Matthias Mengel

Group Lead
Data-Centric Modeling of Cross-Sectoral Impacts

Deputy Head
Research Department 3

Telegrafenberg A56, Room 124
+49 331 288 2460
matthias.mengel (at)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Short Bio

Matthias Mengel leads the research group on data-centric modeling of cross-sectoral climate impacts at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. He acts as Deputy Head of Research Department 3. Before his transition ot the modeling of climate impacts within the ISIMIP team, he worked on Antarctic ice sheet dynamics and sea level change. He touched these topics during his PhD earned at Potsdam University in 2015 and during his AXA Postdoctoral fellowship 2016-2018. His new research explores data-driven approaches to better constrain the impacts of climate change on our societies. This includes methodological advance for the attribution of observed impacts of climate change. Sea level rise and its impacts remain a focus of his research. In 2013, he joined the Polarstern expedition ANT-XXIX/3 to the Antarctic Weddel sea. He stayed a year abroad during his studies at the University of Nairobi in Kenya.


Nauels, A., Gütschow, J., Mengel, M., Meinshausen, M., Clark, P. U., Schleussner, C.
Attributing long-term sea-level rise to Paris Agreement emission pledges
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(47), 23487-23492, 2019.

Feldmann, J., Levermann, A., Mengel, M.
Stabilizing the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by surface mass deposition
Science Advances, 5, eaaw4132, 2019.

Seroussi, H., Nowicki, S., Simon, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albrecht, T., Brondex, J., Cornford, S., Dumas, C., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N., Gregory, J., Greve, R., Hoffman, M., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Kleiner, T., Larour, E., Leguy, G., Lipscomb, W., Lowry, D., Mengel, M., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Payne, A., Pollard, D., Price, S., Quiquet, A., Reerink, T., Reese, R., Rodehacke, C., Schlegel, N., Shepherd, A., Sun, S., Sutter, J., Van Breedam, J., van de Wal, R., Winkelmann, R. and Zhang, T.
initMIP-Antarctica: an ice sheet model initialization experiment of ISMIP6
The Cryosphere, 13, 1441-1471, 2019.

Pfleiderer, P., Schleussner, C.F., Mengel, M., Rogelj, J.
Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks
Environmental Research Letters, 13 064015, 2018.

Mengel, M., Nauels, A., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C. F.
Committed sea-level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action
Nature Communications, 9 (601), 2018.

Gieseke, R., Willner, S., Mengel, M.
Pymagicc: A Python wrapper for the simple climate model MAGICC.
Journal of Open Source Software, 3(22), 516, 2018

Reese, R., Albrecht, T., Mengel, M., Asay-Davis, X., and Winkelmann, R.
Antarctic sub-shelf melt rates via PICO
The Cryosphere, 12, 19969-1985, 2018.

Frieler, K., Lange, S., Piontek, F., Reyer, C. P. O., Schewe, J., Warszawski, L., Zhao, F., Chini, L., Denvil, S., Emanuel, K., Geiger, T., Halladay, K., Hurtt, G., Mengel, M., Murakami, D., Ostberg, S., Popp, A., Riva, R., Stevanovic, M., Suzuki, T., Volkholz, J., Burke, E., Ciais, P., Ebi, K., Eddy, T. D., Elliott, J., Galbraith, E., Gosling, S. N., Hattermann, F., Hickler, T., Hinkel, J., Hof, C., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J., Krysanova, V., Marcé, R., Müller Schmied, H., Mouratiadou, I., Pierson, D., Tittensor, D. P., Vautard, R., van Vliet, M., Biber, M. F., Betts, R. A., Bodirsky, B. L., Deryng, D., Frolking, S., Jones, C. D., Lotze, H. K., Lotze-Campen, H., Sahajpal, R., Thonicke, K., Tian, H., and Yamagata, Y.
Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)
Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 4321-4345, 2017.

Nauels, A., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C. F., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, M.
Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the shared socioeconomic pathways
Environmental Research Letters 12.11 (2017)

Nauels, A., Meinshausen, M. Mengel, M., Lorbacher, K., and Wigley, T. M. L.
Synthesizing long-term sea level rise projections – the MAGICC sea level model v2.0
Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 2495-2524, 2017.

