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Publications Jürgen P. Kropp


Actually under Review

  • Steinhäuser M, Rybski D, KROPP JP (2012): Indirect identification of damage functions from damage records. GRL [under review].
  • Boettle M, Rybski D, Kropp JP (2012): The influence of sea level rise on coastal flood damages. Science [under review].
  • Pradhan P, Reusser D, Kropp JP (2012): Dietary Patterns and their Transitions: Implications for the Environment. PNAS [under review].
Journal Articles
  • Costa L, Kropp JP (2012): Linking operations and definitions of vulnerability: lessons from case studies in climate-change and risk-hazard context. Sustainability Science, [online first], [DOI].
  • Prahl BF, Rybski D, Kropp JP, Burghoff O, Held H (2012): Applying Stochastic Small-Scale Damage Functions to German Winter Storms. Geophysical Research Letters, [online first] [DOI].
  • Holsten A, Kropp JP (2012): An integrated and transferable climate change vulnerability assessment for regional application. Natural Hazards [online first], DOI.
  • Lissner T, Holsten A, Walther C, Kropp JP (2012): Towards sectoral and standardised vulnerability assessments: the example of heatwave impacts on human health. Climatic Change 112: 687-708, [DOI] .
  • Tekken V, Ulazzi E, Costa L, KROPP JP (2012):  Increasing pressure, declining water and eroding coast in NE Morocco. Journal of Coastal Conservation, [in press].
  • Costa L, Rybski D, Kropp JP (2011): A Human Development Framework for CO2 Reductions. PlosOne, 6(12) e29262, [DOI], [Suppl. Material].
  • Boettle M, Kropp JP, Reiber L, Roithmeier O, Rybski D, Walther C (2011): About the influence of elevation model quality on estimated flood damages: results from the Kalundberg case study. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 11, 3327–3334, [DOI].
  • Olonscheck M, Holsten A, KROPP JP (2011): Heating and cooling energy demand and emissions of the German residential building stock under climate change. Energy Policy, 39(9): 4795-4806
  • Klaus M, Holsten A, Hostert P., KROPP JP (2011): An integrated methodology to assess windthrow impacts on forest stands under climate change. Forest Ecology and Management, 261(11): 1799-1810.
  • Reusser, DE, Wrobel M, Nocke T, Sterzel T, Förster H, Kropp JP (2011): Presentation of uncertainties on web platforms for climate change information. Procedia Environmental Sciences 7: 80-85
  • Rybski D. Holsten A, KROPP JP (2011): Towards a unified characterization of phenological phases: fluctuations and correlations with temperature. Physica A, 390(4): 680-688.
  • Rybski D, Rozenfeld HD, KROPP JP (2010): Quantifying long-range correlations in complex networks beyound nearest neighbors. Europhysics Letters, 90: 28002
  • Stock M, KROPP JP, Walkenhorst O (2009): Risks, vulnerability and needs for adaptation in climate sensitive regions. Raumforschung und Raumordnung 67(2): 97-113
  • Birkmann J, Buckle P, Jaeger J, Pelling M, Setiadi N, Garschagen M & Fernando N, KROPP JP (2009): Extreme Events and Disasters: A Window of Opportunity? Analysis of changes, formal and informal responses after mega-disasters. Natural Hazards, 55(3): 637-655.
  • Tekken V, Costa L, KROPP JP (2009): Assessing the regional impacts of climate change on economic sectors in the low-lying coastal zone of Mediterranean East Morocco. Journal of Coastal Research 56: 272-276.
  • Costa L, Tekken V, KROPP JP (2009): Threat of sea-level rise: costs and benefits of adaptation in European Union coastal countries. Journal of Coastal Research 56: 223-227.
  • KROPP JP & Daschkeit A (2008): Anpassung und Planungshandeln im Licht des Klimawandels. Informationen zur Raumentwicklung, (6-7): 353-361.
