Publications
This page provides references and links to the most recent peer-reviewed publications from the PIK RD 1 Flagship Project "Biodiversity, Ecosystem Services and Climate Change". If you are interested in obtaining preprints of the papers in press, please contact the authors directly.
Papers in press
- Knorn J, Kuemmerle T, Szabo A, Mindrescu M, Keeton WS, Radeloff VC, Abrudan I, Griffiths P, Gancz V & Hostert P in press Forest restitution and the protected area effectiveness in post-socialist Romania. Biological Conservation.
- von Wehrden H, Fischer J, Brandt P, Wagner K, Kümmerer K, Kuemmerle T, Nagel A, Olsson O & Hostert P in press The ecological consequences of nuclear accidents, Conservation Letters
- Griffiths P, Kuemmerle T, Kennedy RE, Abrudan IV, Knorn J, & Hostert P in press Using dense time-series of Landsat images to assess the effects of forest restitution in post-socialist Romania. Remote Sensing of Environment
- Gavier-Pizarro GI, Kuemmerle T, Hoyos LE, Stewart SI, Huebner CD, Keuler NS, Radeloff VC in press Monitoring the invasion of an exotic tree (Ligustrum lucidum) from 1983 to 2006 with Landsat satellite data and a support vector machine in Córdoba, Argentina. Remote Sensing of Environment
- Alix-Garcia J, Kuemmerle T, Radeloff VC in press Prices, land tenure institutions, and geography: A matching analysis of farmland abandonment in post-Socialist Eastern Europe. Land Economics
- Esther A, Groeneveld J, Enright NJ, Miller BP, Lamont BB, Perry GLW, Tietjen B, Jeltsch F in press How important are trade-offs to explain community structure and plant species richness? Theoretical Ecology.
Papers in press and available online
Papers published in 2012
- Langerwisch F, Rost S, Gerten D, Poulter B2, Rammig A, Cramer W1 2012 Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon basin. - Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 9:261-300, doi:10.5194/hessd-9-261-2012
Reports published in 2011
- Pompe S, Berger S, Bergmann J, Badeck F, Lübbert J, Klotz S, Rehse A-K, Söhlke G, Sattler S, Walther G-R & Kühn I 2011 Modellierung der Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf die Flora und Vegetation in Deutschland (BfN-Skripten 304). BfN, Bonn - Bad Godesberg. 193 p.
Papers published in 2011
- Kuemmerle T, Hickler T, Olofsson J, Schurgers G & Radeloff VC 2011 Reconstructing range dynamics and range fragmentation of European bison for the last 8000 years. Diversity & Distributions 18:47-59.
- Pflugmacher D, Krankina ON, Cohen WB, Friedl MA,Sulla-Menashe D, Kennedy RE, Nelson P, Loboda T, Kuemmerle T, Dyukarev E, Elsakov V & Kharuk VI 2011 Comparison and assessment of coarse resolution land cover maps for Northern Eurasia. Remote Sensing of Environment 115:3539–3553, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2011.08.016
- Fischer J, Batary P, Brussaard L, Chappell MJ, Clough Y, Daily GC, Dorrough J, Hartel T, Jackson LE, Klein AM, Kremen C, Kuemmerle T, Lindenmayer DB, Perfecto I, Philpott SM, Tscharntke T, Vandermeer J, Wanger TC & von Wehrden H 2011 Conservation: Limits to land sparing. Science 334, 593
- Hostert P, Kuemmerle T, Prishchepov A, Sieber A, Lambin EF & Radeloff VC 2011 Rapid land use changes after socioeconomic disturbances: Chernobyl and the collapse of the Soviet Union. Environmental Research Letters 6:045201, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045201
- Schueler V, Kuemmerle T & Schroeder H 2011 Impacts of
surface gold mining on land use systems in Western Ghana. Ambio 40:528-539, doi:10.1007/s13280-011-0141-9
- Olofsson P, Kuemmerle T, Griffiths P, Knorn J, Baccini A, Gancz V, Blujdea, Houghton RA, Abrudan IA, & Woodcock, CE 2011 Carbon implications of the forest transition in post-socialist Romania. Environmental Research Letters 6:045202, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045202
- Sonnenschein R, Kuemmerle T, Udelhoven T, Stellmes M & Hostert P 2011 Differences in Landsat-based trend analyses in drylands due to the choice of vegetation estimate. Remote Sensing of Environment 115:1408-1420, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2011.01.021
- Hickler T, Vohland K2, Feehan J, Miller PA, Smith B, Costa L, Giesecke T, Fronzek S, Carter T, Cramer W, Kühn I & Sykes MT 2011 Projecting the future distribution of European potential natural vegetation zones with a generalized, tree species-based dynamic vegetation model. Gl Ecol Biogeogr 21:50-63, doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00613.x
- Costa-Carvalho L, Thonicke K, Poulter B2, Badeck F-W1 2011, Sensitivity of Portuguese forest fires to climatic, human and landscape variables – Differences between fire drivers in extreme fire years and decadal averages. Regional Environmental Change 11:543-551, doi: 10.1007/s10113-010-0169-6.