K. Waha, L. Krummenauer, S. Adams, V. Aich, F. Baarsch, D. Coumou, M. Fader, H. Hoff, G. Jobbins,
R. Marcus, M. Mengel, I. M. Otto, M. Perrette, M. Rocha, A. Robinson, C.-F. Schleussner
Climate change impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region and their implications for vulnerable population groups
Regional Environmental Change (2017), 1-16

C. Reyer, S. Adams, T. Albrecht, F. Baarsch, A. Boit, N. Canales Trujillo, M. Cartsburg, D. Coumou, A. Eden, E. Fernandes, F. Langerwisch, R. Marcus, M. Mengel, D. Mira-Salama, M. Perette, P. Pereznieto, A. Rammig, J. Reinhardt, A. Robinson, M. Rocha, B. Sakschewski, M. Schaeffer, C. F. Schleussner, O. Serdeczny, K. Thonicke
Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development
Regional Environmental Change 17.6 (2017): 1601-1621.

M. Mengel, A. Levermann, K. Frieler, A. Robinson, B. Marzeion and R. Winkelmann
Future sea-level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113.10 (2016): 2597-2602.

M. Mengel, J. Feldmann and A. Levermann
Linear sea-level response to abrupt ocean warming of major West-Antarctic ice basin
Nature Climate Change 6 (2016), 71-74

Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T. K., Fischer, E. M., Wohland, J., Perrette, M., Golly, A., Rogelj, J.,
Childers, K., Schewe, J., Frieler, K., Mengel, M., Hare, W., and Schaeffer, M.
Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C
Earth System Dynamics 7 (2016), 327-351

K. Frieler, M. Mengel and A. Levermann
Delaying future sea-level rise by storing water on Antarctica
Earth System Dynamics 6 (2016), 203-210

M. Mengel, A. Levermann
Ice plug prevents irreversible discharge from East Antarctica
Nature Climate Change 4.6 (2014): 451.

A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann, S. Nowicki, J. Fastook, K. Frieler, R. Greve, H.H. Hellmer, M.A. Martin, M. Mengel, A.J. Payne, D. Pollard, T. Sato, R. Timmermann, W.L. Wang, R.A. Bindschadler
Projecting Antarctic ice discharge using response functions from SeaRISE ice-sheet models
Earth System Dynamics 5.2 (2014): 271.

Piontek F., Müller C., Pugh T.A., Clark D.B., Deryng D., Elliott J., Colón González F.D., Flörke M., Folberth C., Franssen W., Frieler K., Friend A.D., Gosling S.N., Hemming D., Khabarov N., Kim H., Lomas M.R., Masaki Y., Mengel M., Morse A., Neumann K., Nishina K., Ostberg S., Pavlick R., Ruane A.C., Schewe J., Schmid E., Stacke T., Tang Q., Tessler Z.D., Tompkins A.M., Warszawski L., Wisser D., Schellnhuber H.J.
Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111.9 (2014): 3233-3238.

Frieler, K. , Meinshausen, M., Golly A., Mengel, M., Lebek, K., Donner, S., Hoegh-Guldberg, O.
Limiting global warming to 2°C is unlikely to save most coral reefs
Nature Climate Change 3.2 (2013): 165.

M. Mengel, A. Levermann, C. F. Schleussner, A. Born
Enhanced subpolar-gyre variability through baroclinic threshold in the Atlantic
Earth System Dynamics 3.2 (2012): 189-197.

Frieler K. , M. Meinshausen, M. Mengel, N. Braun, W. Hare
A scaling approach to probabilistic assessment of regional climate change
Journal of Climate 25.9 (2012): 3117-3144.

Short CV


Group lead Data-Centric Modeling of Cross-Sectoral Impacts
Deputy Head Research Department 3, PIK Potsdam


Postdoctoral researcher, ISIMIP group, PIK Potsdam


AXA Postdoctoral research fellow with Anders Levermann (PIK, Potsdam) and David Holland (New York University, USA)


PhD in Climate Physics (Dr. rer. nat.) with Anders Levermann at PIK Potsdam and University of Potsdam
Topic: "Forcing Earth's sea level: instabilities and linear responses"


Diplom (M.Sc.) Topic: "Stability of the Subpolar Gyre in a Coarse Resolution Model"


Studies of Physics, Free University Berlin


Year Abroad at the University of Nairobi, Kenya


Studies of Physics, Free University Berlin


Postdoctoral research fellowship from AXA research fund

PhD scholarship awarded by Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt

Scholarship awarded by Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes

Scholarship from German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) for Year Abroad