  • Eisenack K, Tekken V & KROPP J.P. (2007): Regional Stakeholders' Perceptions of Climate Change in the Baltic Sea Region. Coastline Reports, 8: 245-255.
  • Rebetez M, Mayer H., Dupont O., Schindler D., Gärtner K., KROPP J.P. & Menzel A. (2006): Heat and drought 2003: a climate synthesis. Annals of Forest Science 63: 569-577.
  • KROPP J.P., Block A., Reusswig F., Zickfeld K & Schellnhuber HJ (2006): Semiquantitative Assessment of Regional Climate Vulnerability: The North Rhine - Westphalia Study. Climatic Change. 76(3-4): 265-290.
  • Eisenack K, Scheffran J, KROPP J.P. (2006): Viability Analysis of Management Frameworks for Fisheries. Environmental Modelling and Assessment, 11(1): 69 - 79.
  • Rebetez M, Mayer H., Dupont O., Schindler D., Gartner K., KROPP J.P. & Menzel A. (2006): Caractéristiques climatiques de l'été 2003. RDV techniques, 12: 14-18.
  • Eisenack K, Welsch H & KROPP J.P. (2006): A qualitative dynamical modelling approach to capital accumulation in unregulated fisheries. Journal for Economic Dynamics and Control: 30, 2613-2636.
  • Kallache M, Rust H & KROPP J.P. (2005): Trend Assessment: Applications for Hydrology and Climate Research. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. 12: 201-210.
  • KROPP J.P., Lüdeke MKB & Reusswig F (2001): Global Analysis and Distribution of Unbalanced Urbanization Processes: The Favela Syndrome GAIA, 10(2) 109-120.
  • Eisenack K. & KROPP J.P. (2001): Assessment of Management Options in Marine Fisheries by Qualitative Modelling Techniques. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 43(7-12): 215 - 224.
  • Haussels R., Klenke T., KROPP J.P. & Ebenhöh W. (2001): Observations on the influence of pore space geometry on concentration patterns and transportation properties of dissolved oxygen in a bioactive sandy sediment by a lattice Boltzmann automaton model. Hydrological Processes, 15(1): 81 - 96.
  • Petschel-Held G., Block A., Cassel-Gintz M., KROPP J.P., Lüdeke M.K.B., Moldenhauer O., Reusswig F. & Schellnhuber H.J. (1999): Syndromes of Global Change: A Qualitative Modeling Approach to support Global Environmental Management. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 4(4): 295 - 315.
  • KROPP J.P. (1999): Topology preserving neural networks for object character recognition of city systems. International Journal of Systems Research and Information Systems, 8: 295 - 315.
  • Klenke T. & KROPP J.P. (1999): From physical, geomicrobiological, and geochemical data towards qualitative system analysis - An artificial neural network approach to prototypes of Recent tidal sediments. Zbl. Geol. Paläont. I 1997(7-9): 1053 - 1062.
  • Schellnhuber H.-J. & KROPP J.P. (1998): Geocybernetics: Controlling a complex dynamical system under uncertainty. Naturwissenschaften 85(9): 411 - 425.
  • KROPP J.P. (1998): A neural network approach to the analysis of city systems. Journal of Applied Geography, 18(1): 83-96.
  • KROPP J.P. & Klenke T. (1997): Phenomenological Pattern Recognition in the Dynamical Structures of Intertidal Sedimentary Systems from the German Wadden Sea. Ecological Modelling, 103: 151 - 170.
  • Schellnhuber H.J., Block A., Cassel-Gintz M., KROPP J.P., Lammel G., Lass W., Lienenkamp R., Loose C., Lüdeke M.K.B., Moldenhauer O., Petschel-Held G., Plöchl M. & Reusswig F. (1997): Syndromes of Global Change. GAIA 6(1): 19 - 34.
  • KROPP J.P., von Bloh W., Block A., Klenke T. & Schellnhuber H.J. (1997): Multifractal characterization of microbially induced calcite formation in recent tidal flat sediments. Sedimentary Geology 109(1-2): 37 - 52.