- Kuemmerle T, Radeloff VC, Perzanowski K, Kozlo P, Sipko T, Khoyetskyy P, Bashta AT, Chikurova E, Parnikoza I, Baskin L, Angelstam P & Waller DM 2011 Predicting potential European bison habitat across its former range. Ecological Applications 21(3):830–843
- Baumann M, Kuemmerle T, Elbakidze M, Ozdogan M, Radeloff VC, Keuler N, Prishchepov AV, Kruhlov I & Hostert H 2011 Patterns and drivers of post-socialist farmland abandonment in Western Ukraine. Land Use Policy 28:552-562, doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2010.11.003
- Kuemmerle T, Perzanowski K, Akçakaya HR, Beaudry F, van Deelen TR, Parnikoza I, Khoyetskyy P, Waller DM & Radeloff VC 2011 Cost-effectiveness of different conservation strategies to establish a European bison metapopulation in the Carpathians. Journal of Applied Ecology 48:317–329, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2664.2010.01954.x
- Kattge J & 129 others, including Rammig A 2011 TRY – a global database of plant traits. Global Change Biology doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02451.x
- Hare WL, Cramer W,Schaeffer M, Battaglini A, Jaeger CC 2011 Climate hotspots: key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming. Regional Environmental Change 11(Suppl 1):1-13, doi:10.1007/s10113-010-0195-4
Book chapters published in 2010
- Jeltsch F, Blaum N, Classen N, Eschenbach A, Grohmann C, Gröngröft A, Joubert DF, Horn A, Lohmann D, Linsenmair KE, Lück-Vogel M, Medinski TV, Meyfarth S, Mills A, Petersen A, Popp A, Poschlod P, Reisch C, Rossmanith E, Rubilar H, Schütze S, Seymour C, Simmons R, Smit GN, Strohbach M, Tews J, Tietjen B, Wesuls D, Wichmann M, Wieczorek M & Zimmermann I 2010 Impacts of landuse and climate change on the dynamics and biodiversity in the Thornbush Savanna Biome. In: Hoffman MT, Schmiedel U and Jürgens N (eds) Biodiversity in southern Africa. Volume 3: Implications for landuse and management, pp. 33–74, Klaus Hess Publishers, Göttingen & Windhoek.
- Jeltsch F, Blaum N, Lohmann D, Meyfarth S, Rossmanith E., Schütze S, Tews J, Tietjen B, Wichmann M & Wieczorek M 2010 Modelling vegetation change in arid and semi-arid savannas. In: Schmiedel U and Jürgens N (eds) Biodiversity in southern Africa. Volume 2: Patterns and processes at regional scale, pp. 274–282, Klaus Hess Publishers, Göttingen & Windhoek.
- Jeltsch F, Tietjen B, Blaum N & Rossmanith E 2010 Population and ecosystem modeling of land use and climate change impacts on savanna dynamics. In: Hill MJ and Hanan NP (eds) Ecosystem Function in Savannas, CRC Press. ISBN: 9781439804704, ISBN 10: 1439804702
- Arneth A, Lehsten V, Thonicke K & Spessa A 2010 Climate–Fire Interactions and Savanna Ecosystems: A Dynamic Vegetation Modeling Study for the African Continent. In: Hill MJ and Hanan NP (eds) Ecosystem Function in Savannas: Measurement and Modeling at Landscape to Global Scales, pp. 463-478. CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group.
