Macro-scale risks of land use and climate change for tropical forests
Climate change and land use change impact tropical ecosystems severely. However, macro-scale interactions between deforestation, climate change and soil degradation are poorly known, and rarely assessed adequately for combined scenarios of climate change and land use. The Amazon basin provides a case study to investigate which interactions between landscape units (especially between inundation forests and the river system itself) are relevant to define the stability of the systems as a whole, for the carbon balances of the region as well for the sustainable use of the resources. Non-linear effects of landscape fragmentation on disturbance regime are covered for the first-time in a broad-scale ecosystem model. If funding can be secured, tropical wetlands and tropical forests elsewhere will be included at a later stage.
| Staff involved | Planned products | Cooperation | External funding |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfgang Cramer Fanny Langerwisch Ben Poulter Anja Rammig Kirsten Thonicke Katrin Vohland |
|
INPA IFM-Geomar RD2 (Lucht et al.) |
EU (GREENCYCLES) WGL (TRACES) World Bank (Lucht) |