  • KROPP J.P., v. Bloh W. & Klenke T. (1996): Calcite formation in microbial mats: Modelling and quantification of inhomogeneous distribution patterns by a cellular automaton model and multifractal measures. Geologische Rundschau 85(4): 857 - 863.
Reviewed Book Chapters
  • KROPP JP, Walker  G, Menoni S, Kallache M, Deeming H, de Roo A, Atun F, Kundak S (2011): Risk Futures in Europe. In Menoni S & Margottini C (Eds.), Chapt 5, p.187-244; Inside Risk: A Strategy for Sustainable Risk Mitigation, Springer, Berlin, 364pp.
  • Kallache M, Rust HW, Lange H, KROPP JP (2011): Extreme Value Analysis considering Trends. In: Kropp JP & Schellnhuber HJ (Eds.), Chapt. 8, p. 167-183; In Extremis: Disruptive Events, Trends and Correlations in Hydrology and Climate, Springer, Berlin. 320pp.
  • Delmonaco G, Atun F, Ceudech A, Deeming H, de Roo A, Lumbroso D, Galderisi A, Kallache M, KROPP JP, Kundak S, Molinari D, Tweed F, Wade S, Walker G, Dandoulaki M, Barredo J (2011): Europe at Risk, Chapt. 2, p. 23-91, In: Inside Risk: A Strategy for Sustainable Risk Mitigation, edited by Menoni S & Margottini C, Springer, Berlin, 364pp.
  • Menoni S, Margottini C, Galderisi A, Delmonaco G, Ferrara F, KROPP JP, Esteban JF, Lopez J, Pugliano A, Mejri O, Plebani P (2011): Shift in Thinking, Chapt. 7,  p 282-327, In: Inside Risk: A Strategy for Sustainable Risk Mitigation, edited by Menoni S & Margottini C, Springer, Berlin, 364pp.
  • Galderisi A, KROPP JP, Ceudech A, Kallache M (2011): From Global to Local and From Local to Global: Exemples of Event Scenarios. Chapt. 6, p. 245-286, In: Inside Risk: A Strategy for Sustainable Risk Mitigation, edited by Menoni S & Margottini C, Springer, Berlin, 364pp.
  • Rust HW, Kallache M, Schellnhuber HJ & KROPP JP (2011): Flood Level Confidence Intervals, In: Kropp JP & Schellnhuber HJ (Eds.), Chapt. 3, p. 61-88; In Extremis: Disruptive Events, Trends and Correlations in Hydrology and Climate, Springer, Berlin, 320pp.
  • KROPP JP (2010): Zukunft Klima - Welt im Wandel. In: Zukunft Wasser, edited by: Brickwedde F; Heidenreich F.-P.; Jacob U; Wachendörfer V, Schmidt, Berlin, 13-20 p.
  • KROPP JP (2009): Extreme Temperatures over Europe: Expectations and Challenges for the 21st Century. In: Schanze, J; Bischof, N.; Modaressi, H.; Jacque, J. M.; Eftichidis, G. (Eds.); Natural Hazards and Risk Reduction in Europe - From Science to Practice, Springer, Berlin.
  • KROPP JP, Eisenack K, Lüdeke MKB (2009): Generating policy relevant knowledge: how and why? In: Systemic development: local solutions in a global environment
    edited by J. Sheffield, Litchfield Park : ISCE Publishing, 379-389 p.
  • Eisenack K, Lüdeke MKB, Petschel-Held G., Scheffran J. & KROPP JP (2007): Qualitative Modelling Techniques to Assess Patterns of Global Change. p. 83-127, In: JP KROPP & J. Scheffran (Eds.), Advanced Methods for Decision Making and Risk Management in Sustainability Science, Nova Science Publishers Inc., New York.
  • KROPP JP & Schellnhuber HJ (2007): Prototyping of Broad-Scale Climate and Ecosystem Classes by Means of Self-Organising Maps. in: P. Agarwal & A. Skupin (Eds.) Self-Organising Maps: Applications in Geographic Information Sciences, 216pp., Wiley & Sons, New York.
