Macro-scale risks of land use and climate change for tropical forests
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Team Members:Fanny LangerwischAnja Rammig Kirsten Thonicke Guest:Wolfgang Cramer |
Climate change and land use change impact tropical ecosystems severely. However, macro-scale interactions between deforestation, climate change and soil degradation are poorly known, and rarely assessed adequately for combined scenarios of climate change and land use. The Amazon basin provides a case study to investigate which interactions between landscape units (especially between inundation forests and the river system itself) are relevant to define the stability of the systems as a whole, for the carbon balances of the region as well for the sustainable use of the resources. Non-linear effects of landscape fragmentation on disturbance regime are covered for the first-time in a broad-scale ecosystem model. If funding can be secured, tropical wetlands and tropical forests elsewhere will be included at a later stage.
Planned products
- stability assessment of Amazon rainforest ecosystems to combined land use / climate change - 2010
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disturbance dynamics module for LPJmL in tropical forests - 2009
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closed carbon balance assessment land-river-ocean - 2009
Projects
| Project |
Description |
Goals and Products |
Cooperations |
Contact |
Duration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU (Greencycles) |
INPA | ||||
| WGL (TRACES) | IFM-Geomar | ||||
| World Bank (Lucht) |
RD2 (Lucht et al.) |
