Abrupt monsoon transitions


    Eigencalving
    Abrupt monsoon transitions
    • For some climatic situations no regular monsoon can develop, because the necessary energetic balance cannot be fulfilled
    • Distinct from these long-term transition relevant mainly for past climate, there can be monsoon failure from season to season

    Publications

    A. Menon, A. Levermann, J. Schewe
    Enhanced future variability during India`s rainy season
    Geophysical Research Letters 40 (2013), DOI: 10.1002/grl.50583.
    » Supplementary information
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    A. Menon, A. Levermann, J. Schewe, J. Lehmann, K. Frieler
    Consistent increase in Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability across CMIP-5 models
    Earth System Dynamics 4 (2013), 287-300, doi:10.5194/esd-4-287-2013.
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    J. Schewe & A. Levermann
    A statistically predictive model for future monsoon failure in India
    Environmental Research Letters 7 (2012), 044023.
    » Supplementary information
    » Matlab code of "day-to-day-model"
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    J. Schewe, A. Levermann, H. Cheng
    A critical humidity threshold for monsoon transitions
    Climate of the Past 8 (2012), 535-544, doi:10.5194/cp-8-535-2012.
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    J. Schewe, A. Levermann, M. Meinshausen
    Climate change under a scenario near 1.5C of global warming: monsoon intensification, ocean warming and steric sea level rise
    Earth System Dynamics 2 (2011), 25-35.
    bibtex entry - endnote entry

    Monsoon transition
    A. Levermann, J. Schewe, V. Petoukhov, H. Held
    Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106 (2009), 20572-20577.
    » Supplementary information
    bibtex entry - endnote entry


    Press release
    Ups-and-downs of Indian monsoon rainfall likely to increase under warming (20 June 2013)
    Monsoon model indicates potential for abrupt transitions (19 Oct. 2009)