- Freudenberger L, Schluck M, Hobson P, Sommer H, Cramer W, Barthlott & Ibisch PL 2010 A view on global patterns and interlinkages of biodiversity and human development. Empirical Background Paper B.1.1 in Ibisch PL, A Vega E & Hermann TM (eds.) 2010 Interdependence of biodiversity and global change. Technical Series No. 54, Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal, Canada, pp. 37-56 and 197-224
- Schaber J, Badeck F-W1, Doktor D & von Bloh W 2010 Combining messy phenological time series. In: Hudson IL & Keatley MR (eds) Phenological Research: Methods for Environmental and Climate Change Analysis, pp. 147-158. Springer publishers. doi: 0.1007/978-90-481-3335-2_7
- Vohland K1, Hickler T, Feehan J, Gumpenberger M, Araújo MB & Cramer W 2010 Priority Setting for Nature Conservation. In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
- Hickler T, Vohland K1, Costa L, Cramer W, Miller PA, Smith B, Feehan J, Kühn I & Sykes MT 2010 Vegetation on the Move – Where do conservation strategies have to be redefined? In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
- Vohland K1, Klotz S & Balzer S 2010 Ecological Networks as One Answer to Climate Change In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
- Nagy L, Badeck FW1, Pompe S, Gottfried M, Pauli H & Grabherr G 2010 Is Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition a Cause for Concern in Alpine Ecosystems? In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
- Badeck FW1 & Sterzel T 2010 Nitrogen Deposition – a Major Risk for Biodiversity. In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
Papers published in 2010
- Kuemmerle T, Olofsson P, Chaskovskyy O, Baumann M, Ostapowicz K, Woodcock C, Houghton R A, Hostert P, Keeton W S & Radeloff VC 2010 Post-Soviet farmland abandonment, forest recovery, and carbon sequestration in western Ukraine. Global Change Biology 17(3):1335-1349 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02333.x
- Tietjen B, Jeltsch F, Zehe E, Classen N, Groengroeft A, Schiffers K & Oldeland J 2010 Effects of climate change on the coupled dynamics of water and vegetation in drylands. Ecohydrology 3:226-237 doi: 10.1002/eco.70
- Pompe S, , Hanspach J, Badeck F-W1, Klotz S, Bruelheide H, Kühn I 2010 Investigating habitat-specific plant species pools under climate change. Basic and Applied Ecology 11:603-611
- Poulter B2, Hattermann F, Hawkins E, Zaehle S, Sitch S, Restrepo-Coupe N, Heyder U & Cramer W 2010 Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Global Change Biology 16(9), doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x
- Jupp T, Cox P, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Lucht W & Cramer W 2010 Development of probability density functions for future South American rainfall. New Phytol 187(3):682-693
- Rammig A, Jupp T, Thonicke K, Tietjen B, Heinke J, Ostberg S, Lucht W, Cramer W & Cox P 2010. Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback. New Phytol 187(3):694-706, (supporting online material), doi: 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03318.x
- Rammig A, Jonas T, Zimmermann NE, Rixen C 2010. Changes in alpine plant growth under future climate conditions. Biogeoscience 7(6):2013-2024
- Thonicke K, Spessa A, Prentice IC, Harrison SP, Dong L & Carmona-Moreno C 2010. The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model. Biogeoscience 7(6):1991-2011
- Poulter B2, Aragão L, Heyder U, Gumpenberger M, Heinke J, Langerwisch F, Rammig A, Thonicke K & Cramer W Net biome production of the Amazon Basin in the 21st century. Global Change Biology 16(7):2062-2075, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02064.x
- Arneth A, Sitch S, Bondeau A, Butterbach-Bahl K, Foster P, Gedney N, de Noblet-Ducoudre N, Prentice IC, Sanderson M, Thonicke K, Wania R & Zaehle S 2010 From biota to chemistry and climate: towards a comprehensive description of trace gas exchange between the biosphere and atmosphere. Biogeosciences 7(1):121-149
- Bässler C, Müller J, Hothorn T, Kneib T, Badeck F-W1 & Dziock F 2010 Estimation of the extinction risk for high-montane species as a consequence of global warming and assessment of their suitability as cross-taxon indicators. Ecological Indicators 10(2):341-352, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2009.06.014
- Gumpenberger M, Vohland K2, Heyder U, Poulter B2, Macey K, Rammig A, Popp A & Cramer W 2010 Predicting pan-tropical climate change induced forest stock gains and losses - implications for REDD. Environmental Research Letters 5 014013, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/1/014013
- Mace GM, Cramer W, Diaz S, Faith DP, Larigauderie A, Le Prestre P, Palmer M, Perrings C, Scholes RJ, Walpole M, Walther BA, Watson JA & Mooney HA 2010 Biodiversity targets after 2010. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 2:1-6, doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2010.03.003
- Meyn A, Schmidtlein S, Taylor SW, Girardin MP, Thonicke K & Cramer W 2010 Spatial variation in wildfire and summer drought in British Columbia, Canada, 1920-2000. International Journal of Wildland Fire 19:272-283, doi: 10.1071/WF09055_AC
