Matthias Mengel

Sea level change and climate impacts

Postdoctoral Researcher

+49 331 288 2460
matthias.mengel (at)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Short Bio

Matthias Mengel is a Postdoctoral Researcher at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. He completed his PhD in 2015 on Antarctic ice dynamics and sea level change. During his AXA Postdoctoral fellowship project he worked on the stability of the Antarctic ice sheet under future warming. He also researches empirical relations between climate warming and the contributors to sea level rise. In new research he investigates climate impacts with particular focus on the impacts of sea level rise. He is part of the ISIMIP team. In 2013, he joined the Polarstern expedition ANT-XXIX/3 to the Antarctic Weddel sea. Thick ice made them stuck. Though he studies the cold regions of the planet, he rather loves the warm ones.


Pfleiderer, P., Schleussner, C.F., Mengel, M., Rogelj, J.
Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks
Environmental Research Letters, accepted, 2018.

Mengel, M., Nauels, A., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C. F.
Committed sea-level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action
Nature Communications, 9 (601), 2018

Gieseke, R., Willner, S., Mengel, M.
Pymagicc: A Python wrapper for the simple climate model MAGICC.
Journal of Open Source Software, 3(22), 516, 2018

Reese, R., Albrecht, T., Mengel, M., Asay-Davis, X., and Winkelmann, R.
Antarctic sub-shelf melt rates via PICO
The Cryosphere, accepted, 2018.

Frieler, K., Lange, S., Piontek, F., Reyer, C. P. O., Schewe, J., Warszawski, L., Zhao, F., Chini, L., Denvil, S., Emanuel, K., Geiger, T., Halladay, K., Hurtt, G., Mengel, M., Murakami, D., Ostberg, S., Popp, A., Riva, R., Stevanovic, M., Suzuki, T., Volkholz, J., Burke, E., Ciais, P., Ebi, K., Eddy, T. D., Elliott, J., Galbraith, E., Gosling, S. N., Hattermann, F., Hickler, T., Hinkel, J., Hof, C., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J., Krysanova, V., Marcé, R., Müller Schmied, H., Mouratiadou, I., Pierson, D., Tittensor, D. P., Vautard, R., van Vliet, M., Biber, M. F., Betts, R. A., Bodirsky, B. L., Deryng, D., Frolking, S., Jones, C. D., Lotze, H. K., Lotze-Campen, H., Sahajpal, R., Thonicke, K., Tian, H., and Yamagata, Y.
Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)
Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 4321-4345, 2017.

Nauels, A., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C. F., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, M.
Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the shared socioeconomic pathways
Environmental Research Letters 12.11 (2017)

Nauels, A., Meinshausen, M. Mengel, M., Lorbacher, K., and Wigley, T. M. L.
Synthesizing long-term sea level rise projections – the MAGICC sea level model v2.0
Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 2495-2524, 2017.

K. Waha, L. Krummenauer, S. Adams, V. Aich, F. Baarsch, D. Coumou, M. Fader, H. Hoff, G. Jobbins,
R. Marcus, M. Mengel, I. M. Otto, M. Perrette, M. Rocha, A. Robinson, C.-F. Schleussner
Climate change impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region and their implications for vulnerable population groups
Regional Environmental Change (2017), 1-16

C. Reyer, S. Adams, T. Albrecht, F. Baarsch, A. Boit, N. Canales Trujillo, M. Cartsburg, D. Coumou, A. Eden, E. Fernandes, F. Langerwisch, R. Marcus, M. Mengel, D. Mira-Salama, M. Perette, P. Pereznieto, A. Rammig, J. Reinhardt, A. Robinson, M. Rocha, B. Sakschewski, M. Schaeffer, C. F. Schleussner, O. Serdeczny, K. Thonicke
Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development
Regional Environmental Change 17.6 (2017): 1601-1621.

M. Mengel, A. Levermann, K. Frieler, A. Robinson, B. Marzeion and R. Winkelmann
Future sea-level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113.10 (2016): 2597-2602.

M. Mengel, J. Feldmann and A. Levermann
Linear sea-level response to abrupt ocean warming of major West-Antarctic ice basin
Nature Climate Change 6 (2016), 71-74

Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T. K., Fischer, E. M., Wohland, J., Perrette, M., Golly, A., Rogelj, J.,
Childers, K., Schewe, J., Frieler, K., Mengel, M., Hare, W., and Schaeffer, M.
Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C
Earth System Dynamics 7 (2016), 327-351

K. Frieler, M. Mengel and A. Levermann
Delaying future sea-level rise by storing water on Antarctica
Earth System Dynamics 6 (2016), 203-210

M. Mengel, A. Levermann
Ice plug prevents irreversible discharge from East Antarctica
Nature Climate Change 4.6 (2014): 451.

A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann, S. Nowicki, J. Fastook, K. Frieler, R. Greve, H.H. Hellmer, M.A. Martin, M. Mengel, A.J. Payne, D. Pollard, T. Sato, R. Timmermann, W.L. Wang, R.A. Bindschadler
Projecting Antarctic ice discharge using response functions from SeaRISE ice-sheet models
Earth System Dynamics 5.2 (2014): 271.

Piontek F., Müller C., Pugh T.A., Clark D.B., Deryng D., Elliott J., Colón González F.D., Flörke M., Folberth C., Franssen W., Frieler K., Friend A.D., Gosling S.N., Hemming D., Khabarov N., Kim H., Lomas M.R., Masaki Y., Mengel M., Morse A., Neumann K., Nishina K., Ostberg S., Pavlick R., Ruane A.C., Schewe J., Schmid E., Stacke T., Tang Q., Tessler Z.D., Tompkins A.M., Warszawski L., Wisser D., Schellnhuber H.J.
Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111.9 (2014): 3233-3238.

Frieler, K. , Meinshausen, M., Golly A., Mengel, M., Lebek, K., Donner, S., Hoegh-Guldberg, O.
Limiting global warming to 2°C is unlikely to save most coral reefs
Nature Climate Change 3.2 (2013): 165.

M. Mengel, A. Levermann, C. F. Schleussner, A. Born
Enhanced subpolar-gyre variability through baroclinic threshold in the Atlantic
Earth System Dynamics 3.2 (2012): 189-197.

Frieler K. , M. Meinshausen, M. Mengel, N. Braun, W. Hare
A scaling approach to probabilistic assessment of regional climate change
Journal of Climate 25.9 (2012): 3117-3144.

Short CV


Postdoctoral researcher, ISIMIP group, PIK Potsdam


AXA Postdoctoral research fellow with Prof. Anders Levermann (PIK, Potsdam) and Prof. David Holland (New York University, USA)


PhD in Climate Physics (Dr. rer. nat.) with Prof. Anders Levermann at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and University of Potsdam
Topic: "Forcing Earth's sea level: instabilities and linear responses"


Diplom (M.Sc.) Topic: "Stability of the Subpolar Gyre in a Coarse Resolution Model"


Studies of Physics, Free University Berlin


Year Abroad at the University of Nairobi, Kenya


Studies of Physics, Free University Berlin


Postdoctoral research fellowship from AXA research fund

PhD scholarship awarded by Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt

Scholarship awarded by Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes

Scholarship from German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) for Year Abroad