Previous projects
FOREVAS
The overall aim of the project ForEVAS is the evaluation of the exposure and sensitivity of goods and services provided by the forest sector to global change, the analysis of the adaptation capacity of forestry to future global change and the role of forestry in mitigation and adaptation strategies at regional scales. The demand for forest goods and services is determined by a wide array of user groups (as forest owners, ground water administration, general public seeking recreation, consumers of wood and fibre products, groups interested in nature conservation). The forests with a given species composition and structure, are the result of climate impact, landscape and forest management measures. Therefore, the capacity for adaptation to climate change has to be described in the context of multi-purpose, multi-user settings. ForEVAS will analyse vulnerability based on indicators, criteria and preferred management options that are assessed in a dialogue with user groups. To do this, methods of scenario analyses with simulation models, of multi-criteria analysis, and uncertainty analysis of decision making with regard to the adaptive measures will be applied.
HYDREX
A Set of Statistical Models for the Assessment of Extreme Hydro-Climatical Events in Endangered Regions - The basic idea is to develop hydro-climatic future scenarios with high spatial resolution for selected regions on scales which are necessary in climate impact research, but at which it has not previously been possible to simulate them. The focus is on investigations into the occurrence of extreme events. For this purpose an existing statistical model is being further developed to produce scenarios, and coupled to a dynamic regional climate model, which in turn is coupled to a hydrological model. To ensure the good quality of results, a chain of statistical procedures are used. The methods and models are contained in a simulation environment. Thus a tool will be made available by which cost-intensive simulations can be avoided, covering scales smaller than 10 km. This makes it possible to appraise the intensity, frequency and impacts of hydro-climatic extremes such as droughts and floods, and to investigate feedbacks.
SERVICE
SERVICE will perform a vulnerability assessment of viniculture for selected regions in Europe. The assessment is based on the development of high-resolution regional grapevine related scenarios of climate change and evaluates exposure, sensitivity, impacts on phenology, quality, pest and diseases and adaptive capacity as elements of vulnerability. The evaluation makes use of expert opinions and stakeholder dialogue.
