Abrupt monsoon transitions

    Eigencalving
    Abrupt monsoon transitions
    • For some climatic situations no regular monsoon can develop, because the necessary energetic balance cannot be fulfilled
    • Distinct from these long-term transition relevant mainly for past climate, there can be monsoon failure from season to season

    Publications

    J. Schewe & A. Levermann
    A statistically predictive model for future monsoon failure in India
    Environmental Research Letters 7 (2012), 044023.
    » Supplementary information
    » Matlab code of "day-to-day-model"
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    J. Schewe, A. Levermann, H. Cheng
    A critical humidity threshold for monsoon transitions
    Climate of the Past Discussions 7 (2011), 1737-1765.
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    J. Schewe, A. Levermann, M. Meinshausen
    Climate change under a scenario near 1.5C of global warming: monsoon intensification, ocean warming and steric sea level rise
    Earth System Dynamics 2 (2011), 25-35.
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    Monsoon transition
    A. Levermann, J. Schewe, V. Petoukhov, H. Held
    Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106 (2009), 20572-20577.
    » Supplementary information
    bibtex entry - endnote entry


    Press release
    Monsoon model indicates potential for abrupt transitions (19 Oct. 2009)