|
Traill, L. W., Perhans, K., Lovelock, C. E., Prohaska, A., McFallan, S., Rhodes, J. R., & Wilson, K. A. (2011). Managing for change: wetland transitions under sea-level rise and outcomes for threatened species. Diversity and Distributions, 17(6), 1225-1233.
|
Australia
|
Land inundation, flooding and salinity intrusion due to SLR will lead to changes in the structure and composition of coastal wetlands as the environment will become more saline. Models project a general decline in wetland communities under SLR, with a noted exception of mangroves that are more saline-tolerant. Under the A1FI scenario, SLR allows mangroves to migrate inland, with urban development acting as an obstruction in some areas. Mangrove expansion provides an unexpected benefit for dependent X. myoides populations, although the inclusion of predation and habitat loss due to urban development still suggests extirpation in c. 50 years.
|
A new generation of conservation decision support tools need to be developed, that balance numerous competing objectives in the context of dynamic and complex systems.
|