- Meyn A, Taylor SW, Flannigan MD, Thonicke K & Cramer W 2010 Relationship between fire, climate oscillations, and drought in British-Columbia, Canada, 1920-2000. Global Change Biology 16(3):977-989, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02061.x
- Poulter B2, Aragão L, Heyder U, Gumpenberger M, Heinke J, Langerwisch F, Rammig A, Thonicke K & Cramer W 2010 Net biome production of the Amazon Basin in the 21st century. Gl Chg Biol 16(7):2062-2075, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02064.x
- Poulter B2, Hattermann F, Hawkins E, Zaehle S, Sitch S, Restrepo-Coupe N, Heyder U & Cramer W 2010 Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Gl Chg Biol 16(9):2476-2495, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x
- Rammig A, Jupp T, Thonicke K, Tietjen B1, Heinke J, Ostberg S, Lucht W, Cramer W & Cox P 2010 Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback. New Phytol 187(3):694-706 (supporting online material), doi: 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03318.x
- Rammig A, Jönsson AM, Hickler T, Smith B, Bärring L & Sykes MT 2010 Impacts of changing frost regimes on Swedish forests: Incorporating cold hardiness in a regional ecosystem model. Ecological Modelling 221(2):303-313, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.05.014
Papers published in 2009
- Badeck F-W1, Fontaine J-L, Dumas F & Ghashghaie J 2009 Consistent patterns in leaf lamina and leaf vein carbon isotope composition across ten herbs and tree species. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry 23:2455-2460, doi: 10.1002/rcm.4054
- Blaum N, Tietjen B & Rossmanith E 2009 Impact of livestock husbandry on small- and medium-sized carnivores in Kalahari savannah rangelands. Journal of Wildlife Management 73:60-67, doi: 10.2193/2008-034
- Doktor D, Bondeau A, Koslowski D & Badeck F-W1 2009 Influence of heterogeneous landscapes on computed green-up dates based on daily AVHRR NDVI observations. Remote Sensing of Environment 113(12):2618-2632, doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2009.07.020
- Holsten A, Vetter T, Vohland K & Krysanova V 2009 Impact of climate change on soil moisture dynamics in Brandenburg and consequences for nature conservation areas. Ecological Modelling (online), doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.04.038
- Kuhlbrodt T, Rahmstorf S, Zickfeld K, Vikebø F, Sundby S, Hofmann M, Link PM, Bondeau A, Cramer W & Jaeger C 2009 An integrated assessment of changes in the thermohaline circulation. Climatic Change onlinefirst, doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9561-y
- Lehsten V, Tansey K, Balzter H, Thonicke K, Spessa A, Weber U, Smith B & Arneth A 2009 Estimating carbon emissions from African wildfires. Biogeosciences 6:349-360, www.biogeosciences.net/6/349/2009/
- Poulter B2 & Cramer W 2009 Satellite remote sensing of tropical forest canopy dynamics. International Journal of Remote Sensing 30(24):6575-6590, doi: 10.1080/01431160903242005
- Poulter B2, Feldman RL, Brinson MM, Horton BP, Orbach MK, Pearsall SH, Reyes E, Riggs SR & Whitehead JC 2009 Sea-level rise research and dialogue in North Carolina: Creating windows for policy change. Ocean & Coastal Management 52:147-153, doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2008.09.010
- Poulter B2, Heyder U & Cramer W 2009 Modelling the sensitivity of the seasonal cycle of GPP to dynamic LAI and soil depths in tropical rainforests. Ecosystems 12:517-533, doi: 10.1007/s10021-009-9238-4
- Poulter B2, Qian SS & Christensen NL 2009 Determinants of coastal treeline and the role of abiotic and biotic interactions. Plant Ecology 202:55-66, doi: 10.1007/s11258-008-9465-3
- Rammig A & Fahse L 2009 Simulating forest succession after blowdown events: The crucial role of space for a realistic management. Ecological Modelling 220(24):3555-3564, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.06.040
- Tagesson T, Smith B, Löfgren A, Rammig A, Eklundh L & Lindroth A 2009 Estimating net primary production of Swedish forest landscapes by combining mechanistic modelling and remote sensing. Ambio 38:316-324
- Tietjen B, Zehe E & Jeltsch F 2009 Simulating plant water availability in dry lands under climate change: A generic model of two soil layers. Water Resources Research 45, W01418, doi: 10.1029/2007WR006589
- Vohland K & Barry B 2009 A review of in situ rainwater harvesting (RWH) practices modifying landscape functions in African drylands. Agriculture Ecosystems and & Environment 131:119-127, doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2009.01.010
- Walther GR, Roques A, Hulme PE, Sykes MT, Pyšek P, Kühn I, Zobel M and members of the ALARM Climate Change – Biological Invasions Working Group (Bacher S, Botta-Dukát Z, Bugmann H, Czúcz B, Dauber J, Hickler T, Jarošík V, Kenis M, Klotz S, Minchin D, Moora M, Nentwig W, Ott J, Panov VE, Reineking B, Robinet C, Semenchenko V, Solarz W, Thuiller W, Vilà M, Vohland K, Settele J) 2009 Alien species in a warmer world - risks and opportunities. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 24(12):686-693, doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2009.06.008
1guest scientist in the Biodiversity Project
2previous member of the Biodiversity Project