  • KROPP JP, Eisenack K, Scheffran J (2006): Marine Overexploitation: a Syndrome of Global Change. In: Multiple Dimensions of Global Environmental Change, p. 257-284, edited by S. Sonak, TERI Press, New Dehli.
  • KROPP JP, Eisenack K & Scheffran J (2004): Sustainable Marine Resource Management: Lessons from Viability Analysis. in: Pahl-Wostl, C., Schmidt, S., Rizzoli A.E. and Jakeman, A.J. (eds.), Complexity and Integrated Resources Management, Transactions of the 2nd Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Vol. I, p. 104-109, Manno, Switzerland.
  • Kallache M, Rust H & KROPP JP (2004): Trend Assessment of Correlated Data. in: Pahl-Wostl, C., Schmidt, S., Rizzoli A.E. and Jakeman, A.J. (eds.), Complexity and Integrated Resources Management, Transactions of the 2nd Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Vol. III, p. 1517-1522, Manno, Switzerland.
  • KROPP JP, Eisenack K, Zickfeld K (2002): The breakdown of marine fisheries and the North Atlantic circulation: Assessment and management of critical events. in: The Science of Disasters: Climate Disruptions, Heart Attacks, and Market Crashes, A. Bunde, J. Kropp & Schellnhuber H.J. (Eds.) Springer, Berlin
  • KROPP JP (1999): A Neural Solution: A Data driven Assessment of Global Climate and Vegetation Classes. In: Proc. 6th Int. Conf. Neural Information Processing, T. Gedeon, P. Wong, S Halgamuge, N. Kasabov, D. Nauck & K. Fukushima (eds.), Vol. I, p. 279-285, IEEE Service Center, Piscataway.
  • KROPP JP & Petschel-Held G. (1997): Prototyping and Topological Analysis of German City Classes by Application of Self-Organized Feature Maps. In: Self-Organization of Complex Structures: From Individual to Collective Dynamics (Ed. F. Schweitzer), Gordon & Breach Publ., London, p. 559 - 567.
  • KROPP JP, von Bloh W., Block A., Klenke Th. & Schellnhuber H.-J. (1994): Characteristic multifractal element distributions in recent bioactive marine sediments. In: Fractals and Dynamic Systems in Geosciences (Ed. J. H. Kruhl), p. 369 - 375, Berlin.
  • KROPP JP & Klenke T. (1994): Multifraktalanalyse und Modellierung von Mineralisationsprozessen in porösen Medien. In: Geowissenschaften und Umwelt (Ed. Matschullat J. & Müller G.), S. 341 - 346, Springer, Berlin.

Edited Books
  • KROPP JP & Schellnhuber HJ (Eds.) (2011): In Extremis: Disruptive Events and Correlations in Hydrology and Climate. Springer, Berlin, 320pp. 
  • KROPP JP & Scheffran J (Eds.) (2007): Advanced Methods for Decision Making and Risk Management in Sustainability Science. Nova Science Publ., New York, 288pp.  (ISBN 978-1-60021-427-1)
  • Bunde A., KROPP JP & Schellnhuber H.-J. (Eds.) (2002): The Science of Disasters: Climate Disruptions, Heart Attacks, and Market Crashes. Springer, Berlin, New York, 245 pp.
  • KROPP JP  (1999): Neuronale Netze und qualitative Wissensbasen in der integrativen Umweltsystemanalyse. 137 Seiten, ISBN 3-89825-033-4, dissertation.de Verlag im Internet, Berlin.
Policy Papers
Contributing author to the following reports of the German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) to the Federal Government:
  • WBGU (2002): Charging the Global Commons, 48 pp. ISBN 3-9807589-8-2, German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU), Berlin.
  • WBGU (2004): World in Transition - Towards Sustainable Energy Systems, Annual Report 2003, Earthscan, London.
