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5.9. Alcamo

Keynote Presentations from the 2nd ALTER-Net Summer School, Peyresq 1 - 13 September 2007



Speaker: Joe Alcamo
alcamo -at- usf.uni-kassel.de
Center for Environmental Systems Research, University of Kassel, Kurt Wolters Strasse 3, D-34125 Kassel, Germany
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Title of the talk: Methods for building scenarios of the environment (pdf: 2MB)


Summary of the talk by Arnold van Gelder: Students´ summary (pdf)


Recommended background literature on this presentation:

  • Alcamo J (2001) Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessments. Environmental issue report No 24, Experts' corner report Prospects and Scenarios No 5, European Environment Agency (pdf: 400KB), Luxembourg, pp 31.
  • Carpenter SR, Pingali PL, Bennett EM, Zurek MB (Eds.) (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: Scenarios. Findings of the Scenarios Working Group, Volume 2, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Island Press, especially Chapters 2 (Raskin et al.), 6 (Alcamo et al.), 7 (Nelson et al.) and 9 (Alcamo et al.). http://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/Scenarios.aspx
  • Lebel L, Thongbai P, Kok K, Agard JBR, Bennett E, Biggs R, Ferreira M, Filer C, Gokhale Y, Mala W, Rumsey C, Velarde SJ, Zurek M (2005) Sub-global scenarios. In: Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Multiscale Assessments, Volume 4, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Carpenter SR, Pingali PL, Bennett EM, Zurek MB (Eds) Island Press, 229-259. Chapter 10: http://www.maweb.org/documents/document.348.aspx.pdf.
  • Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B, Fenhann J, Gaffin S, Gregory K, Grübler A, Jung TY, Kram T, La Rovere EL, Michaelis L, Mori S, Morita T, Pepper W, Pitcher H, Price L, Raihi K, Roehrl A, Rogner H-H, Sankovski A, Schlesinger M, Shukla P, Smith S, Swart R, van Rooijen S, Victor N, Dadi Z (2000) Emissions scenarios. A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, 599 pp. http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/index.htm