der Fruchtartenverteilungen und den THG-Emissionen, BMEL PT BLE, 21.08.2018-20.10.2021, contact: Tobias Conradt
  • ProgRAMM: Proaktive Pflanzengesundheitliche Risikoanalyse durch Modellierung und Monitoring: Anpassung an langfristige Risiken durch klimasensitive Schadorganismen, BMEL, 15.08.2018-14.10.2021, contact: Christoph Menz 
  • SALBES: Scenarios for Agricultural Landscapes’ Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, BMBF, PT BLE, 01.05.2019-30.04.2022, contact: Tobias Conradt

Completed projects


photo credits: pixabay.com