Co-authoring an expert report to the European Commission:
  • KROPP JP and s (2002): New concepts and indicators in fisheries and aquaculture. edited by S. Des Clears & C.E. Nauen, ISBN 92-894-4355-3, ACP-EU Fisheries Research Report, Brussels, No. 13, 72 pp.
Other Research Articles/Book Chapters (Non-ISI)
  • Reusswig F, KROPP JP & Welp M. (2004): Vom Nutzen der Unsicherheit. Wie wir trotz Unsicherheit handeln können und sollen. Umwelt & Bildung 1: 19-21.
  • Matthies F & KROPP JP (2003): Globaler Wandel und die Ausbreitung von Infektionskrankheiten: Was lernen wir durch Modelle? in: Epidemien und Seuchen: Eine Herausforderung für Wissenschaft und Gesellschaft. Zentrum für Umweltforschung, Münster, Bd. 13.
  • Eisenack K, KROPP JP, & Welsch H (2002): Capital accumulation in open-access fisheries: a qualitative dynamical approach. Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge V-237-02, Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Universität Oldenburg.
  • KROPP JP & Eisenack K (2001): Qualitative Modeling and Simulation of a Coupled Bioeconomic System. In: Working Papers of 15th Workshop on Qualitative Reasoning G. Biswas (ed.), p. 182 - 187, AAAI Press, New York.
  • KROPP JP, Klenke T, Ahlhorn F & Ebenhöh W (1999): Integriertes Küstenzonenmanagement als Herausforderung für eine problemorientierte Systemforschung in Wattenmeer und Küstenraum. DGM Mitteilungen 3: 3-13.
  • KROPP JP (1999): Automatisierte Darstellung einer nicht objekt-bezogenen Klimaklassifition durch künstliche neuronale Netzwerke. In: Umweltsystemanalyse: Dynamik natürlicher und anthropogener Systeme und ihre Wechselwirkungen, M. Flake, R. Seppelt & D. Söndgerath (Hrsg.). Landschaftsökologie und Umweltforschung Bd. 33. S. 63-66, Institut für Geoökologie und Geographie, Braunschweig.
  • KROPP JP (1999): Konzept eines wissensbasierten Systems zur Analyse des globalen Wandels. In: Umweltsystemanalyse: Dynamik natürlicher und anthropogener Systeme und ihre Wechselwirkungen, M. Flake, R. Seppelt & D. Söndgerath (Hrsg.). Landschaftsökologie und Umweltforschung Bd. 33. S. 113-116, Institut für Geoökologie und Geographie, Braunschweig.
  • KROPP JP, Klenke T & Block A (1998): Multifractal fingerprints of mineralization processes in recent sediments. In: Fraktale in der Schule: Zum didaktischen Stellenwert des Fraktalbegriffs (Hrsg. M. Komorek, R. Duit & M. Schnegelberger), IPN-Materialien, Kiel, S. 274 - 294.
Research Abstracts/Research Reports
  • Rybski D, Holsten A,  KROPP JP (2011): Analyzing the phase statistics of phenological records: fluctuations and correlations with temperature. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13: EGU2011-291.
  • Reusser DE, Luis C, Förster H, Lissner T, Pape CA, Pradhan P, Sterzel T, Weiß T, Wrobel M, KROPP JP (2011): Communication of climate change induced natural hazards with a web plattform. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13: EGU2011-6025
  • Costa L, Meidinger M, KROPP JP (2011): Adaptive pathways in coastal systems for losses reduction due to storm surges and sea-level rise: The case of Ísafjörður, Iceland. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13: EGU2011-8605-3.
  • Boettle M, Rybski D, KROPP JP (2011): A cost-benefit framework for adaptation to sea level rise. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13: EGU2011-343.
  • Lissner T, Reusser D, Kirschenmann E, Holsten A, KROPP JP (2011): Exploring the consequences of changes in water resource availability on human health and well-being. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13: EGU2011-8467
  • Rybski D, Steinhäuser M, KROPP JP (2011): Identifying damage functions through density transformation. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13,  EGU2011-289
  • Holsten A, Lissner T, Klaus M, KROPP JP (2011): The need for multissectoral impact assessments to initiate concerted adaptation. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13, EGU2011-8721-1.
  • Rybski D, Steinhäuser M, KROPP JP (2011): Identifying damage functions through density transformation. Geophysical Research Abstracts: 13,  EGU2011-289
  • KROPP JP & Eisenack K. (2007): Regional assessment of sea-level rise in the Baltics: Adaptation vs. Non-Adaptation. Technical Report ASTRA Project, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany
  • Kallache M, Rust HW, Lange H, KROPP JP (2007): A point process characterisation of river discharge extreme events incorporating non-stationarity. Geophysical Research Abstracts 9: 02726.
  • Eisenack K. & KROPP JP (2006): Regional Stakeholder's Perception of Climate Change in the Baltics. Technical Report ASTRA project, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany.
  • KROPP JP & Schellnhuber HJ (2006): Scaling analysis of hydrometeorological data and improvement of multivariate statistical methods [in german]. Final Report to the Federal Ministry for Education and Research (grant #0330271).
  • Rust HW., Maraun D., Timmer J. & KROPP JP (2005): Measuring and Modelling Long-Range Dependence. Geophysical Research Abstracts 7: 04647.
  • Kallache M., Rust H. & KROPP JP (2005): Stochastic Modelling and Trend Assessment of River Run-Off Data in Southern Germany. Geophysical Research Abstracts 7: 04686.
  • Rust HW., Kallache M. & KROPP JP (2004): Comparison of different fractional ARIMA type models applied to river discharge records from southern Germany with respect to long-term memory. Geophysical Research Abstracts 6: 03744.
  • Kallache M., Rust HW & KROPP JP (2004): Trend Assessment: Applications for Hydrology and Climate Research Geophysical Research Abstracts 6: 03744.
  • Rust HW., Maraun D., KROPP JP & Timmer J. (2004): DFA and the Detection of Long-Range Correlation. Geophysical Research Abstracts 6: 03268.
  • Rust HW., Maraun D., KROPP JP & Timmer J. (2004): Power-Law Scaling and Long-Range Correlations in Temperature Records. Geophysical Research Abstracts 6: 00298.
  • KROPP JP, Ebenhöh W., Klenke T., Neuert C., Alhorn F., Eisenack K., Schurpfeil U. und Sperr T. (2002): Datenintegration und qualitative Dynamik im Wattenmeer, Abschlußbericht BMBF-Projekt 03F0205B9.
  • Block A., Cassel-Gintz M., KROPP JP, Lüdeke M.K.B., Moldenhauer O., Petschel-Held G., Reusswig F. & Schellnhuber H.-J (1998): Globaler Wandel: GIS-gestützte Erfassung und Modellierung der Syndromdynamik, Abschlußbericht BMBF-Projekt 01LG9401/5.
  • Klenke T, KROPP JP & Ahlhorn F (1998): Übergänge von Systemzuständen im rezenten Watt: Erklärungsansätze für Fazieswechsel aus der qualitativen System-Analyse und System-Modellierung. Terra nostra 98(3): V170-171.
  • Klenke T & KROPP JP (1997): Anwendung von Selbstorganisierenden Karten (Neuronale Netze) zur qualitativen Systemanalyse rezenter Wattsedimente. Terra nostra 97(2): 102-103.
  • Klenke T & KROPP JP (1995): Modelling of calcite formation coupled with the microbial transfer of carbon from the organic to the lithological reservoir. Terra nostra 95(1): 70.
  • Klenke T & KROPP JP (1993): Dokumentation und Multifraktalanalyse von Mineralisationsprozessen in porösen Medien auf kleinen Raumskalen. - DGG-Tagung "Geowissenschaftliche Umweltforschung" - Heidelberger Geowiss. Abh. (67): 82.
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